Special elections
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DateStateOfficeD %R %Special MarginFiveThirtyEight Partisan LeanSwing
Clinton %
Trump %
Obama %
Romney %
Notes
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12/11/2018TexasSD-0676.9%23.1%D+54D+36D+1871.1%25.4%66.4%32.5%Jungle primary; Dem results are 3 Dems combined
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12/18/2018GeorgiaHD-14N/A100.0%N/A17.3%80.0%20.2%78.4%All-GOP jungle primary
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12/18/2018VirginiaHD-2440.2%59.2%R+19R+35D+1630.7%64.5%37.2%61.3%
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1/8/2019GeorgiaHD-054.6%95.4%R+91R+66R+2417.4%80.0%21.0%77.6%Jungle primary; GOP results are 5 GOPers combined
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1/8/2019VirginiaSD-3369.8%30.1%D+40D+23D+1763.1%31.1%59.3%39.4%
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1/29/2019TexasHD-7980.0%20.0%D+60D+32D+2868.6%26.7%64.7%34.1%Jungle primary; Dem results are 2 Dems combined
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1/29/2019TexasHD-14573.9%25.1%D+49D+27D+2266.9%28.7%60.3%38.3%Jungle primary; Dem results are 6 Dems combined
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2/5/2019GeorgiaHD-05N/A100.0%N/A17.4%80.0%21.0%77.6%All-GOP runoff
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2/5/2019MinnesotaSD-1145.9%52.0%R+6R+7D+039.6%52.9%54.8%43.0%
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2/12/2019GeorgiaHD-17614.3%85.7%R+71R+46R+2629.4%68.5%29.0%70.1%Jungle primary; Dem results are 2 Dems combined, GOP results are 2 GOPers combined
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2/12/2019TexasHD-12562.1%37.9%D+24D+19D+561.6%33.7%59.1%39.6%Jungle primary; Dem results are 4 Dems combined
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2/19/2019VirginiaHD-8659.5%34.4%D+25D+26R+164.8%29.5%60.1%38.5%
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-12N/A100.0%N/A21.3%75.3%24.0%74.6%All-GOP jungle primary
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-17100.0%N/AN/A75.2%22.9%76.7%22.6%All-Dem jungle primary
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-1874.8%25.2%D+50R+14D+6440.0%57.8%43.7%54.9%Jungle primary; Dem results are 4 Dems combined, GOP results are 2 GOPers combined
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-26100.0%N/AN/AAll-Dem jungle primary
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-278.2%91.8%R+84R+68R+1613.2%83.3%15.1%83.4%
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-47N/A100.0%N/AAll-GOP jungle primary
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2/23/2019LouisianaHD-6223.8%45.5%R+22R+14R+840.2%56.7%42.6%55.9%Jungle primary; Dem results are 3 Dems combined; an independent got 31% of the vote
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2/26/2019ConnecticutSD-0358.8%41.2%D+18D+19R+258.6%37.2%63.4%35.5%
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2/26/2019ConnecticutSD-0563.3%34.3%D+29D+25D+464.4%31.2%60.5%38.4%
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2/26/2019ConnecticutSD-0646.9%53.1%R+6D+22R+2959.7%36.6%66.3%32.7%
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2/26/2019ConnecticutHD-3951.3%14.4%D+37D+54R+1774.9%20.0%81.9%16.5%Other candidates got a combined 34% of the vote
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2/26/2019ConnecticutHD-9945.9%54.1%R+8R+5R+343.4%53.7%58.2%40.7%
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3/5/2019KentuckySD-3147.3%52.7%R+5R+53D+4717.6%79.7%25.8%72.4%
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3/5/2019Rhode IslandHD-6839.8%N/AN/ANo Republican ran
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3/5/2019TexasHD-145100.0%N/AN/A66.9%28.7%60.3%38.3%All-Dem runoff
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3/12/2019GeorgiaHD-176N/A100.0%N/AAll-GOP runoff
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3/12/2019MaineHD-12464.8%35.2%D+30D+17D+1355.1%37.0%59.6%38.2%
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3/12/2019MississippiHD-3276.3%N/AN/ANonpartisan election, but candidates identified with parties; none identified as Republican
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3/12/2019MississippiHD-71100.0%N/AN/ANonpartisan election, but all candidates identified as Democrats
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3/12/2019MississippiHD-101N/A100.0%N/ANonpartisan election, but all candidates identified as Republicans
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3/12/2019PennsylvaniaHD-11462.4%37.6%D+25R+2D+2744.7%52.4%58.6%40.3%
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3/12/2019PennsylvaniaHD-19066.6%2.7%D+64D+91R+2795.7%2.8%97.5%2.2%Two minor-party candidates combined for 31% of the vote
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3/12/2019TennesseeSD-3216.0%84.0%R+68R+45R+2328.4%68.1%27.9%71.1%
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3/12/2019TexasHD-12558.4%41.6%D+17D+19R+361.6%33.7%59.1%39.6%
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3/19/2019IowaSD-3056.8%42.1%D+15D+3D+1248.4%45.0%53.1%45.7%
