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Breastfeeding promotion (BP)Best Guess25th / 75thCE Range
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Population Reached
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Grant size$455,191
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Caregivers/children reached at <1 month of age by at least one message136,374100,000 / 185,0009-17x
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Multiplier for subsequent children who are indirectly treated1.31 / 1.510-15x
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Total children directly or indirectly treated with hypothetical donation
(136,374 * 1.3)		178,990
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Cost per child directly or indirectly treated (not directly used in calculations)$2.54
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Exclusive breastfeeding rates (not directly used in calculations)
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EBF rate at baseline (%)34%
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Expected reduction in non-EBF rates from intervention, IV/EV adjusted (%)8%
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Neonatal all-cause mortality
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Baseline all-cause neonatal mortality for Sindh, Pakistan (%)1.7%1% / 2.5%12-14x
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Expected reduction in neonatal all-cause mortality, after IV/EV adjustments (%)1.0%0.5% / 2%11-15x
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Neonatal deaths averted with hypothetical donation
(178,990 * 2% * 1%)		31
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Moral weight - neonatal mortality8440 / 18011–16x
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Postneonatal (28 days to 1 year of age) all-cause mortality
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Baseline all-cause postneonatal mortality for Sindh, Pakistan (%)1.5%.75% / 2% 8-16x
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Expected reduction in postneonatal all-cause mortality, after IV/EV adjustments (%)3.5%2% / 6%8–20x
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Postneonatal deaths averted with hypothetical donation
(178,990 * 1% * 4%)		93
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Moral weight - postneonatal mortality10150 / 2008-22x
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Initial cost-effectiveness estimate
(31 * 84 + 93 * 101) / $455,191 / 0.00335		8
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Benefit streams (% of modeled total)
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Infant mortality benefits80%
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Development effects20%
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Additional unmodeled adjustments
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Excluded effects13%
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Benefits for children reached between 1-6 months15%
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Final cost-effectiveness (after all adjustments)13
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