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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBI
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0
INCREASE AFF FACTOR UNTIL THIS THIS SHOWS NDP POPVOTE DESIRED >
33.7%
DUE TO MATH ODDITIES, THIS IS THE POPVOTE USED
2
TEDDY'S CURRENTLY USED NUMBERS >
19.59%40.49%33.57%19.82%3
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19.59%40.49%33.57%29.00%6.35%< PUT PROVINCEWIDE VOTE SHARE HERE41.03%0.380.300.300.07019.5919.59%1.1517380044.1242018444.1242018444.75
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ONLY CHANGE BLACK BACKGROUND CELLSOLPPCNDP33.68%
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667272454511<SEATS WONOLPPCNDPGrnOthersTOTAL0.42750.00855OLPPCNDPGrnOthersTOTAL
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OLPPCNDPOTH
7
LSDFFAFFneeded for majority (exactly half of seats) >62
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4.75042.75
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4.75042.75
< TEDDY'S CURRENTLY USED NUMBERS
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11
.#OLPPCNDPOTHLSDLSDLSDLSDLSDLSDLSDFFnew affAFFAFFAFFAFF
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1NDPAlgoma—ManitoulinFALSE3,329FALSEFALSE8,539FALSETRUE13,551TRUEFALSE1,113FALSEAlgoma—ManitoulinNDP2,4116,1859,81680619,2181.381Algoma—Manitoulin5,3934,8478,63582844120,14412,502.630.240.76-1,055.25-916.23-0.140.390.256,11456560.290-6656Algoma—Manitoulin6,5044,58914,17182844126,5330.530.29
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2PCBarrie—InnisfilFALSE5,929FALSETRUE18,165TRUEFALSE10,457FALSEFALSE2,056FALSEBarrie—InnisfilPC5,98218,32810,5512,07536,9360.992Barrie—Innisfil13,37914,3639,2822,13129039,4450.000.700.30-171.82-149.19-0.010.390.382,8371821820.006464117Barrie—Innisfil13,73314,2436,2112,13129036,6080.17-0.07
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3PCBarrie—Springwater—Oro-MedonteFALSE7,732FALSETRUE17,919TRUEFALSE10,131FALSEFALSE2,659FALSEBarrie—Springwater—Oro-MedontePC7,36517,0699,6502,53236,6161.053Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte16,47213,3768,4892,60118841,1260.000.710.29605.21525.480.030.390.422,6862262260.008888138Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte16,09313,8035,7552,60118838,4400.15-0.09
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4PCBay of QuinteFALSE7,209FALSETRUE21,459TRUEFALSE12,418FALSEFALSE2,062FALSEBay of QuintePC7,23721,54212,4662,07043,3141.004Bay of Quinte16,18516,88110,9662,12635446,5130.000.700.30-76.60-66.510.000.390.383,3652192190.007878141Bay of Quinte16,48116,8287,3592,12635443,1480.17-0.07
16
5PCBruce—Grey—Owen SoundFALSE4,013FALSETRUE24,877TRUEFALSE10,665FALSEFALSE3,261FALSEBruce—Grey—Owen SoundPC4,42927,45311,7693,59947,2500.915Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound9,90621,51410,3543,69638845,8580.000.750.25-1,539.90-1,337.03-0.120.390.273,0421401400.00414199Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound11,58620,3596,7873,69638842,8160.16-0.08
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6PCChatham-Kent—LeamingtonFALSE3,199FALSETRUE18,278TRUEFALSE16,844FALSEFALSE1,855FALSEChatham-Kent—LeamingtonPC3,50920,05418,4812,03544,0790.916Chatham-Kent—Leamington7,84915,71516,2582,09051842,4303,451.840.530.47-1,629.98-1,415.24-0.150.390.245,70682820.090-3182Chatham-Kent—Leamington9,56114,85113,1562,09051840,1760.330.09
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7PCDufferin—CaledonFALSE5,452FALSETRUE23,518TRUEFALSE9,048FALSEFALSE6,185FALSEDufferin—CaledonPC5,59524,1339,2846,34645,3570.977Dufferin—Caledon12,51318,9128,1676,51853846,6470.000.770.23-1,156.19-1,003.87-0.070.390.312,4441921920.007373119Dufferin—Caledon13,86118,0175,2696,51853844,2030.12-0.12
