1 | NSC Christmas Day holiday period traffic fatality estimates compared to actual deaths, United States | ||||
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2 | |||||
3 | Year | Actual deaths | NSC Lower confidence limit | NSC estimated deaths | NSC Upper confidence limit |
4 | |||||
5 | |||||
6 | 1995 | 342 | 351 | 422 | 502 |
7 | 1996 | 136 | 113 | 145 | 182 |
8 | 1997 | 466 | 458 | 563 | 680 |
9 | 1998 | 354 | 350 | 406 | 468 |
10 | 1999 | 456 | 316 | 369 | 428 |
11 | 2000 | 419 | 300 | 359 | 424 |
12 | 2001 | 575 | 417 | 522 | 641 |
13 | 2002 | 114 | 131 | 160 | 193 |
14 | 2003 | 488 | 438 | 529 | 636 |
15 | 2004 | 370 | 356 | 440 | 536 |
16 | 2005 | 383 | 352 | 443 | 546 |
17 | 2006 | 379 | 332 | 415 | 507 |
18 | 2007 | 454 | 424 | 497 | 579 |
19 | 2008 | 409 | 371 | 432 | 500 |
20 | 2009 | 248 | 253 | 317 | 388 |
21 | 2010 | 249 | 233 | 303 | 384 |
22 | 2011 | 256 | 220 | 287 | 365 |
23 | 2012 | 351 | 320 | 377 | 441 |
24 | 2013 | 88 | 82 | 105 | 132 |
25 | 2014 | 355 | 330 | 366 | 407 |
26 | 2015 | 280 | 259 | 307 | 362 |
27 | 2016 | 318 | 274 | 314 | 358 |
28 | 2017 | 299 | 269 | 308 | 351 |
29 | 2018 | 425 | 372 | 422 | 478 |
30 | 2019 | 136 | 94 | 115 | 138 |
31 | 2020 | 312 | 288 | 340 | 395 |
32 | 2021 | 314 | 371 | 431 | |
33 | 2022 | 301 | 346 | 393 | |
34 | Source: Actual deaths are NSC analysis of NHTSA FARS data, all other counts are NSC estimates. | ||||
35 |
1 | Percent of traffic fatalities involving alcohol-impaired driving (a), Christmas Day vs. Annual Average | ||
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2 | |||
3 | |||
4 | Year | Christmas Day | Annual Average |
5 | 1982 | 50% | 48% |
6 | 1983 | 54% | 47% |
7 | 1984 | 54% | 44% |
8 | 1985 | 47% | 41% |
9 | 1986 | 48% | 42% |
10 | 1987 | 47% | 41% |
11 | 1988 | 48% | 40% |
12 | 1989 | 49% | 38% |
13 | 1990 | 42% | 40% |
14 | 1991 | 36% | 38% |
15 | 1992 | 39% | 36% |
16 | 1993 | 43% | 34% |
17 | 1994 | 40% | 33% |
18 | 1995 | 40% | 32% |
19 | 1996 | 37% | 32% |
20 | 1997 | 33% | 30% |
21 | 1998 | 41% | 30% |
22 | 1999 | 41% | 30% |
23 | 2000 | 40% | 32% |
24 | 2001 | 39% | 31% |
25 | 2002 | 40% | 31% |
26 | 2003 | 37% | 31% |
27 | 2004 | 38% | 31% |
28 | 2005 | 40% | 31% |
29 | 2006 | 42% | 32% |
30 | 2007 | 38% | 32% |
31 | 2008 | 32% | 31% |
32 | 2009 | 36% | 32% |
33 | 2010 | 35% | 31% |
34 | 2011 | 36% | 30% |
35 | 2012 | 35% | 31% |
36 | 2013 | 38% | 31% |
37 | 2014 | 34% | 30% |
38 | 2015 | 36% | 29% |
39 | 2016 | 35% | 29% |
40 | 2017 | 38% | 29% |
41 | 2018 | 35% | 29% |
42 | 2019 | 37% | 28% |
43 | 2020 | 39% | 30% |
44 | Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administraion: https://cdan.dot.gov/query | ||
45 | |||
46 | (a) Highest blood alcohol concentraion (BAC among drivers or motorcylce riders involved in the crash was 0.08 grams per deciliter or greater. NHTSA estimates alcohol inolvement when alcohol test results are unknown. | ||
47 | |||
48 | |||
49 | |||
50 | Note: Percent of deaths conforms to the HHTSA holiday period defintion that is a quarter day longer than NSC's holiday period definition. | ||
51 | |||
52 |
