Risk Events Tracker - July 2017
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TickRisk EventSectorJanFebMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugAprilMayJuneJuly
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AUDHome Loan ( MoM )Housing0.9%0.4%0.5%-0.8%-0.90%-1.9%1.0%Aug 08BearishBearishBearishBearish
3
AUDBuilding ApprovalsHousing7.0%-1.2%1.8%8.3%-13.4%4.8%-5.6%July 31BullishBearishBullishBearish
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AUDRBA Rate StatementEconomyDowishDowishNeutralDowishAug 01BearishBearishNeutralBearish
5
AUDCaixin Services PMIEconomy53.453.152.652.251.552.851.6Aug 03BearishBearishBullishBearish
6
AUDCNY - CPI YoYEconomy2.1%2.5%0.8%0.9%1.21.51.5Aug 08BearishBullishBullishBearish
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AUDEmployment Change
Labour Market
13.5K13.5K-6.4K60.9K46.1K42.0K14KAug 17BullishBullishBullishBearish
8
AUDCNY - Manufacturing PMIEconomy51.451.351.651.251.251.751.4Aug 31BearishNeutralBullishBearish
9
AUDCPI q/qInflation0.5--0.5--0.2Oct 25BearishNeutralNeutralBearish
10
AUDNAB Business ConfidenceConsumer610761389Aug 07BearishBullishBearishBullish
11
AUD
CNY - Caixin Manufacturing PMI
Economy51.95151.751.250.349.650.4Aug 01BearishBearishBearishBullish
12
AUDAIG Manufacturing IndexEconomy55.451.259.357.5--55Aug 01NeutralNeutralNeutralBullish
13
AUDRetail Sales MoMConsumer0.2%-0.1%0.4%-0.2%-0.2%1.00%0.6%Aug 04BearishBearishBullishBullish
14
AUDAIG Services IndexEconomy57.754.54951.75351.554.8Aug 02NeutralNeutralNeutralBullish
15
AUDTrade Balance -AUDEconomy1.24B3.51B1.3B3.57B3.11B0.09B2.47BAug 02BullishBearishBearishBullish
16
AUDCNY - Trade BalanceEconomy275355-60164262282294Aug 08BullishBullishBearishBullish
17
AUD
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Consumer0%2%0%-1%-1.10%-1.8%0.4%Aug 08BearishBearishBearishBullish
18
AUD
CNY - Industruial Production m/m
Economy6%na6%8%6.5%6.5%7.6%Aug 14BullishBearishNeutralBullish
19
AUDCNY - Retail Sales y/yEconomy11%10%11%10.7%10.7%11%Aug 14BullishBearishBearishBullish
20
AUDCNY - GDP q/yEconomy6.8%nana6.9%--6.9%Aug 14BullishNeutralNeutralBullish
21
AUD10 Yrs Bond YieldMarket2.732.742.712.582.392.622.69Aug 31BearishBearishBullishBullish
22
AUDCommitments of TradersMarket10K33K45K42K2.6K19K56KAug 31BearishBearishBullishBullish
23
AUDGDP q/qEconomy--1.1%--0.3%-Sep 06BullishBullishBullishNeutral
24
AUDUnemployment Rate
Labour Market
5.8%5.7%5.9%5.9%5.7%5.65.6Aug 17NeutralBullishBullishNeutral
25
AUDCPI YoYInflation1.5--2.1--1.9-BearishNeutralNeutralNeutral
26
CADTrade Balance - CADEconomy0.5B0.9B0.8B-1.0B-0.9B-0.6B-1.1BAug 04BearishBearishBearishBearish
27
CADCore Retail Sales ( MoM)Consumer0.1-0.31.7-0.1-0.11.5-0.1Aug 18BullishBearishBullishBearish
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CADTSX Composite IndexEconomy15.38515.39915.54715.58615.32215.182115.128Aug 31NeutralBearishBearishBearish
29
CADHousing Starts
Housing Market
na207K214K254K214K195K213KAug 04BullishBearishBearishBullish
30
CADBOC Rate DecisionMarket0.50%0.50%0.50%0.50%0.50%-0.75Sep 06NeutralNeutralNeutralBullish
31
CADManufacturing Sales (MoM)Economy1.52.30.6-0.60.80.41.1Aug 14NeutralBearishBullishBullish
32
CADBuilding Permits (MoM)
Housing Market
-0.1%-6.6%5.4%-2.8%-4.9%0.5%8.9%Sep 07BearishBearishBearishBullish
33
CADIvey PMIEconomy60.857.25561.162.453.861.6Aug 04BullishNeutralBearishBullish