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8PCElgin—Middlesex—LondonFALSE2,573FALSETRUE23,613TRUEFALSE15,835FALSEFALSE1,780FALSEElgin—Middlesex—LondonPC3,03927,88818,7022,10251,7310.858Elgin—Middlesex—London6,79621,85516,4522,15975548,018768.820.640.36-1,876.79-1,629.52-0.190.390.204,98675750.020-2375Elgin—Middlesex—London8,74820,64911,4892,15975543,8000.260.02
20
9PCEssexFALSE3,168FALSETRUE20,238TRUEFALSE18,616FALSEFALSE2,424FALSEEssexPC2,02712,95111,9131,55128,4431.569Essex4,53410,14910,4801,59326,75729,203.790.270.73-1,780.32-1,545.77-0.240.390.1411,51454540.360-17554Essex6,3699,67726,8071,59344,4460.600.36
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10PCGlengarry—Prescott—RussellFALSE13,372FALSETRUE19,327TRUEFALSE10,812FALSEFALSE1,693FALSEGlengarry—Prescott—RussellPC11,17216,1479,0331,41537,7661.2010Glengarry—Prescott—Russell24,98712,6547,9461,45391847,9570.000.720.282,865.312,487.820.110.390.502,7523363360.00144144192Glengarry—Prescott—Russell22,45714,7245,6531,45391845,2050.13-0.11
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11PCHaldimand—NorfolkFALSE2,373FALSETRUE24,496TRUEFALSE13,725FALSEFALSE1,660FALSEHaldimand—NorfolkPC2,88329,76016,6752,01651,3330.8211Haldimand—Norfolk6,44823,32114,6692,07146,5090.000.690.31-1,811.90-1,573.19-0.190.390.204,25571710.000-1271Haldimand—Norfolk8,33122,0669,7862,07142,2540.23-0.01
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12PCHaliburton—Kawartha Lakes—BrockFALSE6,763FALSETRUE23,749TRUEFALSE15,438FALSEFALSE1,883FALSEHaliburton—Kawartha Lakes—BrockPC7,16225,15016,3481,99450,6550.9412Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock16,01919,70914,3822,04852,1580.000.670.33-646.56-561.38-0.030.390.354,3252062060.006262144Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock16,87219,2789,6352,04847,8330.20-0.04
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13PCHastings—Lennox and AddingtonFALSE4,176FALSETRUE17,457TRUEFALSE12,937FALSEFALSE1,818FALSEHastings—Lennox and AddingtonPC4,59219,19514,2251,99940,0100.9113Hastings—Lennox and Addington10,27015,04212,5142,05320140,0800.000.630.37-966.09-838.81-0.070.390.313,6911231230.00262697Hastings—Lennox and Addington11,35914,4308,3462,05320136,3890.23-0.01
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14PCHuron—BruceFALSE5,520FALSETRUE23,105TRUEFALSE17,326FALSEFALSE1,505FALSEHuron—BrucePC5,89524,67318,5021,60750,6770.9414Huron—Bruce13,18419,33516,2761,6511,80452,2500.000.630.37-1,305.07-1,133.13-0.080.390.314,7931581580.003333125Huron—Bruce14,64718,51210,8431,6511,80447,4570.23-0.01
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15PCKanata—CarletonFALSE6,175FALSETRUE22,870TRUEFALSE10,855FALSEFALSE3,090FALSEKanata—CarletonPC5,93821,99210,4382,97241,3401.0415Kanata—Carleton13,28017,2349,1833,0523,00045,7490.000.730.27-866.00-751.90-0.050.390.332,7591941940.007171123Kanata—Carleton14,34016,5986,0003,0523,00042,9900.14-0.10
27
16PCKenora—Rainy RiverFALSE1,013FALSETRUE8,370TRUEFALSE7,870FALSEFALSE593FALSEKenora—Rainy RiverPC8537,0526,63149915,0361.1916Kenora—Rainy River1,9095,5265,83351313,7818,110.170.360.64-725.61-630.01-0.240.390.154,04523230.290-5823Kenora—Rainy River2,6575,2669,41051317,8460.530.29
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17NDPKingston and the IslandsFALSE9,607FALSEFALSE12,746FALSETRUE20,984TRUEFALSE3,498FALSEKingston and the IslandsNDP9,06012,01919,7893,29944,1671.0617Kingston and the Islands20,2649,41917,4083,38822450,7032,242.680.410.59784.58681.210.030.390.4206,1102192190.055151168Kingston and the Islands19,6989,74413,7813,38822446,8350.290.05
