1 | 2019 Division 1 Post-Regional Odds (NOPIN only) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Odds are based on 5,000 simulated postseasons using the current (2/12/19) NOPIN team scores as input values. Rankings are not a factor in these odds. | ||||
3 | |||||
4 | NOPIN | Team | Win Regionals | Make Team State | Win Team State |
5 | 115.3 | Stoughton | 0.81 | 0.29 | |
6 | 104.5 | Mukwonago | 0.83 | 0.15 | |
7 | 103.9 | Kaukauna | 0.87 | 0.15 | |
8 | 105.2 | Holmen | 0.63 | 0.13 | |
9 | 101.8 | Burlington | 0.78 | 0.12 | |
10 | 92.4 | Marshfield | 0.74 | 0.04 | |
11 | 88.3 | Slinger | 0.67 | 0.03 | |
12 | |||||
13 | |||||
14 | 89.7 | Arrowhead | 0.81 | 0.04 | |
15 | 68.0 | Nicolet | 0.19 | 0.001 | |
16 | 94.9 | Waunakee | 0.37 | 0.03 | |
17 | 86.3 | Janesville Craig | 0.19 | 0.01 | |
18 | 78.7 | Oak Creek | 0.22 | 0.003 | |
19 | 77.4 | West Bend East | 0.33 | 0.003 | |
20 | 75.7 | Wauwatosa West | 0.17 | 0.003 | |
21 | 71.9 | Ashwaubenon | 0.13 | 0.001 | |
22 | 75.6 | River Falls | 0.26 | 0.0004 | |
23 | |||||
24 | |||||
25 | 96.5 | Menomonee Falls | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.04 |
26 | 96.2 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.02 |
27 | 95.9 | Pulaski | 0.31 | 0.13 | 0.01 |
28 | 93.6 | Sauk Prairie | 0.31 | 0.12 | 0.010 |
29 | 92.1 | Waterford | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.008 |
30 | 91.7 | Pewaukee | 0.29 | 0.21 | 0.02 |
31 | 90.0 | Middleton | 0.01 | 0.003 | 0.00 |
32 | 89.4 | Elkhorn Area/Faith Christian | 0.81 | 0.18 | 0.01 |
33 | 84.6 | Oshkosh West | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.002 |
34 | 83.6 | Tomah | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.000 |
35 | 83.0 | Neenah | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.004 |
36 | 82.5 | De Pere | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.001 |
37 | 82.1 | Sparta | 0.03 | 0.008 | 0.00 |
38 | 81.5 | Kimberly | 0.03 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
39 | 81.0 | Oconomowoc | <0.01 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
40 | 80.0 | Whitnall/Greendale | 0.01 | 0.002 | 0.00 |
41 | 79.9 | Germantown | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.002 |
42 | 79.7 | Appleton North | 0.06 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
43 | 79.7 | DC Everest | 0.01 | 0.006 | 0.00 |
44 | 79.3 | Milton | 0.02 | 0.002 | 0.00 |
45 | 77.4 | Stevens Point | 0.02 | 0.008 | 0.00 |
46 | 77.2 | Antigo | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
47 | 77.1 | Hudson | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.002 |
48 | 76.0 | Sun Prairie | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
49 | 75.5 | Franklin | 0.22 | 0.07 | 0.001 |
50 | 75.0 | Baraboo | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
51 | 74.9 | Fond du Lac | <0.01 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
52 | 74.5 | Bay Port | 0.03 | 0.007 | 0.00 |
53 | 74.3 | Watertown | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
54 | 72.6 | Hortonville | 0.01 | 0.004 | 0.00 |
55 | 72.2 | Wausau West | 0.00 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
56 | 71.9 | Shawano Community | 0.02 | 0.002 | 0.00 |
57 | 71.6 | New Richmond | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
58 | 70.0 | Muskego | 0.03 | 0.005 | 0.00 |
59 | 70.0 | Merrill | 0.01 | 0.005 | 0.00 |
60 | 69.3 | Wilmot Union | 0.01 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
61 | 68.8 | West Allis Nathan Hale | 0.05 | 0.007 | 0.00 |
62 | 68.8 | Rhinelander | 0.02 | 0.006 | 0.00 |
63 | 68.7 | Janesville Parker | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
64 | 67.6 | Brookfield East | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
65 | 67.2 | Badger | 0.09 | 0.008 | 0.00 |
66 | 65.2 | Fort Atkinson | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
67 | 64.9 | Kenosha Bradford/Reuther | 0.30 | 0.12 | 0.000 |
68 | 64.5 | Racine Park | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
69 | 64.3 | Marquette University | 0.22 | 0.03 | 0.000 |
70 | 63.5 | Union Grove | 0.01 | 0.004 | 0.00 |
71 | 63.4 | Waukesha South | <0.01 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
72 | 63.3 | Kenosha Indian Trail | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
73 | 63.3 | Racine Case | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
74 | 63.2 | Reedsburg Area | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
75 | 62.9 | West Allis Central | 0.06 | 0.005 | 0.00 |
76 | 62.7 | Hartford Union | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
77 | 62.4 | Brookfield Central | 0.01 | 0.003 | 0.00 |
78 | 62.3 | Green Bay Preble | 0.27 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
79 | 62.2 | Portage | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
80 | 61.9 | Beaver Dam/Wayland Acad | <0.01 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
81 | 61.5 | Pius XI Catholic | 0.05 | 0.006 | 0.00 |
82 | 61.4 | Hamilton | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
83 | 61.3 | Chippewa Falls | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
84 | 61.3 | De Forest | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
85 | 61.0 | Monona Grove/McFarland | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
86 | 60.1 | Menomonie | 0.05 | 0.005 | 0.00 |
87 | 60.0 | Kenosha Tremper | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
88 | 59.7 | West De Pere | 0.01 | 0.002 | 0.00 |
89 | 59.6 | Eau Claire Memorial | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
90 | 58.9 | Milwaukee Brad Tech/CS/A/J | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.000 |
91 | 57.9 | Milwaukee SM Marshall/C NW | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.000 |
92 | 57.9 | West Bend West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
93 | 57.8 | Beloit Memorial | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
94 | 56.7 | Manitowoc Lincoln | 0.09 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
95 | 56.4 | Eau Claire North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
96 | 55.8 | Madison East | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
97 | 55.6 | Waukesha West | 0.02 | 0.003 | 0.00 |
98 | 55.2 | Homestead | 0.01 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
99 | 55.2 | Cudahy/St Francis/StT | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
100 | 54.9 | New Berlin West/Eisenhower | 0.02 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
101 | 54.5 | Cedarburg | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
