| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Actual | Actual | Actual | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | |||||||||||
2 | dLocal Income Statement (USD '000) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | Notes: | |||||||||
3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | Market Size (Pay-Ins) | 428,000,000 | 520,000,000 | 670,000,000 | 860,000,000 | 1,120,000,000 | 1,344,000,000 | 1,612,800,000 | 1,935,360,000 | 2,322,432,000 | 2,786,918,400 | 3,344,302,080 | Sourced from AMI Research per F-1 | ||||||||||
5 | Cross-Border | 59,920,000 | 75,400,000 | 100,500,000 | 133,300,000 | 179,200,000 | 221,760,000 | 274,176,000 | 338,688,000 | 418,037,760 | 515,579,904 | 635,417,395 | |||||||||||
6 | Local-2-Local | 368,080,000 | 444,600,000 | 569,500,000 | 726,700,000 | 940,800,000 | 1,122,240,000 | 1,338,624,000 | 1,596,672,000 | 1,904,394,240 | 2,271,338,496 | 2,708,884,685 | |||||||||||
7 | L2L % | 86% | 85.50% | 85.00% | 84.50% | 84.00% | 83.50% | 83.00% | 82.50% | 82.00% | 81.50% | 81.00% | |||||||||||
8 | CAGR 2020-2024 | 27% | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 | CAGR 2024-2030 | 20% | |||||||||||||||||||||
10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | Market Size (Pay-Outs) | 382,000,000 | 473,513,386 | 622,450,583 | 815,123,242 | 1,083,011,170 | 1,325,871,245 | 1,623,187,119 | 1,987,176,219 | 2,432,800,356 | 2,978,383,360 | 3,646,368,074 | |||||||||||
12 | Share of Total | 47% | 48% | 48% | 49% | 49% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 52% | 52% | |||||||||||
13 | Market Size (Total) | 810,000,000 | 993,513,386 | 1,292,450,583 | 1,675,123,242 | 2,203,011,170 | 2,669,871,245 | 3,235,987,119 | 3,922,536,219 | 4,755,232,356 | 5,765,301,760 | 6,990,670,154 | |||||||||||
14 | CAGR 2021-2030 | 27% | |||||||||||||||||||||
15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | TPV | 1,300,000 | 2,100,000 | 6,050,000 | 10,069,950 | 15,369,924 | 22,099,458 | 31,230,831 | 44,169,318 | 59,108,941 | 79,170,157 | 97,973,069 | 121,360,189 | ||||||||||
17 | YoY Growth% | 61.5% | 188.1% | 66.4% | 52.6% | 43.8% | 41.3% | 41.4% | 33.8% | 33.9% | 23.8% | 23.9% | |||||||||||
18 | CAGR 2021-2030 | 40% | |||||||||||||||||||||
19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Total Market Share | 0.26% | 0.61% | 0.78% | 0.92% | 1.00% | 1.17% | 1.36% | 1.51% | 1.66% | 1.70% | 1.74% | |||||||||||
21 | Est. Pay-In Market Share | 0.37% | 0.87% | 1.13% | 1.34% | 1.48% | 1.74% | 2.05% | 2.29% | 2.56% | 2.64% | 2.72% | |||||||||||
22 | Est. Pay-In Cross-Border Market Share | 1.75% | 4.01% | 5.01% | 5.77% | 6.17% | 7.04% | 8.05% | 8.73% | 9.47% | 9.50% | 9.55% | |||||||||||
23 | Est. Pay-In L2L Market Share | 0.14% | 0.34% | 0.44% | 0.53% | 0.59% | 0.70% | 0.82% | 0.93% | 1.04% | 1.08% | 1.12% | |||||||||||
24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | Existing Merchants | 94,662 | 228,097 | 366,180 | 523,637 | 730,071 | 1,022,100 | 1,405,387 | 1,855,111 | 2,411,645 | 3,004,507 | 3,605,409 | |||||||||||
26 | New Merchants | 9,481 | 16,023 | 36,618 | 60,420 | 87,609 | 102,210 | 140,539 | 154,593 | 200,970 | 130,631 | 156,757 | |||||||||||
27 | Total Revenue | 55,289 | 104,143 | 244,120 | 402,798 | 584,057 | 817,680 | 1,124,310 | 1,545,926 | 2,009,704 | 2,612,615 | 3,135,138 | 3,762,166 | ||||||||||
28 | YoY Growth% | 88.4% | 134.4% | 65.0% | 45.0% | 40.0% | 37.5% | 37.5% | 30.0% | 30.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | |||||||||||
29 | Implied Gross Take Rate % | 4.25% | 4.96% | 4.04% | 4.00% | 3.80% | 3.70% | 3.60% | 3.50% | 3.40% | 3.30% | 3.20% | 3.10% | ||||||||||