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18PCLambton—Kent—MiddlesexFALSE2,752FALSETRUE23,981TRUEFALSE16,784FALSEFALSE1,744FALSELambton—Kent—MiddlesexPC3,18327,73919,4142,01752,3530.8618Lambton—Kent—Middlesex7,12021,73817,0782,0721,57049,578877.710.630.37-1,937.66-1,682.38-0.180.390.205,19578780.020-2478Lambton—Kent—Middlesex9,13620,51411,9692,0721,57045,2610.260.02
30
19PCLanark—Frontenac—KingstonFALSE4,090FALSETRUE23,790TRUEFALSE11,824FALSEFALSE2,526FALSELanark—Frontenac—KingstonPC4,57526,61613,2282,82647,2460.8919Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston10,23320,85811,6372,9031845,6490.000.720.28-1,445.45-1,255.02-0.110.390.283,4191361360.003535101Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston11,81519,8167,6782,9031842,2300.18-0.06
31
20PC
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
FALSE2,528FALSETRUE26,724TRUEFALSE10,538FALSEFALSE1,682FALSE
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
PC2,97031,39812,3821,97648,7270.8520
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
6,64324,60610,8922,03047144,6420.000.760.24-1,772.39-1,538.88-0.180.390.203,17084840.00111173
Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes
8,49923,2537,2192,03047141,4720.17-0.07
32
21NDPLondon—FanshaweFALSE3,396FALSEFALSE14,814FALSETRUE19,450TRUEFALSE1,958FALSELondon—FanshaweNDP2,79612,19416,0101,61132,6111.2121London—Fanshawe6,2539,55614,0841,6551,05832,60515,573.610.310.69-1,695.71-1,472.30-0.180.390.2008,56069690.260-10169London—Fanshawe8,0179,02619,8631,6551,05839,6190.500.26
33
22NDPLondon North CentreFALSE6,533FALSEFALSE16,443FALSETRUE19,872TRUEFALSE2,323FALSELondon North CentreNDP6,58716,58020,0382,34345,5480.9922London North Centre14,73312,99317,6272,40682948,5882,581.520.480.52-726.77-631.02-0.040.390.3505,9991501500.061616133London North Centre15,61012,64413,6822,40682945,1710.300.06
34
23NDPLondon WestFALSE4,806FALSEFALSE19,251FALSETRUE24,028TRUEFALSE2,189FALSELondon WestNDP4,59318,39922,9652,09248,0501.0523London West10,27414,41920,2022,1491,11948,16311,194.000.390.61-1,993.48-1,730.84-0.140.390.2509,0831061060.180-74106London West12,37313,63420,9992,1491,11950,2740.420.18
35
24PCNepeanFALSE6,560FALSETRUE23,634TRUEFALSE9,817FALSEFALSE2,259FALSENepeanPC6,58223,7149,8502,26742,4121.0024Nepean14,72118,5838,6652,32862344,9210.000.760.24-407.10-353.46-0.020.390.362,6522142140.008282131Nepean15,34218,2735,7032,32862342,2690.13-0.11
36
25NDPNickel BeltFALSE4,929FALSEFALSE10,124FALSETRUE14,866TRUEFALSE2,187FALSENickel BeltNDP2,5125,1607,5761,11516,3631.9625Nickel Belt5,6184,0436,6651,14517,47223,289.860.160.84-1,352.45-1,174.27-0.170.390.228,65560600.390-11260Nickel Belt7,0313,82720,1041,14532,1070.630.39
37
26PCNipissingFALSE2,724FALSETRUE17,663TRUEFALSE11,906FALSEFALSE1,005FALSENipissingPC3,13520,32813,7021,15738,3210.8726Nipissing7,01115,93012,0541,18858536,76847.710.650.35-1,296.18-1,125.41-0.130.390.253,51974740.003372Nipissing8,38215,0858,0571,18858533,2970.240.00
38
27PCNorthumberland—Peterborough SouthFALSE9,587FALSETRUE22,356TRUEFALSE15,529FALSEFALSE2,099FALSENorthumberland—Peterborough SouthPC9,39121,89715,2102,05648,5551.0227Northumberland—Peterborough South21,00417,16013,3802,11210353,7590.000.660.34693.27601.930.030.390.424,1882742740.009898176Northumberland—Peterborough South20,58417,6169,1562,11210349,5710.18-0.06
39
28NDPOttawa CentreFALSE17,115FALSEFALSE11,854FALSETRUE19,350TRUEFALSE4,912FALSEOttawa CentreNDP14,1239,78115,9674,05343,9241.2128Ottawa Centre31,5877,66514,0464,16380858,2700.000.470.534,278.333,714.670.130.390.5205,0383803800.00144144237Ottawa Centre27,6899,67810,8944,16380853,2320.20-0.04
40
