Risk Events Tracker - July 2017
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TickRisk EventSectorJanFebMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugAprilMayJuneJuly
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AUDHome Loan ( MoM )Housing0.9%0.4%0.5%-0.8%-0.90%-1.9%1.0%Aug 08BearishBearishBearishBearish
3
AUDBuilding ApprovalsHousing7.0%-1.2%1.8%8.3%-13.4%4.8%-5.6%July 31BullishBearishBullishBearish
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AUDRBA Rate StatementEconomyDowishDowishNeutralDowishAug 01BearishBearishNeutralBearish
5
AUDCaixin Services PMIEconomy53.453.152.652.251.552.851.6Aug 03BearishBearishBullishBearish
6
AUDCNY - CPI YoYEconomy2.1%2.5%0.8%0.9%1.21.51.5Aug 08BearishBullishBullishBearish
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AUDNAB Business ConfidenceConsumer610761389Aug 07BearishBullishBearishBullish
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AUD
CNY - Caixin Manufacturing PMI
Economy51.95151.751.250.349.650.4Aug 01BearishBearishBearishBullish
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AUDAIG Manufacturing IndexEconomy55.451.259.357.5--55Aug 01NeutralNeutralNeutralBullish
10
AUDRetail Sales MoMConsumer0.2%-0.1%0.4%-0.2%-0.2%1.00%0.6%Aug 04BearishBearishBullishBullish
11
AUDAIG Services IndexEconomy57.754.54951.75351.554.8Aug 02NeutralNeutralNeutralBullish
12
AUDTrade Balance -AUDEconomy1.24B3.51B1.3B3.57B3.11B0.09B2.47BAug 02BullishBearishBearishBullish
13
AUDCNY - Trade BalanceEconomy275355-60164262282294Aug 08BullishBullishBearishBullish
14
AUD
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Consumer0%2%0%-1%-1.10%-1.8%0.4%Aug 08BearishBearishBearishBullish
15
AUD
CNY - Industruial Production m/m
Economy6%na6%8%6.5%6.5%7.6%Aug 14BullishBearishNeutralBullish
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AUDCNY - Retail Sales y/yEconomy11%10%11%10.7%10.7%11%Aug 14BullishBearishBearishBullish
17
AUDCNY - GDP q/yEconomy6.8%nana6.9%--6.9%Aug 14BullishNeutralNeutralBullish
18
AUDGDP q/qEconomy--1.1%--0.3%Sep 06BullishBullishBullish
19
AUDUnemployment Rate
Labour Market
5.8%5.7%5.9%5.9%5.7%5.65.6Aug 17NeutralBullishBullishNeutral
20
AUDEmployment Change
Labour Market
13.5K13.5K-6.4K60.9K46.1K42.0K14KAug 17BullishBullishBullishBearish
21
AUDCNY - Manufacturing PMIEconomy51.451.351.651.251.251.7July 31BearishNeutralBullish
22
AUDCPI q/qInflation0.5%--0.5%--July 26BearishNeutralNeutral
23
AUDCPI YoYInflation1.5%--2.1%--July 26BearishNeutralNeutral
24
AUD10 Yrs Bond YieldMarket2.732.742.712.582.392.62July 31BearishBearishBullish
25
AUDCommitments of TradersMarket10K33K45K42K2.6K19KJuly 31BearishBearishBullish
26
CADHousing Starts
Housing Market
na207K214K254K214K195K213KAug 04BullishBearishBearishBullish
27
CADBOC Rate DecisionMarket0.50%0.50%0.50%0.50%0.50%-0.75Sep 06NeutralNeutralNeutralBullish
28
CADTrade Balance - CADEconomy0.5B0.9B0.8B-1.0B-0.9B-0.6B-1.1BAug 04BearishBearishBearishBearish
29
CADManufacturing Sales (MoM)Economy1.52.30.6-0.60.80.41.1Aug 14NeutralBearishBullishBullish
30
CADBuilding Permits (MoM)
Housing Market
-0.1%-6.6%5.4%-2.8%-4.9%0.5%8.9%Sep 07BearishBearishBearishBullish
31
CADCore Retail Sales ( MoM)Consumer0.1%-0.3%1.7%-0.1%-0.1%1.5%July 21BullishBearishBullish
