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1 | Contents page | Information relating to this table can be found in the 'Notes' tab | ||||||||||||||||||
2 | Autumn Statement | Summary table: UK welfare, | 2023/24 | 2024/25 | 2025/26 | 2026/27 | 2027/28 | 2028/29 | 2029/30 | |||||||||||
3 | 2024 | Department for Work & Pensions, Northern Ireland Executive, His Majesty's Revenue and Customs and predecessors | Outturn | Forecast | Forecast | Forecast | Forecast | Forecast | Forecast | |||||||||||
4 | ||||||||||||||||||||
5 | United Kingdom welfare spending, £ billion, nominal terms | |||||||||||||||||||
6 | DWP Social Security (GB) | 266.6 | 287.3 | 303.4 | 316.0 | 324.6 | 336.2 | 352.0 | ||||||||||||
7 | of which within the Welfare Cap | 120.1 | 134.8 | 141.3 | 146.5 | 152.3 | 159.1 | 166.6 | ||||||||||||
8 | of which outside the Welfare Cap | 146.5 | 152.5 | 162.1 | 169.5 | 172.4 | 177.1 | 185.4 | ||||||||||||
9 | Benefits funded by local authorities | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||
10 | Child Benefit | 12.5 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 13.5 | 13.7 | 13.7 | 13.8 | ||||||||||||
11 | Child Trust Fund; Health in Pregnancy Grant | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
12 | Paternity, Parental and Adoption Pay | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||
13 | Personal tax credits | 7.4 | 2.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||||||||
14 | Tax Free Childcare | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||
15 | Northern Ireland Social Security | 8.9 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 11.0 | 11.3 | 11.6 | ||||||||||||
16 | of which within the Welfare Cap | 5.2 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.5 | ||||||||||||
17 | of which outside the Welfare Cap | 3.6 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | ||||||||||||
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19 | Total | 296.8 | 314.0 | 328.3 | 341.3 | 350.3 | 362.2 | 378.5 | ||||||||||||
20 | of which within the Welfare Cap | 145.9 | 156.7 | 161.3 | 166.6 | 172.6 | 179.6 | 187.3 | ||||||||||||
21 | of which outside the Welfare Cap | 150.9 | 157.3 | 167.0 | 174.7 | 177.7 | 182.6 | 191.2 | ||||||||||||
22 | United Kingdom welfare spending including Cost of Living payments, £ billion, nominal terms | |||||||||||||||||||
23 | Cost of Living payments | 10.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||
24 | Total, including Cost of Living payments | 307.2 | 314.0 | 328.3 | 341.3 | 350.3 | 362.2 | 378.5 | ||||||||||||
25 | United Kingdom welfare spending, £ billion, real terms, 2024/25 prices | |||||||||||||||||||
26 | DWP Social Security (GB) | 272.9 | 287.3 | 296.3 | 302.7 | 305.0 | 309.7 | 318.0 | ||||||||||||
27 | of which within the Welfare Cap | 122.9 | 134.8 | 138.1 | 140.3 | 143.0 | 146.6 | 150.5 | ||||||||||||
28 | of which outside the Welfare Cap | 150.0 | 152.5 | 158.3 | 162.4 | 161.9 | 163.2 | 167.5 | ||||||||||||
29 | Benefits funded by local authorities | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | ||||||||||||
30 | Child Benefit | 12.8 | 13.4 | 13.1 | 13.0 | 12.9 | 12.7 | 12.5 | ||||||||||||
31 | Child Trust Fund; Health in Pregnancy Grant | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||||||||||
32 | Paternity, Parental and Adoption Pay | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | ||||||||||||
33 | Personal tax credits | 7.6 | 2.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||||||||
34 | Tax Free Childcare | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | ||||||||||||
35 | Northern Ireland Social Security | 9.1 | 10.0 | 10.2 | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 10.5 | ||||||||||||
36 | of which within the Welfare Cap | 5.4 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.9 | ||||||||||||
37 | of which outside the Welfare Cap | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.6 | ||||||||||||
38 | Total | 303.9 | 314.0 | 320.6 | 326.9 | 329.1 | 333.7 | 341.9 | ||||||||||||
39 | of which within the Welfare Cap | 149.4 | 156.7 | 157.5 | 159.6 | 162.2 | 165.5 | 169.2 | ||||||||||||
40 | of which outside the Welfare Cap | 154.5 | 157.3 | 163.1 | 167.3 | 166.9 | 168.2 | 172.7 | ||||||||||||
41 | United Kingdom welfare spending including Cost of Living payments, £ billion, real terms, 2024/25 prices | |||||||||||||||||||
42 | Cost of Living payments | 10.7 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||||
43 | Total, including Cost of Living payments | 314.5 | 314.0 | 320.6 | 326.9 | 329.1 | 333.7 | 341.9 | ||||||||||||
44 | United Kingdom welfare spending, £ per year, real terms, 2024/25 prices, per total household | |||||||||||||||||||
45 | Welfare spend within the Welfare Cap | 5,197 | 5,415 | 5,408 | 5,445 | 5,500 | 5,577 | 5,670 | ||||||||||||
46 | Welfare spend outside the Welfare Cap | 5,373 | 5,433 | 5,600 | 5,709 | 5,659 | 5,668 | 5,786 | ||||||||||||
47 | Total | 10,569 | 10,848 | 11,008 | 11,154 | 11,159 | 11,246 | 11,456 | ||||||||||||
48 | Total, including Cost of Living Payments | 10,940 | 10,850 | 11,008 | 11,154 | 11,159 | 11,246 | 11,456 | ||||||||||||
49 | United Kingdom welfare spending, as a share of Gross Domestic Product | |||||||||||||||||||
50 | Welfare spend within the Welfare Cap | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | ||||||||||||
51 | Welfare spend outside the Welfare Cap | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | ||||||||||||
52 | Total | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | ||||||||||||
53 | Total, including Cost of Living Payments | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | ||||||||||||
54 | United Kingdom welfare spending, as a share of Total Managed Expenditure | |||||||||||||||||||
55 | Welfare spend within the Welfare Cap | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | ||||||||||||
56 | Welfare spend outside the Welfare Cap | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | ||||||||||||
57 | Total | 24.3% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 24.7% | 24.7% | 24.8% | 25.1% | ||||||||||||
58 | Total, including Cost of Living Payments | 25.1% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 24.7% | 24.7% | 24.8% | 25.1% | ||||||||||||
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