PredictiveAnalysis1.xls

	A	B	C	D
1	ALTERNATIVES	P = PROBABILITIES	U = UTILITIES	PRODUCT
2		In percent (%)	(-100 TO +100)	P * U
3
4	A.1	1	80	80
5	A.2	70	-20	-1400
6	A.3	29	-90	-2610
7	Sum	100		-3930
8
9	B.1	10	70	700
10	B.2	50	0	0
11	B.3	40	-40	-1600
12	Sum	100		-900
13
14	C.1	33	10	330
15	C.2	33	20	660
16	C.3	34	30	1020
17	Sum	100		2010
18
19	The best alternative mathematically is the most positive number
20	in cells D7, D12, or D17.
21
22	To use this spreadsheet, change only the blue and red numbers.
23	Do not edit the other cells.
24	The spreadsheet will do the calculations for you.
25	Select the probabilities in blue cells so that the Sum numbers
26	in cells B7, B12, and B17 are all equal to 100.
27	The utilities in the red cells should be between -100 and +100.
28
29	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1zwUjiIQe6fVR6RYOUbxRK3GxfAWPQMUp/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=107743457366837388517&rtpof=true&sd=true
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