Simple Moron Analysis Prediction for Scotland

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK
1	Constituency	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	BNP	SNP	Green	Ind	Others	Valid	Rejected	Total	Electorate	Turnout	Winner	Winner	Winner	Area		Area	SNP/Green	Unionist Vote	SNP/Green	Unionist	Same Turnout							SNP WIN?	SNP CONFIDENT WIN	Confidence Level	Constituency
2	Constituency	Con	Lab	LD	UKIP	BNP	SNP	Green	Ind	Others	Votes	Votes	Polled	Electorate	Turnout	Votes	%	Party	Yes Vote	No Vote	Ref Turnout	Vote		Vote Percentage	Vote Percentage	Con	Lab	Lib	UKIP	BNP	SNP	Green			4000	Constituency
3	Stirling	11,254	19,558	6,797	395		8,091	746			46,841	261	47,102	66,080	71.28%	19,558	41.75%	Lab	0.402	0.598	0.901	8,837	38,004	0.187614114	0.80684472	8341	14496	5038	293	0	17337	1598	TRUE	FALSE	2841	Stirling
4	Rutherglen & Hamilton West	4,540	28,566	5,636	675		7,564				46,981	387	47,368	76,408	61.99%	28,566	60.80%	Lab	0.453	0.547	0.853	7,564	39,417	0.159685864	0.832144064	2984	18778	3705	444	0	21458	0	TRUE	FALSE	2680	Rutherglen & Hamilton West
5	Ross, Skye & Lochaber	4,260	5,265	18,335	659		5,263	777	279		34,838	254	35,092	51,836	67.70%	18,335	52.63%	LD	0.471	0.529	0.87	6,040	28,519	0.172119001	0.812692352	2773	3427	11935	429	0	14402	2126	TRUE	FALSE	2467	Ross, Skye & Lochaber
6	Renfrewshire East	15,567	25,987	4,720	372		4,535				51,181	1,026	52,207	66,249	78.80%	25,987	50.77%	Lab	0.368	0.632	0.904	4,535	46,646	0.086865746	0.893481717	11011	18382	3339	263	0	19212	0	TRUE	FALSE	830	Renfrewshire East
7	Perth & North Perthshire	14,739	7,923	5,954			19,118			534	48,268	299	48,567	72,141	67.32%	19,118	39.61%	SNP	0.398	0.602	0.869	19,118	28,616	0.393641773	0.589206663	15059	8095	6083	0	0	19330	0	TRUE	TRUE	4271	Perth & North Perthshire
8	Paisley & Renfrewshire South	3,979	23,842	3,812			7,228		762	375	39,998	484	40,482	61,197	66.15%	23,842	59.61%	Lab	0.472	0.528	0.873	7,228	31,633	0.178548491	0.781409021	2689	16110	2576	0	0	19108	0	TRUE	FALSE	2998	Paisley & Renfrewshire South
9	Paisley & Renfrewshire North	6,381	23,613	4,597			8,333		550	233	43,707	398	44,105	63,704	69.23%	23,613	54.03%	Lab	0.472	0.528	0.873	8,333	34,591	0.188935495	0.784287496	4296	15897	3095	0	0	20818	0	TRUE	TRUE	4921	Paisley & Renfrewshire North
10	Orkney & Shetland	2,032	2,061	11,989	1,222		2,042				19,346	120	19,466	33,085	58.84%	11,989	61.97%	LD	0.34	0.66	0.84	2,042	17,304	0.104900853	0.888934553	1509	1530	8901	907	0	6618	0	FALSE	FALSE	-2283	Orkney & Shetland
11	Ochil & South Perthshire	10,342	19,131	5,754	689		13,944	609			50,469	283	50,752	75,115	67.57%	19,131	37.91%	Lab	0.398	0.602	0.869	14,553	35,916	0.28674732	0.707676545	8798	16274	4895	586	0	19354	845	TRUE	FALSE	3080	Ochil & South Perthshire
12	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	647	4,838	1,097			6,723		1,412		14,717	108	14,825	21,780	68.07%	6,723	45.68%	SNP	0.466	0.534	0.862	6,723	6,582	0.453490725	0.443979764	778	5819	1319	0	0	6908	0	TRUE	FALSE	1089	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)
