| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | N | Nth lowest epidemic/pandemic deaths as a fraction of the global population | Fraction of the years with at least the Nth lowest epidemic/pandemic deaths as a fraction of the global population (tail distribution) | Linear regression of the logarithm of the tail distribution on the logarithm of the annual epidemic/pandemic deaths as a fraction of the global population, considering the years with at least the Nth lowest annual conflict deaths as a fraction of the global population | Tail index of the Pareto distribution defined by the linear regression | Minimum of the Pareto distribution defined by the linear regression | Annual probability of a pandemic causing human extinction for the Pareto distribution defined by the linear regression | |||||||||
2 | Number of points | Slope | Intercept | Coefficient of determination | ||||||||||||
3 | 1 | 7.47E-07 | 100.00% | 524 | -0.32 | -3.68 | 71.69% | 0.32 | 1.04E-05 | 2.52E-02 | ||||||
4 | 2 | 7.87E-07 | 99.81% | 523 | -0.32 | -3.69 | 71.77% | 0.32 | 1.06E-05 | 2.49E-02 | ||||||
5 | 3 | 9.64E-07 | 99.62% | 522 | -0.32 | -3.70 | 71.86% | 0.32 | 1.07E-05 | 2.47E-02 | ||||||
6 | 4 | 9.65E-07 | 99.43% | 521 | -0.32 | -3.71 | 71.93% | 0.32 | 1.09E-05 | 2.44E-02 | ||||||
7 | 5 | 9.75E-07 | 99.24% | 520 | -0.33 | -3.72 | 72.00% | 0.33 | 1.11E-05 | 2.42E-02 | ||||||
8 | 6 | 9.90E-07 | 99.05% | 519 | -0.33 | -3.73 | 72.08% | 0.33 | 1.13E-05 | 2.40E-02 | ||||||
9 | 7 | 1.00E-06 | 98.85% | 518 | -0.33 | -3.74 | 72.16% | 0.33 | 1.15E-05 | 2.38E-02 | ||||||
10 | 8 | 1.01E-06 | 98.66% | 517 | -0.33 | -3.75 | 72.24% | 0.33 | 1.17E-05 | 2.35E-02 | ||||||
11 | 9 | 1.03E-06 | 98.47% | 516 | -0.33 | -3.76 | 72.32% | 0.33 | 1.19E-05 | 2.33E-02 | ||||||
12 | 10 | 1.03E-06 | 98.28% | 515 | -0.33 | -3.77 | 72.41% | 0.33 | 1.21E-05 | 2.30E-02 | ||||||
13 | 11 | 1.04E-06 | 98.09% | 514 | -0.33 | -3.78 | 72.50% | 0.33 | 1.24E-05 | 2.28E-02 | ||||||
14 | 12 | 1.04E-06 | 97.90% | 513 | -0.34 | -3.79 | 72.59% | 0.34 | 1.26E-05 | 2.26E-02 | ||||||
15 | 13 | 1.05E-06 | 97.71% | 512 | -0.34 | -3.80 | 72.69% | 0.34 | 1.28E-05 | 2.23E-02 | ||||||
16 | 14 | 1.05E-06 | 97.52% | 511 | -0.34 | -3.81 | 72.79% | 0.34 | 1.31E-05 | 2.21E-02 | ||||||
17 | 15 | 1.05E-06 | 97.33% | 510 | -0.34 | -3.82 | 72.90% | 0.34 | 1.33E-05 | 2.18E-02 | ||||||
18 | 16 | 1.07E-06 | 97.14% | 509 | -0.34 | -3.84 | 73.01% | 0.34 | 1.36E-05 | 2.16E-02 | ||||||
19 | 17 | 1.08E-06 | 96.95% | 508 | -0.34 | -3.85 | 73.12% | 0.34 | 1.39E-05 | 2.13E-02 | ||||||
20 | 18 | 1.10E-06 | 96.76% | 507 | -0.35 | -3.86 | 73.24% | 0.35 | 1.41E-05 | 2.11E-02 | ||||||
