PA_Drop-Off_PresToSen_WholeState_byCounty_2024Gen_Prelim_ElectionAtlas.xlsx

	B	D	E	F	G	I	J	K	L	N	O	P	Q	S	T	U	W
1	PENNSYLVANIA DROP-OFF ANALYSIS BY COUNTY 2024 PRESIDENT V SENATE PREL DATA
2		2024 US PRESIDENTIAL RACE BY COUNTY & PARTY				2024 US SENATE RACE BY COUNTY & PARTY				2024 US DROP-OFF FROM PRES TO SEN BY COUNTY & PARTY				PERCENTAGE OF DROP-OFF BY COUNTY & PARTY
3														Dem % Drop-off	Rep % Drop-off	Total % Drop-off
4	County	Dem	Rep	Other	Presidential Total	Dem	Rep	Other	Senate Total	Dem Drop-off	Rep Drop-off	Other Drop-off	Total Drop-off	(% of Pres Dem Total)	(% of Pres Rep Total)	(% of Total Pres Vote)	Analysis by the SMART Elections Data Team #SEDATA. All rights reserved. © 2024 SMART Elections
5	Drop-off as a percentage of Presidential Party Vote													1.13%	4.07%	1.32%	More information about this research is available on our Substack. Please subscribe. Our website has links to spreadsheets of each state's drop-off data by county that include each county's election results.

6	Adams	19,842	40,247	781	60,870	19,940	38,493	1,820	60,253	-98	1,754	-1,039	617	-0.49%	4.36%	1.01%	SMARTelections.us
7	Allegheny	429,160	283,250	10,266	722,676	424,560	272,549	17,736	714,845	4,600	10,701	-7,470	7,831	1.07%	3.78%	1.08%
8	Armstrong	8,553	28,296	360	37,209	9,136	26,653	1,155	36,944	-583	1,643	-795	265	-6.82%	5.81%	0.71%
9	Beaver	37,195	56,834	1,161	95,190	38,526	53,585	2,636	94,747	-1,331	3,249	-1,475	443	-3.58%	5.72%	0.47%
10	Bedford	4,336	23,658	224	28,218	4,624	22,855	564	28,043	-288	803	-340	175	-6.64%	3.39%	0.62%
11	Berks	91,116	116,660	2,624	210,400	89,053	108,042	6,521	203,616	2,063	8,618	-3,897	6,784	2.26%	7.39%	3.22%
12	Blair	18,127	46,352	661	65,140	18,445	44,741	1,537	64,723	-318	1,611	-876	417	-1.75%	3.48%	0.64%
13	Bradford	7,990	22,937	265	31,192	8,007	22,099	804	30,910	-17	838	-539	282	-0.21%	3.65%	0.90%
14	Bucks	198,472	198,764	5,198	402,434	196,478	194,244	9,191	399,913	1,994	4,520	-3,993	2,521	1.00%	2.27%	0.63%
15	Butler	40,661	79,773	1,444	121,878	40,973	77,328	2,666	120,967	-312	2,445	-1,222	911	-0.77%	3.06%	0.75%
16	Cambria	21,177	49,408	760	71,345	22,801	46,384	1,630	70,815	-1,624	3,024	-870	530	-7.67%	6.12%	0.74%
17	Cameron	538	1,654	27	2,219	580	1,558	76	2,214	-42	96	-49	5	-7.81%	5.80%	0.23%
18	Carbon	11,394	23,708	334	35,436	11,570	22,603	898	35,071	-176	1,105	-564	365	-1.54%	4.66%	1.03%
19	Centre	41,119	38,829	1,205	81,153	40,382	38,054	1,979	80,415	737	775	-774	738	1.79%	2.00%	0.91%
20	Chester	184,218	137,291	4,853	326,362	178,765	138,271	7,551	324,587	5,453	-980	-2,698	1,775	2.96%	-0.71%	0.54%
21	Clarion	4,561	15,035	184	19,780	4,683	14,179	815	19,677	-122	856	-631	103	-2.67%	5.69%	0.52%