29PCOrléansFALSE19,394FALSETRUE23,757TRUEFALSE10,154FALSEFALSE2,440FALSEOrléansPC15,30718,7508,0141,92643,9961.2729Orléans34,23514,6937,0501,97840658,3620.000.790.215,011.574,351.310.150.390.5302,6174654650.00211211254Orléans29,68818,6395,0341,97840655,7450.09-0.15
41
30PCOttawa SouthFALSE15,025FALSETRUE16,804TRUEFALSE11,116FALSEFALSE2,458FALSEOttawa SouthPC12,10313,5368,9541,98036,5741.2430Ottawa South27,07010,6087,8772,03465648,2450.000.690.313,718.133,228.270.140.390.5202,8423563560.00153153203Ottawa South23,70813,1885,8172,03465645,4030.13-0.11
42
31OLPOttawa—VanierTRUE16,123TRUEFALSE11,581FALSEFALSE10,476FALSEFALSE4,227FALSEOttawa—VanierOLP12,2968,8327,9893,22432,3401.3131Ottawa—Vanier27,5016,9217,0283,31137745,1380.000.640.364,461.693,873.880.170.390.5502,7313523520.00152152200Ottawa—Vanier23,3929,7635,5643,31137742,4070.13-0.11
43
32PCOttawa West—NepeanFALSE10,890FALSETRUE20,726TRUEFALSE12,201FALSEFALSE3,091FALSEOttawa West—NepeanPC9,94618,92911,1432,82342,8401.0932Ottawa West—Nepean22,24614,8349,8022,89931850,0990.000.700.301,512.731,313.440.060.390.4503,1923023020.00122122180Ottawa West—Nepean21,03515,8956,7602,89931846,9070.14-0.10
44
33PCOxfordFALSE2,736FALSETRUE22,480TRUEFALSE15,258FALSEFALSE1,700FALSEOxfordPC3,20426,32917,8711,99149,3960.8533Oxford7,16720,63315,7212,04576146,327562.880.640.36-1,787.56-1,552.06-0.170.390.214,71677770.020-1677Oxford9,03219,48510,8512,04576142,1740.260.02
45
34PCParry Sound—MuskokaFALSE3,614FALSETRUE19,998TRUEFALSE8,195FALSEFALSE5,890FALSEParry Sound—MuskokaPC3,87421,4338,7836,31340,4030.9334Parry Sound—Muskoka8,66416,7967,7266,48429639,9660.000.760.24-1,363.47-1,183.84-0.120.390.272,2681311310.00444487Parry Sound—Muskoka10,15815,7614,9996,48429637,6980.13-0.11
46
35PCPerth—WellingtonFALSE5,486FALSETRUE20,663TRUEFALSE12,992FALSEFALSE1,907FALSEPerth—WellingtonPC5,61521,14713,2961,95242,0100.9835Perth—Wellington12,55816,57211,6962,0051,70244,5330.000.670.33-861.27-747.80-0.060.390.333,4851661660.005050116Perth—Wellington13,58515,9927,7642,0051,70241,0480.19-0.05
47
36PCPeterborough—KawarthaFALSE12,754FALSETRUE21,148TRUEFALSE17,070FALSEFALSE2,441FALSEPeterborough—KawarthaPC11,65919,33215,6042,23248,8271.0936Peterborough—Kawartha26,07615,15013,7272,29263557,8800.000.630.371,998.051,734.810.070.390.464,4673353350.00126126209Peterborough—Kawartha24,41316,4079,6662,29263553,4130.18-0.06
48
37PCRenfrew—Nipissing—PembrokeFALSE2,310FALSETRUE29,119TRUEFALSE8,792FALSEFALSE1,114FALSERenfrew—Nipissing—PembrokePC2,70034,03910,2771,30248,3180.8637Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke6,04026,6759,0411,33788143,9740.000.810.19-1,773.09-1,539.49-0.190.390.192,64084840.00161668Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke7,89725,2415,9781,33788141,3340.14-0.10
49
38PCCarletonFALSE3,906FALSETRUE25,775TRUEFALSE7,798FALSEFALSE2,061FALSECarletonPC4,27228,1888,5282,25443,2420.9138Carleton9,55522,0897,5022,31530841,7690.000.810.19-1,354.46-1,176.01-0.110.390.282,2291471470.00535395Carleton11,05720,9904,8702,31530839,5400.12-0.12
50
39PCSarnia—LambtonFALSE2,448FALSETRUE22,508TRUEFALSE18,861FALSEFALSE1,833FALSESarnia—LambtonPC2,74325,21821,1332,05351,1470.8939Sarnia—Lambton6,13519,76218,5902,10934046,9375,762.910.530.47-1,947.50-1,690.92-0.210.390.187,04970700.120-7070Sarnia—Lambton8,15218,72216,3272,10934045,6500.360.12
51
40PCSault Ste. MarieFALSE2,213FALSETRUE14,411TRUEFALSE12,150FALSEFALSE839FALSESault Ste. MariePC2,47916,13913,60794033,1640.8940Sault Ste. Marie5,54412,64711,97096511531,2412,591.670.550.45-1,222.54-1,061.47-0.160.390.234,22058580.090-2558Sault Ste. Marie6,82511,9739,73596511529,6130.330.09
52