34
CADEmployment Change
Labour Market
48.3K15.3K19.4K3.2K54.5K45.3KAug 04BullishBearishBullishBullish
35
CADGDP (MoM)Economy0.40.30.600.50.20.6Aug 31BearishBullishNeutralBullish
36
CADRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.2-0.52.2-0.60.50.70.6Aug 18BearishBullishBullishBullish
37
CADUnEmployment Rate
Labour Market
6.8%6.6%6.7%6.5%6.6%6.5Aug 04BullishBullishNeutralBullish
38
CAD10yrs Bond YieldMarket1.7611.6351.6251.5511.4101.7622.04Aug 31BearishBearishBullishBullish
39
CADOILMarket53.0154.0850.9648.9248.1946.3349.67Aug 31BearishBearishBearishBullish
40
CAD
Commitments of Traders ( Net )
Market3K30K-28K-42K-99K-49K26KAug 31BearishBullishBullishBullish
41
CADCPI (YoY)Inflation1.61.71.71.31.10.90.9Aug 18BearishBearishBearishNeutral
42
CADCPI (MoM)Inflation-0.2%0.9%0.2%0.2%0.4%0.1%-0.1Aug 18BearishBearishBearishNeutral
43
EURCustomer ConfidenceConsumer-5-6-5-4-3-1-2Aug 21BullishNeutralBullishBearish
44
EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy16.610.412.819.520.618.617.5Aug 15BullishBearishBearishBearish
45
EUR
Euro ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy23.217.125.626.335.137.735.6Aug 15BullishBullishBullishBearish
46
EURGerman Flash Services PMIEconomy53.254.455.655.455.254.053.5Aug 22BearishBullishBearishBearish
47
EUR
Eur Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy55.155.556.256.75757.456.8Aug 22BullishBullishBullishBearish
48
EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy56.557.058.358.259.459.658.3Aug 22BullishBullishBullishBearish
49
EUR
German Unemployment Change
Labour Market
-17K-26K-14K-30K-15K-7K7KAug 01BullishBullishBearishBearish
50
EUREur Final Services PMIEconomy53.753.755.556.056.456.355.4Aug 03BearishBullishNeutralBullish
51
EURECB Press ConferenceEconomyDowishDowishNeutralHawkishSep 07BullishBullishNeutralBullish
52
EUR
German IFO Business Climate
Economy109.8111112.3113114.6115.1116Aug 25BullishBullishBullishBullish
53
EURGerman Retail Sales mmConsumer-0.9-0.81.80.2-0.20.51.1Aug 31NeutralBearishBullishBullish
54
EURCore CPI Flash Estimate y/yInflation0.90.90.71.20.91.11.2Aug 31BullishBearishBullishBullish
55
EUREuro Unemployment Rate
Labour Market
9.89.69.69.59.59.39.1Aug 31NeutralBearishBullishBullish
56
EURGerman 10 Yrs Bond YieldMarket0.460.210.320.3180.30300.4670.554Aug 31BearishBearishBullishBullish
57
EUR
Commitments of Traders ( Net )
Market-52K-55K-19K-21K64K58K90KAug 31NeutralBullishBullishBullish
58
EURRetail Sales -EuroConsumer-0.40%-0.30%-0.10%0.70%0.20%0.1%0.4%Aug 03BullishBullishBearishNeutral
59
EURFinal CPI y/yInflation1.11.821.51.91.41.3Aug 17BearishNeutralNeutralNeutral
60
EUREur Flash Services PMIEconomy53.655.656.556.456.255.455.4Aug 22BullishNeutralBearishNeutral
61
EUR
GFK German Consume Climate
Consumer10101010.210.410.610.8Aug 29BullishBullishBullishNeutral
62
EURCPI Flash Estimate y/yInflation1.821.51.91.41.31.3Aug 31BullishBearishBullishNeutral
63
GBPManufacturing PMIEconomy56.155.954.654.257.356.354.3Aug 01BearishBullishBullishBearish
64
GBPConstruction PMIEconomy54.252.252.552.253.15654.8Aug 02BullishBullishBullishNeutral
65
GBP
Average Earnings Index (3MoY)
Labour Market
2.8%2.6%2.2%2.3%%2.3%2.1%1.8%Aug 16BullishNeutralBearishNeutral
66
GBPPrelim GDP QoQEconomy0.6--0.2--0.3Oct 25BearishNeutralNeutralNeutral
67
GBPGDP Second Estimate q/qEconomy-0.70%--0.20%--Aug 24NeutralBearishNeutral