102 | 52.0 | Oregon | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
103 | 51.8 | Whitefish Bay/Dominican/USM | 0.04 | 0.002 | 0.00 |
104 | 51.0 | Superior | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
105 | 50.5 | Oshkosh North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
106 | 50.4 | Milwaukee Ronald Reagan | 0.03 | 0.003 | 0.00 |
107 | 50.3 | Milwaukee Lutheran | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
108 | 49.4 | Kettle Moraine | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
109 | 49.2 | South Milwaukee | 0.02 | 0.001 | 0.00 |
110 | 49.2 | Milwaukee King | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
111 | 48.6 | Madison Memorial | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
112 | 48.4 | Milwaukee Riverside/GM | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
113 | 47.3 | Appleton East | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
114 | 46.0 | Greenfield | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
115 | 45.7 | Racine Horlick | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
116 | 45.5 | Milwaukee Pulaski/CSE | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
117 | 45.2 | Verona Area | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
118 | 45.2 | Westosha Central | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
119 | 42.9 | Sheboygan South | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
120 | 42.7 | Plymouth | 0.15 | 0.006 | 0.00 |
121 | 42.3 | Onalska/Luther | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
122 | 41.9 | Madison La Follette | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
123 | 40.9 | Madison West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
124 | 40.5 | Green Bay United | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
125 | 39.4 | Waukesha North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
126 | 39.3 | Sheboygan North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
127 | 38.5 | Lacrosse Logan/Central | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
128 | 35.0 | Appleton West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
129 | 33.8 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
130 | 33.2 | Menasha | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
131 | 32.0 | Wausau East | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
132 | 27.1 | Milwaukee Bay View/S/LL | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
133 | 22.6 | Milwaukee Madison | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
134 | 22.6 | Milwaukee Vincent | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
135 | 12.6 | Milwaukee Washington/CA/L/O | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
136 | 10.0 | Racine St. Cat/Racine Luth | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
1 | 2019 Division 1 Post-Regional Odds (NOPIN + Rankings) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Odds are based on 5,000 simulated postseasons using dual meet matchups that have been adjusted from their NOPIN baselines using the 2/12/19 wiwrestling.com team rankings | ||||
3 | |||||
4 | NOPIN | Team | Win Regionals | Make Team State | Win Team State |
5 | 115.3 | Stoughton | 0.93 | 0.57 | |
6 | 104.5 | Mukwonago | 0.94 | 0.19 | |
7 | 105.2 | Holmen | 0.82 | 0.10 | |
8 | 103.9 | Kaukauna | 0.85 | 0.06 | |
9 | 92.4 | Marshfield | 0.90 | 0.03 | |
10 | 101.8 | Burlington | 0.91 | 0.03 | |
11 | 88.3 | Slinger | 0.85 | 0.02 | |
12 | 89.7 | Arrowhead | 0.86 | 0.004 | |
13 | 94.9 | Waunakee | 0.18 | 0.002 | |
14 | 71.9 | Ashwaubenon | 0.15 | 0.0002 | |
15 | 77.4 | West Bend East | 0.15 | 0.0002 | |
16 | 86.3 | Janesville Craig | 0.07 | 0.0002 | |
17 | 68.0 | Nicolet | 0.14 | <0.0001 | |
18 | 75.6 | River Falls | 0.10 | <0.0001 | |
19 | 78.7 | Oak Creek | 0.09 | <0.0001 | |
20 | 75.7 | Wauwatosa West | 0.06 | <0.0001 | |
21 | |||||
22 | |||||
23 | 96.5 | Menomonee Falls | 0.43 | 0.38 | 0.003 |
24 | 96.2 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln | 0.09 | 0.09 | <0.001 |
25 | 95.9 | Pulaski | 0.93 | 0.18 | 0.004 |
26 | 93.6 | Sauk Prairie | 0.02 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
27 | 92.1 | Waterford | 0.01 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
28 | 91.7 | Pewaukee | 0.02 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
29 | 90.0 | Middleton | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
30 | 89.4 | Elkhorn Area/Faith Christian | 0.34 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
31 | 84.6 | Oshkosh West | 0.01 | 0.008 | <0.001 |
32 | 83.6 | Tomah | <0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
33 | 83.0 | Neenah | 0.01 | 0.006 | <0.001 |
34 | 82.5 | De Pere | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
35 | 82.1 | Sparta | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
36 | 81.5 | Kimberly | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
37 | 81.0 | Oconomowoc | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
38 | 80.0 | Whitnall/Greendale | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
39 | 79.9 | Germantown | 0.11 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
40 | 79.7 | Appleton North | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
41 | 79.7 | DC Everest | <0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
42 | 79.3 | Milton | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
43 | 77.4 | Stevens Point | <0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
44 | 77.2 | Antigo | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
45 | 77.1 | Hudson | 0.30 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
46 | 76.0 | Sun Prairie | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
47 | 75.5 | Franklin | 0.22 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
48 | 75.0 | Baraboo | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
49 | 74.9 | Fond du Lac | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
50 | 74.5 | Bay Port | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
51 | 74.3 | Watertown | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
52 | 72.6 | Hortonville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
53 | 72.2 | Wausau West | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
54 | 71.9 | Shawano Community | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
55 | 71.6 | New Richmond | 0.05 | 0.005 | <0.001 |
56 | 70.0 | Muskego | 0.03 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
57 | 70.0 | Merrill | <0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
