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1 | The 412 (and growing) things I am watching in the 2018 general election: an Election Night cheat sheet prepared by Daniel Nichanian (@Taniel) | Feel free to message me with suggestions of more to include. And feel free to bookmark, save, & share! | an easier URL to save/share | follow/message me on Twitter | ||||||||||||
2 | Check out The Appeal: Political Report | sign up for my newsletter | - | ||||||||||||
3 | Senate [and Govs below] Swing now: +3 GOP CONTROL: GOP | HOUSE Swing now: +40 Dem CONTROL: DEMS | REFERENDA | LEGISLATURE (OVERALL) & TRIFECTAS | STATE, LEGISLATIVE, & COUNTY ELECTIONS statewide: Supreme Court, Att. Gen., Sec.of State, local: sheriff, prosecutor, legislative seats, mayor | Stakes/reasons to care | |||||||||
4 | Dem-held | Dem-held | Medicaid expansion | Legislative chambers Listed if somewhat competitive. (**) = Watching closely. See column M. | Supreme Court | ||||||||||
5 | FL | GOP* | AZ-01 | Dem | ID: expands Medicaid (#2) | YES | Alabama | Parker (R) | Tom Parker (a Roy Moore ally) defeated the Chief Justice in GOP primary. Now faces Bob Vance (D), who came close to Moore in 2012. | ||||||
6 | IN | GOP | CA-16 | Dem | NE: expands Medicaid (#427) | YES | Florida (3 seats) | [GOP will appoint] | Okay, these aren't actually on the ballot--but bear with me: FL's new Governor gets to appoint THREE new Justices immediately & remake FL's judiciary. | ||||||
7 | MI | DEM | FL-07 | Dem | UT: expands Medicaid (#3) | YES | Dem-run | Michigan (2 seats) | 1 Dem; 1 GOP | Two Justices appointed by Gov. Snyder (GOP) face election. If 2 Dem-nominated candidates won, they'd grab a majority on the court overall. | |||||
8 | MN | DEM | MN-01 | GOP | MT: fund extension of Medicaid expansion (#185) | NO | AK | House ** | Minnesota | Chutich | Michelle MacDonald against Justice Margaret Chutich; MacDonald said one reason she is running is that Chutich is gay. | |||||
9 | MO | GOP | MN-07 | Dem | Voting rights | CO | House | DEM | North Carolina | Anita Earls (D) | Civil rights lawyer Anita Earls (D) is looking to unseat Justice Barbara Jackson (R). Would expand Dem majority from 4-3 to 5-2. | |||||
10 | MT | DEM | MN-08 | GOP | FL: voting rights restoration, affects ≈1.5 million (#4) | YES | CT | Senate ** | DEM | New Mexico | Vigil (D) | Gov. Martinez (R) made Gary Clingman (R) a Justice earlier in 2018. Clingman now faces re-election against Michael Vigil (D). | ||||
11 | ND | GOP | NH-01 | Dem | AR: require voter ID (#2) | YES | DE | Senate | Dem | Nevada | Cadish (D) | Jerry Tao is running on moving Supreme Court to right: "Is the Court going to drift even further to left, or can we change the direction?" Opponent is Elissa Cadish. | ||||
12 | NJ | DEM | NV-03 | Dem | CO: congressional redistricting reform (#Y) | YES | ME | House | Dem | Ohio (2 seats) | Dem x2 | Two GOP seats are up. One features an incumbent (DeGenaro) seeking a new term, the other is an open race. GOP's overall majority is safe. | ||||
13 | OH | DEM | NV-04 | Dem | CO: legislative redistricting reform (#Z) | YES | NV | Senate | Dem | West Virginia (2 seats) | GOP x2 | 2 Justices resigned in the summer of 2018 right before impeachment proceedings, triggering a November special. Candidates include Rep. Evan Jenkins. | ||||