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CADIvey PMIEconomy60.857.25561.162.453.861.6Aug 04BullishNeutralBearishBullish
33
CADEmployment Change
Labour Market
48.3K15.3K19.4K3.2K54.5K45.3KAug 04BullishBearishBullishBullish
34
CADGDP (MoM)Economy0.4%0.3%0.6%0.0%0.5%0.2%July 28BearishBullishNeutral
35
CADTSX Composite IndexEconomy15.38515.39915.54715.58615.32215.1821July 31NeutralBearishBearish
36
CADRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.2%-0.5%2.2%-0.6%0.5%0.8%July 21BearishBullishBullish
37
CADUnEmployment Rate
Labour Market
6.8%6.6%6.7%6.5%6.6%6.5Aug 04BullishBullishNeutralBullish
38
CADCPI (YoY)Inflation1.6%1.7%1.7%1.3%1.1%0.9%July 21BearishBearishBearish
39
CAD10yrs Bond YieldMarket1.7611.6351.6251.5511.4101.762July 31BearishBearishBullish
40
CADOILMarket53.0154.0850.9648.9248.1946.33July 31BearishBearishBearish
41
CAD
Commitments of Traders ( Net )
Market3K30K-28K-42K-99K-49KJuly 31BearishBullishBullish
42
CADCPI (MoM)Inflation-0.2%0.9%0.2%0.2%0.4%0.1%July 21BearishBearishBearish
43
EURRetail Sales -EuroConsumer-0.40%-0.30%-0.10%0.70%0.20%0.1%0.4%Aug 03BullishBullishBearishNeutral
44
EUR
GFK German Consume Climate
Consumer10101010.210.410.6July 27BullishBullishBullish
45
EURGerman Retail Sales mmConsumer-0.9%-0.8%1.8%0.2%-0.2%0.5%July 31NeutralBearishBullish
46
EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy16.610.412.819.520.618.617.5Aug 15BullishBearishBearishBearish
47
EUR
Euro ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy23.217.125.626.335.137.735.6Aug 15BullishBullishBullishBearish
48
EUREur Final Services PMIEconomy53.753.755.556.056.456.355.4Aug 03BearishBullishNeutralBullish
49
EURFinal CPI y/yInflation1.11.821.51.91.41.3Aug 17BearishNeutralNeutralNeutral
50
EURCustomer ConfidenceConsumer-5-6-5-4-3-1-2Aug 21BullishNeutralBullishBearish
51
EURECB Press ConferenceEconomyDowishDowishNeutralHawkishSep 07BullishBullishNeutralBullish
52
EURGerman Flash Services PMIEconomy53.254.455.655.455.253.7July 21BearishBullishBearish
53
EUR
Eur Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy55.155.556.256.75757.3July 21BullishBullishBullish
54
EUR
German IFO Business Climate
Economy109.8111112.3113114.6115.1July 25BullishBullishBullish
55
EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy56.557.058.358.259.459.3July 21BullishBullishBullish
56
EURCore CPI Flash Estimate y/yInflation0.9%0.9%0.7%1.2%0.9%1.1%July 31BullishBearishBullish
57
EURCPI Flash Estimate y/yInflation1.8%2.0%1.5%1.9%1.4%1.3%July 31BullishBearishBullish
58
EUR
German Unemployment Change
Labour Market
-17K-26K-14K-30K-15K-9KJuly 31BullishBullishBearish
59
EUREuro Unemployment Rate
Labour Market
9.89.69.69.59.59.3July 31NeutralBearishBullish
60
EUREur Flash Services PMIEconomy53.655.656.556.456.254.7July 21BullishNeutralBearish
61
EURGerman 10 Yrs Bond YieldMarket0.460.210.320.3180.30300.467July 31BearishBearishBullish
62
EUR
Commitments of Traders ( Net )
Market-52K-55K-19K-21K64K58KJuly 31NeutralBullishBullish
63
EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
HawkishJuly 25NeutralNeutralBullish
64
GBPManufacturing PMIEconomy56.155.954.654.257.356.354.3Aug 01BearishBullishBullishBearish
65
GBPConstruction PMIEconomy54.252.252.552.253.15654.8Aug 02BullishBullishBullishNeutral
66
GBP
Average Earnings Index (3MoY)
Labour Market
2.8%2.6%2.2%2.3%%2.3%2.1%1.8%Aug 16BullishNeutralBearishNeutral