58 | 69.3 | Wilmot Union | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
59 | 68.8 | West Allis Nathan Hale | 0.05 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
60 | 68.8 | Rhinelander | <0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
61 | 68.7 | Janesville Parker | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
62 | 67.6 | Brookfield East | 0.03 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
63 | 67.2 | Badger | 0.04 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
64 | 65.2 | Fort Atkinson | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
65 | 64.9 | Kenosha Bradford/Reuther | 0.02 | 0.009 | <0.001 |
66 | 64.5 | Racine Park | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
67 | 64.3 | Marquette University | 0.22 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
68 | 63.5 | Union Grove | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
69 | 63.4 | Waukesha South | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
70 | 63.3 | Kenosha Indian Trail | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
71 | 63.3 | Racine Case | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
72 | 63.2 | Reedsburg Area | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
73 | 62.9 | West Allis Central | 0.06 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
74 | 62.7 | Hartford Union | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
75 | 62.4 | Brookfield Central | <0.01 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
76 | 62.3 | Green Bay Preble | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
77 | 62.2 | Portage | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
78 | 61.9 | Beaver Dam/Wayland Acad | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
79 | 61.5 | Pius XI Catholic | 0.05 | 0.006 | <0.001 |
80 | 61.4 | Hamilton | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
81 | 61.3 | Chippewa Falls | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
82 | 61.3 | De Forest | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
83 | 61.0 | Monona Grove/McFarland | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
84 | 60.1 | Menomonie | 0.05 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
85 | 60.0 | Kenosha Tremper | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
86 | 59.7 | West De Pere | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
87 | 59.6 | Eau Claire Memorial | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
88 | 58.9 | Milwaukee Brad Tech/CS/A/J | 0.30 | 0.009 | <0.001 |
89 | 57.9 | Milwaukee SM Marshall/C NW | 0.18 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
90 | 57.9 | West Bend West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
91 | 57.8 | Beloit Memorial | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
92 | 56.7 | Manitowoc Lincoln | 0.03 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
93 | 56.4 | Eau Claire North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
94 | 55.8 | Madison East | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
95 | 55.6 | Waukesha West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
96 | 55.2 | Homestead | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
97 | 55.2 | Cudahy/St Francis/StT | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
98 | 54.9 | New Berlin West/Eisenhower | 0.02 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
99 | 54.5 | Cedarburg | 0.05 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
100 | 52.0 | Oregon | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
101 | 51.8 | Whitefish Bay/Dominican/USM | 0.04 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
102 | 51.0 | Superior | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
103 | 50.5 | Oshkosh North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
104 | 50.4 | Milwaukee Ronald Reagan | 0.03 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
105 | 50.3 | Milwaukee Lutheran | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
106 | 49.4 | Kettle Moraine | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
107 | 49.2 | South Milwaukee | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
108 | 49.2 | Milwaukee King | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
109 | 48.6 | Madison Memorial | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
110 | 48.4 | Milwaukee Riverside/GM | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
111 | 47.3 | Appleton East | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
112 | 46.0 | Greenfield | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
113 | 45.7 | Racine Horlick | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
114 | 45.5 | Milwaukee Pulaski/CSE | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
115 | 45.2 | Verona Area | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
116 | 45.2 | Westosha Central | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
117 | 42.9 | Sheboygan South | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
118 | 42.7 | Plymouth | 0.06 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
119 | 42.3 | Onalska/Luther | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
120 | 41.9 | Madison La Follette | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
121 | 40.9 | Madison West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
122 | 40.5 | Green Bay United | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
123 | 39.4 | Waukesha North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
124 | 39.3 | Sheboygan North | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
125 | 38.5 | Lacrosse Logan/Central | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
126 | 35.0 | Appleton West | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
127 | 33.8 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
128 | 33.2 | Menasha | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
129 | 32.0 | Wausau East | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
130 | 27.1 | Milwaukee Bay View/S/LL | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
131 | 22.6 | Milwaukee Madison | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
132 | 22.6 | Milwaukee Vincent | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
133 | 12.6 | Milwaukee Washington/CA/L/O | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
134 | 10.0 | Racine St. Cat/Racine Luth | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