14 | WV | DEM | PA-08 | DEM | Denver, CO: campaign finance reform, public matching | YES | WA | Senate ** | Dem | Prosecutors (DA, state attorney, etc) | ||||||
15 | WI | DEM | GOP-held (tier 1 of 2) won by Obama '12 &/or Clinton | Golden, CO: lower voting age for local races to 16 | NO | WA | House | Dem | Jefferson Co., AL | Carr (D) | Mike Anderton (R), Danny Carr (D). Candidates for Birmingham DA disagree on marijuana prosecution, impact of fines and fees | |||||
16 | GOP-held | MD: "Election Day" registration (#1) | YES | GOP-held | Marin Co., CA | Frugoli | Lori Frugoli (i) vs. Anna Pletcher. Candidates emphasizing their interest in diversion, restorative justice. Important stakes on juvenile justice, immigration. | ||||||||
17 | AZ | DEM | AZ-02 | DEM | MI: redistricting reform (#2) | YES | AZ | House ** | GOP | Cumberland Co. (≈Portland), ME | Sahrbeck (I) | To replace longtime GOP incumbent. Dem & GOP candidates both dropped out (still on ballot); independent (Sahrbeck) is left, largely defends county status-quo. | ||||
18 | NV | DEM | CA-10 | DEM | MI: voting rights (AVR, SVR, no-excuse mail) (#3) | YES | AZ | Senate | GOP | Berkshire County, MA | Harrington (D) | Andrea Harrington won Dem primary on a reform/rehabilitation platform against incumbent DA, Paul Caccaviello. Now Caccaviello mounting a write-in bid. | ||||
19 | TN | GOP | CA-21 | DEM | MO: redistricting & campaign finance reform (#1) | YES | CO | Senate ** | Dem | Suffolk County (≈Boston), MA | Rollins (D) | Rachael Rollins won a hotly-disputed Dem primary on a reform platform; now faces independent Mike Maloney. | ||||
20 | TX | GOP | CA-25 | DEM | NC: require voter ID | YES | FL | Senate ** | GOP | Plymouth, MA | Cruz (R) | DA Timothy Cruz (GOP) faces a former employee (John Bradley) who faults his ethics and proposes more reform policies. | ||||
21 | CA-39 | DEM | NV: automatic voter registration (#5) | YES | FL | House | GOP | Hennepin Co., MN | Freeman (D,vs.D) | Racial disparities and police shootings under the spotlight in Hennepin County election between DA Freeman and challenger Haase | ||||||
22 | GOVERNORS | CA-45 | DEM | Portland, OR: campaign finance restrictions | YES | IA | Senate | GOP | Rensselaer Co. NY | Donnely (D) | A year after being charged for misconduct, DA Joel Abelove seeks reelection. | |||||
23 | Indy-held | CA-48 | DEM | SD: campaign finance & referenda protection (#W) | NO | IA | House | GOP | Tulsa Co., OK | Kunzweiler (R) | DA Steve Kunzweiler (R) vs. Jenny Proehl-Day (D), who's running on reform platform & to change criminal justice conversation. | |||||
24 | AK | GOP | CA-49 | DEM | UT: redistricting reform (#4) | YES | ME | Senate ** | Dem | Payne and Logan counties, OK | Thomas (R) | Lori Thomas (i, R) vs. Cory Williams (D). Williams wants to make area model on crim justice reform; Thomas calls CJR "empty words." | ||||
25 | Dem-held | CO-06 | DEM | Minimum wage | MI | Senate | GOP | Bexar Co., TX | Gonzales (D) | Joe Gonzales (D) vs Tylden Shaeffer (R). Campaign features clear oppositions on marijuana prosecution, cite-and-release program, and immigration. | ||||||
26 | CA | DEM | FL-26 | DEM | AR: minimum wage increase (#5) | YES | MI | House | GOP | Dallas Co., TX | Creuzot (D) | Faith Johnson (R) vs John Creuzot (D). Contrasts on marijuana prosecution, homelessness prosecution, bail reform. | ||||