13	Motherwell & Wishaw	3,660	23,910	3,840			7,104			609	39,123	284	39,407	66,918	58.89%	23,910	61.11%	Lab	0.511	0.489	0.844	7,104	31,410	0.18027254	0.797066511	2245	14669	2356	0	0	20137	0	TRUE	TRUE	5468	Motherwell & Wishaw
14	Moray	10,683	7,007	5,956	1,085		16,273				41,004	81	41,085	65,925	62.32%	16,273	39.69%	SNP	0.424	0.576	0.854	16,273	24,731	0.396081295	0.601947183	10223	6705	5699	1038	0	17420	0	TRUE	TRUE	7197	Moray
15	Midlothian	4,661	18,449	6,711	364		8,100	595	196	166	39,242	430	39,672	61,387	64.63%	18,449	47.01%	Lab	0.437	0.563	0.868	8,695	30,185	0.219172212	0.760864086	3449	13651	4966	269	0	16150	1186	TRUE	FALSE	2499	Midlothian
16	Livingston	5,158	23,215	5,316	443	960	12,424		149	242	47,907	268	48,175	75,924	63.45%	23,215	48.46%	Lab	0.448	0.552	0.862	12,424	35,092	0.257893098	0.728427608	3909	17592	4028	336	727	21582	0	TRUE	FALSE	3990	Livingston
17	Linlithgow & Falkirk East	6,146	25,634	6,589			13,081				51,450	362	51,812	80,907	64.04%	25,634	49.82%	Lab	0.465	0.535	0.887	13,081	38,369	0.25247047	0.740542731	4440	18519	4760	0	0	24093	0	TRUE	TRUE	5574	Linlithgow & Falkirk East
18	Lanark & Hamilton East	6,981	23,258	5,249	616		9,780		670		46,554	334	46,888	74,773	62.71%	23,258	49.96%	Lab	0.453	0.547	0.853	9,780	36,104	0.208582153	0.770005119	4959	16522	3729	438	0	21240	0	TRUE	TRUE	4718	Lanark & Hamilton East
19	Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath	4,258	29,559	4,269	760		6,550		349	57	45,802	179	45,981	73,534	62.53%	29,559	64.54%	Lab	0.45	0.55	0.841	6,550	38,846	0.142450142	0.844827211	2772	19244	2779	495	0	20691	0	TRUE	FALSE	1447	Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath
20	Kilmarnock & Loudoun	6,592	24,460	3,419			12,082				46,553	373	46,926	74,131	63.30%	24,460	52.54%	Lab	0.472	0.528	0.845	12,082	34,471	0.257469207	0.734582108	4738	17581	2457	0	0	22149	0	TRUE	TRUE	4568	Kilmarnock & Loudoun
21	Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey	6,278	10,407	19,172	574		8,803	789		1,063	47,086	420	47,506	72,528	65.50%	19,172	40.72%	LD	0.471	0.529	0.87	9,592	36,431	0.201911338	0.766871553	4331	7179	13225	396	0	20535	1841	TRUE	TRUE	7310	Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey
22	Inverclyde	4,502	20,993	5,007	433		6,577				37,512	263	37,775	59,209	63.80%	20,993	55.96%	Lab	0.499	0.501	0.874	6,577	30,935	0.174109861	0.818927862	2754	12843	3063	265	0	18850	0	TRUE	TRUE	6007	Inverclyde
23	Gordon	9,111	9,811	17,575		699	10,827	752			48,775	333	49,108	73,420	66.89%	17,575	36.03%	LD	0.396	0.604	0.872	11,579	37,196	0.23578643	0.757432598	7265	7824	14015	0	557	18184	1263	TRUE	TRUE	4169	Gordon
24	Glenrothes	2,922	25,247	3,108	425		8,799				40,501	160	40,661	67,765	60.00%	25,247	62.34%	Lab	0.45	0.55	0.841	8,799	31,702	0.216399006	0.779666019	2061	17810	2192	300	0	18297	0	TRUE	FALSE	487	Glenrothes
