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Estimating circulation of U.S. rental libraries in 1935
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Douglas Galbihttp://purplemotes.net
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For discussion of these data, seehttp://purplemotes.net/2009/05/03/circulation-from-rental-and-public-libraries/
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ParametersCensusScenario 1Scenario 2Scenario 3source note
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ave. book rental revenue per year per rental library2,9661,5002,9664,000Census data; model income statement
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ave. rental cost$0.25$0.25$0.25$0.20see, e.g. Conklin (1934) p. 56
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# of rental libraries93220,00020,00040,000see blog post
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Estimate
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steady-state rental circulation per year11,057,248120,000,000237,280,000800,000,000
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Additional parameters
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rental book purchase cost as share of rental revenue50%50%50%50%see model income statement sheet
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wholesale cost per book1.451.451.451.45see model income statement sheet
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rentals per book2020202030 rentals per book (Conklin (1934) p. 93; calculated 28, 19: see model income statement; 28, Publisher's Weekly 1934 and "Book Notes," New York Times, June 1, 1934, p. 21.
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ave book rental life in years0.50.50.50.5estimate
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Additional estimates
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number of books purchased per rental library per year1,0235171,0231,379
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steady-state library size511259511690
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Publisher's Weekly. 1934. “Borrowers are 6 to 1?” June 9, pp. 21-42.
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