27 | CT | DEM | FL-27 | DEM | MO: minimum wage increase (#B) | YES | MN | House | DEM | Salt Lake, UT | Gill (D) | Sim Gill (D, i) vs. Nathan Evershed (R) | ||||
28 | CO | DEM | IA-01 | DEM | Flagstaff, AZ: repeal minimum wage hike | NO | MN | Senate | GOP | King Co. (≈Seattle), WA | Satterberg | Prosecutor Dan Satterberg was challenged by Daron Morris, running on wide-ranging reform platform. Morris suspended campaign on 9/21 for medical reasons. | ||||
29 | MN | DEM | IA-03 | DEM | Marijuana | NH | House ** | DEM | Thurston Co.,WA | Tunheim (R) | Jon Tunheim (R), Victor Minjares (D). Minjares is running on a reform platform. Unfortunately didn't have time to preview this one. | |||||
30 | OR | DEM | IL-06 | DEM | MI: legalize recreational use (#1) | YES | NH | Senate | DEM | If you wish to learn more on prosecutorial elections: | visit The Appeal: Political Report | |||||
31 | PA | DEM | IL-12 | GOP | MO: legalize medical marijuana [to one of 3?] | YES | NY | Senate ** | DEM | (Note: major prosecutorial races were effectively decided in primaries, e.g. in St. Louis, Durham or Contra Costa, where candidates won on strong reform platforms, or else in Baltimore, Boulder, San Diego & Sacramento.) | ||||||
32 | RI | DEM | KS-03 | DEM | ND: legalize recreational + expungement (#3) | NO | PA | House ** | GOP | Sheriffs | ||||||
33 | GOP-held | ME-2 | DEM | UT: legalize medical marijuana (#2) | YES | PA | Senate | GOP | Los Angeles, CA | Villanueva (D) | Rare runoff for sheriff in a department rocked by scandals; LA hasn't had a Dem sheriff in 130+ years. Dem nominee wants more distance from ICE. | |||||
34 | AL | GOP | MN-2 | DEM | Also: Many WI counties will hold advisory referenda on pot. | TX | House | GOP | Orange Co., CA | Barnes (R) | GOP Undersheriff Don Barnes advocates continuing circumventing'sanctuary' law. Democrat Duke Nguyen supports law. Plus various other scandals | |||||
35 | AZ | GOP | MN-3 | DEM | Criminal justice & law enforcement | WI | House | GOP | Hillsborough, FL | Christoner (R) | GOP sheriff made a new partnership with ICE & is now running with prominent bipartisan endorsement. Dem challenger says he'd withdraw from ICE deal. | |||||
36 | FL | GOP* | NJ-2 | DEM | Morgan/Cullman, AL: bar sheriffs pocketing food funds | Yes x2 | WI | Senate ** | GOP | Marion County, IN | Kerry Forestal (D) | |||||
37 | GA | GOP* | NJ-3 | DEM | FL: retroactive sentence reductions (#11) | YES | Will Dems have supermajority? | Anne Arundel Co., MD | Fredericks (R) | Candidates divided on 287(g) deal with ICE; GOP nominee supports while Dem opposes. But unlike elsewhere, county exec decides here. | |||||
38 | IA | GOP | NJ-7 | DEM | LA: require unanimous jury verdicts (#2) | YES | CA | House (keep) | Yes | Frederick Co., MD | Jenkins (R) | One of only MD counties with 287(g) with ICE. GOP sheriff a longtime defender of aggressive immigration enforcement. Dem challenger wants an audit. | ||||
39 | ID | GOP | NY-1 | GOP | FL, NC, GA, NV, KY, OK: Marsy's Law | all yes | CA | Senate (get) ** | Yes | Washington Co, MD | Mullendore (D) | Washington Co. does not have 287(g) at the moment, but Dem sheriff's GOP challenger wants to join that ICE program. | ||||
40 | IL | DEM | NY-2 | GOP | OH: crim justice/sentencing reform package (#1) | NO | IL | House (get) | Yes | Hennepin Co. (≈Minneapolis), MN | Hutch (D) | Minneapolis will decide immigration policies, with GOP Sheriff Stanek, under fire for cooperating with ICE, facing reelection | ||||