41PCSimcoe—GreyFALSE5,282FALSETRUE27,558TRUEFALSE10,848FALSEFALSE3,342FALSESimcoe—GreyPC5,70429,76411,7173,60950,7950.9341Simcoe—Grey12,75923,32510,3073,70750,0980.000.770.23-1,350.54-1,172.61-0.080.390.303,0681871870.006565122Simcoe—Grey14,29622,2886,7393,70747,0300.14-0.10
53
42PCSimcoe NorthFALSE5,505FALSETRUE24,304TRUEFALSE11,679FALSEFALSE3,248FALSESimcoe NorthPC5,87725,94712,4683,46847,7610.9442Simcoe North13,14520,33410,9683,56248,0090.000.730.27-1,065.07-924.75-0.060.390.323,2731841840.006161123Simcoe North14,39419,5567,2243,56244,7360.16-0.08
54
43PCStormont—Dundas—South GlengarryFALSE2,886FALSETRUE23,864TRUEFALSE12,238FALSEFALSE891FALSEStormont—Dundas—South GlengarryPC3,36327,80914,2611,03946,4730.8643Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry7,52221,79312,5461,06760243,5300.000.710.29-1,641.17-1,424.95-0.150.390.233,65187870.008879Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry9,25020,6248,3361,06760239,8790.21-0.03
55
44NDPSudburyFALSE5,170FALSEFALSE7,735FALSETRUE16,083TRUEFALSE1,481FALSESudburyNDP4,1196,16212,8121,18024,2741.2644Sudbury9,2124,82911,2711,21234826,8739,783.810.250.75-674.37-585.52-0.060.390.336,18785850.230-3785Sudbury9,9724,66314,2741,21234830,4690.470.23
56
45NDPThunder Bay—AtikokanFALSE9,625FALSEFALSE4,843FALSETRUE13,514TRUEFALSE1,165FALSEThunder Bay—AtikokanNDP7,7543,90210,88893923,4821.2445Thunder Bay—Atikokan17,3433,0589,57896467631,6191,370.270.310.692,353.892,043.770.130.390.523,8421861860.055757130Thunder Bay—Atikokan15,1763,7798,55296467629,1470.290.05
57
46NDPThunder Bay—Superior NorthFALSE11,246FALSEFALSE2,408FALSETRUE12,747TRUEFALSE1,325FALSEThunder Bay—Superior NorthNDP8,2401,7649,34097120,3141.3646Thunder Bay—Superior North18,4291,3828,2169971,04930,0741,339.160.200.803,105.532,696.390.170.390.563,6881961960.056363133Thunder Bay—Superior North15,5191,9918,1699971,04927,7250.290.05
58
47NDPTimminsFALSE1,106FALSEFALSE6,509FALSETRUE6,700TRUEFALSE297FALSETimminsNDP1,0486,1666,34728113,8431.0647Timmins2,3444,8325,5832893213,0814,429.020.410.59-624.49-542.21-0.180.390.202,89826260.220-3226Timmins2,9944,5796,7182893214,6120.460.22
59
48NDPWindsor—TecumsehFALSE3,307FALSEFALSE13,499FALSETRUE16,133TRUEFALSE3,771FALSEWindsor—TecumsehNDP1,8097,3828,8232,06220,0761.8348Windsor—Tecumseh4,0465,7857,7622,11868220,39226,120.300.190.81-1,505.62-1,307.26-0.230.390.1509,80348480.380-14748Windsor—Tecumseh5,5995,49322,8182,11868236,7100.620.38
60
49NDPWindsor WestFALSE7,567FALSEFALSE8,140FALSETRUE19,233TRUEFALSE1,391FALSEWindsor WestNDP6,2026,67115,7621,14029,7751.2249Windsor West13,8715,22813,8661,17189135,0277,854.890.260.74-10.10-8.770.000.390.3906,5511200.170-9120Windsor West14,0015,22515,0431,17189136,3310.410.17
61
50NDPTimiskaming—CochraneFALSE3,291FALSEFALSE8,997FALSETRUE13,435TRUEFALSE702FALSETimiskaming—CochraneNDP2,2336,1049,11547617,9281.4750Timiskaming—Cochrane4,9944,7838,01948961518,90013,845.610.240.76-1,087.13-943.90-0.150.390.236,320520.310-7352Timiskaming—Cochrane6,1344,52714,66148961526,4260.550.31
62
51NDPKiiwetinoongFALSE766FALSEFALSE1,943FALSETRUE2,166TRUEFALSE435FALSEKiiwetinoongNDP3398609591932,3522.2651Kiiwetinoong7596748441982,4754,331.930.160.84-227.65-197.66-0.200.390.191,49690.420-219Kiiwetinoong9956393,4791985,3110.660.42
63
52NDPMushkegowuk—James BayFALSE2,008FALSEFALSE1,703FALSETRUE4,429TRUEFALSE220FALSEMushkegowuk—James BayNDP1,0158612,2381114,2241.9852Mushkegowuk—James Bay2,2696751,969114285,0555,480.810.110.89-242.17-210.26-0.080.390.302,175220.360-2122Mushkegowuk—James Bay2,5336475,038114288,3600.600.36
64
1PCAjaxFALSE11,521FALSETRUE18,573TRUEFALSE11,843FALSEFALSE1,291FALSEAjaxPC10,20416,44810,4881,14338,2831.131Ajax22,82112,8909,2271,17421446,3260.000.690.312,296.511,993.950.100.390.4803,0983000.00122122178Ajax20,82514,4716,5441,17421443,2280.15-0.09
