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Scenario 1Scenario 2Yrs from now
Money moved to AMF
NPV of money moved to AMF
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Expected money moved to AMF per year, starting 5 years from now$50,000,000$50,000,000
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Discount rate3%3%100
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200
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NPV of money to AMF 10 yrs forward from 5 years from now$411,041,834$411,041,834300
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400
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p(reduces money that goes to AMF by 50%)5%5%5$50,000,000$43,130,439
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amount it reduces money to AMF by50%50%6$50,000,000$41,874,213
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Number of distributions to measure10107$50,000,000$40,654,576
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Cost per measurement$1,000,000$2,000,0008$50,000,000$39,470,462
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Total cost$10,000,000$20,000,0009$50,000,000$38,320,837
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10$50,000,000$37,204,696
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Expected impact on AMF giving$10,276,046$10,276,04611$50,000,000$36,121,064
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Benefit / cost1.00.512$50,000,000$35,068,994
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13$50,000,000$34,047,567
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14$50,000,000$33,055,890
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15$50,000,000$32,093,097
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