41 | KS | DEM | NY-11 | DEM | Nashville, TN: create a police oversight board | YES | VT | House (get) | Yes | Wake Co., NC | Baker (D) | GOP Sheriff Donnie Harrison has been cooperating with ICE through a 287(g) deal since 2007. Dem Gerald Baker wants to end the 287(g) agreement. | ||||
42 | MA | GOP | NY-19 | DEM | WA: police training & accountability (#940) | YES | VT | Senate (keep) | Yes | Buncome Co., NC | Miller (D) | Ashville. Open race. Quentin Miller (D) says central policy is deescalation. Vs: Shad Higgins (R). | ||||
43 | MD | GOP | NY-21 | GOP | Immigration | Will GOP keep supermajority? | Bergen County, NJ | Cureton (D) | Sheriff Saudino's resignation has triggered an unexpected special election. A Dem, GOPer, & 3 indies running. | ||||||
44 | ME | DEM | NY-24 | GOP | OR: repeal 'sanctuary' law (#105) | NO | AR | House | Yes | Dona Ana, NM | Stewart (D) | Election put spotlight on "Operation Stonegarden" and its immigration implications. Kim Stewart (D) vs. Todd Garrison (R, former sheriff) | ||||
45 | MI | DEM | PA-1 | GOP | Abortion | NC | House ** | BROKEN | Ulster County, NY | Figueroa (D) | Sheriff Van Blarcum known for aggressive practices toward immigrants, welfare recipients. Lost Dem primary to Figueroa—but still on ballot as GOP nominee. | |||||
46 | NH | GOP | PA-6 | DEM | AL: affirms "sancticty of unborn life" (#2) | YES | NC | Senate ** | BROKEN | Salt Like City, UT | Rivera (D) | |||||
47 | NM | DEM | PA-7 | DEM | OR: ban on public funding (#106) | NO | OH | House | Yes | If you wish to learn more about sheriff elections: | visit The Appeal: Political Report | |||||
48 | NV | DEM | TX-7 | DEM | WV: no state right to abortion (#1) | YES | OH | Senate | Yes | (Note: major sheriff races were effectively decided in primaries in Durham, Charlotte, Milwaukee—in all cases to benefit of candidates running on reform, esp. on scaling back immigration cooperation) | ||||||
49 | OH | GOP | TX-23 | GOP | Energy/environment | Attorney General | |||||||||
50 | OK | GOP | TX-32 | DEM | AZ: higher renewable energy requirement (#127) | NO | TRIFECTAS: Will a party control the state's government? Each state listed | AL (GOP) | GOP | Incumbent Steve Marshall (R) faces Joseph Siegelman (D), son of former Governor. | |||||
51 | SC | GOP | VA-10 | DEM | San Luis Obispo, CA: ban new oil wells & fracking | NO | AZ (GOP) | GOP | Incumbent GOP challenged in what could be a competitive race | ||||||
52 | SD | GOP | WA-8 | DEM | CO: limit fracking (Initiative97/Prop112) | NO | CO (GOP) | DEM | My preview: Demcorat Phil Weiser vs. Republican George Brauchler, best known for his "devotion" to capital punishment. | ||||||
53 | TN | GOP | GOP-held (tier 2 of 2) won by Romney AND Trump | CO: compensate oil/gas companies (In108/Amendt74) | NO | FL (GOP) | GOP | Major disagreement between Ashley Moody (R) and Sean Shaw (D). One of Trump's allies (Pam Bondi) leaving the position. | |||||||
54 | TX | GOP | FL: ban offshore drilling; & ban vaping in workplace (#9) | YES | Currently a Dem trifecta | MI (GOP) | DEM | Open race for GOP-held seat; one issue where position could be important is implementation of marijuana referendum. | |||||||