22	Clearfield	9,647	30,481	387	40,515	10,111	29,063	1,038	40,212	-464	1,418	-651	303	-4.81%	4.65%	0.75%
23	Clinton	5,395	12,965	207	18,567	5,721	12,247	476	18,444	-326	718	-269	123	-6.04%	5.54%	0.66%
24	Columbia	11,083	21,190	436	32,709	10,962	20,600	813	32,375	121	590	-377	334	1.09%	2.78%	1.02%
25	Crawford	12,699	29,504	453	42,656	13,216	28,068	1,098	42,382	-517	1,436	-645	274	-4.07%	4.87%	0.64%
26	Cumberland	66,255	80,267	2,546	149,068	64,713	78,178	4,512	147,403	1,542	2,089	-1,966	1,665	2.33%	2.60%	1.12%
27	Dauphin	78,327	69,474	2,280	150,081	77,022	66,949	4,985	148,956	1,305	2,525	-2,705	1,125	1.67%	3.63%	0.75%
28	Delaware	201,324	123,421	3,427	328,172	197,424	121,482	7,551	326,457	3,900	1,939	-4,124	1,715	1.94%	1.57%	0.52%
29	Elk	4,483	12,543	187	17,213	4,679	11,939	484	17,102	-196	604	-297	111	-4.37%	4.82%	0.64%
30	Erie	67,436	68,862	1,657	137,955	67,852	65,597	3,369	136,818	-416	3,265	-1,712	1,137	-0.62%	4.74%	0.82%
31	Fayette	19,547	43,631	362	63,540	20,751	40,802	1,389	62,942	-1,204	2,829	-1,027	598	-6.16%	6.48%	0.94%
32	Forest	724	1,902	24	2,650	741	1,808	100	2,649	-17	94	-76	1	-2.35%	4.94%	0.04%
33	Franklin	23,543	59,604	1,016	84,163	23,591	57,217	2,313	83,121	-48	2,387	-1,297	1,042	-0.20%	4.00%	1.24%
34	Fulton	1,102	7,039	36	8,177	1,197	6,773	146	8,116	-95	266	-110	61	-8.62%	3.78%	0.75%
35	Greene	4,592	12,319	325	17,236	5,075	11,643	427	17,145	-483	676	-102	91	-10.52%	5.49%	0.53%
36	Huntingdon	5,368	17,627	211	23,206	5,582	16,910	536	23,028	-214	717	-325	178	-3.99%	4.07%	0.77%
37	Indiana	12,697	29,215	425	42,337	13,181	27,881	1,006	42,068	-484	1,334	-581	269	-3.81%	4.57%	0.64%
38	Jefferson	4,707	18,235	241	23,183	4,834	17,618	626	23,078	-127	617	-385	105	-2.70%	3.38%	0.45%
39	Juniata	2,290	9,721	128	12,139	2,478	9,251	313	12,042	-188	470	-185	97	-8.21%	4.83%	0.80%
40	Lackawanna	59,510	56,261	1,154	116,925	61,653	51,944	2,289	115,886	-2,143	4,317	-1,135	1,039	-3.60%	7.67%	0.89%
41	Lancaster	120,119	166,261	4,292	290,672	118,580	162,105	7,668	288,353	1,539	4,156	-3,376	2,319	1.28%	2.50%	0.80%
42	Lawrence	15,440	31,347	468	47,255	16,176	29,405	1,211	46,792	-736	1,942	-743	463	-4.77%	6.20%	0.98%
43	Lebanon	24,734	48,282	970	73,986	24,745	46,172	2,222	73,139	-11	2,110	-1,252	847	-0.04%	4.37%	1.14%
44	Lehigh	96,317	91,207	2,286	189,810	94,875	87,147	5,562	187,584	1,442	4,060	-3,276	2,226	1.50%	4.45%	1.17%
45	Luzerne	62,445	92,397	1,483	156,325	64,495	87,048	3,442	154,985	-2,050	5,349	-1,959	1,340	-3.28%	5.79%	0.86%
46	Lycoming	17,216	41,961	669	59,846	17,354	40,672	1,472	59,498	-138	1,289	-803	348	-0.80%	3.07%	0.58%
47	McKean	5,115	14,401	234	19,750	5,231	13,799	541	19,571	-116	602	-307	179	-2.27%	4.18%	0.91%
