Democratic Over-/Under-Performance in 2017 Legislative Elections
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ABCDEHILMNO
1
DistrictIncumbent2017 D Performance2017 R Performance2017 D Margin2016 D Presidential MarginD Margin Improvement Over 2016 Presidential2012 D Presidential MarginD Margin Improvement Over 2012 PresidentialFiveThirtyEight Partisan LeanD Margin Improvement Over FiveThirtyEight Partisan Lean
2
HD-01Terry Kilgore24%76%-52%-62%10%-47%-5%-61%9%
3
HD-02OPEN63%37%26%20%6%19%7%18%8%
4
HD-03Will Morefield22%78%-56%-65%9%-49%-7%-64%8%
5
HD-04Todd Pillion
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-56%N/A-38%N/A-54%N/A
6
HD-05Israel O'Quinn
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-54%N/A-39%N/A-53%N/A
7
HD-06Jeff Campbell
N/A (uncontested)
82%-82%-55%N/A-35%N/A-53%N/A
8
HD-07Nick Rush34%66%-32%-30%-2%-21%-11%-30%-2%
9
HD-08Greg Habeeb36%64%-28%-28%0.4%-24%-4%-30%2%
10
HD-09Charles Poindexter30%70%-40%-44%4%-29%-11%-43%3%
11
HD-10Randy Minchew52%48%4%6%-2%-4%8%1%3%
12
HD-11Sam Rasoul100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%27%N/A30%N/A25%N/A
13
HD-12Joseph Yost54%46%8%3%5%4%4%1%7%
14
HD-13Bob Marshall54%46%8%15%-7%11%-3%11%-3%
15
HD-14Danny Marshall
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-8%N/A-0.3%N/A-9%N/A
16
HD-15Todd Gilbert
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-46%N/A-30%N/A-44%N/A
17
HD-16Les Adams
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-24%N/A-12%N/A-23%N/A
18
HD-17Christopher Head39%61%-22%-25%3%-21%-1%-26%4%
19
HD-18Michael Webert34%61%-27%-25%-2%-18%-9%-26%-1%
20
HD-19Terry Austin
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-45%N/A-28%N/A-43%N/A
21
HD-20Dickie Bell43%55%-12%-21%9%-15%3%-22%10%
22
HD-21Ron Villanueva53%47%6%5%1%5%1%2%4%
23
HD-22Kathy Byron
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-32%N/A-23%N/A-32%N/A
24
HD-23Scott Garrett34%66%-32%-29%-3%-31%-1%-32%0.1%
25
HD-24Ben Cline
N/A (uncontested)
72%-72%-34%N/A-24%N/A-34%N/A
26
HD-25Steve Landes42%58%-16%-21%5%-23%7%-24%8%
27
HD-26Tony Wilt45%55%-10%-8%-2%-12%2%-11%1%
28
HD-27Roxann Robinson49.8%50.2%-0.4%-2%2%-8%8%-6%6%
29
HD-28OPEN49.8%50.2%-0.4%-1%1%0.1%-1%-3%3%
30
HD-29Christopher Collins36%64%-28%-28%-0.1%-21%-7%-29%1%
31
HD-30Nick Freitas38%62%-24%-25%1%-13%-11%-24%0.4%
32
HD-31Scott Lingamfelter54%45%9%10%-1%7%2%7%2%
33
HD-32Tag Greason59%41%18%21%-3%6%12%15%3%
34
HD-33Dave LaRock45%55%-10%-13%3%-15%5%-16%6%
35
HD-34Kathleen Murphy61%39%22%22%0%0.5%22%14%8%
36
HD-35Mark Keam100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%39%N/A21%N/A32%N/A
37
HD-36Ken Plum100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%45%N/A29%N/A38%N/A
38
HD-37David Bulova100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%37%N/A22%N/A31%N/A
39
HD-38Kaye Kory74%26%48%46%2%34%14%41%7%
40
HD-39Vivian Watts100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%40%N/A25%N/A34%N/A
41
HD-40Tim Hugo50.1%49.9%0.2%11%-11%-4%4%5%-5%
42
HD-41Eileen Filler-Corn100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%33%N/A18%N/A26%N/A
43
HD-42OPEN62%38%24%23%1%7%17%16%8%
44
HD-43Mark Sickles100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%45%N/A32%N/A39%N/A
45
HD-44Paul Krizek100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%44%N/A31%N/A38%N/A
46
HD-45Mark Levine100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%57%N/A37%N/A50%N/A
47
HD-46Charniele Herring100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%60%N/A49%N/A55%N/A