68
GBPUn-employment Rate
Labour Market
4.84.84.74.74.64.64.5Aug 16NeutralBullishNeutralBullish
69
GBPClaimant Count Change
Labour Market
-10.1K-42.4K-11.3K33.5K22.0K7.5K6.0KAug 16BearishBearishBullishBullish
70
GBP
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Market0-0-90-0-91-0-81-0-73-0-5-Aug 03BullishNeutralBullish
71
GBPPMI - Services UKEconomy56.254.553.35555.853.853.4Aug 03BullishBullishBearishNeutral
72
GBPCore CPI (YoY)Inflation1.61.621.82.42.62.5Aug 15BullishBullishBearishBearish
73
GBPCPI (YoY)Inflation1.61.82.32.32.72.92.6Aug 15BullishBullishBullishBearish
74
GBPRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer-1.90%-0.30%1.40%-1.40%2.50%-1.1%0.6Aug 17BearishBullishBearishBullish
75
GBPGFK Consumer ConfidenceConsumer-5-6-6-7-5-10-12Aug 30BearishBullishBearishBearish
76
GBP
Manufacturing Production m/m
Economy1.3%%2.1%-0.9%-0.1%-0.6%0.2%-0.2%Aug 10BearishBearishBearishBearish
77
GBPBOE Gov Carney SpeaksMarket
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish Dowish Dowish Dowish Aug 04BearishBearishBearishNeutral
78
GBPGDP(YoY)Economy2.221.92.1221.7Aug 26BullishBearishNeutralNeutral
79
GBPBBA Morgage Approvals
Housing Market
43.2Kna42.6K41.1K40.8K40.3K40.2KAug 25BearishNeutralNeutralNeutral
80
GBP
Nationwide Housing Price ( YoY)
Housing Market
4.54.34.52.62.63.13.1Aug 31BearishNeutralBullishNeutral
81
GBP10yrs Bond YieldMarket1.411.151.121.0851.0461.2571.213Aug 31BearishBearishBullishBearish
82
GBP
Commitments of Traders ( Net )
Market-63K-66K-107K-91K-23K-39K-26KAug 31BullishBullishBullishBullish
83
JPYCurrent Account AdjustedEconomy1.80T1.67T1.26T2.27T1.73T1.81T1.40TAug 07BullishNeutralBullishBearish
84
JPYConsumer ConfidenceConsumer43.143.243.143.943.243.643.3Aug 02BullishBearishNeutralBearish
85
JPYFlash Manufacturing PMIEconomy52.853.552.652.853.152.452.2Aug 24BearishBearishBearishNeutral
86
JPYTrade BalanceEconomy0.36T0.16T0.68T0.17T0.16T0.13T0.08TAug 16BearishBearishBearishBearish
87
JPYFinal GDPEconomy--0.3--0.3-Dec 07BearishNeutralBearish
88
JPYRetail Sales YoYConsumer0.610.12.13.22.02.1Aug 29BullishBearishBearishBearish
89
JPYBOJ Policy RateEconomydowishdowishdowishdowishdowishNeutralNeutralSep 21NeutralNeutralNeutralNeutral
90
JPY
Overall Household spendingYoY
Consumer-0.3-1.2-3.8-1.3-1.4-0.12.3Aug 28BearishBearishBullishBullish
91
JPYHousing Starts YoYHousing3.912.8-2.60.21.9-0.31.7Aug 31BullishBullishBullishBullish
92
JPYNational Core CPI y/yInflation-0.20.10.20.20.30.40.4Aug 24NeutralBearishNeutralNeutral
93
JPYTokyo Core CPI y/yInflation-0.3-0.3-0.4-0.10.10.00.2Aug 24BullishBullishBearishBullish
94
JPY
Revised Industrial Production MoM
Economy1.50.7-43.2-1.94.0-3.6Aug 15BullishBullishBearishBearish
95
JPYUnemployment RateLabor3.132.82.82.83.12.8Aug 28BullishNeutralBearishBullish
96
USD
Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Economy-0.20.4-0.2-0.40.30.2Aug 25BearishNeutralBearishBearish
97
USDDurable Goods Orders m/mEconomy1.81.70.7-0.7-0.86.5Aug 25BearishBullishBearishBullish
98
JPYNikkeiMarket19.06319.20219.65020,03319925Aug 31BullishBullishBullishBearish
99
JPY10 YRS Bond YieldMarket0.10.0620.0630.0160.0460.0810.079Aug 31BearishBullishBullishBearish
100
JPYCommitments of TradersMarket-66K-50K-66K-30K-51K-61K-121KAug 31BullishBearishBearishBullish
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