ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARAS
1
Sum of rolls adjust for partial submissionsVisitors: Comment Only Privileges
Note, the drop rate adjusts for partial data sets thanks to Officer Artoria's equations
2
Total FP:220,132,800Submitteru/DoltFor
Duval
Ty2012tjmAmirar/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
doit4cu and
ty2012
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
danmarce (JP)
r/grandorder and Discord Submissions from Fate Accel Zero Order Collab 2018
u/Ty2012
Anon1
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
r/grandorder
and Discord
@Edwarzo@Lyinne@Lyinner/grandorder
and Discord
@Lyinne@C
3
Total Rolls% Rate# RolledEvent / Date9/11/2017Imported daily rolls9/12/20178/29/17 to
10/24/17
MoonFest
2017
Saber Wars
2017
KNK
2017
Halloween
2017
GUDA
2017
Xmas
2017
Valentines
2018
9/11/2017
JP NeroFest?
Modified
Data Sets
Aggregate EssentialAGGREGATE of most players' data totalling 837,726 RollsRashoumon
2018
Journey to
the West 2018
Onigashima
2018
Summer
2018
Prisma
2018
Halloween
Rerun 17 - 18
Nero Fest
2018
4m
download
Pre-4m
non-event
Pre-4m
event
Halloween
2018
NY 2019NY 2019
4
1,100,664TOTAL ROLLS5,2004,2512002,71014,12913,0805605,5403,11011,6604,07082841,370150,57013,88746,03711,45716,79714,49713,297827,516733,386789,8365802,3301,1701,5803,2405405,7902,00022,20019,4205,83025,5201,000
5
16.28%16,151SERVANTS673
6
97,21610.20%9,9161* 55643010280n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a96n/an/a1,376n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a2012,2861,965n/a2,608108
7
97,2165.06%4,9162*24219718137n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a49n/an/a695n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a1101,120975n/a1,32845
8
129,3661.02%1,3193*5246225n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a13n/an/an/a472n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a18209187n/a2878
9
51.56%49,125CE2,188
10
94,78629.85%28,2891*1,5431,27166809n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a226n/an/an/an/a3,426n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a6136,6065,842n/a7,610277
11
94,78616.90%16,0172*87671231475n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a144n/an/an/an/a1,983n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a3613,6343,385n/a4,222194
12
100,1264.81%4,8193*2532057123n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a38n/an/an/an/an/a735n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a951,143932n/a1,23454
13
7.00%6,663FOUS292
14
94,7863.99%3,7861*222174498n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a31n/an/an/an/a494n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a79891744n/a1,01336
15
94,7862.04%1,9302*10368854n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a19n/an/an/an/a232n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a38452393n/a54221
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97,8260.97%9473*5650123n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a7n/an/an/an/an/an/a127n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a17210200n/a2497
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24.97%23,756EXP1,098
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94,78612.04%11,4151*60652026339n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a103n/an/an/an/a1,381n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a2302,6922,341n/a3,062115
19
94,7868.04%7,6192*43136818198n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a64n/an/an/an/a858n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a1491,8611,511n/a2,07982
20
96,6264.89%4,7223*2602109149n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a38n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a652n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a891,094942n/a1,22851
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OTHER
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1,114,0980.012%137Angra Mainyun/a0n/an/an/an/a**2 Event CE**n/an/an/an/a0221n/an/an/an/an/an/a100n/an/a0001001023250
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1,045,3030.400%4,180Event 3* CEsn/an/an/an/a516262875623368656n/an/an/an/an/an/an/a2,983n/a194104417n/an/a11816531
