21 | Summary | ||||
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22 | 1. There is a high level of disagreement between the 00z ECMWF and 12z GFS model runs. For the near-term outlook covering the 14-day period between February 21 and March 6, the ECMWF model is calling for +67 (or +15.7%) more total gas-weighted degree days (GWDDs) than the GFS model. | ||||

23 | 2. The ECMWF's near-term GWDD outlook is greater than the GFS for 11 out of the 14 days. The ECMWF's degree day outlook is above-average for 13 out of the 14 days while the GFS is above-average for 8 out of 14 days. | ||||

24 | 3. Over the last 7 days, the ECMWF's GWDD outlook has been greater than the GFS 28 out of 28 4-times daily runs. | ||||

25 | 4. The ECMWF's 14-day outlook has been above-average for 28 out of 28 6-hour updates or 100.0% of the time while the GFS has been above-average for 27 out of 28 6-hour updates over the past week or 96.4% of the time. | ||||

26 | 5. Over these 7 days, the ECMWF has trended slightly more bullish while the GFS has trended modestly more bullish . |