48	Mercer	20,145	37,761	685	58,591	20,302	36,468	1,318	58,088	-157	1,293	-633	503	-0.78%	3.42%	0.86%
49	Mifflin	4,735	17,184	201	22,120	4,991	16,413	542	21,946	-256	771	-341	174	-5.41%	4.49%	0.79%
50	Monroe	42,017	42,690	842	85,549	41,712	40,884	2,455	85,051	305	1,806	-1,613	498	0.73%	4.23%	0.58%
51	Montgomery	317,103	198,311	7,724	523,138	311,859	196,422	11,687	519,968	5,244	1,889	-3,963	3,170	1.65%	0.95%	0.61%
52	Montour	3,862	5,944	141	9,947	3,813	5,847	240	9,900	49	97	-99	47	1.27%	1.63%	0.47%
53	Northampton	86,430	89,737	1,738	177,905	84,558	85,715	4,053	174,326	1,872	4,022	-2,315	3,579	2.17%	4.48%	2.01%
54	Northumberland	12,863	30,240	531	43,634	13,432	28,706	1,156	43,294	-569	1,534	-625	340	-4.42%	5.07%	0.78%
55	Perry	6,385	19,073	361	25,819	6,470	18,355	855	25,680	-85	718	-494	139	-1.33%	3.76%	0.54%
56	Philadelphia	567,871	144,154	10,716	722,741	540,942	128,984	19,594	689,520	26,929	15,170	-8,878	33,221	4.74%	10.52%	4.60%
57	Pike	13,132	21,537	362	35,031	12,909	20,869	831	34,609	223	668	-469	422	1.70%	3.10%	1.20%
58	Potter	1,675	7,334	109	9,118	1,695	7,109	251	9,055	-20	225	-142	63	-1.19%	3.07%	0.69%
59	Schuylkill	20,882	51,665	814	73,361	22,224	48,553	2,063	72,840	-1,342	3,112	-1,249	521	-6.43%	6.02%	0.71%
60	Snyder	5,239	14,664	178	20,081	5,309	14,211	427	19,947	-70	453	-249	134	-1.34%	3.09%	0.67%
61	Somerset	8,596	31,993	398	40,987	9,059	30,667	1,090	40,816	-463	1,326	-692	171	-5.39%	4.14%	0.42%
62	Sullivan	976	2,721	24	3,721	1,021	2,612	82	3,715	-45	109	-58	6	-4.61%	4.01%	0.16%
63	Susquehanna	6,093	16,114	264	22,471	6,129	15,545	542	22,216	-36	569	-278	255	-0.59%	3.53%	1.13%
64	Tioga	5,100	16,272	274	21,646	5,066	15,778	588	21,432	34	494	-314	214	0.67%	3.04%	0.99%
65	Union	8,015	12,969	273	21,257	7,872	12,747	453	21,072	143	222	-180	185	1.78%	1.71%	0.87%
66	Venango	7,631	18,887	302	26,820	7,911	17,829	903	26,643	-280	1,058	-601	177	-3.67%	5.60%	0.66%
67	Warren	6,205	14,332	235	20,772	6,408	13,645	595	20,648	-203	687	-360	124	-3.27%	4.79%	0.60%
68	Washington	44,910	75,929	1,117	121,956	45,926	71,798	2,717	120,441	-1,016	4,131	-1,600	1,515	-2.26%	5.44%	1.24%
69	Wayne	9,150	20,071	295	29,516	9,385	19,331	619	29,335	-235	740	-324	181	-2.57%	3.69%	0.61%
70	Westmoreland	74,904	135,008	2,186	212,098	76,004	128,040	4,893	208,937	-1,100	6,968	-2,707	3,161	-1.47%	5.16%	1.49%
71	Wyoming	4,680	10,222	193	15,095	4,750	9,917	349	15,016	-70	305	-156	79	-1.50%	2.98%	0.52%
72	York	91,915	154,880	3,325	250,120	91,769	148,094	8,050	247,913	146	6,786	-4,725	2,207	0.16%	4.38%	0.88%
73	TOTAL VOTES	3,421,088	3,542,505	89,539	7,053,132	3,382,278	3,398,495	179,521	6,960,294	38,810	144,010	-89,982	92,838
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