67
GBPPrelim GDP QoQEconomy0.60%--0.30%--July 26BearishNANA
68
GBPGDP Second Estimate q/qEconomy-0.70%--0.20%--Aug 24NeutralBearishNA
69
GBPUn-employment Rate
Labour Market
4.84.84.74.74.64.64.5Aug 16NeutralBullishNeutralBullish
70
GBPClaimant Count Change
Labour Market
-10.1K-42.4K-11.3K33.5K22.0K7.5K6.0KAug 16BearishBearishBullishBullish
71
GBP
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Market0-0-90-0-91-0-81-0-73-0-5-Aug 03BullishNeutralBullish
72
GBPPMI - Services UKEconomy56.254.553.35555.853.853.4Aug 03BullishBullishBearishNeutral
73
GBPCore CPI (YoY)Inflation1.61.621.82.42.62.5Aug 15BullishBullishBearishBearish
74
GBPCPI (YoY)Inflation1.61.82.32.32.72.92.6Aug 15BullishBullishBullishBearish
75
GBPRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer-1.90%-0.30%1.40%-1.40%2.50%-1.1%0.6Aug 17BearishBullishBearishBullish
76
GBPGFK Consumer ConfidenceConsumer-5-6-6-7-5-10July 27BearishBullishBearish
77
GBP
Manufacturing Production m/m
Economy1.3%%2.1%-0.9%-0.1%-0.6%0.2%-0.2%Aug 10BearishBearishBearishBearish
78
GBPBOE Gov Carney SpeaksMarket
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish Dowish Dowish Dowish Aug 04BearishBearishBearishNeutral
79
GBPGDP(YoY)Economy2.221.92.122July 31BullishBearishNeutral
80
GBPBBA Morgage Approvals
Housing Market
43.2Kna42.6K41.1K40.8K40.3KJuly 25BearishNeutralNeutral
81
GBP
Nationwide Housing Price ( YoY)
Housing Market
4.5%4.3%4.5%2.6%2.6%3.1%July 31BearishNeutralBullish
82
GBP10yrs Bond YieldMarket1.411.151.121.0851.0461.257July 31BearishBearishBullish
83
GBP
Commitments of Traders ( Net )
Market-63K-66K-107K-91K-23K-39KJuly 31BullishBullishBullish
84
JPYCurrent Account AdjustedEconomy1.80T1.67T1.26T2.27T1.73T1.81T1.40TAug 07BullishNeutralBullishBearish
85
JPYConsumer ConfidenceConsumer43.143.243.143.943.243.643.3Aug 02BullishBearishNeutralBearish
86
JPYFlash Manufacturing PMIEconomy52.853.552.652.853.152.0July 24BearishBearishBearish
87
JPYTrade BalanceEconomy0.36T0.16T0.68T0.17T0.16T0.13T1.22TBearishBearishBearish
88
JPYFinal GDPEconomy--0.30%--0.3%Sep 07BearishNeutralBearish
89
JPYRetail Sales YoYConsumer0.60%1.00%0.10%2.10%3.20%2.0%July 27BullishBearishBearish
90
JPYBOJ Policy RateEconomydowishdowishdowishdowishdowishNeutralNeutralSep 21NeutralNeutralNeutralNeutral
91
JPY
Overall Household spendingYoY
Consumer-0.3%-1.2%-3.8%-1.3%-1.4-0.1%July 27BearishBearishBullish
92
JPYHousing Starts YoYHousing3.9%12.8%-2.6%0.2%1.9%-0.3%July 31BullishBullishBullish
93
JPYNational Core CPI y/yInflation-0.2%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.4%July 27NeutralBearishNeutral
94
JPYTokyo Core CPI y/yInflation-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%0.1%0.0%July 27BullishBullishBearish
95
JPY
Revised Industrial Production MoM
Economy1.5%0.7%-4.0%3.2%-1.9%4.0%-3.6%Aug 15BullishBullishBearishBearish
96
JPYUnemployment RateLabor3.1%3.0%2.8%2.8%2.8%3.1%July 27BullishNeutralBearish
97
JPYNikkeiMarket19.06319.20219.65020,033July 31BullishBullishBullish
98
JPY10 YRS Bond YieldMarket0.10.0620.0630.0160.0460.081July 31BearishBullishBullish
99
JPYCommitments of TradersMarket-66K-50K-66K-30K-51K-61KJuly 31BullishBearishBearish
100
JPYPrelim GDP q/qEconomy-0.30%--0.50%--Aug 14BullishBullishNA
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