1 | 2019 Division 2 Post-Regional Odds (NOPIN only) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Odds are based on 5,000 simulated postseasons using the current (2/12/19) NOPIN team scores as input values. Rankings are not a factor in these odds. | ||||
3 | |||||
4 | NOPIN | Team | Win Regionals | Make Team State | Win Team State |
5 | 109.7 | Ellsworth | 0.82 | 0.48 | |
6 | 97.1 | Luxmburg-Casco | 0.53 | 0.18 | |
7 | 95.6 | Freedom | 0.41 | 0.13 | |
8 | 90.2 | Evansville/Albany | 0.42 | 0.08 | |
9 | 73.4 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 0.70 | 0.04 | |
10 | 83.8 | Lodi | 0.26 | 0.04 | |
11 | 80.0 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau/Melrose-Mindoro | 0.18 | 0.02 | |
12 | 78.2 | Prairie du Chien | 0.14 | 0.02 | |
13 | 73.1 | Medford | 0.08 | 0.01 | |
14 | 72.8 | Tomahawk | 0.04 | 0.004 | |
15 | 66.9 | Spooner/Webster | 0.06 | 0.004 | |
16 | 63.6 | Osceola | 0.04 | 0.002 | |
17 | 57.0 | Campbellsport | 0.15 | 0.001 | |
18 | 61.4 | Winneconne | 0.01 | 0.001 | |
19 | 56.2 | Kiel | 0.12 | 0.0004 | |
20 | 48.5 | Catholic Memorial | 0.04 | <0.0001 | |
21 | |||||
22 | |||||
23 | 80.2 | Baldwin-Woodville | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.03 |
24 | 79.4 | Kewaskum | 0.53 | 0.33 | 0.03 |
25 | 84.3 | Wrightstown | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
26 | 79.0 | Denmark | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
27 | 72.9 | Edgerton | 0.32 | 0.10 | 0.009 |
28 | 67.8 | Whitewater | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.005 |
29 | 61.8 | Chilton/Hilbert | 0.90 | 0.19 | 0.004 |
30 | 65.5 | Port Washington | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.003 |
31 | 72.4 | Two Rivers | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.003 |
32 | 71.2 | Wisconsin Dells | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.002 |
33 | 70.7 | Westby | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
34 | 62.4 | Northwestern | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0.001 |
35 | 59.5 | Jefferson | 0.45 | 0.09 | 0.001 |
36 | 66.9 | West Salem/Bangor | 0.22 | 0.02 | 0.001 |
37 | 59.5 | Barron | 0.41 | 0.03 | 0.001 |
38 | 69.6 | Amery | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
39 | 72.4 | Brillion | 0.04 | 0.007 | 0.001 |
40 | 64.1 | Elkhart Lake-Glenbeulah/Howards Grove | 0.05 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
41 | 58.6 | Nekoosa/Assumption/Port Edwards | 0.22 | 0.007 | <0.001 |
42 | 58.7 | Viroqua | 0.08 | 0.005 | <0.001 |
43 | 54.0 | Berlin | 0.30 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
44 | 59.2 | Wautoma/Wild Rose | 0.24 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
45 | 61.0 | Lakeland Union/Mercer | 0.38 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
46 | 56.5 | River Valley | 0.30 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
47 | 58.8 | Little Chute | 0.24 | 0.005 | <0.001 |
48 | 66.0 | Monroe | 0.02 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
49 | 67.6 | Saint Croix Central | 0.02 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
50 | 52.6 | Ripon | 0.38 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
51 | 74.1 | Oconto Falls | 0.01 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
52 | 50.7 | East Troy | 0.39 | 0.04 | <0.001 |
53 | 51.0 | Grafton | 0.34 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
54 | 53.1 | Spencer/Columbus Catholic | 0.37 | 0.008 | <0.001 |
55 | 62.4 | Lomira | 0.03 | 0.007 | <0.001 |
56 | 48.8 | Delavan-Darien | 0.12 | 0.007 | <0.001 |
57 | 62.8 | Neillsville/Greenwood/Loyal | 0.10 | 0.006 | <0.001 |
58 | 48.1 | Sheboygan Falls | 0.08 | 0.006 | <0.001 |
59 | 66.6 | Stanley-Boyd/Owen-Withee | 0.06 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
60 | 56.2 | North Fond du Lac/St Mary's Springs | 0.02 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
61 | 61.4 | Ashland | 0.06 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
62 | 42.8 | Somerset | 0.42 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
63 | 46.1 | Hayward/Northwood | 0.11 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
64 | 46.9 | Seymour | 0.09 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
65 | 49.3 | Turner | 0.04 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
66 | 44.1 | Richland Center | 0.10 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
67 | 50.6 | Chetek-Weyerhauser/Prairie Farm | 0.04 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
68 | 55.0 | Marinette | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
69 | 60.9 | Prescott | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
70 | 56.8 | New London | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
71 | 52.8 | Rice Lake | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
72 | 42.8 | Mosinee | 0.06 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
73 | 51.2 | Abbotsford/Colby | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
74 | 46.6 | Luck/Fredric/Grantsburg/Siren | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
75 | 33.9 | Brodhead Juda | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
76 | 43.8 | Belleville/Monticello/New Glarus | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
77 | 33.7 | Black River Falls/Lincoln | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
78 | 37.2 | Dodgeville | 0.06 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
79 | 41.6 | Waupaca | 0.04 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
80 | 31.0 | Columbus | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
81 | 32.8 | Lakeside Lutheran | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
82 | 29.3 | St John Northwest Military Academy | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
83 | 44.9 | Omro | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
84 | 41.4 | Xavier | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
85 | 33.2 | Belmont/Platteville | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
86 | 37.2 | Cuba City/Southwestern | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
87 | 25.8 | Fox Valley Lutheran | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
88 | 26.1 | Shoreland Lutheran | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
89 | 63.1 | Amherst | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
90 | 51.3 | Valders | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
91 | 47.8 | Mauston | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
92 | 45.4 | Mount Horeb | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
93 | 42.0 | Osseo-Fairchild/Augusta/Fall Creek | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