21 | 19 | 1.11E-06 | 96.56% | 506 | -0.35 | -3.87 | 73.36% | 0.35 | 1.44E-05 | 2.08E-02 | ||||||
22 | 20 | 1.13E-06 | 96.37% | 505 | -0.35 | -3.89 | 73.49% | 0.35 | 1.47E-05 | 2.05E-02 | ||||||
23 | 21 | 1.14E-06 | 96.18% | 504 | -0.35 | -3.90 | 73.62% | 0.35 | 1.50E-05 | 2.03E-02 | ||||||
24 | 22 | 1.16E-06 | 95.99% | 503 | -0.35 | -3.91 | 73.75% | 0.35 | 1.53E-05 | 2.00E-02 | ||||||
25 | 23 | 1.17E-06 | 95.80% | 502 | -0.35 | -3.93 | 73.89% | 0.35 | 1.57E-05 | 1.97E-02 | ||||||
26 | 24 | 1.18E-06 | 95.61% | 501 | -0.36 | -3.94 | 74.03% | 0.36 | 1.60E-05 | 1.95E-02 | ||||||
27 | 25 | 1.19E-06 | 95.42% | 500 | -0.36 | -3.95 | 74.18% | 0.36 | 1.63E-05 | 1.92E-02 | ||||||
28 | 26 | 1.19E-06 | 95.23% | 499 | -0.36 | -3.97 | 74.34% | 0.36 | 1.67E-05 | 1.89E-02 | ||||||
29 | 27 | 1.19E-06 | 95.04% | 498 | -0.36 | -3.98 | 74.50% | 0.36 | 1.71E-05 | 1.86E-02 | ||||||
30 | 28 | 1.19E-06 | 94.85% | 497 | -0.36 | -4.00 | 74.67% | 0.36 | 1.75E-05 | 1.84E-02 | ||||||
31 | 29 | 1.36E-06 | 94.66% | 496 | -0.37 | -4.01 | 74.85% | 0.37 | 1.79E-05 | 1.81E-02 | ||||||
32 | 30 | 1.40E-06 | 94.47% | 495 | -0.37 | -4.03 | 75.01% | 0.37 | 1.83E-05 | 1.78E-02 | ||||||
33 | 31 | 1.41E-06 | 94.27% | 494 | -0.37 | -4.04 | 75.17% | 0.37 | 1.87E-05 | 1.75E-02 | ||||||
34 | 32 | 1.49E-06 | 94.08% | 493 | -0.37 | -4.06 | 75.35% | 0.37 | 1.91E-05 | 1.73E-02 | ||||||
35 | 33 | 1.65E-06 | 93.89% | 492 | -0.38 | -4.07 | 75.52% | 0.38 | 1.95E-05 | 1.70E-02 | ||||||
36 | 34 | 2.05E-06 | 93.70% | 491 | -0.38 | -4.09 | 75.68% | 0.38 | 1.99E-05 | 1.68E-02 | ||||||
37 | 35 | 2.09E-06 | 93.51% | 490 | -0.38 | -4.10 | 75.81% | 0.38 | 2.03E-05 | 1.65E-02 | ||||||
38 | 36 | 2.55E-06 | 93.32% | 489 | -0.38 | -4.12 | 75.95% | 0.38 | 2.07E-05 | 1.63E-02 | ||||||
39 | 37 | 2.63E-06 | 93.13% | 488 | -0.38 | -4.13 | 76.06% | 0.38 | 2.11E-05 | 1.61E-02 | ||||||
40 | 38 | 2.81E-06 | 92.94% | 487 | -0.39 | -4.14 | 76.18% | 0.39 | 2.14E-05 | 1.59E-02 | ||||||
41 | 39 | 2.97E-06 | 92.75% | 486 | -0.39 | -4.15 | 76.29% | 0.39 | 2.18E-05 | 1.57E-02 | ||||||
42 | 40 | 3.02E-06 | 92.56% | 485 | -0.39 | -4.16 | 76.39% | 0.39 | 2.22E-05 | 1.55E-02 | ||||||
43 | 41 | 3.07E-06 | 92.37% | 484 | -0.39 | -4.18 | 76.50% | 0.39 | 2.26E-05 | 1.53E-02 | ||||||
44 | 42 | 3.13E-06 | 92.18% | 483 | -0.39 | -4.19 | 76.61% | 0.39 | 2.29E-05 | 1.52E-02 | ||||||
45 | 43 | 3.15E-06 | 91.98% | 482 | -0.39 | -4.20 | 76.73% | 0.39 | 2.33E-05 | 1.50E-02 | ||||||
46 | 44 | 3.17E-06 | 91.79% | 481 | -0.40 | -4.21 | 76.85% | 0.40 | 2.37E-05 | 1.48E-02 | ||||||
