Decision-theoretic comparison aide
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Note: this is partially an excercise for me in understanding DT; I'm not currently able to confidently fill most of these boxes, and until I am I don't adequately understand it. However, it's also a useful resource, so please help fill them in by making a comment if you have thoughts!
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Name of ProblemLink (not necc. original/canonical)OPCDTEDTUDTTDTFDT
CDT+commitment
EDT+tickle
Updateless CDT and EDT may be worth adding? Orders currently arbitrary. Reviewing and including the DTs and properties from also https://casparoesterheld.com/a-comprehensive-list-of-decision-theories/ also worth considering
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Newcomb's ProblemNozick (1969?)Nozick2-box1-box1-box1-box1-box1-box
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Smoking LesionEgan (2007)SkyrmssmokeabstainsmokeAbstainSmoke
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Death in DamascusCheating Death in Damascus
Mixed Strat w/ PR
Stay
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The Murder LesionEgan (2007)Andy Eganshoot
Joyce argues that CDT is indifferent, and in general that Egan gets the problem wrong
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The Psychopath ButtonEgan (2007)
David Braddon-Mitchel
press
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Modified Smoking LesionEgan (2007)Andy EganAbstain
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One-Shot Twin Prisoner's Dilemma (no communication)
Cheating Death in DamascusDefectCooperateCooperateCooperateCooperate
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Death on OlympusCheating Death in Damascusdon't drinkdrinkdrink?Drinkdrink
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Parfit's HitchikerFunctional Decision TheoryParfitDon't payDon't payPayPayPay
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Kavka's Toxin puzzleKavka (1983)Kavka
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XOR BlackmailFunctional Decision TheoryRefusePayRefuseRefuseRefuse
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Transparent Newcomb ProblemFunctional Decision Theory2-box2-box1-box1-box1-box1-box
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The Cosmic Ray ProblemFunctional Decision Theory$100$1$100$100$100
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The Mechanical BlackmailFunctional Decision Theory
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The Evidential Blackmail problemTowards Idealized Decision TheoryRefusePaypayTwo of these three are probably equivalent
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The Retro Blackmail problemTowards Idealized Decision TheoryDon't ModifyTwo of these three are probably equivalent
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The Counterfactual Blackmail problemTowards Idealized Decision TheoryPayPayTwo of these three are probably equivalent
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One-shot Counterfactual MuggingNesov LW PostRefuseRefusePayRefuse?PayPay
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Newcomb’s FirebombEgan (2007)Andy Egan
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Smoking Lesion Steelman
https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1525
Demski
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Suicidal Smoking Lesion Steelman
https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1585
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Yankees v Red SocksArntzenius (2008)Arntzenius
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Dubiously Decision-theoretic (or about other 'parts' of decision theory): idk what to do with these, but they may be worth considering
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Absent-Minded Driver
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Five-and-Ten
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Sleeping Beauty
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Pascal's Mugging
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