1 | Traffic deaths durring Christmas Day holiday periods and equivalent nonholiday periods | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ||||
3 | Year | Christmas Day period | 1 week before - equivalent period | 2 weeks before - equivalent period |
4 | ||||
5 | ||||
6 | 1995 | 342 | 411 | 420 |
7 | 1996 | 136 | 116 | 144 |
8 | 1997 | 466 | 615 | 510 |
9 | 1998 | 354 | 502 | 408 |
10 | 1999 | 456 | 393 | 402 |
11 | 2000 | 419 | 389 | 420 |
12 | 2001 | 575 | 521 | 528 |
13 | 2002 | 114 | 128 | 153 |
14 | 2003 | 488 | 522 | 509 |
15 | 2004 | 370 | 447 | 412 |
16 | 2005 | 383 | 400 | 399 |
17 | 2006 | 379 | 410 | 414 |
18 | 2007 | 454 | 431 | 490 |
19 | 2008 | 409 | 437 | 427 |
20 | 2009 | 248 | 253 | 317 |
21 | 2010 | 249 | 321 | 323 |
22 | 2011 | 256 | 329 | 299 |
23 | 2012 | 351 | 407 | 346 |
24 | 2013 | 88 | 95 | 81 |
25 | 2014 | 355 | 389 | 411 |
26 | 2015 | 280 | 301 | 376 |
27 | 2016 | 318 | 338 | 304 |
28 | 2017 | 308 | 330 | 305 |
29 | 2018 | 425 | 485 | 411 |
30 | 2019 | 136 | 136 | 115 |
31 | 2020 | 312 | 379 | 423 |
32 | Source: NSC analysis of NHTSA FARS data |
1 | Comparison of average number of traffic deaths per day durring select holiday periods | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Year | New Year's Day | Memorial Day | Independence Day | Labor Day | Thanksgiving Day | Christmas Day |
3 | |||||||
4 | 1995 | 145 | 148 | 151 | 122 | 105 | |
5 | 1996 | 127 | 152 | 143 | 156 | 134 | 109 |
6 | 1997 | 141 | 153 | 151 | 149 | 130 | 110 |
7 | 1998 | 125 | 118 | 141 | 138 | 138 | 109 |
8 | 1999 | 107 | 152 | 154 | 144 | 133 | 140 |
9 | 2000 | 141 | 139 | 161 | 158 | 117 | 129 |
10 | 2001 | 104 | 154 | 138 | 133 | 136 | 135 |
11 | 2002 | 130 | 149 | 156 | 165 | 124 | 91 |
12 | 2003 | 162 | 145 | 154 | 151 | 128 | 115 |
13 | 2004 | 129 | 153 | 154 | 148 | 131 | 114 |
14 | 2005 | 138 | 158 | 174 | 154 | 142 | 118 |
15 | 2006 | 133 | 152 | 148 | 150 | 147 | 117 |
16 | 2007 | 119 | 146 | 147 | 156 | 128 | 107 |
17 | 2008 | 96 | 127 | 145 | 146 | 114 | 96 |
18 | 2009 | 108 | 142 | 122 | 108 | 94 | 76 |
19 | 2010 | 88 | 120 | 112 | 120 | 98 | 77 |
20 | 2011 | 94 | 120 | 125 | 115 | 88 | 79 |
21 | 2012 | 107 | 113 | 126 | 116 | 95 | 83 |
22 | 2013 | 81 | 103 | 108 | 114 | 85 | 70 |
23 | 2014 | 101 | 104 | 107 | 111 | 95 | 84 |
24 | 2015 | 83 | 114 | 113 | 122 | 92 | 86 |
25 | 2016 | 86 | 121 | 122 | 118 | 103 | 98 |
26 | 2017 | 101 | 107 | 125 | 108 | 110 | 95 |
27 | 2018 | 100 | 132 | 140 | 133 | 102 | 100 |
28 | 2019 | 101 | 139 | 117 | 135 | 97 | 109 |
29 | 2020 | 110 | 122 | 147 | 156 | 117 | 96 |
30 | Source: NSC analysis of NHTSA FARS data | ||||||
31 | Note: The length of the holiday period depends on the day of the week on which the holidays falls. Memorial Day and Labor Day are always 3.25 days; Thanksgiving is always 4.25 days; and New Year's Day , Independence Day, and Christmas are 3.25 days if the holiday falls on Friday through Monday, 4.25 days if on Tuesday or Thursday, and 1.25 days if on Wednesday. To compare holidays of different lengths, the number of deaths per day was calculated by dividing the number of traffic deaths by the number of days. | ||||||
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