47 | 45 | 3.17E-06 | 91.60% | 480 | -0.40 | -4.23 | 76.97% | 0.40 | 2.42E-05 | 1.46E-02 | ||||||
48 | 46 | 3.19E-06 | 91.41% | 479 | -0.40 | -4.24 | 77.10% | 0.40 | 2.46E-05 | 1.44E-02 | ||||||
49 | 47 | 3.21E-06 | 91.22% | 478 | -0.40 | -4.26 | 77.23% | 0.40 | 2.51E-05 | 1.42E-02 | ||||||
50 | 48 | 3.25E-06 | 91.03% | 477 | -0.40 | -4.27 | 77.37% | 0.40 | 2.55E-05 | 1.40E-02 | ||||||
51 | 49 | 3.25E-06 | 90.84% | 476 | -0.41 | -4.28 | 77.51% | 0.41 | 2.60E-05 | 1.38E-02 | ||||||
52 | 50 | 3.26E-06 | 90.65% | 475 | -0.41 | -4.30 | 77.66% | 0.41 | 2.65E-05 | 1.36E-02 | ||||||
53 | 51 | 3.27E-06 | 90.46% | 474 | -0.41 | -4.31 | 77.82% | 0.41 | 2.70E-05 | 1.34E-02 | ||||||
54 | 52 | 3.33E-06 | 90.27% | 473 | -0.41 | -4.33 | 77.98% | 0.41 | 2.75E-05 | 1.32E-02 | ||||||
55 | 53 | 3.57E-06 | 90.08% | 472 | -0.41 | -4.35 | 78.15% | 0.41 | 2.81E-05 | 1.30E-02 | ||||||
56 | 54 | 3.68E-06 | 89.89% | 471 | -0.42 | -4.36 | 78.31% | 0.42 | 2.86E-05 | 1.28E-02 | ||||||
57 | 55 | 3.77E-06 | 89.69% | 470 | -0.42 | -4.38 | 78.47% | 0.42 | 2.92E-05 | 1.26E-02 | ||||||
58 | 56 | 4.06E-06 | 89.50% | 469 | -0.42 | -4.39 | 78.64% | 0.42 | 2.98E-05 | 1.24E-02 | ||||||
59 | 57 | 4.14E-06 | 89.31% | 468 | -0.42 | -4.41 | 78.79% | 0.42 | 3.03E-05 | 1.22E-02 | ||||||
60 | 58 | 4.14E-06 | 89.12% | 467 | -0.43 | -4.42 | 78.96% | 0.43 | 3.09E-05 | 1.20E-02 | ||||||
61 | 59 | 4.35E-06 | 88.93% | 466 | -0.43 | -4.44 | 79.13% | 0.43 | 3.15E-05 | 1.18E-02 | ||||||
62 | 60 | 4.54E-06 | 88.74% | 465 | -0.43 | -4.46 | 79.29% | 0.43 | 3.21E-05 | 1.16E-02 | ||||||
63 | 61 | 4.96E-06 | 88.55% | 464 | -0.43 | -4.47 | 79.46% | 0.43 | 3.27E-05 | 1.14E-02 | ||||||
64 | 62 | 5.11E-06 | 88.36% | 463 | -0.44 | -4.49 | 79.62% | 0.44 | 3.33E-05 | 1.12E-02 | ||||||
65 | 63 | 5.19E-06 | 88.17% | 462 | -0.44 | -4.50 | 79.78% | 0.44 | 3.39E-05 | 1.11E-02 | ||||||
66 | 64 | 5.27E-06 | 87.98% | 461 | -0.44 | -4.52 | 79.94% | 0.44 | 3.45E-05 | 1.09E-02 | ||||||
67 | 65 | 5.34E-06 | 87.79% | 460 | -0.44 | -4.54 | 80.10% | 0.44 | 3.52E-05 | 1.07E-02 | ||||||
68 | 66 | 5.36E-06 | 87.60% | 459 | -0.44 | -4.55 | 80.28% | 0.44 | 3.58E-05 | 1.05E-02 | ||||||
69 | 67 | 5.36E-06 | 87.40% | 458 | -0.45 | -4.57 | 80.45% | 0.45 | 3.65E-05 | 1.04E-02 | ||||||
70 | 68 | 5.49E-06 | 87.21% | 457 | -0.45 | -4.59 | 80.64% | 0.45 | 3.72E-05 | 1.02E-02 | ||||||
71 | 69 | 5.51E-06 | 87.02% | 456 | -0.45 | -4.60 | 80.83% | 0.45 | 3.79E-05 | 1.00E-02 | ||||||
72 | 70 | 5.75E-06 | 86.83% | 455 | -0.45 | -4.62 | 81.03% | 0.45 | 3.87E-05 | 9.83E-03 | ||||||
73 | 71 | 5.88E-06 | 86.64% | 454 | -0.46 | -4.64 | 81.22% | 0.46 | 3.95E-05 | 9.65E-03 | ||||||
