Public Copy of Smallpox Eradication Estimates
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Current Population7,442,135,578
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Inflation adjusted annual cost per person, '87 baselinePopulationTotalTotal cost per personNet benefit of eradication per yearNet benefit per personLoss productivity per person in total populationEconomic totalNon-econ total
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Developed1,000,266,667$753,917,254$0.75-$1,077,913,459-$1.08$0.21$211,819,628$542,097,626
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Developing2,500,000,000$2,304,832,746$0.92$1,938,515,381$0.78$0.86$2,154,049,296$150,783,451
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Total3,500,266,667$3,058,750,000$0.87$860,601,922$0.25$0.68$2,365,868,924$692,881,076
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Inflation adjusted annual cost per person, '67 baselinePopulationTotalTotal cost per personNet benefit of eradication per yearNet benefit per personLoss productivity per person in total populationEconomic totalNon-econ total
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Developed1,000,266,667$2,564,221,557$2.56$732,390,844$0.73$0.72$720,440,411$1,843,781,146
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Developing2,500,000,000$7,839,191,617$3.14$7,472,874,251$2.99$2.93$7,326,347,305$512,844,311
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Total3,500,266,667$10,403,413,174$2.97$8,205,265,096$2.34$2.30$8,046,787,716$2,356,625,457
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Eradication costsYearlyTotal
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Original$23,000,000$299,000,000
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1967 baseline$168,505,988$2,190,577,844
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1987 baseline$49,543,134$644,060,739
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Cost per vaccinationDevelopingUSDeveloped
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Original$0.10$6.50$6.50
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1967 baseline$0.73$47.62$47.62
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Percentage being vaccinated20%
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Number being vaccinated500,000,000
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Total spent on vaccination/monitoring Original$50,000,000$107,300,000$250,033,289
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1967 baseline$366,317,365$786,117,066$1,831,830,713
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2017 Inflation adjustment196019671987
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US Inflation826.69%732.63%215.40%
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Treatment Costs
Prevention costs
Economic
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PopulationTotalTotal per personLoss productivity per person in total populationDirectTreatment after illnessVaccination totalVaccination per personMonitoringTotalWork lossesDisabilityPremature deathOtherSource
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US200,266,667$150,200,000$0.75$0.21700,00092,800,0000.463382157114,500,00042,200,00041,700,000400,000100,000
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Developed1,000,266,667$350,000,000$0.35$0.1098,335,553
https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B3lpvu9ww5atZlJoNDl1WjRDSzA
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Developing2,500,000,000$1,070,000,000$0.43$0.4020,000,00050,000,0001,000,000,000
Fenner, et al, 1988, pg 1363-1368
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Total3,500,266,667$1,420,000,000$0.41$0.311,098,335,553
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Developed Country CostsTotal PopulationTotal CostsCosts per personFraction of costs EconomicSource
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US200266667150200000$0.7528%
Fenner, et al, 1988, pg 1363-1368
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non-US developed800,000,000200000000$0.25
https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B3lpvu9ww5atZlJoNDl1WjRDSzA
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Total1,000,266,667350200000$0.3528%
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