94 | 40.2 | Adams-Friendship | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
95 | 39.5 | New Holstein | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
96 | 39.2 | Sturgeon Bay/Sevastopol | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
97 | 37.5 | Bloomer/Colfax | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
98 | 35.6 | Martin Luther | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
99 | 35.6 | Waupun | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
100 | 31.0 | Peshtigo | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
101 | 25.2 | Arcadia | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
102 | 24.0 | Saint Lawrence Seminary | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
103 | 23.2 | Mayville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
104 | 23.0 | Watertown Luther Prep | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
105 | 17.0 | Lake Mills | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
106 | 13.3 | Regis/Altoona | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
107 | 13.2 | Clinton | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
108 | 12.1 | Cambria-Friesland/Prd/R/R | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
109 | 12.0 | Big Foot/Williams Bay | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
110 | 9.7 | Clintonville/Marion | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
111 | 5.0 | Brown Deer | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
1 | 2019 Division 2 Post-Regional Odds (NOPIN + Rankings) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Odds are based on 5,000 simulated postseasons using dual meet matchups that have been adjusted from their NOPIN baselines using the 2/12/19 wiwrestling.com team rankings | ||||
3 | |||||
4 | NOPIN | Team | Win Regionals | Make Team State | Win Team State |
5 | 109.7 | Ellsworth | 0.90 | 0.68 | |
6 | 95.6 | Freedom | 0.67 | 0.16 | |
7 | 97.1 | Luxmburg-Casco | 0.31 | 0.07 | |
8 | 78.2 | Prairie du Chien | 0.41 | 0.03 | |
9 | 90.2 | Evansville/Albany | 0.23 | 0.02 | |
10 | 80.0 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau/Melrose-Mindoro | 0.27 | 0.02 | |
11 | 73.4 | Wisconsin Lutheran | 0.71 | 0.01 | |
12 | 83.8 | Lodi | 0.09 | 0.005 | |
13 | 73.1 | Medford | 0.05 | 0.002 | |
14 | 63.6 | Osceola | 0.04 | 0.001 | |
15 | 56.2 | Kiel | 0.12 | 0.001 | |
16 | 72.8 | Tomahawk | 0.01 | 0.001 | |
17 | 57.0 | Campbellsport | 0.12 | 0.0002 | |
18 | 66.9 | Spooner/Webster | 0.02 | 0.0002 | |
19 | 48.5 | Catholic Memorial | 0.05 | <0.0001 | |
20 | 61.4 | Winneconne | 0.00 | <0.0001 | |
21 | |||||
22 | |||||
23 | 84.3 | Wrightstown | 0.84 | 0.16 | 0.03 |
24 | 80.2 | Baldwin-Woodville | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.003 |
25 | 79.4 | Kewaskum | 0.96 | 0.79 | 0.01 |
26 | 79.0 | Denmark | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.001 |
27 | 74.1 | Oconto Falls | 0.00 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
28 | 72.9 | Edgerton | 0.03 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
29 | 72.4 | Brillion | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
30 | 72.4 | Two Rivers | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
31 | 71.2 | Wisconsin Dells | 0.06 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
32 | 70.7 | Westby | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
33 | 69.6 | Amery | 0.08 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
34 | 67.8 | Whitewater | 0.32 | 0.05 | <0.001 |
35 | 67.6 | Saint Croix Central | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
36 | 66.9 | West Salem/Bangor | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
37 | 66.6 | Stanley-Boyd/Owen-Withee | 0.06 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
38 | 66.0 | Monroe | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
39 | 65.5 | Port Washington | 0.02 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
40 | 64.1 | Elkhart Lake-Glenbeulah/Howards Grove | 0.05 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
41 | 63.1 | Amherst | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
42 | 62.8 | Neillsville/Greenwood/Loyal | 0.10 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
43 | 62.4 | Northwestern | 0.68 | 0.04 | 0.001 |
44 | 62.4 | Lomira | 0.00 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
45 | 61.8 | Chilton/Hilbert | 0.90 | 0.05 | <0.001 |
46 | 61.4 | Ashland | 0.03 | 0.00 | <0.001 |
47 | 61.0 | Lakeland Union/Mercer | 0.38 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
48 | 60.9 | Prescott | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
49 | 59.5 | Jefferson | 0.45 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
50 | 59.5 | Barron | 0.18 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
51 | 59.2 | Wautoma/Wild Rose | 0.03 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
52 | 58.8 | Little Chute | 0.24 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
53 | 58.7 | Viroqua | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
54 | 58.6 | Nekoosa/Assumption/Port Edwards | 0.22 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
55 | 56.8 | New London | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
56 | 56.5 | River Valley | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
57 | 56.2 | North Fond du Lac/St Mary's Springs | 0.02 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
58 | 55.0 | Marinette | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
59 | 54.0 | Berlin | 0.30 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
60 | 53.1 | Spencer/Columbus Catholic | 0.37 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
61 | 52.8 | Rice Lake | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
62 | 52.6 | Ripon | 0.38 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
63 | 51.3 | Valders | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
64 | 51.2 | Abbotsford/Colby | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
65 | 51.0 | Grafton | 0.34 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
66 | 50.7 | East Troy | 0.39 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
67 | 50.6 | Chetek-Weyerhauser/Prairie Farm | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
68 | 49.3 | Turner | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
69 | 48.8 | Delavan-Darien | 0.12 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
70 | 48.1 | Sheboygan Falls | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
