Hello! Welcome to my personal pet project - a

spreadsheet dedicated to documenting and

-Blog will post every weekday up until release

-A new sheet called "Final Week Likelihoods" has been made. Its purpose

analyzing the behavior of the Super Smash Blog

-Every character (unrevealed newcomers

is to test different combinations of 2, 3, and 4 character weeks for 5-8

as hype builds up for the release of Super Smash

included) will be featured in the blog's run

weeks and 2-7 newcomers. It's a process currently in-the-works, so feel

Bros. Ultimate! I (along with a bulk of other people)

-Items/Assists/Pokemon being announced are

free to pepper me with questions

notices odd quirks in what, when, and why the Blog

the featured ones from the website

-There are 2 of every main sheet now - one for the Blog ending at release,

was posting what it was, all of which lead up to

-Only Stages left to be announced are new ones

and one for the Blog ending 1 week after release. The latter accomodates

me deciding to pull out some grade-level statistics

(predicted stage count will only decrease if

for higher numbers (as well as the final roster count projected by the

methods and apply some math to it - for the sake of

completely new stages are revealed)

banner theory), but the former functions better as a minimum count, as

science (and sheer boredom).

-While double posts are a thing, double posts

well as being my original calculations.

containing two of the SAME post type (i.e. two

-Calculation differentials is now gone - I feel like it's redundant at this point

Anyways, I update this spreadsheet whenever

characters) is extremely unlikely

and would just clutter the spreadsheet even further.

relevant, non-promotional posts to the blog are made,

and have a slew of clean formulas for analyzing them

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1r_eu-Y5ipUCEusPAbCr85doVJmuhJFn1fbBETi7NN2I/edit

and - get this - predicting the number of remaining

Sabi's document - it covers the schedule like mine, but also looks at the source codes for each blog

newcomers left in a few different ways using data from

post to get a higher degree of accuracy for them. she also has his own calculation using weekly

said posts. It's pretty cool imo and definitely worth a

averages that matches mine. he's also hella better at explaining the theory with words instead of math

read in my comments if you have the time of day.

Pokémon Trainer (Squirtle/Ivysaur/Charizard)

Feel free to dm me on my Twitter @DuckMeat13 for

questions, complaints, or anything really. Also check

out my friend Sabi's doc on Blog Theory for more info

regarding the source code of the blog and how the delay

of the 8/13 direct proves many patterns i use here -

he's got presentation over me, and talks about almost

everything i didn't manage to prove with math. Peace out

and hype responsibly!