55 | VT | GOP | AK-AL | GOP | NV: energy utility deregulation (#3) | NO | CA | DEM | NV (GOP) | DEM | Open race for GOP-held seat. Adam Laxalt won it in one of 2014's big surprise upsets, but then left to run for Gov. | ||||
56 | WI | Dem | AR-02 | GOP | NV: higher renewable energy requirement (#6) | YES | CT * | DEM | OH (GOP) | GOP | Open race for GOP-held seat. | ||||
57 | WY | GOP | AZ-06 | GOP | WA: carbon fee (#1631) | NO | DE | DEM | TX (GOP) | GOP | GOP incumbent (Paxton) running for re-election against Dem Nelson. Paxton is indicted for securities fraud. TX Dems hoping they can finally break through in '18. | ||||
58 | AZ-08 | GOP | Housing | HI | DEM | WI (GOP) | DEM | Incumbent GOP challenged in what should be a competitive race | |||||||
59 | CONGRESS, other than D/R stakes | CA-01 | GOP | CA: enabling rent control (#10) | NO | NJ | DEM | CT (Dem) | DEM | Open race for Dem-held seat. | |||||
60 | CA-04 | GOP | OR: expand local bonding for affordable housing (#102) | YES | OR | DEM | IL (Dem) | DEM | Open race vacated by Lisa Madigan; state Sen. Kwame Raoul (the Dem nominee) favored to keep seat. | ||||||
61 | CA-Sen | Feinstein | CA-22 | GOP | San Francisco: corporate tax for homeless programs (#C) | YES | RI | DEM | MD (Dem) | DEM | Incumbent running against challenger who demands "tough-on-crime" reforms. | ||||
62 | MS-Sen (Top2) | Espy/CHS | CA-50 | GOP | San Jose, CA: affordable housing bond | NO | WA | DEM | MN (Dem) | DEM | Open race for Dem-held seat; Keith Ellison is the Dems' nominee. | ||||
63 | WA-09 (D/D) | CO-03 | GOP | Transportation | Currently a GOP trifecta | NY (Dem) | DEM | Open race for Dem-held seat. | |||||||
64 | FL-06 | GOP | Many municipalities, counties, & states have big referenda on transportation/transit plans. Transport Politic details: | Details | AL | GOP | overall partisan count (27R-22D pre) | 26D-24R | |||||||
65 | FL-15 | GOP | AZ | GOP | Secretary of State (crucial for voting rights) | ||||||||||
66 | FL-16 | GOP | LGBTQ rights | AR | GOP | AZ (GOP) | DEM | Clear contrast on voting rights between GOP nominee Steve Gaynor and Dem nominee state Senator Kattie Hobbs. | |||||||
67 | FL-18 | GOP | MA: keeps ban on gender identity discrimination (#3) | YES | FL | GOP | CO (GOP) | DEM | GOP incumbent Wayne Williams vs. Jena Griwswold (D) | ||||||
68 | FL-25 | GOP | Public banking | GA | GA (GOP) | GOP | Brian Kemp, who's overseen polling site closures & purges, is running for Governor. State Rep. Brad Raffensperger (R) vs. former U.S. Rep. John Barrow (D). | ||||||||
69 | GA-06 | DEM | Los Angeles: enable a public bank (#B) | NO | ID | GOP | IA (GOP) | GOP | GOP incumbent Paul Pate vs. Deidre DeJear (D) | ||||||
70 | GA-07 | GOP | Taxes/Revenue | IN | GOP | IN (GOP) | GOP | GOP incumbent Connie Lawson (a member of Kris Kobach's election commission) has been sued for suppressive purges; running against Dem Jim Harper, who's run on voting rights. | |||||||
71 | IA-4 | GOP | AZ: ban taxes on services (#126) | YES | IA | GOP | KS (GOP) | GOP | Kris Kobach's seat. His successor could potentially reorient his legacy. Scott Schwab (R) vs. Brian McClendon (D). | ||||||
72 | IL-13 | GOP | CA: repeal gas tax increase (#6) | NO | KS | Split | MI (GOP) | DEM | GOP-held. Candidates are GOP nominee Mary Treder Lang vs. Dem nominee Jocelyn Benson | ||||||
73 | IL-14 | DEM | San Mateo & Marin, CA: sales tax for transportation | KY | GOP | NV (GOP) | GOP | GOP incumbent Barbara Cegavske vs. Nelson Aruajo (D) | |||||||