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3/19/2019MinnesotaHD-11B31.6%68.4%R+37R+23R+1431.6%61.4%46.7%50.9%
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3/26/2019CaliforniaSD-0130.8%69.2%R+38R+21R+1838.6%54.3%39.4%57.8%Jungle primary; GOP results are 4 GOPers combined, Dem results are 2 Dems combined
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3/26/2019CaliforniaSD-3378.1%20.4%D+58D+58R+179.1%15.2%78.6%19.1%Jungle primary; Dem results are 9 Dems combined, GOP results are 2 GOPers combined
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3/26/2019
South Carolina
SD-0644.3%55.6%R+11R+37D+2531.4%61.7%30.6%67.4%
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3/30/2019LouisianaHD-17100.0%N/AN/AAll-Dem runoff
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3/30/2019LouisianaHD-1868.5%31.5%D+37R+14D+5140.0%57.8%43.7%54.9%
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3/30/2019LouisianaHD-62N/A46.4%N/ANo Democrat ran
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4/2/2019MaineHD-5266.5%33.5%D+33D+25D+858.5%33.6%64.0%33.3%
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4/2/2019MississippiHD-101N/A100.0%N/ANonpartisan runoff, but both candidates identified as Republicans
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4/2/2019PennsylvaniaSD-3752.0%48.0%D+4R+11D+1545.4%51.2%43.0%56.1%
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4/9/2019GeorgiaHD-28N/A100.0%N/ANo Democrat ran
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4/16/2019ConnecticutHD-1964.6%35.4%D+29D+26D+366.2%29.4%57.7%41.4%
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4/23/2019
South Carolina
HD-1442.1%57.8%R+16R+38D+2229.7%67.3%36.8%61.8%
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4/23/2019TennesseeSD-2244.4%53.6%R+9R+22D+1336.2%58.4%43.9%54.6%
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4/30/2019WisconsinAD-6462.4%37.6%D+25D+10D+1552.6%42.2%58.8%40.0%
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5/7/2019ConnecticutHD-13047.2%4.0%D+43D+75R+3287.4%10.6%92.4%7.4%Petitioning candidates got a combined 49% of the vote
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5/21/2019PennsylvaniaCD-1231.9%68.1%R+36R+35R+129.7%66.1%36.8%61.5%
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5/21/2019PennsylvaniaSD-3331.5%68.5%R+37R+37D+029.3%66.7%35.0%63.6%
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5/21/2019PennsylvaniaSD-4134.6%65.4%R+31R+41D+1027.3%69.4%33.7%64.9%
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5/21/2019PennsylvaniaHD-1142.5%57.5%R+15R+38D+2328.5%66.9%34.7%64.0%
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6/4/2019CaliforniaSD-01N/A100.0%N/AAll-GOP runoff
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6/4/2019CaliforniaSD-3369.8%30.2%D+40D+58R+1979.1%15.2%78.6%19.1%
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6/11/2019MaineHD-4561.6%38.4%D+23D+16D+758.4%35.1%53.0%45.5%
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6/18/2019FloridaHD-0729.6%70.4%R+41R+40R+129.5%67.8%35.8%63.0%
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6/18/2019FloridaHD-3844.4%55.6%R+11R+19D+839.9%56.3%44.8%54.0%
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8/6/2019IowaHD-4697.5%N/AN/ANo Republican ran
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8/6/2019WashingtonSD-4072.0%27.9%D+44D+27D+1762.6%29.3%62.1%34.7%Jungle primary; Dem results are 3 Dems combined
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8/6/2019Washington
HD-13, Position 2
29.8%69.8%R+40R+33R+731.0%61.9%35.7%61.7%
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8/20/2019PennsylvaniaHD-8536.7%61.5%R+25R+34D+931.5%64.6%35.4%63.0%
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8/20/2019
South Carolina
HD-1939.0%61.0%R+22R+30D+834.7%59.6%35.0%62.8%
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8/27/2019CaliforniaAD-0138.6%61.4%R+23R+24D+136.1%56.7%39.6%57.3%Jungle primary; GOP results are 4 GOPers combined
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9/3/2019GeorgiaHD-7122.1%77.9%R+56R+59D+322.3%73.8%21.5%77.2%Jungle primary; GOP results are 3 GOPers combined
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9/10/2019North CarolinaCD-0337.5%61.7%R+24R+24R+036.9%60.5%40.6%58.5%
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9/10/2019North CarolinaCD-0948.7%50.7%R+2R+14D+1242.8%54.4%43.8%55.4%Technically a do-over election, not a special election
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AVERAGE SWING
D+6LEGEND
75
MEDIAN SWING
D+8
Includes special elections for Congress, state legislature, and statewide office; lower offices (e.g., mayor) are excluded
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Presidential results calculated by Daily Kos Elections unless otherwise noted
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Gray text denotes unofficial results
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Highlighted cells denote party flips
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