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1 | Date | Room | Presenter | Title | Abstract | |||||||||||||||||||||
2 | For past presentations, click here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 30 September | Conference room | Carolina Biliotti | Gender Differences in the Production and Reception of Surprising Science | We explore the relationship between gender differences in kinds of innovation and scientific rewards. Combining multiple data sources, we find that women are more likely to innovate by connecting previously disconnected scientific literature, indicating a higher propensity for interdisciplinary ideas. Women's most innovative work of this kind outperforms men's in terms of disruption. However, they receive less recognition for this kind of innovation than men, and in more routine work their papers are also less disruptive. Men are more likely to innovate by combining previously disconnected scientific terms, and they are more likely to benefit from it. For equally innovative science, women's articles are usually placed in journals of lower prestige. Our work provides insights into the complex dynamics of gender, innovation, and recognition within the scientific community, highlighting the different contributions of gender to innovation with asymmetric returns | |||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 07 October | Conference room | Rohit Ticku | Deforestation and Diseases | This paper examines how deforestation in the tropics contributes to the spread of infectious animal diseases. Using geo-referenced data on disease outbreaks and forest loss across 60 countries from 2004 to 2018, we show that a 1% increase in deforestation in neighbouring areas leads to a 1.6% rise in animal infections. An instrumental variable design that exploits international crop price shocks as exogenous drivers of deforestation confirms the causal relationship. We find that two mechanisms underpin this effect: (i) habitat destruction increases wildlife-livestock interaction, and (ii) deforestation-linked infrastructure enhances market access, facilitating the transmission of pathogens through animal trade. We also investigate potential zoonotic spillovers. While deforestation on average does not translate into zoonotic transmissions, large shocks contribute to long- lasting increases in human infections. Our findings quantify a negative externality of land-use change and underscore how global agricultural demand and infrastructure development can create health risks for animals and humans, highlighting a novel trade-off between economic development and biosecurity. | |||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 14 October | Conference room | Andrea Tizzani | The Paradox of Charisma: Garibaldi and the Disillusionment of Italian Unification | Do charismatic leaders raise expectations of political reform, and what happens when those expectations go unmet? I study Giuseppe Garibaldi’s 1860 campaign that led to Italian unification. After conquering Sicily, he advanced to the mainland as a liberator and pledged sweeping reforms. Yet he soon ceded power to the monarchy, leaving those promises unmet. I exploit an unanticipated halt in his planned route to compare municipalities he visited with similar ones he intended to reach but did not. Visited towns initially aligned more with unification and experienced less violent resistance in 1861. Over time, however, they became more politically disengaged: turnout was lower in the 1913 election under universal male suffrage, they sent fewer volunteers to Garibaldi’s corps in 1866, and they were less responsive in 1948 to a party campaigning on his image. The pattern extended to elite formation: visited municipalities were more likely to produce parliamentary deputies in the first post-unification legislature, but this advantage had turned negative by 1870. Effects were strongest where his redistributive promises were most salient. The results show that charisma acts as an expectations multiplier: it accelerates mobilization but, when delivery fails, magnifies disillusionment, leaving lasting legacies for nation-building, participation, and collective memory. | |||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 21 October | Conference room | Francesco Drago - Armando Miano (p) - Giovanni Immordino | Organized Crime and the Supply and Demand of Good Politicians | Organized crime infiltrates local political institutions to divert public resources. Since local politicians are elected, such infiltration may arise from a scarce supply of honest candidates, a weak voter demand for them, or both. We study this issue using two large-scale surveys covering about 12,000 respondents across all Italian provinces. On the supply side, we measure individuals’ willingness to run for mayor and link it to traits such as honesty (via a dice-guessing game), tolerance toward organized crime, risk attitudes, and professional background. We find that those more inclined to consider candidacy are younger, more skilled, and more risk-loving, but also more dishonest and more tolerant of organized crime. In provinces with high mafia infiltration, these traits are more prevalent, yielding a candidate pool of lower quality. On the demand side, we use a conjoint experiment to measure voters’ preferences over candidates’ traits. Voters place a strong negative premium on connections to organized crime, and this aversion is even stronger in mafia-affected areas. Preliminary results therefore suggest a mismatch: voters strongly dislike corrupt or mafia-tolerant candidates, yet such individuals are disproportionately represented among those willing to run, especially in high-risk provinces. Ongoing work focuses on refining the measurement and quantification of this mismatch. | |||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 28 October | Conference room | Yusuf Aguş | Peer Ability and Dynamics of Classrooms | This study examines how peer ability shapes students’ skill development and the social dynamics of classrooms. Leveraging the random assignment of students to classrooms in Turkish primary schools, I show that exposure to higher-ability classmates raises fluid intelligence, cognitive empathy, and academic achievement from the first grade onward. These gains emerge alongside shifts in how students form friendships: peer ability reshapes classroom networks, increasing homophily among high-ability students while reducing it among low-ability students, revealing social ties as a central mechanism through which peers influence skill development. These findings highlight that the effects of peers extend beyond test scores to deeper cognitive abilities, and that the structure of students’ social networks is a key channel through which classroom composition matters for learning. | |||||||||||||||||||||
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9 | 11 November | Conference room | Marta Korczak | Losing Capital Status: Does it Matter for a City’s Development? | How do changes in the administrative hierarchy of cities impact their development? This paper focuses on the loss of regional capital status, using the context of the 1999 administrative reform in Poland. Exploiting variation in administrative status, I compare ex-capitals to control cities to construct a causal estimate of the loss of capital status. I find that ex-capital cities experienced a persistent decline in public sector activity, female employment, fertility, and local public good provision, despite receiving higher central government transfers relative to control cities. These results are consistent with a simple theoretical model in which a decline in administrative capacity induces sectoral employment reallocation and delayed migration responses. The findings highlight that administrative status is crucial for city-level development and that the loss of such status has negative consequences, even when accompanied by increased fiscal autonomy. | |||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 18 November | Conference room | Noa De La Vega | |||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 25 November | Conference room | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 02 December | Conference room | Mustapha Kokumo | |||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | 09 December | Conference room | Andrea Tizzani | (TBC) Identity Third Places | ||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 16 December | Conference room | Marco Sanfilippo | Oil Spills, Water Networks, and Local Economic Development | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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17 | 27 January | Conference room | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 03 February | Conference room | Javier Viviens | Estimating the intensive margin with changes-in-changes | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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