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I used data gathered by u/MirtisDyleris (ypsilon) and u/Fjedjik to estimate how many of each capsule have been opened by the end of 2022, so huge thanks to both of them.
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For each team sticker capsule, I have provided an estimate for how many of each sticker has been unboxed, and how many have been applied. I've also then listed an estimate for how many unapplied stickers
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exist in people's inventories, along with the percentage of stickers opened that have been applied/are unapplied. For Stockholm stickers, I've also estimated how many of each sticker has been opened, and how
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many have been applied, since June 2022, based on the data I gathered on my previous post (https://www.reddit.com/r/csgomarketforum/comments/v500yd/psa_estimated_total_number_of_appliednonapplied/).
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This data does not consider unopened capsules, as I have no way of knowing how many unopened capsules exist.
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I have also not included gold stickers this time, because for many stickers the sample size is too low for an accurate estimation, as well as the fact that it's very difficult to account for golds that may have been
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applied to souvenir weapons.
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Assumptions made in collecting this data:
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I'm assuming that about 2/3 of all skins are registered on floatdb and multiplied all the values I got by 3/2 to compensate for this, although this will not be perfectly accurate.
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These values will also likely be a slight underestimate since some weapons have 5 sticker slots, although this should make little difference.
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Total Capsules Opened (Estimate)
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Total as of Jan 2023
Dec '22Nov '22Oct '22Before Oct '22
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Antwerp '22 Legends Sticker Capsule290110004000001081000173000025800000
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Antwerp '22 Contenders Sticker Capsule
138890006080001148000150300010630000
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Antwerp '22 Challengers Sticker Capsule
1203200056100088500015160009070000
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Stockholm '21 Legends Sticker Capsule
2576000018000410007400025627000
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Stockholm '21 Contenders Sticker Capsule
926780061006700270009228000
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Stockholm '21 Challengers Sticker Capsule
3648700600190064003639800
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Antwerp '22 Legends Sticker Capsule (as of Jan 2023)
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Amount openedAmount applied% appliedAmount unapplied% unapplied
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BIG (Glitter)51700014600028.2437100071.76
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Cloud9 (Glitter)51700023100044.6828600055.32
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Copenhagen Flames (Glitter)51700015200029.436500070.6
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FaZe Clan (Glitter)51700023100044.6828600055.32
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FURIA (Glitter)51700020600039.8531100060.15
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Heroic (Glitter)51700015900030.7535800069.25
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Natus Vincere (Glitter)51700021800042.1729900057.83
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Ninjas in Pyjamas (Glitter)51700017100033.0834600066.92
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Glitter Average36.6163.39
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BIG (Holo)1030003160030.687140069.32
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Cloud9 (Holo)1030003920038.066380061.94
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Copenhagen Flames (Holo)1030003630035.246670064.76
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FaZe Clan (Holo)1030004900047.575400052.43
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FURIA (Holo)1030004870047.285430052.72
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Heroic (Holo)1030003530034.276770065.73
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Natus Vincere (Holo)1030004920047.775380052.23
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Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo)1030004190040.686110059.32
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Holo Average40.1959.81
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Antwerp '22 Contenders Sticker Capsule (as of Jan 2023)
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Amount openedAmount applied% appliedAmount unapplied% unapplied
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9z Team (Glitter)2470009420038.1415280061.86
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Complexity Gaming (Glitter)2470007800031.5816900068.42
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Eternal Fire (Glitter)2470007760031.4216940068.58
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IHC Esports (Glitter)2470007190029.1117510070.89
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Outsiders (Glitter)2470004640018.7920060081.21
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Renegades (Glitter)2470005400021.8619300078.14
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Team Liquid (Glitter)2470007570030.6517130069.35
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Team Spirit (Glitter)2470008300033.616400066.4
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Glitter Average29.3970.61
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9z Team (Holo)495001560031.523390068.48
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Complexity Gaming (Holo)495001110022.423840077.58
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Eternal Fire (Holo)495001330026.873620073.13
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IHC Esports (Holo)495001570031.723380068.28
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Outsiders (Holo)49500900018.184050081.82
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Renegades (Holo)495001860037.583090062.42
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Team Liquid (Holo)495001770035.763180064.24
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Team Spirit (Holo)495001680033.943270066.06
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Holo Average29.7570.25
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Antwerp '22 Challengers Sticker Capsule (as of Jan 2023)
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Amount openedAmount applied% appliedAmount unapplied% unapplied
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Astralis (Glitter)2140007400034.5814000065.42
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Bad News Eagles (Glitter)2140005540025.8915860074.11
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ENCE (Glitter)2140006690031.2614710068.74
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forZe eSports (Glitter)2140004530021.1716870078.83
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G2 Esports (Glitter)2140008180038.2213220061.78
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Imperial Esports (Glitter)2140006930032.3814470067.62
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MIBR (Glitter)2140005590026.1215810073.88
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Vitality (Glitter)2140005340024.9516060075.05
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Glitter Average29.3270.68
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Astralis (Holo)428001280029.913000070.09
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Bad News Eagles (Holo)428001190027.83090072.2
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ENCE (Holo)428001510035.282770064.72
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forZe eSports (Holo)428001240028.973040071.03
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G2 Esports (Holo)428001540035.982740064.02
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Imperial Esports (Holo)42800920021.53360078.5
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MIBR (Holo)428001480034.582800065.42
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Vitality (Holo)428001400032.712880067.29
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Holo Average30.8469.16
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Stockholm '21 Legends Sticker Capsule (as of Jan 2023)