| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | AB | AC | AD | AE | AF | AG | AH | AI | AJ | AK | AL | AM | AN | AO | AP | AQ | AR | AS | ||
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1 | Sum of rolls adjust for partial submissions | Visitors: Comment Only Privileges Note, the drop rate adjusts for partial data sets thanks to Officer Artoria's equations | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Total FP: | 220,132,800 | Submitter | u/DoltFor Duval | Ty2012 | tjm | Amira | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | doit4cu and ty2012 | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | danmarce (JP) | r/grandorder and Discord Submissions from Fate Accel Zero Order Collab 2018 | u/Ty2012 Anon1 | r/grandorder
and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | r/grandorder and Discord | @Edwarzo | @Lyinne | @Lyinne | r/grandorder and Discord | @Lyinne | @C | |||||||||||||||||
3 | Total Rolls | % Rate | # Rolled | Event / Date | 9/11/2017 | Imported daily rolls | 9/12/2017 | 8/29/17 to 10/24/17 | MoonFest 2017 | Saber Wars 2017 | KNK 2017 | Halloween 2017 | GUDA 2017 | Xmas 2017 | Valentines 2018 | 9/11/2017 JP NeroFest? | Modified Data Sets | Aggregate Essential | AGGREGATE of most players' data totalling 837,726 Rolls | Rashoumon 2018 | Journey to the West 2018 | Onigashima 2018 | Summer 2018 | Prisma 2018 | Halloween Rerun 17 - 18 | Nero Fest 2018 | 4m download | Pre-4m non-event | Pre-4m event | Halloween 2018 | NY 2019 | NY 2019 | ||||||||||||||
4 | 1,100,664 | TOTAL ROLLS | 5,200 | 4,251 | 200 | 2,710 | 14,129 | 13,080 | 560 | 5,540 | 3,110 | 11,660 | 4,070 | 828 | 41,370 | 150,570 | 13,887 | 46,037 | 11,457 | 16,797 | 14,497 | 13,297 | 827,516 | 733,386 | 789,836 | 580 | 2,330 | 1,170 | 1,580 | 3,240 | 540 | 5,790 | 2,000 | 22,200 | 19,420 | 5,830 | 25,520 | 1,000 | ||||||||
5 | 16.28% | 16,151 | SERVANTS | 673 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 97,216 | 10.20% | 9,916 | 1* | 556 | 430 | 10 | 280 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 96 | n/a | n/a | 1,376 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 201 | 2,286 | 1,965 | n/a | 2,608 | 108 | ||||||
7 | 97,216 | 5.06% | 4,916 | 2* | 242 | 197 | 18 | 137 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 49 | n/a | n/a | 695 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 110 | 1,120 | 975 | n/a | 1,328 | 45 | ||||||
8 | 129,366 | 1.02% | 1,319 | 3* | 52 | 46 | 2 | 25 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 472 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 18 | 209 | 187 | n/a | 287 | 8 | ||||||
9 | 51.56% | 49,125 | CE | 2,188 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 94,786 | 29.85% | 28,289 | 1* | 1,543 | 1,271 | 66 | 809 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 226 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3,426 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 613 | 6,606 | 5,842 | n/a | 7,610 | 277 | ||||||
11 | 94,786 | 16.90% | 16,017 | 2* | 876 | 712 | 31 | 475 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 144 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 1,983 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 361 | 3,634 | 3,385 | n/a | 4,222 | 194 | ||||||
12 | 100,126 | 4.81% | 4,819 | 3* | 253 | 205 | 7 | 123 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 38 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 735 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 95 | 1,143 | 932 | n/a | 1,234 | 54 | ||||||
13 | 7.00% | 6,663 | FOUS | 292 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 94,786 | 3.99% | 3,786 | 1* | 222 | 174 | 4 | 98 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 494 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 79 | 891 | 744 | n/a | 1,013 | 36 | ||||||
15 | 94,786 | 2.04% | 1,930 | 2* | 103 | 68 | 8 | 54 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 19 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 232 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 38 | 452 | 393 | n/a | 542 | 21 | ||||||
16 | 97,826 | 0.97% | 947 | 3* | 56 | 50 | 1 | 23 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 7 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 127 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 17 | 210 | 200 | n/a | 249 | 7 | ||||||
17 | 24.97% | 23,756 | EXP | 1,098 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 94,786 | 12.04% | 11,415 | 1* | 606 | 520 | 26 | 339 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 103 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 1,381 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 230 | 2,692 | 2,341 | n/a | 3,062 | 115 | ||||||
19 | 94,786 | 8.04% | 7,619 | 2* | 431 | 368 | 18 | 198 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 64 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 858 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 149 | 1,861 | 1,511 | n/a | 2,079 | 82 | ||||||
20 | 96,626 | 4.89% | 4,722 | 3* | 260 | 210 | 9 | 149 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 38 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 652 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 89 | 1,094 | 942 | n/a | 1,228 | 51 | ||||||
21 | OTHER | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22 | 1,114,098 | 0.012% | 137 | Angra Mainyu | n/a | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | **2 Event CE** | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0 | 2 | 21 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 100 | n/a | n/a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | ||||||