74 | 72 | 5.90E-06 | 86.45% | 453 | -0.46 | -4.66 | 81.42% | 0.46 | 4.02E-05 | 9.47E-03 | ||||||
75 | 73 | 5.92E-06 | 86.26% | 452 | -0.46 | -4.68 | 81.63% | 0.46 | 4.10E-05 | 9.30E-03 | ||||||
76 | 74 | 6.03E-06 | 86.07% | 451 | -0.47 | -4.70 | 81.85% | 0.47 | 4.19E-05 | 9.12E-03 | ||||||
77 | 75 | 6.05E-06 | 85.88% | 450 | -0.47 | -4.72 | 82.07% | 0.47 | 4.27E-05 | 8.94E-03 | ||||||
78 | 76 | 6.07E-06 | 85.69% | 449 | -0.47 | -4.74 | 82.30% | 0.47 | 4.36E-05 | 8.76E-03 | ||||||
79 | 77 | 6.42E-06 | 85.50% | 448 | -0.47 | -4.76 | 82.54% | 0.47 | 4.45E-05 | 8.57E-03 | ||||||
80 | 78 | 6.75E-06 | 85.31% | 447 | -0.48 | -4.78 | 82.78% | 0.48 | 4.55E-05 | 8.40E-03 | ||||||
81 | 79 | 7.22E-06 | 85.11% | 446 | -0.48 | -4.80 | 83.02% | 0.48 | 4.64E-05 | 8.22E-03 | ||||||
82 | 80 | 9.59E-06 | 84.92% | 445 | -0.48 | -4.82 | 83.24% | 0.48 | 4.73E-05 | 8.06E-03 | ||||||
83 | 81 | 1.17E-05 | 84.73% | 444 | -0.49 | -4.84 | 83.42% | 0.49 | 4.81E-05 | 7.92E-03 | ||||||
84 | 82 | 1.34E-05 | 84.54% | 443 | -0.49 | -4.85 | 83.55% | 0.49 | 4.88E-05 | 7.81E-03 | ||||||
85 | 83 | 1.39E-05 | 84.35% | 442 | -0.49 | -4.87 | 83.67% | 0.49 | 4.95E-05 | 7.70E-03 | ||||||
86 | 84 | 1.59E-05 | 84.16% | 441 | -0.49 | -4.88 | 83.78% | 0.49 | 5.02E-05 | 7.60E-03 | ||||||
87 | 85 | 1.61E-05 | 83.97% | 440 | -0.49 | -4.89 | 83.88% | 0.49 | 5.08E-05 | 7.51E-03 | ||||||
88 | 86 | 1.64E-05 | 83.78% | 439 | -0.50 | -4.90 | 83.97% | 0.50 | 5.14E-05 | 7.42E-03 | ||||||
89 | 87 | 1.65E-05 | 83.59% | 438 | -0.50 | -4.92 | 84.07% | 0.50 | 5.20E-05 | 7.33E-03 | ||||||
90 | 88 | 1.70E-05 | 83.40% | 437 | -0.50 | -4.93 | 84.17% | 0.50 | 5.27E-05 | 7.24E-03 | ||||||
91 | 89 | 1.72E-05 | 83.21% | 436 | -0.50 | -4.94 | 84.27% | 0.50 | 5.33E-05 | 7.15E-03 | ||||||
92 | 90 | 1.83E-05 | 83.02% | 435 | -0.50 | -4.95 | 84.37% | 0.50 | 5.40E-05 | 7.06E-03 | ||||||
93 | 91 | 1.83E-05 | 82.82% | 434 | -0.51 | -4.97 | 84.47% | 0.51 | 5.46E-05 | 6.97E-03 | ||||||
94 | 92 | 1.86E-05 | 82.63% | 433 | -0.51 | -4.98 | 84.57% | 0.51 | 5.53E-05 | 6.88E-03 | ||||||
95 | 93 | 1.87E-05 | 82.44% | 432 | -0.51 | -4.99 | 84.67% | 0.51 | 5.60E-05 | 6.80E-03 | ||||||
96 | 94 | 1.87E-05 | 82.25% | 431 | -0.51 | -5.00 | 84.77% | 0.51 | 5.67E-05 | 6.71E-03 | ||||||
97 | 95 | 1.88E-05 | 82.06% | 430 | -0.51 | -5.02 | 84.88% | 0.51 | 5.74E-05 | 6.62E-03 | ||||||
98 | 96 | 1.91E-05 | 81.87% | 429 | -0.52 | -5.03 | 84.99% | 0.52 | 5.81E-05 | 6.54E-03 | ||||||
99 | 97 | 1.91E-05 | 81.68% | 428 | -0.52 | -5.04 | 85.10% | 0.52 | 5.89E-05 | 6.45E-03 | ||||||
100 | 98 | 1.93E-05 | 81.49% | 427 | -0.52 | -5.06 | 85.22% | 0.52 | 5.96E-05 | 6.36E-03 | ||||||