New Year's Day Tables 2023


1	NSC New Year's Day holiday period traffic fatality estimates compared to actual deaths, United States
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3	Year	Actual deaths	NSC Lower confidence limit	NSC estimated deaths	NSC Upper confidence limit
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6	1995	376
7	1996	414	331	392	461
8	1997	176	124	184	254
9	1998	532	453	514	581
10	1999	349	348	391	439
11	2000	458	322	364	411
12	2001	338	359	399	443
13	2002	554	467	533	608
14	2003	203	140	184	235
15	2004	549	450	524	609
16	2005	449	338	392	453
17	2006	432	347	399	457
18	2007	387	354	405	463
19	2008	407	447	498	555
20	2009	458	394	445	502
21	2010	286	260	301	347
22	2011	304	259	308	364
23	2012	348	249	297	353
24	2013	343	347	407	475
25	2014	126	124	156	194
26	2015	354	367	421	481
27	2016	279	297	346	402
28	2017	330	314	364	420
29	2018	325	299	356	419
30	2019	428	364	438	522
31	2020	138	135	163	195
32	2021		308	384	467
33	2022		347	427	514
34	2023		333	408	490
35	Source: Actual deaths are NSC analysis of NHTSA FARS data, all other counts are NSC estimates.
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1	Percent of traffic fatalities involving alcohol-impaired driving (a), New Year's Day vs. Annual Average
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4	Year	New Year's Day	Annual Average
5	1982		48%
6	1983	60%	47%
7	1984	55%	44%
8	1985	50%	41%
9	1986	53%	42%
10	1987	48%	41%
11	1988	49%	40%
12	1989	41%	38%
13	1990	44%	40%
14	1991	47%	38%
15	1992	55%	36%
16	1993	46%	34%
17	1994	47%	33%
18	1995	38%	32%
19	1996	40%	32%
20	1997	53%	30%
21	1998	39%	30%
22	1999	43%	30%
23	2000	47%	32%
24	2001	40%	31%
25	2002	41%	31%
26	2003	49%	31%
27	2004	40%	31%
28	2005	38%	31%
29	2006	42%	32%
30	2007	40%	32%
31	2008	41%	31%
32	2009	40%	32%
33	2010	48%	31%
34	2011	43%	30%
35	2012	39%	31%
36	2013	44%	31%
37	2014	51%	30%
38	2015	36%	29%
39	2016	37%	28%
40	2017	37%	29%
41	2018	39%	29%
42	2019	36%	28%
43	2020	49%	30%
44	Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administraion: https://cdan.dot.gov/query
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46	(a) Highest blood alcohol concentraion (BAC among drivers or motorcylce riders involved in the crash was 0.08 grams per deciliter or greater. NHTSA estimates alcohol inolvement when alcohol test results are unknown.
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50	Note: Percent of deaths conforms to the HHTSA holiday period defintion that is a quarter day longer than NSC's holiday period definition.
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1	Traffic deaths durring New Year's Day holiday periods and equivalent nonholiday periods
2
3	Year	New Year's Day period	1 week after - equivalent period	2 weeks after - equivalent period
4
5
6	1995	376	317	350
7	1996	414	292	345
8	1997	176	127	145
9	1998	532	424	422
10	1999	349	312	360
11	2000	458	390	379
12	2001	338	263	332
13	2002	554	428	474
14	2003	203	101	114
15	2004	549	434	490
16	2005	449	329	326
17	2006	432	363	362
18	2007	387	345	363
19	2008	407	421	376
20	2009	458	370	380
21	2010	286	224	271
22	2011	304	242	256
23	2012	348	315	252
24	2013	343	278	314
25	2014	126	84	77
26	2015	354	334	371
27	2016	279	278	277
28	2017	330	260	306
29	2018	325	330	299
30	2019	428	394	387
31	2020	138	100	111
32	Source: NSC analysis of NHTSA FARS data


1	Comparison of average number of traffic deaths per day durring select holiday periods
2	Year	New Year's Day	Memorial Day	Independence Day	Labor Day	Thanksgiving Day	Christmas Day
3	Year	New Year's Day	Memorial Day	Independence Day	Labor Day	Thanksgiving Day	Christmas Day
4	1995		145	148	151	122	105
5	1996	127	152	143	156	134	109
6	1997	141	153	151	149	130	110
7	1998	125	118	141	138	138	109
8	1999	107	152	154	144	133	140
9	2000	141	139	161	158	117	129
10	2001	104	154	138	133	136	135
11	2002	130	149	156	165	124	91
12	2003	162	145	154	151	128	115
13	2004	129	153	154	148	131	114
14	2005	138	158	174	154	142	118
15	2006	133	152	148	150	147	117
16	2007	119	146	147	156	128	107
17	2008	96	127	145	146	114	96
18	2009	108	142	122	108	94	76
19	2010	88	120	112	120	98	77
20	2011	94	120	125	115	88	79
21	2012	107	113	126	116	95	83
22	2013	81	103	108	114	85	70
23	2014	101	104	107	111	95	84
24	2015	83	114	113	122	92	86
25	2016	86	121	122	118	103	98
26	2017	101	107	125	108	110	95
27	2018	100	132	140	133	102	100
28	2019	101	139	117	135	97	109
29	2020	110	122	147	156	117	96
30	Source: NSC analysis of NHTSA FARS data
31	Note: The length of the holiday period depends on the day of the week on which the holidays falls. Memorial Day and Labor Day are always 3.25 days; Thanksgiving is always 4.25 days; and New Year's Day , Independence Day, and Christmas are 3.25 days if the holiday falls on Friday Trhough Monday, 4.25 days if on Tuesday or Thursday, and 1.25 days if on Wednesday. To compare holidays of different lengths, the number of deaths per day was calculated by dividing the number of traffic deaths by the number of days.
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