30 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | Processing Costs | 18,346 | 41,655 | 107,276 | |||||||||||||||||||
32 | % of TPV | 1.41% | 1.98% | 1.77% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | 1.72% | ||||||||||
33 | Net Revenue | 36,943 | 62,488 | 136,844 | |||||||||||||||||||
34 | Implied Net Take Rate % | 2.84% | 2.98% | 2.26% | 2.28% | 2.08% | 1.98% | 1.88% | 1.78% | 1.68% | 1.58% | 1.48% | 1.38% | ||||||||||
35 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
36 | Net Revenue Retetnion | 171% | 219% | 150.0% | 130.0% | 125.0% | 125.0% | 125.0% | 120.0% | 120.0% | 115.0% | 115.0% | |||||||||||
37 | Growth from New Merchants | 17% | 15% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | |||||||||||
38 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | Cost of Revenue | 19,413 | 44,065 | 113,677 | 197,371 | 286,188 | 396,575 | 545,290 | 742,045 | 954,609 | 1,227,929 | 1,473,515 | 1,768,218 | ||||||||||
40 | Gross profit | 35,876 | 60,078 | 130,443 | 205,427 | 297,869 | 421,105 | 579,020 | 803,882 | 1,055,095 | 1,384,686 | 1,661,623 | 1,993,948 | ||||||||||
41 | Gross Margin % | 64.9% | 57.7% | 53.4% | 51.0% | 51.0% | 51.5% | 51.5% | 52.0% | 52.5% | 53.0% | 53.0% | 53.0% | ||||||||||
42 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
43 | Technology & Development | 1,347 | 2,005 | 3,386 | 6,042 | 8,761 | 12,265 | 16,865 | 23,189 | 30,146 | 39,189 | 47,027 | 56,432 | ||||||||||
44 | % Revenue | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | ||||||||||
45 | Sales & Marketing | 2,057 | 2,852 | 5,916 | 10,070 | 14,601 | 20,442 | 28,108 | 38,648 | 50,243 | 65,315 | 78,378 | 94,054 | ||||||||||
46 | % Revenue | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | ||||||||||
47 | General & Administrative | 14,101 | 22,188 | 40,637 | 66,462 | 96,369 | 134,917 | 185,511 | 255,078 | 331,601 | 431,082 | 517,298 | 620,757 | ||||||||||
48 | % Revenue | 25.5% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | ||||||||||
49 | Impairment Loss/(Gain) on Financial Assets | 807 | (808) | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | ||||||||||
50 | Other Operating Loss/(Gain) | - | 2,896 | (3,367) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | ||||||||||
51 | EBIT | 17,564 | 30,945 | 83,838 | 122,977 | 178,261 | 253,605 | 348,660 | 487,091 | 643,229 | 849,224 | 1,019,044 | 1,222,828 | ||||||||||
52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | Impairment Loss/(Gain) on Financial Assets | 807 | (808) | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | ||||||||||
54 | Other Operating Loss/(Gain) | - | 2,896 | (3,367) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | (157) | ||||||||||
55 | Amortization of intangibles | 175 | 656 | 3,917 | 6,042 | 8,761 | 12,265 | 16,865 | 23,189 | 30,146 | 39,189 | 47,027 | 56,432 | ||||||||||
56 | % Revenue | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | ||||||||||
57 | Depreciation | 53 | 155 | 377 | 806 | 1,168 | 1,635 | 1,124 | 1,546 | 2,010 | 2,613 | 3,135 | 3,762 | ||||||||||
58 | % Revenue | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | ||||||||||
59 | Amortization of Right-of-use asset | 181 | 181 | 453 | 254 | 238 | 222 | 208 | 194 | 182 | 170 | 159 | 149 | ||||||||||
60 | SBC | 716 | 7,295 | 7,590 | 14,098 | 20,442 | 28,619 | 39,351 | 54,107 | 70,340 | 91,442 | 109,730 | 131,676 | ||||||||||
61 | % Revenue | 1.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | ||||||||||
62 | Other | 574 | 611 | 6,316 | |||||||||||||||||||
