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by Josh Bernoff/ withoutbullshit.com
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Year/Obama Nominee situation2016/blocked2016/approved2017/blocked2017/blocked2017/blocked2017/blocked2017/approved2017/approved2017/approved2017/approved
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NY TimesRescaledNo replacementObama nomineeD Pres, D SenateD Pres, R SenateR Pres, D SenateR Pres, R SenateD Pres, D SenateD Pres, R SenateR Pres, D SenateR Pres, R Senate
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Kagan70.4-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0-10.0
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Sotomayor69.9-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7-9.7
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Ginsburg68.9-9.0-9.0-9.0-9.0-2.02.09.0-9.0-2.02.09.0
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Breyer58.9-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.5
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Kennedy50.03.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.33.3
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Roberts44.66.86.86.86.86.86.86.86.86.86.86.8
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Scalia44.66.8-2.0-9.0-2.02.09.0-2.0-9.0-2.02.0
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Thomas40.59.59.59.59.59.59.59.59.59.59.59.5
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Alito39.710.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.0
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Court median3.30.4-2.0-2.5-2.02.06.8-2.0-2.02.03.3
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2017 likelihood25%25%15%35%25%25%15%35%
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Liberals44555335543
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Conservatives54444664456
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MajorityConservativeNoneLiberalLiberalLiberalConservativeConservativeLiberalLiberalConservativeConservative
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2017 outcomes
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Weighted average of median
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With Obama nominee approved2.3
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With Obama nominee blocked5.3
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