Room for more funding analysis for HKI's vitamin A program [2017]
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Scope of analysisNotes
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Unit of analysis (full organization or program of a larger organization)HKI's vitamin A supplementation program
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Revenue analysis 'as of' dateJune 30, 2017
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End date of the analysis: GiveWell's next allocation decisionNovember 30, 2018
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Date by which funds need to be recevied (or committed) for them to impact plans prior to GiveWell's next funding allocationJune 30, 2018We make the analysis period 1 year for simplicity.
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Funds on handAmountNotes
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Uncommitted, unreserved funds (estimated for the end of 2017)$0Our understanding is that HKI does not currently have any funds available for vitamin A supplementation in the countries listed on the "Spending opportunities" sheet.
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Projected revenueValue from same period in previous yearAre there any reasons why last year's revenue is not a reasonable projection for next year (ignoring variation in GiveWell-influenced funding)?Projection (before GiveWell's 2017 recommendation)Notes
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Total revenue for HKI's vitamin A supplementation program, between July 1, 2016 and June 30, 2017N/A-
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Total GiveWell-influenced funding that reached the organization between July 1, 2016 and June 30, 2017$0-
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Projected revenue from donors who are not influenced by GiveWell's research, between June 30, 2017 and June 30, 2018-$350,000HKI expects to receive some funding through UNICEF for the support of VAS mass campaigns in Burkina Faso, Cote d'Ivoire, and Guinea ($50,000 for each country) in 2018. In Nigeria, HKI expects to receive around $200,000 from Nutrition International to support VAS mass campaigns in three states in 2018. We have assumed that this funding will be renewed for 2019 and 2020. HKI will also receive funding through UNICEF in other countries, but it expects that this funding wiill primarily be used for supporting routine distributions of vitamin A.
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Funding held by GiveWell as of June 30, 2017 for supporting HKI's vitamin A supplementation program--$0
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Projected revenue from donors who give based on GiveWell's top charity list, but do not follow our recommendation for marginal funding, between June 30, 2017 and June 30, 2018--$50,000GiveWell maintains both a list of all top charities that meet our criteria and a recommendation for which charity or charities to give to to maximize the impact of additional donations, given cost-effectiveness of remaining funding gaps. In our experience, when we recommend a new top charity (but don't make it the recommendation for additional donors), charities receive ~$50,000 to $200,000 from donors other than Good Ventures.
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[For programs that are part of a larger org] Funding expected for the program from parent organization's unrestricted funding0-0HKI has told us that it has limited unrestricted funding and that it has not allocated unrestricted funding to its vitamin A supplementation program in the recent past.
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Bottom line
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'Baseline' funding pot for HKI's vitamin A supplementation program to allocate by June 30, 2018$400,000
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Rough revenue projection for July 1, 2018 to June 30, 2019$350,000
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Rough revenue projection for July 1, 2019 to June 30, 2020$350,000
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