71 | 47.8 | Mauston | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
72 | 46.9 | Seymour | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
73 | 46.6 | Luck/Fredric/Grantsburg/Siren | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
74 | 46.1 | Hayward/Northwood | 0.05 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
75 | 45.4 | Mount Horeb | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
76 | 44.9 | Omro | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
77 | 44.1 | Richland Center | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
78 | 43.8 | Belleville/Monticello/New Glarus | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
79 | 42.8 | Somerset | 0.29 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
80 | 42.8 | Mosinee | 0.06 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
81 | 42.0 | Osseo-Fairchild/Augusta/Fall Creek | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
82 | 41.6 | Waupaca | 0.04 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
83 | 41.4 | Xavier | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
84 | 40.2 | Adams-Friendship | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
85 | 39.5 | New Holstein | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
86 | 39.2 | Sturgeon Bay/Sevastopol | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
87 | 37.5 | Bloomer/Colfax | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
88 | 37.2 | Dodgeville | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
89 | 37.2 | Cuba City/Southwestern | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
90 | 35.6 | Martin Luther | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
91 | 35.6 | Waupun | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
92 | 33.9 | Brodhead Juda | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
93 | 33.7 | Black River Falls/Lincoln | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
94 | 33.2 | Belmont/Platteville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
95 | 32.8 | Lakeside Lutheran | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
96 | 31.0 | Columbus | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
97 | 31.0 | Peshtigo | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
98 | 29.3 | St John Northwest Military Academy | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
99 | 26.1 | Shoreland Lutheran | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
100 | 25.8 | Fox Valley Lutheran | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
101 | 25.2 | Arcadia | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
102 | 24.0 | Saint Lawrence Seminary | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
103 | 23.2 | Mayville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
104 | 23.0 | Watertown Luther Prep | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
105 | 17.0 | Lake Mills | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
106 | 13.3 | Regis/Altoona | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
107 | 13.2 | Clinton | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
108 | 12.1 | Cambria-Friesland/Prd/R/R | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
109 | 12.0 | Big Foot/Williams Bay | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
110 | 9.7 | Clintonville/Marion | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
111 | 5.0 | Brown Deer | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
1 | 2019 Division 3 Post-Regional Odds (NOPIN only) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Odds are based on 5,000 simulated postseasons using the current (2/12/19) NOPIN team scores as input values. Rankings are not a factor in these odds. | ||||
3 | |||||
4 | NOPIN | Team | Win Regionals | Make Team State | Win Team State |
5 | 110.6 | Stratford | 0.66 | 0.40 | |
6 | 92.2 | Saint Croix Falls | 0.74 | 0.17 | |
7 | 89.5 | Fennimore | 0.86 | 0.17 | |
8 | 99.3 | Coleman | 0.29 | 0.13 | |
9 | 87.1 | Random Lake | 0.69 | 0.10 | |
10 | 71.4 | Kenosha Christian Life | 0.22 | 0.01 | |
11 | 80.0 | Weyauwega-Fremont | 0.04 | 0.01 | |
12 | 67.8 | Boyceville | 0.18 | 0.01 | |
13 | 64.3 | Phillips | 0.07 | 0.002 | |
14 | 56.1 | Aquinas | 0.09 | 0.001 | |
15 | 51.4 | Kewaunee | 0.08 | 0.0004 | |
16 | 50.3 | Pecatonica/Argyle | 0.03 | <0.0001 | |
17 | 47.9 | Riverdale | 0.02 | <0.0001 | |
18 | 48.1 | Whitehall | 0.01 | <0.0001 | |
19 | 40.5 | Princeton | 0.01 | <0.0001 | |
20 | 54.8 | Crandon | 0.00 | <0.0001 | |
21 | |||||
22 | |||||
23 | 80.0 | Cedar Grove-Belgium | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.01 |
24 | 75.4 | Lancaster | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.008 |
25 | 79.1 | Shiocton | 0.27 | 0.03 | 0.007 |
26 | 78.4 | Bonduel | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.006 |
27 | 75.2 | Mineral Point | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.005 |
28 | 71.6 | Edgar | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.003 |
29 | 65.7 | Ladysmith | 0.26 | 0.06 | 0.003 |
30 | 66.0 | Cadott | 0.28 | 0.09 | 0.002 |
31 | 69.6 | Darlington/Black Hawk | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.002 |
32 | 61.4 | Cumberland | 0.26 | 0.07 | 0.002 |
33 | 61.3 | Johnson Creek | 0.44 | 0.06 | 0.002 |
34 | 66.7 | Spring Valley/Elmwood | 0.05 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
35 | 64.4 | Athens | 0.04 | 0.007 | <0.001 |
36 | 53.9 | Pittsville | 0.04 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
37 | 47.4 | Poynette | 0.07 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
38 | 48.6 | Brookwood | 0.37 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
39 | 44.1 | North Crawford/Seneca | 0.47 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
40 | 55.7 | Blair-Taylor | 0.11 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
41 | 47.5 | Durand | 0.23 | 0.009 | <0.001 |
42 | 44.8 | Clear Lake | 0.21 | 0.009 | <0.001 |
43 | 50.3 | Reedsville | 0.10 | 0.008 | <0.001 |
44 | 44.3 | Glenwood City | 0.15 | 0.008 | <0.001 |
45 | 48.3 | Mishicot | 0.15 | 0.008 | <0.001 |
46 | 46.7 | Markesan | 0.16 | 0.007 | <0.001 |
47 | 52.4 | Dodgeland | 0.09 | 0.006 | <0.001 |
48 | 42.7 | Laconia | 0.26 | 0.006 | <0.001 |
49 | 42.6 | New Lisbon | 0.23 | 0.005 | <0.001 |
50 | 50.8 | Chequamegon | 0.10 | 0.005 | <0.001 |
51 | 37.7 | Winnebago Lutheran Academy | 0.31 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
52 | 45.5 | Ithaca/Weston | 0.13 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
53 | 46.4 | Horicon | 0.04 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