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982,9460.041%399Event 3* Serv.n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a466n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/a329n/an/a0n/an/an/an/an/an/an/an/aN/AN/A
25
Either Event CE Rates or # of Rolls (verification)
5,2004,2512002,7100.36%0.47%0.54% each0.51%0.23%0.48%0.57%8280.16%0.44%5.00%1.03%12.05%4.38%0.88%4.90%0.01%0.407%0.04%0.17%0.39%0.34%0.63%0.12%0.74%0.29%2,00022,20019,4200.27%0.21%0.10%
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Ty2012's 1637 Pre-Angra rolls have been excluded from Angra Calculations
Oddly lowLow # subs
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3* Event CE Rate Excluding F/Zero
28
# Rolls73,209
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# 3* CE298
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Community Drop Rates*Estimated*
"official"
drop rates
FP needed
to have a
75% chance
SQ Summon Rates - For Comparison
% Rate0.407%
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i.e. you have a 1% chance to summon a 3* servant
Est. # availableCard type drop rateIndividual drop rateRate-Up Banners
Individual Rates
No Rate Up
Individual Rate
FZero Rate0.407%
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1*2*3*Any Servants4716.28%Rate Up *Non-Rate Up *StoryOVERALL
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Servant10.20%5.06%1.02%16.28%1*610.20%1.70%10.0%16,170
5* Servant
0.70%0.023%0.062%1%
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CE29.85%16.90%4.81%51.56%2*115.06%0.46%5.0%60,173
4* Servant
1.50%0.075%0.115%3%
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Fou3.99%2.04%0.97%7.00%3*301.02%0.034%1.0%815,658
3* Servant
4.00%1.300%1.379%40%
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EXP12.04%8.04%4.89%24.97%CE4351.56%
Servants = 44% for any rarity
CE = 56% for any rarity
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Event CE0.400%1*529.85%5.97%30.0%4,505** 5* CE 2.80%0.092%0.307%4%
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Event 3* Servant
0.041%Angra0.012%2*516.90%3.38%17.0%8,0644* CE 4.00%0.363%0.545%12%
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3*334.81%0.15%5.0%189,9643* CE 8.00%2.285%2.857%40%
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FOU487.00%
* Rate Up based on Fate Accel Zero 2018 NA
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i.e. if you DO summon a servant, 6% chance to be a 3*
1*163.99%0.25%4.0%110,924
* Rate up = #1 of each: 5s, 4s, 3s, 4ce, & 3ce; #2 of 5ce
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1*2*3*OUT OF...2*162.04%0.13%2.0%217,729
* INDIVIDUAL card rates, except for Overall and 5* Rate up CE
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Servant62.67%31.07%6.26%16.28%3*160.97%0.06%1.0%458,119
** 5* Rate up CE rate is the sum of 2x 5* CE, which was 1.4% each
44
CE57.89%32.78%9.34%51.56%EXP2424.97%
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Fou57.07%29.09%13.83%7.00%1*812.04%1.51%12.0%18,279
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EXP48.23%32.19%19.57%24.97%2*88.04%1.00%8.0%27,456
Command Code Statistics (JP only)
47
3*84.89%0.61%5.0%45,249
Total 10-Pulls
1,189
48
OTHER
Total FP Spent
2,378,000
49
Logarithmic probability of getting angra means that
Event CE10.400%69,196
Total # of pulls
11,890
50
to get a x% chance of rolling angra, you need to do
Event Servant10.041%682,895
Total # of 1* Codes
111
51
50%56410x pulls1.13Million FPAngra10.012%2,254,559
Total # of 2* Codes
57
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75%112710x pulls2.25Million FPSUM = 99.81%100.00%
Total # of submitters
23
53
90%187210x pulls3.74Million FP
# of servants estimated: Camelot Release
54
# CE estimated: Post Fate Zero 2018
Sums to 100, why I think
Rate of 1*0.93%
55
See "FP Summon Pool" sheet
these would be "official"
Rate of 2*0.48%
56
57
It seems the 3* Event CE in effect has a 10% rate among any 3* CE summoned
58
Event CE drop 0.406% vs other 3* CE have ~0.15% - 0.2% drop rate. So 2x
59
and 10% of the overall 4.08% 3* CE drop rate in general
70