ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAG
1
Navigate Research Projected P5 Payout Per Team: Reworked B1G/PAC12 Totals
2
Big Ten (add USC/UCLA '24)PAC12 (USC/UCLA exit '24)Big 12 (OU/UT exit '25; BYU/Cincy/UH/UCF enter '23)SEC (OU/UT enter '25)ACCPAC 12 per schoolPac12 total payout65% remaining in PAC10 after USC/UCLA leavePAC10 Payout per each of 10 remaining schools 35% LOSS (USC/UCLA takes to B1G)Big Ten without USC/UCLABig Ten original total payout (x 14 schools)Total payout after adding USC/UCLANew 16 team Big10 payout per team
3
2022$57.2$34.4$40.6$54.3$30.9$34.4$412.8$57.2$800.8
4
2023$58.9$35.5$41.8$56.0$36.3$35.5$426.0$58.9$824.6
5
2024$73.5$28.5$43.1$57.6$37.9$36.6$439.2$285.5$28.5$153.7$73.0$1,022.0$1,175.7$73.5
6
2025$77.0$33.2$44.3$74.9$39.6$42.6$511.2$332.3$33.2$178.9$75.2$1,052.8$1,231.7$77.0
7
2026$96.0$44.9$52.6$107.8$54.3$57.5$690.0$448.5$44.9$241.5$92.5$1,295.0$1,536.5$96.0
8
2027$98.9$46.2$54.2$111.0$56.6$59.2$710.4$461.8$46.2$248.6$95.3$1,334.2$1,582.8$98.9
9
2028$101.9$47.6$55.8$114.4$59.0$61.0$732.0$475.8$47.6$256.2$98.2$1,374.8$1,631.0$101.9
10
2029$104.9$49.0$57.5$117.8$61.5$62.8$753.6$489.8$49.0$263.8$101.1$1,415.4$1,679.2$104.9
11
Assumptions
I only reworked figures for B1G & PAC12 since Navigate's projections in March 2022 in The Athletic already
12
accounted for Big12 changes (UT/OU to SEC;BYU/Cincy/UH/UCF). Navigate included all Tier I, II, & III
13
rights & assumed an expanded 12 team CFP in '26 with all 5 P5 conferences getting an auto bid.
14
Numbers reworked based on a figure of 35% loss of combined PAC12 conference media
15
value (40% of TV media deal linked below & ~25% of other revenue: CFP/Bowls/NCAA Tourney etc...):
16
John Wilner reported USC/UCLA/LA Market loss at 40-50% of the PAC12 TV Value
17
John Canzano reported USC/UCLA/LA market loss at 40% of the PAC12 TV Value
18
Not factored in, but, Mike Vorel reported that "To agree to terms, UW & Oregon would likely demand
19
a larger share of the revenue pot," & an early exit plan.
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100