65
2PCAurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillFALSE8,560FALSETRUE17,618TRUEFALSE6,962FALSEFALSE1,325FALSEAurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond HillPC7,51715,4706,1131,16330,2631.142Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill16,81212,1235,3771,19574736,2550.000.780.221,292.531,122.240.070.390.4601,7902380.00104104135Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill15,75813,1363,6291,19574734,4650.11-0.13
66
3NDPBeaches—East YorkFALSE9,191FALSEFALSE8,920FALSETRUE22,153TRUEFALSE2,685FALSEBeaches—East YorkNDP7,7637,53418,7112,26836,2761.183Beaches—East York17,3625,90416,4602,32968242,7387,516.780.260.74295.54256.610.010.390.407,3061510.1544147Beaches—East York17,2185,98216,7372,32968242,9480.390.15
67
4NDPBrampton CentreFALSE4,805FALSEFALSE9,364FALSETRUE12,274TRUEFALSE1,653FALSEBrampton CentreNDP4,7489,25412,1301,63427,7661.014Brampton Centre10,6207,25210,6711,67822730,4481,262.280.470.53-34.01-29.530.000.390.3803,6141140.05222292Brampton Centre10,7687,2368,1871,67822728,0960.290.05
68
5NDPBrampton EastFALSE6,538FALSEFALSE4,702FALSETRUE14,682TRUEFALSE999FALSEBrampton EastNDP3,7152,6728,34456815,2981.765Brampton East8,3102,0947,3405831018,33615,226.720.120.88-554.84-481.74-0.050.390.3306,642760.330-5576Brampton East8,9412,02915,3585831026,9210.570.33
69
6NDPBrampton NorthFALSE6,322FALSEFALSE10,871FALSETRUE15,350TRUEFALSE1,169FALSEBrampton NorthNDP6,04710,39914,6841,11932,2481.056Brampton North13,5268,14912,9171,14930936,0502,314.500.440.56205.63178.540.010.390.4004,6521400.072525115Brampton North13,4608,23910,5551,14930933,7120.310.07
70
7NDPBrampton SouthFALSE7,000FALSEFALSE10,280FALSETRUE11,674TRUEFALSE1,002FALSEBrampton SouthNDP6,3289,29310,55390527,0791.117Brampton South14,1537,2829,2849301,28432,9330.000.540.46939.03815.320.060.390.4502,9781730.005858114Brampton South13,3877,7926,5629301,28429,9550.22-0.02
71
8NDPBrampton WestFALSE6,227FALSEFALSE7,258FALSETRUE11,097TRUEFALSE639FALSEBrampton WestNDP5,5646,4869,91657122,5371.128Brampton West12,4465,0828,72358693027,767404.840.460.54987.77857.640.070.390.4602,9511420.02434399Brampton West11,6005,5346,57158693025,2210.260.02
72
9NDPBrantford—BrantFALSE7,599FALSEFALSE18,760FALSETRUE20,639TRUEFALSE1,920FALSEBrantford—BrantNDP7,73319,09121,0041,95449,7820.989Brantford—Brant17,29514,96118,4772,00758953,3301,624.430.520.48-414.40-359.81-0.020.390.376,0361890.043636153Brantford—Brant17,89914,74613,6772,00758948,9180.280.04
73
10PCBurlingtonFALSE11,823FALSETRUE26,344TRUEFALSE14,094FALSEFALSE2,366FALSEBurlingtonPC11,02224,55913,1402,20550,9261.0710Burlington24,65319,24611,5592,26561158,3330.000.720.281,300.611,129.260.050.390.4303,7063380.00135135203Burlington23,69020,1817,8802,26561154,6270.14-0.10
74
11PCCambridgeFALSE6,760FALSETRUE16,209TRUEFALSE14,180FALSEFALSE2,139FALSECambridgePC6,77816,25114,2172,14539,3911.0011Cambridge15,15912,73512,5072,20351243,1160.000.600.4056.4148.970.000.390.3903,8281890.005858131Cambridge15,29112,7698,5132,20351239,2880.22-0.02
75
12NDPDavenportFALSE10,253FALSEFALSE4,128FALSETRUE19,008TRUEFALSE2,285FALSEDavenportNDP7,7933,13814,4491,73727,1161.3212Davenport17,4312,45912,7101,78463135,0156,937.670.160.841,314.321,141.160.070.390.466,2781560.161717139Davenport16,2722,66514,3221,78463135,6740.400.16
76
13OLPDon Valley EastTRUE12,800TRUEFALSE11,949FALSEFALSE7,406FALSEFALSE1,357FALSEDon Valley EastOLP9,7329,0855,6311,03225,4811.3213Don Valley East21,7687,1204,9541,06050735,4080.000.720.283,544.133,077.200.170.390.551,8952840.00126126158Don Valley East18,5089,6703,7681,06050733,5130.11-0.13
77