54 | 45.4 | Mondovi | 0.09 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
55 | 59.7 | Iowa-Grant/Highland | 0.01 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
56 | 47.3 | Southern Door | 0.07 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
57 | 63.6 | Wittenberg-Birnamwood | 0.14 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
58 | 43.6 | Shell Lake | 0.06 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
59 | 40.5 | Waterloo | 0.13 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
60 | 60.2 | Manawa | 0.08 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
61 | 54.8 | Three Lakes/Phelps | 0.11 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
62 | 45.5 | Royall | 0.04 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
63 | 35.5 | Hillsboro | 0.07 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
64 | 46.6 | Wabeno/Laona | 0.08 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
65 | 37.0 | Elcho | 0.28 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
66 | 29.7 | Crivitz | 0.23 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
67 | 22.8 | Cochrane-Fountain City | 0.16 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
68 | 28.5 | Parkview | 0.09 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
69 | 25.5 | Turtle Lake/Clayton | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
70 | 30.0 | Lake Country Lutheran | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
71 | 31.4 | Flambeau | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
72 | 36.7 | Oostburg | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
73 | 19.6 | Marshall | 0.13 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
74 | 36.7 | Rosholt | 0.06 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
75 | 29.8 | Westfield Area | 0.06 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
76 | 24.1 | Cornell/Gilman | 0.05 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
77 | 19.8 | Cambridge | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
78 | 31.6 | Cashton | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
79 | 15.2 | Lourdes Academy | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
80 | 13.4 | De Soto | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
81 | 31.9 | Independence/Gilmanton | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
82 | 8.2 | Coulee Christian | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
83 | 0.5 | Kickapoo/La Farge | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
84 | 28.2 | Florence/Niagara | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
85 | 7.5 | Bruce | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
86 | 27.5 | Marathon | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
87 | 13.8 | Bayfield/Washburn | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
88 | 4.2 | Montello | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
89 | 46.3 | Menomonee Indian | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
90 | 41.6 | Auburndale | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
91 | 29.8 | Almond-Bancroft/Pacelli | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
92 | 20.5 | Boscobel | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
93 | 20.3 | Deerfield | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
94 | 27.0 | Gillett/Suring | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
95 | 41.3 | Lena/St. Thomas Academy | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
96 | 40.4 | Cameron | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
97 | 39.7 | Unity | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
98 | 24.0 | Tri-County | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
99 | 23.0 | Oconto | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
100 | 17.3 | Ozaukee | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
101 | 17.0 | River Ridge/Cassville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
102 | 10.5 | Oakfield | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
103 | 10.1 | Kenosha Saint Joseph Academy | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
104 | 9.5 | Fall River | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
105 | 9.0 | Hustisford | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
106 | 6.8 | Necedah | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
107 | 6.8 | Oneida Nation | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
108 | 4.7 | Manitowoc Lutheran | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
109 | 3.0 | Palmyra-Eagle | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
110 | 1.6 | Living Word Lutheran | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
111 | 1.2 | Thorp | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
112 | 0.4 | Catholic Central | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
1 | 2019 Division 3 Post-Regional Odds (NOPIN + Rankings) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Odds are based on 5,000 simulated postseasons using dual meet matchups that have been adjusted from their NOPIN baselines using the 2/12/19 wiwrestling.com team rankings | ||||
3 | |||||
4 | NOPIN | Team | Win Regionals | Make Team State | Win Team State |
5 | 110.6 | Stratford | 0.81 | 0.61 | |
6 | 89.5 | Fennimore | 0.90 | 0.16 | |
7 | 99.3 | Coleman | 0.16 | 0.12 | |
8 | 92.2 | Saint Croix Falls | 0.73 | 0.07 | |
9 | 87.1 | Random Lake | 0.81 | 0.04 | |
10 | 71.4 | Kenosha Christian Life | 0.13 | 0.002 | |
11 | 80.0 | Weyauwega-Fremont | 0.03 | 0.002 | |
12 | 67.8 | Boyceville | 0.22 | 0.002 | |
13 | 64.3 | Phillips | 0.04 | 0.001 | |
14 | 56.1 | Aquinas | 0.03 | 0.001 | |
15 | 51.4 | Kewaunee | 0.06 | 0.0002 | |
16 | 47.9 | Riverdale | 0.05 | <0.0001 | |
17 | 50.3 | Pecatonica/Argyle | 0.01 | <0.0001 | |
18 | 48.1 | Whitehall | 0.01 | <0.0001 | |
19 | 40.5 | Princeton | 0.004 | <0.0001 | |
20 | 54.8 | Crandon | 0.002 | <0.0001 | |
21 | |||||
22 | |||||
23 | 80.0 | Cedar Grove-Belgium | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
24 | 79.1 | Shiocton | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
25 | 78.4 | Bonduel | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
26 | 75.4 | Lancaster | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
27 | 75.2 | Mineral Point | 0.01 | 0.005 | <0.001 |
28 | 71.6 | Edgar | 0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
29 | 69.6 | Darlington/Black Hawk | 0.01 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