25	Glasgow South West	2,084	19,863	2,870		841	5,192			931	31,781	453	32,234	58,191	55.39%	19,863	62.50%	Lab	0.538	0.462	0.787	5,192	25,658	0.16107216	0.79599181	1210	11529	1666	0	488	17342	0	TRUE	TRUE	5813	Glasgow South West
26	Glasgow South	4,592	20,736	4,739		637	8,078	961		351	40,094	572	40,666	65,069	62.50%	20,736	51.72%	Lab	0.529	0.471	0.716	9,039	30,704	0.222274136	0.755028771	2865	12935	2956	0	397	19225	2287	TRUE	TRUE	6290	Glasgow South
27	Glasgow North West	3,537	19,233	5,622		699	5,430	882		179	35,582	391	35,973	60,997	58.98%	19,233	54.05%	Lab	0.507	0.493	0.792	6,312	29,091	0.175464932	0.808689851	2156	11725	3427	0	426	15690	2549	TRUE	FALSE	3965	Glasgow North West
28	Glasgow North East	1,569	20,100	2,262		798	4,158			522	29,409	503	29,912	59,861	49.97%	20,100	68.35%	Lab	0.567	0.433	0.74	4,158	24,729	0.139007756	0.82672506	822	10527	1185	0	418	16960	0	TRUE	TRUE	6433	Glasgow North East
29	Glasgow North	2,089	13,181	9,283		296	3,530	947		287	29,613	301	29,914	51,490	58.10%	13,181	44.51%	Lab	0.57	0.43	0.725	4,477	24,849	0.149662365	0.830681286	1081	6823	4805	0	153	13444	3607	TRUE	TRUE	6621	Glasgow North
30	Glasgow East	1,453	19,797	1,617	209	677	7,957			454	32,164	253	32,417	61,865	52.40%	19,797	61.55%	Lab	0.513	0.487	0.751	7,957	23,753	0.24545763	0.732732825	966	13158	1075	139	450	16630	0	TRUE	FALSE	3472	Glasgow East
31	Glasgow Central	2,158	15,908	5,010	246	616	5,357	800		485	30,580	391	30,971	60,105	51.53%	15,908	52.02%	Lab	0.524	0.476	0.688	6,157	23,938	0.198798876	0.772916599	1329	9797	3085	151	379	14120	2109	TRUE	TRUE	4323	Glasgow Central
32	Fife North East	8,715	6,869	17,763	1,032		5,685				40,064	195	40,259	62,771	64.14%	17,763	44.34%	LD	0.45	0.55	0.841	5,685	34,379	0.141210661	0.853945702	5613	4424	11441	665	0	18117	0	TRUE	TRUE	6676	Fife North East
33	Falkirk	5,698	23,207	5,225	1,283		15,364				50,777	307	51,084	81,869	62.40%	23,207	45.70%	Lab	0.465	0.535	0.887	15,364	35,413	0.300759533	0.693230757	4397	17910	4032	990	0	23754	0	TRUE	TRUE	5844	Falkirk
34	Edinburgh West	10,767	12,881	16,684			6,115				46,447	320	46,767	65,159	71.77%	16,684	35.92%	LD	0.34	0.66		6,115	40,332	0.130754592	0.862402976	8240	9858	12768	0	0	15901	0	TRUE	FALSE	3133	Edinburgh West
35	Edinburgh South West	11,026	19,473	8,194			5,530	872		367	45,462	334	45,796	66,361	69.01%	19,473	42.83%	Lab	0.38	0.62		6,402	38,693	0.139793868	0.844899118	8091	14290	6013	0	0	15032	2370	TRUE	FALSE	742	Edinburgh South West
36	Edinburgh South	9,452	15,215	14,899			3,354	881			43,801	303	44,104	59,362	74.30%	15,215	34.74%	Lab	0.35	0.65		4,235	39,566	0.096023036	0.897106838	6848	11024	10795	0	0	12225	3211	TRUE	FALSE	1201	Edinburgh South
37	Edinburgh North & Leith	7,079	17,740	16,016			4,568	1,062	128	763	47,356	298	47,654	69,207	68.86%	17,740	37.46%	Lab	0.4	0.6		5,630	40,835	0.118143283	0.856906031	4957	12421	11214	0	0	15466	3596	TRUE	FALSE	3045	Edinburgh North & Leith