14PCDon Valley NorthFALSE11,381FALSETRUE14,184TRUEFALSE7,252FALSEFALSE1,402FALSEDon Valley NorthPC9,22311,4955,8771,13627,7321.2314Don Valley North20,6299,0085,1701,16712236,0960.000.750.252,903.642,521.090.140.390.5301,8772760.00122122154Don Valley North18,00111,1833,7461,16712234,2190.11-0.13
78
15PCDon Valley WestFALSE13,459FALSETRUE16,055TRUEFALSE5,683FALSEFALSE1,575FALSEDon Valley WestPC10,29012,2744,3451,20428,1131.3115Don Valley West23,0149,6183,8221,23753638,2280.000.820.183,500.513,039.320.150.390.541,4563160.00147147170Don Valley West19,83012,5042,6651,23753636,7720.07-0.17
79
16PCDurhamFALSE6,701FALSETRUE19,612TRUEFALSE18,781FALSEFALSE1,762FALSEDurhamPC7,03020,57519,7021,84949,1560.9516Durham15,72216,12317,3321,89940551,482789.590.560.44-631.66-548.44-0.030.390.355,4161780.023737141Durham16,53215,76812,2521,89940546,8560.260.02
80
17PCEglinton—LawrenceFALSE15,759FALSETRUE17,779TRUEFALSE6,494FALSEFALSE1,674FALSEEglinton—LawrencePC11,96213,4964,9291,27131,6581.3217Eglinton—Lawrence26,75510,5764,3361,30540743,3790.000.820.184,264.393,702.570.160.390.551,6733650.00169169195Eglinton—Lawrence22,85514,0793,0601,30540741,7060.07-0.17
81
18PCEtobicoke CentreFALSE13,755FALSETRUE20,666TRUEFALSE10,712FALSEFALSE1,466FALSEEtobicoke CentrePC11,17416,7888,7021,19137,8551.2318Etobicoke Centre24,99213,1567,6551,2232,21049,2360.000.740.262,640.052,292.230.100.390.4902,6373420.00148148194Etobicoke Centre22,69415,1045,3681,2232,21046,5990.12-0.12
82
19PCEtobicoke—LakeshoreFALSE12,896FALSETRUE21,667TRUEFALSE11,374FALSEFALSE2,219FALSEEtobicoke—LakeshorePC11,15418,7409,8371,91941,6501.1619Etobicoke—Lakeshore24,94814,6858,6541,97181751,0750.000.730.272,371.962,059.460.090.390.4802,9193400.00144144196Etobicoke—Lakeshore22,91616,4206,0321,97181748,1560.13-0.11
83
20PCEtobicoke NorthFALSE5,688FALSETRUE17,333TRUEFALSE12,483FALSEFALSE681FALSEEtobicoke NorthPC5,76117,55312,64268936,6450.9920Etobicoke North12,88513,75511,1217081,08339,5520.000.640.36-273.67-237.62-0.020.390.3703,3671640.005050114Etobicoke North13,32213,5797,4937081,08336,1850.21-0.03
84
21PCFlamborough—GlanbrookFALSE6,297FALSETRUE19,190TRUEFALSE15,885FALSEFALSE1,829FALSEFlamborough—GlanbrookPC6,55419,97216,5321,90344,9610.9621Flamborough—Glanbrook14,65915,65114,5431,95575847,5660.000.610.39-534.23-463.85-0.030.390.364,3651790.004848131Flamborough—Glanbrook15,37215,3259,7911,95575843,2010.23-0.01
85
22OTHGuelphFALSE8,416FALSEFALSE16,055FALSEFALSE17,462FALSETRUE30,552TRUEGuelphOTH8,23115,70317,07829,88170,8921.0222Guelph18,40912,30515,02330,69034876,7760.000.540.46-2,325.67-2,019.27-0.100.390.294,2912790.009999180Guelph21,01411,0489,38530,69034872,4850.13-0.11
86
23NDPHamilton CentreFALSE3,337FALSEFALSE7,312FALSETRUE15,320TRUEFALSE3,814FALSEHamilton CentreNDP2,3355,11610,7192,66920,8391.4323Hamilton Centre5,2224,0099,4302,74148921,89114,893.540.190.81-1,253.96-1,088.76-0.170.390.2207,002560.310-8356Hamilton Centre6,5323,77316,2482,74148929,7830.550.31
87
24NDPHamilton East—Stoney CreekFALSE5,622FALSEFALSE11,439FALSETRUE20,444TRUEFALSE1,814FALSEHamilton East—Stoney CreekNDP4,6769,51517,0061,50932,7061.2024Hamilton East—Stoney Creek10,4597,45714,9601,55086935,29411,835.970.280.72-1,181.75-1,026.06-0.090.390.3007,8111000.220-54100Hamilton East—Stoney Creek11,7417,12218,0371,55086939,3190.460.22
88
25NDPHamilton MountainFALSE5,504FALSEFALSE11,881FALSETRUE20,915TRUEFALSE2,125FALSEHamilton MountainNDP4,4129,52516,7681,70432,4091.2525Hamilton Mountain9,8697,46414,7511,75058534,41914,503.830.270.73-1,377.14-1,195.70-0.110.390.2808,497970.250-7197Hamilton Mountain11,3437,09919,6491,75058540,4260.490.25
89
