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Bayes Sensor Worksheet
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If you're not a math person, sometimes it helps to think about this in words. This worksheet should help you get a good sensor.
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Change the values in Yellow and Green for your sensor.
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Values in Blue and Red are auto calculated
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Determine your Prior
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StateDescriptionHours Per Day
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On
House is Occupied
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OffHouse is Empty10
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Probability threshold0.8
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Prior0.58Result
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Probability0.97on
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This is whether the condition is TRUE (in the "to_state") or the value_template evaluates to TRUE
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PosteriorSensorStateDescriptionHoursprob_given_trueDescriptionHoursprob_given_falsePriorPredicatePosterior0.58
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0.58TV OnFALSEOut of the 14 hours when House is Occupied. How often is TV On true?40.29Out of the 10 hours when House is Empty. How often is TV On true?0.10.010.581.670.58
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0.50TF OffTRUEOut of the 14 hours when House is Occupied. How often is TF Off true?100.71Out of the 10 hours when House is Empty. How often is TF Off true?9.90.990.580.860.50
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0.96Lights onTRUEOut of the 14 hours when House is Occupied. How often is Lights on true?30.21Out of the 10 hours when House is Empty. How often is Lights on true?0.10.010.501.900.96
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0.96Lights offFALSEOut of the 14 hours when House is Occupied. How often is Lights off true?100.71Out of the 10 hours when House is Empty. How often is Lights off true?9.90.990.960.980.96
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0.97Car HomeTRUEOut of the 14 hours when House is Occupied. How often is Car Home true?100.71Out of the 10 hours when House is Empty. How often is Car Home true?40.40.961.020.97
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0.97Car AwayFALSEOut of the 14 hours when House is Occupied. How often is Car Away true?60.43Out of the 10 hours when House is Empty. How often is Car Away true?60.60.970.990.97
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You can "drag-fill" to add more entities
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