48
HD-47Patrick Hope100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%60%N/A38%N/A52%N/A
49
HD-48Rip Sullivan100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%50%N/A28%N/A42%N/A
50
HD-49Alfonso Lopez81%19%62%64%-2%51%11%59%3%
51
HD-50Jackson Miller54%46%8%14%-6%10%-2%10%-2%
52
HD-51Rich Anderson53%47%6%9%-3%4%2%5%1%
53
HD-52Luke Torian100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%50%N/A46%N/A46%N/A
54
HD-53Marcus Simon75%
N/A (uncontested)
75%49%N/A35%N/A43%N/A
55
HD-54Bobby Orrock42%58%-16%-11%-5%-7%-9%-12%-4%
56
HD-55Buddy Fowler40%60%-20%-20%0%-19%-1%-23%3%
57
HD-56OPEN40%60%-20%-18%-2%-24%4%-22%2%
58
HD-57David Toscano100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%56%N/A42%N/A50%N/A
59
HD-58Rob Bell38%62%-24%-15%-9%-16%-8%-18%-6%
60
HD-59Matt Fariss34%61%-27%-27%0%-18%-9%-28%1%
61
HD-60James Edmunds38%62%-24%-14%-10%-4%-20%-14%-10%
62
HD-61Thomas Wright
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-19%N/A-9%N/A-19%N/A
63
HD-62Riley Ingram48%52%-4%-5%1%-6%2%-8%4%
64
HD-63Lashrecse Aird100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%37%N/A46%N/A37%N/A
65
HD-64OPEN38%62%-24%-23%-1%-16%-8%-24%-0.4%
66
HD-65Lee Ware36%64%-28%-26%-2%-30%2%-29%1%
67
HD-66Kirk Cox36%64%-28%-23%-5%-25%-3%-26%-2%
68
HD-67Jim LeMunyon58%42%16%27%-11%9%7%20%-4%
69
HD-68Manoli Loupassi50.4%49.6%1%11%-10%-11%12%3%-2%
70
HD-69Betsy Carr89%
N/A (uncontested)
89%71%N/A71%N/A68%N/A
71
HD-70Delores McQuinn100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%58%N/A59%N/A56%N/A
72
HD-71Jeff Bourne100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%75%N/A73%N/A72%N/A
73
HD-72OPEN53%47%6%5%1%-9%15%-1%7%
74
HD-73John O'Bannon51%49%2%8%-6%-6%8%2%0%
75
HD-74Lamont Bagby77%
N/A (uncontested)
77%49%N/A51%N/A47%N/A
76
HD-75Roslyn Tyler100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%16%N/A25%N/A16%N/A
77
HD-76Chris Jones
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-8%N/A-9%N/A-11%N/A
78
HD-77Cliff Hayes83%
N/A (uncontested)
83%49%N/A57%N/A48%N/A
79
HD-78Jay Leftwich
N/A (uncontested)
100%-100%-19%N/A-20%N/A-22%N/A
80
HD-79Steve Heretick100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%24%N/A25%N/A22%N/A
81
HD-80Matthew James100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%47%N/A52%N/A46%N/A
82
HD-81Barry Knight41%59%-18%-20%2%-16%-2%-22%4%
83
HD-82Jason Miyares41%59%-18%-16%-2%-18%0.2%-19%1%
84
HD-83Chris Stolle44%56%-12%-7%-5%-6%-6%-9%-3%
85
HD-84Glenn Davis Jr.48%52%-4%-4%0.4%-1%-3%-6%2%
86
HD-85Rocky Holcomb51%49%2%-1%3%-0.3%2%-3%5%
87
HD-86Jennifer Boysko69%31%38%35%3%22%16%29%9%
88
HD-87John Bell62%38%24%26%-2%14%10%20%4%
89
HD-88Mark Cole37%53%-16%-14%-2%-12%-4%-16%0%
90
HD-89OPEN84%
N/A (uncontested)
84%61%N/A63%N/A59%N/A
91
HD-90Joe Lindsey100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%54%N/A59%N/A52%N/A
92
HD-91Gordon Helsel44%56%-12%-11%-1%-11%-1%-13%1%
93
HD-92Jeion Ward100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%56%N/A61%N/A55%N/A
94
HD-93Mike Mullin60%40%20%19%1%14%6%15%5%
95
HD-94David Yancey48.56%48.61%-0.1%6%-6%5%-5%3%-3%
96
HD-95Cia Price100%
N/A (uncontested)
100%51%N/A57%N/A50%N/A
97
HD-96Brenda Pogge43%57%-14%-11%-3%-16%2%-15%1%
98
HD-97Chris Peace28%72%-44%-40%-4%-39%-5%-42%-2%
99
HD-98Keith Hodges35%65%-30%-30%0%-20%-10%-30%0%
100
HD-99Margaret Ransone38%62%-24%-19%-5%-10%-14%-19%-5%
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