74 | IN-02 | GOP | CO: makes income tax progressive, raises it (#73) | NO | MI | Split | OH (GOP) ** | GOP | Kathleen Clyde (Dem) is running on stopping the voter purge methods SCOTUS just validated; Frank LaRose GOP) defends them. | ||||||
75 | IN-09 | GOP | CO: bonds/taxes for transportation (#110) | NO | MS | GOP | Other statewide offices | ||||||||
76 | KS-02 | GOP | FL: new 2/3rds threshold for tax increase (#5) | YES | MO | GOP | CA: Superintendent of Public Schools | Thurmond | Dem vs. Dem, but big contrast: Assembly member Tony Thurmond vs. charter school exec Marshall Tuck, with clashing visions of public education. Labor backing Thurmond. | ||||||
77 | KY-06 | GOP | Hillsborough (FL): hike sales tax for education | NE | GOP | CA: Insurance Commissioner | DEM | Steve Poizner (served in this position as a Republican from 2007 to 2011) vs. Ricardo Lara (Dem state Senator) | |||||||
78 | MI-01 | GOP | Broward, Collier, Hillsborough (FL): sales tax for trans. | NH | Split | IA auditor (GOP) | DEM | Democrat Rob Sand, running against GOP incumbent Mary Mosiman, is promising to investigat the problems and mismangagement of the Medicaid privatization. | |||||||
79 | MI-03 | GOP | MO: 10¢ gas tax increase (#D) | ND | GOP | MO auditor (Dem) | DEM | Incumbent Nicole Galloway is the only statewide Democratic office-holder other than Sen. McCaskill. Tight re-election race. | |||||||
80 | MI-06 | GOP | NC: lowering cap for the state income tax | YES | OK | GOP | OH auditor (GOP) | GOP | GOP-held open race. The position will matter to redistricting because it has a seat on the new commission. | ||||||
81 | MI-07 | GOP | OR: ban groceries tax, effectively ban soda tax (#103) | NO | OH | GOP | FL's CFO (GOP) | GOP | One of the 3 members of Florida's Cabinet alongside the governor, would be very important to Gillum pushing thru reforms if he were to win the governorship | ||||||
82 | MI-08 | DEM | OR: expand supermajority req. for revenue raising (#104) | NO | SC | GOP | FL's Comm. of Agriculture (GOP) | DEM | One of the 3 members of Florida's Cabinet alongside the governor, would be very important to Gillum pushing thru reforms if he were to win the governorship | ||||||
83 | MI-11 | DEM | WA: ban taxes on groceries, effectively ban soda tax | YES | SD | GOP | County & Municipal races | ||||||||
84 | MO-02 | GOP | Health Care | TN | GOP | AZ: Mayor of Phoenix | Runoff | 5 candidates running to replace Greg Stanton, could go to a runoff | |||||||
85 | MT-AL | GOP | MA: nurses/patient limits (#1) | NO | TX | GOP | CA: San Diego city council | DEM [super.] | Councilwman Lorie Zapf (R) vs. Jen Campbell (D): a Dem win could give party a supermajority on council to override the GOP mayor's vetoes. | ||||||
86 | NC-02 | GOP | ME: universal home health care (#1) | NO | UT | GOP | KY: Rowan County Clerk | Caudill | Kim Davis (who refused to grant same-sex marriage licenses in 2015, and is now a GOPer) running for re-election against Elwood Caudill. | ||||||
87 | NC-08 | GOP | Gun control | WV | GOP | MD: Montgomery Co. Executive | Elrich | Progressive Marc Elrich (a Montgomery County Council member) as Dem nominee, vs. Nancy Floreen (running as an independent) vs. Republican Robin Ficker. | |||||||
