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Tesla Economist
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Youtube
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCMmJ5nBx9ibaBo4LegyQ52w
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Twitter @teslaEconomist
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Patreon
https://patreon.com/teslaeconomist​​​
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Download
http://teslaeconomist.com/price-target
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Factories
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Avg Battery
Avg Price
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Model S/XModel 3Model YCybertruckSemiRoadsterModel 2VanTotal GWhModel S/X105$92,000
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Fremont150,000425,000425,00069Model 362.5$39,875
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Shanghai550,000450,00063Model Y63.25$44,875
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Berlin1,250,0001,250,000157Cybertruck133.5$59,500
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Texas1,250,0001,250,000500,000100,0005,000100,000293Semi605$160,500
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Shanghai M25,000,000215Roadster175$225,000
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Factory 2023500,000500,00063Model 243$27,000
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Factory 2024500,000500,00063Van75.25$48,500
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Totals Units150,0004,475,0004,375,000500,000100,0005,0005,000,000100,000923
From Models Sheet
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Grand Total14,705,000
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Total Batteries (KWh)15,750,000279,687,500276,718,75066,750,00060,500,000875,000215,000,0007,525,000922806250
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GWh16280277676112158923
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Total Batteries (GWh)
923
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Total Revenue$13,800,000,000$178,440,625,000$196,328,125,000$29,750,000,000$16,050,000,000$1,125,000,000$135,000,000,000$4,850,000,000$575,343,750,000
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Auto Revenue (millions)
$575,344
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Average Margin on Vehicles
30%
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Auto Gross Profit (millions)
$172,603
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Battery Suppliers
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LFPNick & MangNickelTotal
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Kato Road2020
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Giga Nevada / Panasonic
350350
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CATL500500
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LG Energy150150
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Berlin17575250
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Texas12575100300
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Shanghai M2250250
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Factory 2023501060
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Factory 2024501060
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Totals11506701201940
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In House Total940
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Suppliers1000
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Grand Total1940
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Energy
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Size (KWh)QuantityTotal GWhPriceRevenue (mil)MarginGross (mil)
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Powerwalls13.57,500,000101$5,000$37,50030%$11,250
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Solar89,000,00072$10,000$90,00030%$27,000
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Megpacks & Powerwalls
100,0009000900$30,000,000$270,00030%$81,000
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Heat Pumpn/a1,000,000n/a$5,000$5,00030%$1,500
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Totals100,02217,509,0001001$402,500$120,750
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Energy Gross Profit (millions)
$120,750
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FSD
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Cost$15,000
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Teslas sold14,705,000
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Percent w/ FSD30%
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FSD Revenue66,172,500,000
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Robotaxis
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Fare per mile$0.80
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Ocuupany %50%
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Avg revenue per mile$0.40
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Cost per mile$0.15
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Average annual miles90,000
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Annual revenue$36,000
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Annual cost$13,500
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Gross profit per taxi$22,500
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Tesla commission %27.5%
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Tesla commission$9,900
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Net profit to owner$12,600
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Teslas on the road25,482,000
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Percent in Robotaxis15%
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Tesla's fleet1,000,000
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Robotaxi Gross Profit
$60,340,770,000
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