63 | Adjusted EBITDA | 20,070 | 41,931 | 99,157 | 144,053 | 208,746 | 296,223 | 406,084 | 566,003 | 745,782 | 982,513 | 1,178,971 | 1,414,723 | ||||||||||
64 | EBITDA Margin % | 36.3% | 40.3% | 40.6% | 35.8% | 35.7% | 36.2% | 36.1% | 36.6% | 37.1% | 37.6% | 37.6% | 37.6% | ||||||||||
65 | "Real" EBITDA | 17,973 | 31,937 | 88,585 | 130,079 | 188,428 | 267,728 | 366,857 | 512,020 | 675,566 | 891,196 | 1,069,365 | 1,283,171 | ||||||||||
66 | Margin % | 32.5% | 30.7% | 36.3% | 32.3% | 32.3% | 32.7% | 32.6% | 33.1% | 33.6% | 34.1% | 34.1% | 34.1% | ||||||||||
67 | Margin on Net Revenue % | 48.7% | 51.1% | 64.7% | |||||||||||||||||||
68 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
69 | Finance income | 279 | 502 | 2,540 | |||||||||||||||||||
70 | Finance costs | 30 | 67 | 544 | |||||||||||||||||||
71 | Net Finance Expense/(Income) | (249) | (435) | (1,996) | (3,034) | (4,439) | (6,050) | (8,131) | (11,311) | (15,110) | (20,346) | (26,281) | (33,607) | ||||||||||
72 | % Net Debt | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | ||||||||||
73 | Inflation adjustment | (10) | (38) | 334 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
74 | Profit Before Tax | 17,823 | 31,418 | 85,500 | 126,011 | 182,701 | 259,655 | 356,791 | 498,402 | 658,340 | 869,570 | 1,045,325 | 1,256,435 | ||||||||||
75 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
76 | Income Tax | 2,221 | 3,231 | 7,647 | 13,231 | 19,184 | 27,264 | 37,463 | 52,332 | 69,126 | 91,305 | 109,759 | 131,926 | ||||||||||
77 | Effective Tax Rate % | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | ||||||||||
78 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
79 | Minorities | - | 3 | (23) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
80 | Net Income | 15,602 | 28,184 | 77,876 | 112,780 | 163,517 | 232,391 | 319,328 | 446,070 | 589,214 | 778,265 | 935,566 | 1,124,509 | ||||||||||
81 | Net Margin % | 28.2% | 27.1% | 31.9% | 28.0% | 28.0% | 28.4% | 28.4% | 28.9% | 29.3% | 29.8% | 29.8% | 29.9% | ||||||||||
82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
83 | Diluted EPS | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.83 | 1.10 | 1.38 | 1.73 | 1.97 | 2.25 | ||||||||||
84 | YoY Growth % | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85 | Diluted Number of Shares Outstanding | 275,446 | 284,840 | 308,930 | 327,466 | 346,504 | 366,211 | 385,785 | 406,805 | 427,442 | 449,745 | 473,766 | 499,564 | ||||||||||
86 | New Shares Issued | 9,394 | 24,090 | 18,536 | 19,648 | 20,790 | 21,973 | 23,147 | 24,408 | 25,647 | 26,985 | 28,426 | |||||||||||
87 | % of Diluted NOSH | 3.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | |||||||||||
88 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
89 | Dividends | - | - | 46,478 | 63,866 | 89,214 | 117,843 | 155,653 | 187,113 | 224,902 | |||||||||||||
90 | DPS | - | - | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.45 | |||||||||||||
91 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
92 | NOPAT Calculation: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
93 | EBITA | 31,782 | 88,208 | 129,274 | 187,260 | 266,092 | 365,733 | 510,474 | 673,557 | 888,583 | 1,066,230 | 1,279,409 | |||||||||||
94 | Income tax provision | (3,231) | (7,647) | ||||||||||||||||||||
95 | Deferred taxes | 259 | 624 | ||||||||||||||||||||
96 | Tax shield | (45) | (179) | ||||||||||||||||||||
97 | NOPAT | 28,765 | 81,006 | 116,993 | 169,470 | 240,814 | 330,988 | 461,979 | 609,569 | 804,168 | 964,938 | 1,157,865 | |||||||||||
98 | Cash tax rate % | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | |||||||||||||
99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
100 |