88 | NC-09 | GOP | WA: gun control package (#1639) | Yes | WI | Split | MD: Anne Araundel Co. Executive | DEM: Pittman | BIG for immigration: In a narrowly Clinton county, GOP executive swung toward aggressive anti-immigration policies, incl. 287(g). Dem nominee says he'd quit ICE partnerships. | ||||||
89 | NC-13 | GOP | 10 OR counties voting to let sheriffs block gun control. | Details | WY | GOP | TX: Harris Co. (=Houston) Clerk | DEM | Important role in running Houston elections: Dem Diane Trautman wants to adddress low turnout & creating paper trail. GOP incumbent Stan Stanart drew controversy. | ||||||
90 | NE-02 | GOP | Education | Control is currently split | TX: Harris Co. Judge/executive | DEM | Houston: Dems think Linda Hidalgo could oust GOP incumbent Ed Emmett. Could also flip commission if they oust another R councilmember (Morman, Cagle.) | ||||||||
91 | NJ-11 | DEM | AZ: on expanding state's voucher program (#305) | NO | AK | GOP | UT: San Juan Co. Commission | Navajo cand.wins | Navajo-majority county has long been led by a white/Mormon county commission. Legal rulings could change that this year. "DIstrict 2" is the key one. Read the preview. | ||||||
92 | NM-02 | DEM | Animal rights | CO | DEM | Specific legislative races | |||||||||
93 | NY-22 | DEM | CA: ban sale of products from caged animals (#12) | YES | IL | DEM | AK House: #31 (D-caucusing) | Dems are running House bc 3 GOP lawmakers caucus with them. 2 of the 3 barely survived GOP primary. 3rd (Paul Seaton) switched to Dems, running vs GOP. | |||||||
94 | NY-23 | GOP | FL: ban dog racing (#13) | YES | LA | Split | CA Assembly: #15 (Dem-held) | Wicks | Intra-Democratic battle between Jovanka Beckles (DSA member, backed by Sanders) and Buffy Wicks. | ||||||
95 | NY-27 | GOP | Changing election method | MA | Split/Dem-super | CA Senate: #12 (GOP-held) | DEM | CA Dems lost their supermajority in a June recall; picking-up this GOP-held open district could be the key to regaining it. Anna Caballero (D) vs.Rob Poythress (R). | |||||||
96 | OH-01 | GOP | Fargo, ND: implement approval voting | YES | ME | DEM | CO Senate: #16 & #24 (R) | 2 GOP incumbents running in Clinton-districts: ousting just one could give Dems the Senate majority—perhaps a trifecta. [Ds are also defending: SD5, 11, 20, 22; GOP defending SD6, 13, 15, 30] | |||||||
97 | OH-10 | GOP | Lane Co., OR: implement STAR voting | NO | MD | Split | DE Senate: #10 (D) | DEM | Dems are likely to keep the trifecta (not that they do much with it) if Stephanie Hansen defends this seat. And they're favored, it's a Clinton district defended in 2017 special. | ||||||
98 | OH-12 | GOP | Memphis, TN: eliminate ranked choice voting | NO | MN | Split | FL Senate: #8, #16, #18, #36 (all R) | R/R/D/R | Dems haven't held chamber since 1992. They need to gain 4 if Gillum wins. MCI Maps flags these GOP-held districts as the key. Also watch: #20/#22/#23/#24/#25. | ||||||
99 | OH-14 | GOP | Other | MT | Split | IA Senate: #49 (D), #41 & #7 (R) | Bleeding Heartland has a preview of 11 competitive districts for Iowa Senate, a tough chamber for Dems. These are the 3 rated as toss-ups. | ||||||||
100 | OK-5 | DEM | AL: display ten commandments (#1) | YES | NV | DEM | MN Senate: #13 (R) | GOP | One seat decides it all! Senate is split 33-33 with one vacant seat that'll be decided in a November special. (There are no other Senate elections here.) | ||||||