VA-Gov Primary Election Survey Data - Change Research (changeresearch.org)
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1
Survey of the Virginia Governor's race, conducted June 8-10, by Change Research (info@changeresearch.org)Margin of Error: +/- 2%
2
Full SampleRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
3
All Respondents 100%3232323229%25%26%17%16%23%7%26%16%8%24%32%5%7%4%2%57%31%54%18%28%8%10%5.3
4
5
6
Age RangeRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
7
18 to 24 9%46029140%10%24%12%22%12%4%31%16%9%17%23%4%13%5%3%31%47%36%13%24%8%8%5.7
8
25 to 34 17%46554939%17%25%16%17%20%3%34%12%6%16%31%5%7%2%2%37%48%59%14%26%5%9%5.6
9
35 to 44 18%49258234%10%35%17%22%18%5%28%17%5%17%32%5%9%6%5%55%35%50%13%28%7%10%5.3
10
45 to 54 20%54464624%28%31%15%14%22%7%25%17%9%30%26%6%8%4%2%53%33%54%22%22%9%8%4.8
11
55 to 64 20%74364626%33%21%19%12%31%8%23%15%8%28%36%6%6%2%1%69%22%51%21%30%8%11%5.2
12
65 or older 16%52851721%43%19%17%15%23%9%25%18%10%31%42%5%3%4%0%78%16%65%19%34%10%9%5.4
13
14
15
GenderRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
16
Female 53%1530171328%24%26%19%15%19%6%31%17%6%19%36%4%9%3%3%59%29%51%13%31%7%11%5.7
17
Male 47%1702151932%26%26%13%17%25%7%24%16%9%29%28%7%6%4%2%54%35%56%23%24%9%8%4.8
18
19
20
RegistrationRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
21
Democrat 38%1073121630%25%24%17%0%88%0%0%0%12%1%70%0%12%0%5%62%28%88%0%63%0%14%7.5
22
Independent 30%116698226%26%31%15%12%17%11%29%20%9%13%20%6%8%4%2%39%44%38%8%12%9%13%5
23
Republican 32%993103420%12%26%7%17%23%5%26%15%8%62%1%10%0%8%0%48%24%58%47%1%16%0%3
24
25
26
EthnicityRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
27
16316217%30%34%16%9%28%9%18%24%9%26%29%5%4%2%2%57%27%42%17%23%10%9%4.7
28
American Indian or Alaskan Native 1%1416100%0%0%0%0%10%0%34%56%0%42%12%22%0%0%0%100%0%45%35%12%10%0%2.9
29
Asian / Pacific Islander 3%509746%9%25%11%13%18%16%17%26%0%32%20%5%4%5%5%29%62%48%17%21%18%6%5.5
30
Black or African American 19%20761432%18%32%14%32%24%0%44%0%0%3%53%0%18%0%5%62%26%32%4%49%1%17%6.9
31
Hispanic 6%8317835%23%21%11%12%22%0%37%5%9%29%26%5%3%5%1%54%36%60%24%26%10%4%5.3
32
White / Caucasian 67%2715216528%29%22%19%17%23%7%26%16%8%29%28%7%5%5%2%55%33%55%21%23%9%8%4.9
33
34
35
President Vote Plus_2016Raw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
36
Did not vote 1%1243032%24%20%12%24%5%7%25%10%13%9%15%3%2%2%2%9%32%5%4%11%4%3%4.9
37
Donald Trump, the Republican 34%981111110%41%25%13%16%24%6%27%16%7%54%1%11%0%7%0%41%27%57%40%1%17%0%3
38
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian 3%17810013%23%30%32%17%4%18%28%11%18%11%9%7%6%8%1%6%65%0%2%5%9%11%4.6
39
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 38%1159124330%25%26%17%12%5%19%3%4%27%1%66%0%14%0%4%60%31%0%0%55%0%18%7.4
40
Jill Stein, the Green Party 1%621860%9%26%3%57%0%43%0%0%0%2%39%0%5%0%3%0%85%43%2%19%2%22%6.1
41
No Response But Party ID Democrat 8%20627433%21%9%14%1%49%0%13%0%8%30%34%0%39%0%17%7.5
42
No Response But Party ID Independent 7%26522231%0%57%13%32%18%4%27%18%0%10%8%6%9%2%3%26%27%43%9%2%1%10%4.6
43
No Response But Party ID Republican 7%25723410%10%8%26%21%13%44%1%13%0%11%0%0%0%51%27%2%19%0%2.5
44
45
46
President Vote TodayRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
47
69770536%11%17%15%18%13%8%22%15%15%17%19%6%7%4%3%34%24%53%12%13%7%8%6.1
48
Donald Trump, the Republican 33%96910604%42%29%11%16%25%6%26%17%7%57%1%10%0%7%0%48%26%57%43%0%17%0%2.9
49
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian 5%21014929%35%9%19%12%6%12%42%10%14%8%15%12%3%6%1%28%58%19%2%10%9%13%4.6
50
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 36%1128116530%25%27%16%7%5%18%8%0%31%1%67%0%13%0%4%61%29%0%0%57%0%17%7.5
51
I would not vote 3%13410414%32%18%36%15%5%0%59%19%3%4%14%8%18%3%5%40%44%30%1%14%9%12%5.8
