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2024 GENERAL PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MULTI-STATE DROP-OFF COMPARISON
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2024 US PRESIDENTIAL RACES BY STATE & PARTY 2024 MAJOR DOWN BALLOT RACES
(USUALLY SENATE) BY STATE & BY PARTY 		2024 DROP-OFF FROM PRES TO MAJOR DOWN BALLOT RACE
BY STATE & BY PARTY		PERCENTAGE OF DROP-OFF BY STATE & PARTY
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Dem % Drop-OffRep % Drop-OffTotal % Drop-Off
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STATEDemRepOtherPresidential TotalDemRepOtherSenate TotalDem Drop-OffRep Drop-OffOther Drop-OffTotal Drop-Off(% of Pres Dem Total)(% of Pres Rep Total)(% of Total Pres Vote)Analysis by the SMART Elections Data Team #SEDATA. All rights reserved. © 2024 SMART Elections
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SWING STATES (MINUS GA)-1.48%5.58%0.99%SMARTelections.us
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ARIZONA1,582,8601,770,24247,6243,400,7261,676,3351,595,76182,4563,354,552-93,475174,481-34,83246,174-5.91%9.86%1.36%More information about this research is available on our Substack. Please subscribe. Our website has links to spreadsheets of each state's drop-off data by county that include each county's election results.
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GEORGIA (No Statewide Comparison)
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MICHIGAN2,736,5332,816,636121,2945,674,4632,712,6862,693,680170,8175,577,18323,847122,956-49,52397,2800.87%4.37%1.71%
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NEVADA705,197751,20528,4381,484,840701,105677,04686,5771,464,7284,09274,159-58,13920,1120.58%9.87%1.35%
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NORTH CAROLINA (AG)2,715,3822,898,42985,3445,699,1552,874,0592,715,157134,7855,724,001-158,677183,272-49,441-24,846-5.84%6.32%-0.44%
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PENNSYLVANIA3,421,0883,542,50589,5397,053,1323,382,2783,398,495179,5216,960,29438,810144,010-89,98292,8381.13%4.07%1.32%
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WISCONSIN1,668,2291,697,62657,0633,422,9181,672,7771,643,99674,0143,390,787-4,54853,630-16,95132,131-0.27%3.16%0.94%
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SWING STATES PLUS OHIO-2.00%6.46%1.09%
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ARIZONA1,582,8601,770,24247,6243,400,7261,676,3351,595,76182,4563,354,552-93,475174,481-34,83246,174-5.91%9.86%1.36%
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GEORGIA (No Statewide Comparison)
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MICHIGAN2,736,5332,816,636121,2945,674,4632,712,6862,693,680170,8175,577,18323,847122,956-49,52397,2800.87%4.37%1.71%
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NEVADA705,197751,20528,4381,484,840701,105677,04686,5771,464,7284,09274,159-58,13920,1120.58%9.87%1.35%
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NORTH CAROLINA (AG)2,715,3822,898,42985,3445,699,1552,874,0592,715,157134,7855,724,001-158,677183,272-49,441-24,846-5.84%6.32%-0.44%
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OHIO2,533,6993,180,11681,3015,795,1162,650,9492,857,383196,2885,704,620-117,250322,733-114,98790,496-4.63%10.15%1.56%
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PENNSYLVANIA3,421,0883,542,50589,5397,053,1323,382,2783,398,495179,5216,960,29438,810144,010-89,98292,8381.13%4.07%1.32%
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WISCONSIN1,668,2291,697,62657,0633,422,9181,672,7771,643,99674,0143,390,787-4,54853,630-16,95132,131-0.27%3.16%0.94%
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NON-SWING STATES1.37%2.00%2.49%
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CALIFORNIA9,184,2425,989,358498,55015,672,1508,946,2776,225,877015,172,154237,965-236,519498,550499,9962.59%-3.95%3.19%
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CONNECTICUT990,946736,55930,0051,757,510999,558677,49429,2731,706,325-8,61259,06573251,185-0.87%8.02%2.91%
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DELAWARE (GOV)289,758214,3518,803512,912279,585219,0500498,63510,173-4,6998,80314,2773.51%-2.19%2.78%
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FLORIDA4,683,0386,110,125142,30210,935,4654,603,0775,977,706176,64510,757,42879,961132,419-34,343178,0371.71%2.17%1.63%
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HAWAII313,044193,6619,996516,701324,194160,07517,494501,763-11,15033,586-7,49814,938-3.56%17.34%2.89%
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INDIANA1,153,6031,720,34760,2712,934,2211,097,0611,659,41673,4152,829,89256,54260,931-13,144104,3294.90%3.54%3.56%
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MARYLAND1,902,5771,035,550100,2073,038,3341,650,9121,294,34476,1223,021,378251,665-258,79424,08516,95613.23%-24.99%0.56%
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MONTANA231,856352,00118,975602,832276,252319,61811,272607,142-44,39632,3837,703-4,310-19.15%9.20%-0.71%
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NEW YORK4,386,8403,466,769102,9637,956,5724,480,4783,148,61349,0497,678,140-93,638318,15653,914278,432-2.13%9.18%3.50%
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NORTH DAKOTA112,327246,5059,323368,155121,602241,5691,156364,327-9,2754,9368,1673,828-8.26%2.00%1.04%
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OHIO2,533,6993,180,11681,3015,795,1162,650,9492,857,383196,2885,704,620-117,250322,733-114,98790,496-4.63%10.15%1.56%
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NON-SWING STATES MINUS OHIO
2.02%0.71%2.61%
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CALIFORNIA9,184,2425,989,358498,55015,672,1508,946,2776,225,877015,172,154237,965-236,519498,550499,9962.59%-3.95%3.19%
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CONNECTICUT990,946736,55930,0051,757,510999,558677,49429,2731,706,325-8,61259,06573251,185-0.87%8.02%2.91%
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DELAWARE (GOV)289,758214,3518,803512,912279,585219,0500498,63510,173-4,6998,80314,2773.51%-2.19%2.78%
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FLORIDA4,683,0386,110,125142,30210,935,4654,603,0775,977,706176,64510,757,42879,961132,419-34,343178,0371.71%2.17%1.63%
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HAWAII313,044193,6619,996516,701324,194160,07517,494501,763-11,15033,586-7,49814,938-3.56%17.34%2.89%
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INDIANA1,153,6031,720,34760,2712,934,2211,097,0611,659,41673,4152,829,89256,54260,931-13,144104,3294.90%3.54%3.56%
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MARYLAND1,902,5771,035,550100,2073,038,3341,650,9121,294,34476,1223,021,378251,665-258,79424,08516,95613.23%-24.99%0.56%
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MONTANA231,856352,00118,975602,832276,252319,61811,272607,142-44,39632,3837,703-4,310-19.15%9.20%-0.71%
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NEW YORK4,386,8403,466,769102,9637,956,5724,480,4783,148,61349,0497,678,140-93,638318,15653,914278,432-2.13%9.18%3.50%
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NORTH DAKOTA112,327246,5059,323368,155121,602241,5691,156364,327-9,2754,9368,1673,828-8.26%2.00%1.04%
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