ABCD
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Things I am watching in March through June 2020
prepared by Daniel Nichanian | (Feel free to message me with suggestions of more to include.)
you can follow me at @Taniel
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StakesContextResult
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JULY ONWARD: Check out the new website where the cheat sheets are laid out: whatsontheballot.com
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Head there for the Alabama, Maine, Texas results & cheatsheet.
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June 30
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Referendum
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Oklahoma: Medicaid expansionWould expand the Medicaid program under the ACA, extending ensuring to 200KYES
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Statewide
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Colorado: Senate (Dem)Hicklenlooper & Romanoff face off to take on Gardner.John Hickenlooper
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Utah: Governor (GOP)Former Gov. Jon Huntsman & Lieut. Gov. Spencer Cox, among others, want to be the GOP nominee for governor in Utah.Spencer Cox
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Utah: Attorney General (GOP)Leavitt atypically focused on criminal justice reform in his challenge to UT's AG ReyesReyes
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House
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CO-03 (Dem primary)James Iacino and Diane Bush are running in what's now a possible Dem target.Diane Bush
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CO-03 (GOP primary)Lauren Boebert ran from the far-right against incumbent Scott TiptonLauren Boebert
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OK-05 (GOP primary)The GOP choosing its nominee in one of its top targets of the year.Runoff: Neese vs. Bice
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Legislative
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Colorado's HD 62 (Dem primary)State Rep. Valdez faces primary challenge. CO Independent writes: "Valdez, who is an outlier in the party, angered some when he voted against a bill on comprehensive sexual health education last year."Donald Valdez
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Oklahoma's HD 88 (Dem primary)A Dem incumbent challenged by Mauree Turner, a community organizer with the ACLU's Smart Justice campaign who (if she also wins in November) would be the first Muslim state lawmaker.ContextMauree Turner
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June 23rd: from Kentucky, New York, Virginia
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Statewide
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Kentucky: Senate seat (Dem primary)Amy McGrath vs. Charles Booker: if you're here, you know about this oneAmy McGrath
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U.S. House
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NY-27 (special election!)GOP Rep. Collins's resignation has triggered a special election in a red-leaning CD.PreviewGOP hold
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NY-15 (Dem primary)Diaz Sr. would be one of the most conservative Democrats in a arch-blue district, if he wins this crowded primary.PreviewTorres leads; not final
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NY-16 (Dem primary)Engel-Bowman. If you're here, you know about this one.Bowman leads; not final.
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NY-17 (Dem primary)Open race has a crowded primary, with an ex-IDCer (Carclucci) in the mix, as well as a free-spending former prosecutor (Schleifer). Progressives coalesced around Jones.PreviewMondaire Jones
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NY-9 (Dem primary)Crowded primary in Rep. Clarke's re-election bid, incl. a challenger from the left PreviewClarke leads, not final.
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NY-10 (Dem primary)Rep. Jerrold Nadler challenged by Lindsey Boylan & Jonathan Herzog PreviewNadler leads, not final.
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NY-12 (Dem primary)Rep. Carolyn B. Maloney faces a rematch against Suraj PatelPreviewMaloney leads, not final
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NY-14 (Dem primary)Rep. Ocasio-Cortez's first re-election raceOcasio-Cortez
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VA-2 (GOP primary)Former Rep. Scott Taylor is in the running to be the GOP nominee for his old seatScott Taylor
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VA-5 (Dem primary)The GOP just ousted its incumbent. Dems will decide who will be Bob Good's general election opponent.Cameron Webb
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VA-11 (Dem primary)Zainab Mohsini challenging Rep. Gerry Connolly from the left.PreviewGerry Connolly
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Legislative
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Kentucky: SD26 (special election)This is a GOP-held seat won by Trump then Beshear. Dems hoping for a gain. (Karen Berg, the Dem nominee, lost by 5% in 2018.)DEM GAIN
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Kentucky: HD59 (GOP primary)GOP Speaker (David Osborne) faces against public education advocate Tiffany Dunn. Osborne would be the 3rd legislative leader ousted over the past month, if he loses.PreviewDavid Osborne
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New York: AD-34 (Dem primary)Assemblymember DenDekker faces several challengers, including WFP-backed Jessica González-Rojas.González-Rojas leads, not final
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New York: AD-35 (Dem primary)Hiram Monserrate, the former Dem lawmaker who allied with the GOP and then was expelled for assault, trying to oust incumbent Jeffrion AubryContextAubry leads, not final
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New York: AD-36 (Dem primary)Incumbent Aravella Simotas facing a challenge from DSA-backed Zohran Mamdani.PreviewMamdani leads, not final
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New York: AD-40 (Dem primary)Incumbent Ron Kim faces a challenger who's criticizing him for his support for the 2019 criminal justice reforms. PreviewKim leads, not final
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New York: AD-43 (Dem primary)Jesse Hamilton, a former IDCer (the group of Dems who allied with the GOP), trying to unseat incumbent Diana Richardson, who campaigned against the IDC in 2018.ContextDiana Richardson
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New York: AD-50 (Dem primary)47-year incumbent Joe Lentol faces challenge from Brooklyn activist Emily Gallagher. ContextLentol leads, not final
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New York: AD-51 (Dem primary)Incumbent Félix Ortiz faces challengers, incl. DSA & AOC-backed Marcela MitaynesContextOrtiz leads, not final
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New York: AD-57 (Dem primary)Incumbent Walter Mosley faces DSA-backed Phara Forrest, a Brooklyn nurse.PreviewMosley leads, not final
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New York: AD-65 (Dem primary)Incumbent Yuh-Line Niou, who drew attention for her speech against austerity in March, faces primary challenger.Niou leads, not final
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New York: AD-73 (Dem primary)The 22-year old heir of a real estate fortune is running against Assemblymember Dan Quart (who is running for DA next year).ContextQuart leads, not final