52
Jill Stein, the Green Party 2%945050%7%31%4%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%47%0%14%0%1%7%83%0%0%22%2%21%6.1
53
54
55
Primary News SourceRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
56
1127111836%17%24%15%15%23%5%27%16%9%26%21%5%5%5%2%45%37%44%17%14%12%6%4.4
57
Breitbart 1%27380%0%0%100%20%31%3%30%14%0%72%1%13%0%1%0%0%100%72%61%0%17%0%2.4
58
CNN 9%25728931%20%28%15%31%3%0%35%11%14%7%50%2%14%1%3%57%29%65%7%43%2%16%6.7
59
Fox News 17%52554447%3%12%6%16%26%10%22%16%5%60%2%12%1%7%0%49%24%58%48%2%15%0%2.7
60
Huffington Post 1%494850%5%15%27%0%19%0%81%0%0%6%43%3%12%2%3%44%44%54%6%55%1%7%6.8
61
Infowars 1%1618100%0%0%0%0%13%0%12%64%6%48%5%20%0%0%0%100%0%74%37%5%11%0%3.3
62
MSNBC 6%16618825%34%31%9%19%0%0%23%0%24%2%72%1%10%1%4%76%20%29%4%67%1%10%7.5
63
New York Times 2%766341%39%17%4%41%0%0%51%0%8%3%62%0%16%0%2%51%45%0%1%57%4%7%7.2
64
NPR 8%29824631%26%25%16%10%4%4%33%20%22%5%61%2%13%1%3%46%44%34%1%45%3%19%7.1
65
TV Network News (ABC, NBC, CBS) 16%50051622%25%24%29%17%19%4%31%15%12%17%31%4%9%4%3%65%24%58%9%26%7%14%5.6
66
Washington Post 5%19116423%30%31%14%14%7%7%61%0%11%4%63%3%7%0%6%57%31%9%1%52%2%15%6.9
67
68
69
Trump RatingRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
70
68669636%14%16%14%18%13%8%23%17%11%18%20%6%6%4%4%38%22%55%13%11%6%8%6.4
71
1 36%1154115030%25%26%18%6%6%15%28%6%21%1%66%0%13%0%3%59%32%12%0%55%0%18%7.4
72
2 4%14012727%27%27%10%15%15%3%28%23%6%5%37%2%20%2%9%46%41%37%1%33%2%14%6.1
73
3 3%1068138%19%22%18%12%0%7%47%0%14%8%31%6%9%2%7%66%12%0%1%22%5%12%5.8
74
4 2%685722%64%8%6%23%17%9%35%10%7%17%16%16%3%7%0%32%62%34%7%13%17%8%4.5
75
5 3%1211042%0%60%0%22%7%3%30%16%9%21%4%12%2%7%1%65%14%41%12%6%27%1%4
76
6 2%96792%75%17%6%20%7%6%35%23%9%36%7%4%1%12%2%85%8%32%17%0%20%0%3.7
77
7 6%1731870%100%0%0%21%17%5%24%17%9%50%0%13%0%6%0%0%0%38%33%0%15%0%3.7
78
8 9%2782880%46%0%30%12%20%5%35%16%11%61%1%10%0%6%0%29%38%58%38%0%16%0%3.1
79
9 6%1851970%0%100%0%11%27%7%24%22%4%58%0%13%0%12%0%0%100%58%49%0%22%0%2.5
80
10 8%22526517%9%40%14%19%38%9%16%11%4%61%2%7%1%5%0%18%62%75%58%1%9%0%2.3
81
82
83
Democratic Primary Election For_GovernorRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
84
2151214716%23%7%26%16%8%39%4%9%2%6%1%54%27%54%30%6%13%4%3.7
85
Definitely Ralph Northam 8%2682710%100%0%0%0%93%0%4%0%2%69%22%0%65%0%22%7.9
86
Definitely Tom Perriello 10%321319100%0%0%0%0%89%0%7%0%5%54%39%0%67%0%14%7.7
87
I probably won't vote 1%33350%0%0%0%0%42%0%30%0%27%26%33%5%45%0%15%5.8
88
Probably Ralph Northam 6%1961800%0%0%100%0%64%0%31%0%5%59%28%0%1%54%0%21%7.6
89
Probably Tom Perriello 9%2632800%0%100%0%0%64%0%28%0%8%53%35%0%49%0%17%7.1
90
91
92
Republican_GovRaw
Weighted
DEM PRIMARY: Definitely Perriello
Def Northam
Probably Perriello
Prob Northam
REP PRIMARY: Definitely Gillespie
Def Stewart
Def Wagner
Probably Gillespie
Prob StewartProb Wagner
Primary Def Rep
Primary Def Dem
Primary Prob Rep
Primary Prob Dem
Primary Maybe Rep
Primary Maybe Dem
Primary_2016 Clinton
Primary_2016 Sanders
Primary_2016 Trump
Nov Republicans
Nov Democrats
Nov Rep Gov Hod Tbd
Nov Dem Gov Hod Tbd
Avg_How Would You Rate_Governor_Terry_McAuliffe
93
2410239029%25%26%17%3%46%1%10%1%4%57%31%65%5%40%4%14%6.5
94
Definitely Corey Stewart 6%1801900%100%0%0%0%0%90%0%7%0%2%0%69%60%0%15%0%1.9
95
Definitely Ed Gillespie 4%139135100%0%0%0%0%0%87%0%7%0%6%0%57%68%1%11%0%2.6
96
Definitely Frank Wagner 2%62560%0%100%0%0%0%80%0%14%0%6%0%56%36%0%22%0%2.7
97
I probably won't vote 1%32370%0%0%0%0%0%39%0%27%0%34%0%49%11%0%30%2%3.9
98
Probably Corey Stewart 4%1321360%0%0%0%100%0%65%0%23%0%11%0%48%40%0%20%1%2.6
99
Probably Ed Gillespie 7%2062230%0%0%100%0%0%59%0%22%0%19%0%42%38%0%18%0%3.2
100
Probably Frank Wagner 2%71660%0%0%0%0%100%78%0%17%0%5%0%53%26%0%16%3%4
Loading...
 
 
 
Survey
Sheet1