26NDPHamilton West—Ancaster—DundasFALSE10,082FALSEFALSE15,740FALSETRUE19,812TRUEFALSE2,406FALSEHamilton West—Ancaster—DundasNDP9,66215,08518,9872,30646,0401.0426Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas21,61011,82116,7032,36858853,091306.780.510.491,103.21957.860.050.390.4305,3582530.017575177Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas20,76012,38311,9412,36858848,0400.250.01
90
27PCKing—VaughanFALSE10,501FALSETRUE16,026TRUEFALSE7,718FALSEFALSE1,192FALSEKing—VaughanPC8,76613,3796,44399529,5841.2027King—Vaughan19,60610,4845,6681,02262737,4080.000.750.252,255.661,958.490.110.390.501,9712670.00117117151King—Vaughan17,61812,1843,9861,02262735,4370.11-0.13
91
28NDPKitchener CentreFALSE7,448FALSEFALSE12,898FALSETRUE16,911TRUEFALSE2,490FALSEKitchener CentreNDP7,26012,57216,4832,42738,7421.0328Kitchener Centre16,2379,85214,5002,49351043,592891.060.480.52342.73297.580.020.390.404,7361840.034646137Kitchener Centre16,07810,01810,6482,49351039,7470.270.03
92
29PCKitchener—ConestogaFALSE4,989FALSETRUE16,704TRUEFALSE12,221FALSEFALSE2,181FALSEKitchener—ConestogaPC5,19917,40612,7342,27237,6120.9629Kitchener—Conestoga11,62813,64011,2022,33463839,4430.000.640.36-610.93-530.44-0.040.390.343,3481480.004242106Kitchener—Conestoga12,38713,2507,4862,33463836,0950.21-0.03
93
30NDPKitchener South—HespelerFALSE5,070FALSEFALSE13,866FALSETRUE15,012TRUEFALSE2,006FALSEKitchener South—HespelerNDP5,22614,29415,4752,06837,0630.9730Kitchener South—Hespeler11,68911,20113,6142,12463839,2661,045.290.520.48-586.13-508.91-0.040.390.3404,3581270.042121106Kitchener South—Hespeler12,40310,8949,8952,12463835,9540.280.04
94
31PCMarkham—StouffvilleFALSE11,914FALSETRUE19,171TRUEFALSE9,843FALSEFALSE1,781FALSEMarkham—StouffvillePC10,16916,3638,4021,52036,4541.1731Markham—Stouffville22,74412,8237,3911,56171245,2310.000.740.262,353.192,043.160.100.390.4802,5223100.00133133177Markham—Stouffville20,70114,5595,1761,56171242,7090.12-0.12
95
32PCMarkham—ThornhillFALSE9,960FALSETRUE14,180TRUEFALSE6,278FALSEFALSE869FALSEMarkham—ThornhillPC8,13311,5795,12771025,5491.2232Markham—Thornhill18,1919,0744,51072939432,8980.000.770.232,364.922,053.350.130.390.5101,6102480.00110110137Markham—Thornhill16,07410,9043,18772939431,2880.10-0.14
96
33PCMarkham—UnionvilleFALSE7,814FALSETRUE18,794TRUEFALSE6,494FALSEFALSE1,409FALSEMarkham—UnionvillePC7,07917,0265,8831,27631,2641.1033Markham—Unionville15,83213,3425,1751,31154636,2070.000.800.20920.09798.870.050.390.4401,6962300.00100100129Markham—Unionville15,14214,0823,4301,31154634,5110.10-0.14
97
34PCMiltonFALSE6,932FALSETRUE15,909TRUEFALSE8,354FALSEFALSE1,210FALSEMiltonPC6,47714,8657,8061,13030,2781.0734Milton14,48811,6496,8671,16143734,6010.000.720.28722.46627.280.040.390.4302,1961990.007979119Milton13,96412,1714,6721,16143732,4050.14-0.10
98
35OLPMississauga CentreTRUE11,764TRUEFALSE10,257FALSEFALSE10,473FALSEFALSE1,276FALSEMississauga CentreOLP9,2188,0378,2061,00026,4601.2835Mississauga Centre20,6166,2987,2191,0271,23836,3980.000.590.412,972.212,580.630.140.390.5302,6282590.00106106153Mississauga Centre17,9038,0595,5431,0271,23833,7700.16-0.08
99
36PCMississauga East—CooksvilleFALSE11,301FALSETRUE13,535TRUEFALSE10,447FALSEFALSE1,597FALSEMississauga East—CooksvillePC9,26011,0918,5601,30930,2191.2236Mississauga East—Cooksville20,7118,6917,5301,3441,22439,5010.000.650.352,470.792,145.270.120.390.5002,6212690.00111111158Mississauga East—Cooksville18,51010,3025,5001,3441,22436,8800.15-0.09
100
37PCMississauga—Erin MillsFALSE10,417FALSETRUE13,813TRUEFALSE10,186FALSEFALSE970FALSEMississauga—Erin MillsPC8,63611,4528,44580429,3371.2137Mississauga—Erin Mills19,3158,9757,4298261,38537,9300.000.660.342,138.631,856.880.110.390.4902,5442520.00103103149Mississauga—Erin Mills17,42910,3855,3618261,38535,3860.15-0.09
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