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New York: AD-93 (Dem primary)Kristen Borde would be New York's first openly trans lawmaker, if she wins open race.Context
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New York: AD-108 (Dem primary)Incumbent John McDonald faces a primary challenge from WFP-backed Sam Fein. PreviewMcDonald leads, not final
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New York: AD-149 (Dem primary)In open race, WFP-backed Jonathan Rivera vs. DSA-backed Adam Bojak vs. local politician & former police officer Robert Quintana PreviewRivera leads, not final
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New York: SD-18 (Dem primary)Sen. Salazar won with DSA support in 2018; now faces first reelection race.ContextJulia Salazar
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New York: SD-25 (Dem primary)Another seat with a DSA-backed, candidate, Jabari Brisport. Running in this open seat against Assemblymember Tremaine Wright & Jason Salmon. (Incumbent retiring)PreviewBirsport leads, not final
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DA elections
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Albany (Dem primary)The former head of the DA association faces a WFP-endorsed challenger.PreviewDavid Soares
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Tompkins: Ithaca (Dem primary)Candidates are sparring over incumbent's handling of a case involving police.PreviewVan Houten
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Westchester (Dem primary)Mimi Rocah is challenging Tony Scarpino in the wake of a scandal involving police.PreviewRocah leads, not final
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Other local
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Queens: borough president (Dem primary)A five-way race in this "make of it what you will" positionPreview
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June 9th
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STATEWIDE
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GA: Senate primary (Dem)For the state's regularly-scheduled election, no less than 7 Democratic candidates are running to face GOP Sen. Perdue. Primary could go to a runoffPreviewOssoff
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WV: Senate primary (Dem)Former state Sen. Ojeda got a ton of attention in 2018, now running to face Sen. Capito against two other Democrats, Paula Jean Swearengin and Richie Robb.PreviewPaula Swearengin
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WV: Governor's race (Dem)Who will take on the GOP governor? Stephen Smith is running further to the left against Ben Salango, a county commissioner. PreviewBen Salango
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JUDICIAL
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WV: Supreme CourtThree seats are up for grabs, and the GOP has jumped in to help a slate of 3 candidates (Armstead, Dyer, and Raynes) & opposing Neely, a former Dem Justice.ContextArmstead, Wooten, Hutchinson
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U.S. House
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GA-06 (GOP primary)Karen Handel,who won that high-stakes 2019 special, is looking for a rematch against Dem Rep. Lucy McBath but faces a GOP primary first. Karen Handel
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GA-07 (Dem/GOP primaries)A Dem pick-up opportunity, but both parties must pick-up nominees first in open raceMcCormick (R) vs Bourdeaux or Romero [runoff] (D)
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GA-9 and GA-14 (GOP primaries)Republican primaries will likely decide the next congresspeople in these red districts.
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NV-04 (Dem primary)Rep. Steven Horsford faces 5 primary challengers, incl. claims he has not been progressive enough.Preview
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CRIMINAL JUSTICE
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Atlanta/Fulton: DA primary (Dem primary)Atlanta's DA faces two challengers. Reform advocates have faulted the incumbent; the police union has endorsed a challenger too.Final debateRunoff
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Chattahoochee Circuit (Dem primary)Just remarkable eventsContext
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Athens, GA: DA election The election was cancelled due to the timing of the DA's resignation and the governor's appointment; no election until 2022.ExplanationCancelled
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LEGISLATIVE
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West Virginia Senate President Carmichael, who's warred with the teacher's movement, faced a challenge from a teacher, Grady, who had endorsement of teacher's union.ResultGrady
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The Nevada Independent has a detailed rundown of all of the primaries happening today. Check it out.
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June 2nd
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STATEWIDE
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Iowa's Senate race (Dem primary)Who will face Sen. Ernst? The DSCC has helped Teresa GreenfieldProfileGreenfield
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Montana's Gov race (GOP/Dem primares)Will Greg Gianforte get the GOP nomination, 3 years after his body slam? And who will he face if so?Gianforte (R) vs. Cooney (D)
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CONGRESSIONAL
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Iowa's 4th (GOP primary)Steve King faces a competitive GOP primary -- will he lose?Feenstra (beats King)
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New Mexico's 2nd District (GOP primary)GOP is choosing its nominee in a seat it's targeting, and Dems interfered to help Yvette Herrell, who they perceive as weaker.ContextYvette Herrell
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New Mexico's 3rd District (Dem primary)Dems will effectively be choosing the next member of Congress in this open primary.Leger Fernandez
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Indiana's 1st District (Dem primary)Dems will effectively be choosing the next member of Congress in this open primary.Frank Mryan
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Maryland's 5th and 7th districts (Dem)Reps. Mfume & Hoyer facing challenges. (Hoyer from the left.)Hoyer & Mfume
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DISTRICT ATTORNEYS
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New Mexico's 1st districtTwo candidates want to wind down war on drugs, but differ elsewhere.PreviewCarmack-Altwies
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New Mexico's 4th districtA public defender (Brett Phelps) is hoping to win in this rural area.PreviewClayton
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LOCAL/LEGISLATIVE
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Massachusetts House: Third Bristol (special)Dems could pick-up yet another seat, after picking up two Senate seats last month.ContextDem pick-up
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Pennsylvania: SD1 (Dem primary)Nikil Saval running from the left vs. State Sen. Larry Farnese.PreviewNikil Saval
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Pennsylvania: HD20 (Dem primary)Emily Kinkead has a challenge from the left against State Rep. Adam RavenstahlEmily Kinkead
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Pennsylvania: HD34 (Dem primary)Summer Lee won a left challenge in 2018, and is now facing a primary from Chris Rolland.ProfileSummer Lee