Ramen Retirement: Real Estate Market Selection (MSA Level) - Restricted
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San Francisco, CAUnited StatesPercentile
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Market trendTrend summary:high price growth; high population growth
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Population 2016 (M)4,679,166323,400,00099%San Francisco, CA is a large MSA that experienced high population growth since 2010. It has seen high income growth over the last 15 years, with high growth in real estate prices.
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Price change 2002-2017118.0%55.0%98%
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Income growth 02-1752.0%38.0%91%
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Population growth 00-105.1%9.6%28%
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Population growth 10-167.9%4.6%77%
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Market volatility
Volatility summary:
high growth; severe decline
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Price change 02-0762%45%68%San Francisco, CA experienced moderate growth in real estate prices from 2002-2007, with severe declines between 2007 and 2012, and high price growth since 2012.
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Price change 07-12-31%-23%22%
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Price change 12-1795%38%99%
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Rent change 12-1743%16%98%
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Income change 12-1729%16%99%
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Demand dynamics
Demand summary:
high income; high prices; high cost to own; high cost to rent
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Median income in 2017$95,483$58,960100%San Francisco, CA has a high median income, and high prices. Cost of owning is high, and the cost of renting is high, with a above average price growth forecast, and below average rent growth forecast for 2019.
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Average price in 2017$928,600$209,100100%
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Price to income 20179.063.44100%
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Price forecast Jan 20193.7%3.5%65%
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Mortgage afford 201741%15%100%
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Average rent in 2017$3,405$1,442100%
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2017 Rent / Price0.37%0.69%1%
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Rent forecast Jan 20190.6%1.8%32%
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Rent afford 201742%29%100%
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Supply dynamicsSupply summary:low inventory; below average building permits
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Age of inventory 2012861195%San Francisco, CA has low inventory in 2018, with high building permits when compared to the 2005 high, and below average permits when compared to population size.
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Age of inventory 201827980%
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Building permits 200514,8832,155,31681%
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Building permits 20129,163829,65894%
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Building permits 201716,9771,264,00098%
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2017 permits % of 2005114%59%95%
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2017 permits % of pop0.36%0.39%42%
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