23 | 1,045,303 | 0.400% | 4,180 | Event 3* CEs | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 51 | 62 | 6 | 28 | 7 | 56 | 23 | 3 | 68 | 656 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 2,983 | n/a | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 17 | n/a | n/a | 118 | 16 | 53 | 1 | ||||||
24 | 982,946 | 0.041% | 399 | Event 3* Serv. | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 4 | 66 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 329 | n/a | n/a | 0 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | N/A | N/A | ||||||
25 | Either Event CE Rates or # of Rolls (verification) | 5,200 | 4,251 | 200 | 2,710 | 0.36% | 0.47% | 0.54% each | 0.51% | 0.23% | 0.48% | 0.57% | 828 | 0.16% | 0.44% | 5.00% | 1.03% | 12.05% | 4.38% | 0.88% | 4.90% | 0.01% | 0.407% | 0.04% | 0.17% | 0.39% | 0.34% | 0.63% | 0.12% | 0.74% | 0.29% | 2,000 | 22,200 | 19,420 | 0.27% | 0.21% | 0.10% | |||||||||
26 | Ty2012's 1637 Pre-Angra rolls have been excluded from Angra Calculations | Oddly low | Low # subs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
27 | 3* Event CE Rate Excluding F/Zero | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
28 | # Rolls | 73,209 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
29 | # 3* CE | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | Community Drop Rates | *Estimated* "official" drop rates | FP needed to have a 75% chance | SQ Summon Rates - For Comparison | % Rate | 0.407% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | i.e. you have a 1% chance to summon a 3* servant | Est. # available | Card type drop rate | Individual drop rate | Rate-Up Banners Individual Rates | No Rate Up Individual Rate | FZero Rate | 0.407% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
32 | 1* | 2* | 3* | Any | Servants | 47 | 16.28% | Rate Up * | Non-Rate Up * | Story | OVERALL | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | Servant | 10.20% | 5.06% | 1.02% | 16.28% | 1* | 6 | 10.20% | 1.70% | 10.0% | 16,170 | 5* Servant | 0.70% | 0.023% | 0.062% | 1% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
34 | CE | 29.85% | 16.90% | 4.81% | 51.56% | 2* | 11 | 5.06% | 0.46% | 5.0% | 60,173 | 4* Servant | 1.50% | 0.075% | 0.115% | 3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | Fou | 3.99% | 2.04% | 0.97% | 7.00% | 3* | 30 | 1.02% | 0.034% | 1.0% | 815,658 | 3* Servant | 4.00% | 1.300% | 1.379% | 40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
36 | EXP | 12.04% | 8.04% | 4.89% | 24.97% | CE | 43 | 51.56% | Servants = 44% for any rarity | CE = 56% for any rarity | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | Event CE | 0.400% | 1* | 5 | 29.85% | 5.97% | 30.0% | 4,505 | ** 5* CE | 2.80% | 0.092% | 0.307% | 4% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
38 | Event 3* Servant | 0.041% | Angra | 0.012% | 2* | 5 | 16.90% | 3.38% | 17.0% | 8,064 | 4* CE | 4.00% | 0.363% | 0.545% | 12% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | 3* | 33 | 4.81% | 0.15% | 5.0% | 189,964 | 3* CE | 8.00% | 2.285% | 2.857% | 40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | FOU | 48 | 7.00% | * Rate Up based on Fate Accel Zero 2018 NA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
41 | i.e. if you DO summon a servant, 6% chance to be a 3* | 1* | 16 | 3.99% | 0.25% | 4.0% | 110,924 | * Rate up = #1 of each: 5s, 4s, 3s, 4ce, & 3ce; #2 of 5ce | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
42 | 1* | 2* | 3* | OUT OF... | 2* | 16 | 2.04% | 0.13% | 2.0% | 217,729 | * INDIVIDUAL card rates, except for Overall and 5* Rate up CE | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
43 | Servant | 62.67% | 31.07% | 6.26% | 16.28% | 3* | 16 | 0.97% | 0.06% | 1.0% | 458,119 | ** 5* Rate up CE rate is the sum of 2x 5* CE, which was 1.4% each | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
44 | CE | 57.89% | 32.78% | 9.34% | 51.56% | EXP | 24 | 24.97% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | Fou | 57.07% | 29.09% | 13.83% | 7.00% | 1* | 8 | 12.04% | 1.51% | 12.0% | 18,279 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | EXP | 48.23% | 32.19% | 19.57% | 24.97% | 2* | 8 | 8.04% | 1.00% | 8.0% | 27,456 | Command Code Statistics (JP only) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
47 | 3* | 8 | 4.89% | 0.61% | 5.0% | 45,249 | Total 10-Pulls | 1,189 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | OTHER | Total FP Spent | 2,378,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | Logarithmic probability of getting angra means that | Event CE | 1 | 0.400% | 69,196 | Total # of pulls | 11,890 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | to get a x% chance of rolling angra, you need to do | Event Servant | 1 | 0.041% | 682,895 | Total # of 1* Codes | 111 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | 50% | 564 | 10x pulls | 1.13 | Million FP | Angra | 1 | 0.012% | 2,254,559 | Total # of 2* Codes | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | 75% | 1127 | 10x pulls | 2.25 | Million FP | SUM = | 99.81% | 100.00% | Total # of submitters | 23 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | 90% | 1872 | 10x pulls | 3.74 | Million FP | # of servants estimated: Camelot Release | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
54 | # CE estimated: Post Fate Zero 2018 | Sums to 100, why I think | Rate of 1* | 0.93% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
55 | See "FP Summon Pool" sheet | these would be "official" | Rate of 2* | 0.48% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | It seems the 3* Event CE in effect has a 10% rate among any 3* CE summoned | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
58 | Event CE drop 0.406% vs other 3* CE have ~0.15% - 0.2% drop rate. So 2x | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | and 10% of the overall 4.08% 3* CE drop rate in general | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||