30 | 66.7 | Spring Valley/Elmwood | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
31 | 66.0 | Cadott | 0.82 | 0.08 | <0.001 |
32 | 65.7 | Ladysmith | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
33 | 64.4 | Athens | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
34 | 63.6 | Wittenberg-Birnamwood | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
35 | 61.4 | Cumberland | 0.02 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
36 | 61.3 | Johnson Creek | 0.44 | 0.02 | <0.001 |
37 | 60.2 | Manawa | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
38 | 59.7 | Iowa-Grant/Highland | <0.01 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
39 | 55.7 | Blair-Taylor | 0.11 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
40 | 54.8 | Crandon | 0.28 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
41 | 54.8 | Three Lakes/Phelps | 0.11 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
42 | 53.9 | Pittsville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
43 | 52.4 | Dodgeland | 0.05 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
44 | 50.8 | Chequamegon | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
45 | 50.3 | Reedsville | 0.10 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
46 | 48.3 | Mishicot | 0.15 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
47 | 47.5 | Durand | 0.23 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
48 | 47.4 | Poynette | 0.05 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
49 | 47.3 | Southern Door | 0.07 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
50 | 46.7 | Markesan | 0.11 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
51 | 46.6 | Wabeno/Laona | 0.08 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
52 | 46.4 | Horicon | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
53 | 46.3 | Menomonee Indian | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
54 | 45.5 | Ithaca/Weston | 0.10 | 0.003 | <0.001 |
55 | 45.5 | Royall | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
56 | 45.4 | Mondovi | 0.09 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
57 | 44.8 | Clear Lake | 0.09 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
58 | 44.3 | Glenwood City | 0.03 | 0.001 | <0.001 |
59 | 44.1 | North Crawford/Seneca | 0.47 | 0.01 | <0.001 |
60 | 43.6 | Shell Lake | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
61 | 42.7 | Laconia | 0.18 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
62 | 42.6 | New Lisbon | 0.19 | 0.002 | <0.001 |
63 | 41.6 | Auburndale | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
64 | 41.3 | Lena/St. Thomas Academy | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
65 | 40.5 | Waterloo | 0.13 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
66 | 40.4 | Cameron | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
67 | 39.7 | Unity | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
68 | 37.7 | Winnebago Lutheran Academy | 0.31 | 0.004 | <0.001 |
69 | 37.0 | Elcho | 0.28 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
70 | 36.7 | Rosholt | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
71 | 36.7 | Oostburg | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
72 | 35.5 | Hillsboro | 0.05 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
73 | 31.9 | Independence/Gilmanton | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
74 | 31.6 | Cashton | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
75 | 31.4 | Flambeau | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
76 | 30.0 | Lake Country Lutheran | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
77 | 29.8 | Westfield Area | 0.04 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
78 | 29.8 | Almond-Bancroft/Pacelli | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
79 | 29.7 | Crivitz | 0.23 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
80 | 28.5 | Parkview | 0.09 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
81 | 28.2 | Florence/Niagara | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
82 | 27.5 | Marathon | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
83 | 27.0 | Gillett/Suring | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
84 | 25.5 | Turtle Lake/Clayton | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
85 | 24.1 | Cornell/Gilman | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
86 | 24.0 | Tri-County | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
87 | 23.0 | Oconto | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
88 | 22.8 | Cochrane-Fountain City | 0.16 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
89 | 20.5 | Boscobel | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
90 | 20.3 | Deerfield | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
91 | 19.8 | Cambridge | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
92 | 19.6 | Marshall | 0.13 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
93 | 17.3 | Ozaukee | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
94 | 17.0 | River Ridge/Cassville | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
95 | 15.2 | Lourdes Academy | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
96 | 13.8 | Bayfield/Washburn | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
97 | 13.4 | De Soto | 0.03 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
98 | 10.5 | Oakfield | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
99 | 10.1 | Kenosha Saint Joseph Academy | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
100 | 9.5 | Fall River | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
101 | 9.0 | Hustisford | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
102 | 8.2 | Coulee Christian | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
103 | 7.5 | Bruce | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
104 | 6.8 | Necedah | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
105 | 6.8 | Oneida Nation | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
106 | 4.7 | Manitowoc Lutheran | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
107 | 4.2 | Montello | 0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
108 | 3.0 | Palmyra-Eagle | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
109 | 1.6 | Living Word Lutheran | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
110 | 1.2 | Thorp | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
111 | 0.5 | Kickapoo/La Farge | 0.02 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
112 | 0.4 | Catholic Central | <0.01 | <0.001 | <0.001 |