38	Edinburgh East	4,358	17,314	7,751			8,133	2,035		274	39,865	276	40,141	60,945	65.86%	17,314	43.43%	Lab	0.47	0.53		10,168	29,423	0.253307092	0.732991206	3151	12519	5604	0	0	15090	3776	TRUE	FALSE	2571	Edinburgh East
39	East Lothian	9,661	21,919	8,288	548		7,883	862			49,161	475	49,636	73,348	67.67%	21,919	44.59%	Lab	0.383	0.617	0.853	8,745	40,416	0.176182609	0.814247723	7321	16609	6280	415	0	17137	1874	TRUE	FALSE	528	East Lothian
40	East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow	6,613	26,241	5,052			11,738	1,003	299		50,946	281	51,227	76,534	66.93%	26,241	51.51%	Lab	0.453	0.547	0.853	12,741	37,906	0.248716497	0.739961349	4889	19398	3735	0	0	21379	1827	TRUE	FALSE	1981	East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow
41	Dunfermline & Fife West	3,305	22,639	17,169	633		5,201				48,947	211	49,158	73,590	66.80%	22,639	46.25%	Lab	0.45	0.55	0.841	5,201	43,746	0.105801701	0.889906017	2043	13992	10611	391	0	22121	0	TRUE	TRUE	8129	Dunfermline & Fife West
42	Dundee West	3,461	17,994	4,233			10,716		365	357	37,126	352	37,478	63,013	59.48%	17,994	48.47%	Lab	0.573	0.427	0.788	10,716	25,688	0.285927744	0.685415444	2156	11210	2637	0	0	21475	0	TRUE	TRUE	10265	Dundee West
43	Dundee East	6,177	13,529	4,285	431		15,350	542		254	40,568	326	40,894	65,471	62.46%	15,350	37.84%	SNP	0.573	0.427	0.788	15,892	24,422	0.388614467	0.597202524	4417	9673	3064	308	0	22633	799	TRUE	TRUE	12960	Dundee East
44	Dunbartonshire West	3,242	25,905	3,434	683		8,497			505	42,266	373	42,639	66,086	64.52%	25,905	61.29%	Lab	0.54	0.46	0.879	8,497	33,264	0.199277657	0.780130866	1912	15275	2025	403	0	23025	0	TRUE	TRUE	7750	Dunbartonshire West
45	Dunbartonshire East	7,431	16,367	18,551	545		5,054				47,948	519	48,467	63,795	75.97%	18,551	38.69%	LD	0.388	0.612	0.91	5,054	42,894	0.104277137	0.885014546	5139	11318	12828	377	0	18805	0	TRUE	TRUE	5977	Dunbartonshire East
46	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale	17,457	13,263	9,080	637		4,945	510			45,892	191	46,083	66,627	69.17%	17,457	38.04%	Con	0.343	0.657	0.875	5,455	40,437	0.11837337	0.877481935	13071	9930	6798	477	0	14329	1478	TRUE	FALSE	1258	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale
47	Dumfries & Galloway	16,501	23,950	4,608	695		6,419				52,173	235	52,408	74,584	70.27%	23,950	45.90%	Lab	0.343	0.657	0.875	6,419	45,754	0.122481301	0.873034651	12418	18024	3468	523	0	17976	0	FALSE	FALSE	-48	Dumfries & Galloway
48	Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East	3,407	23,549	3,924			9,794			476	41,150	277	41,427	64,037	64.69%	23,549	57.23%	Lab	0.511	0.489	0.844	9,794	30,880	0.236415864	0.745407584	2235	15449	2574	0	0	21169	0	TRUE	TRUE	5720	Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East
49	Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill	3,374	27,728	3,519			7,014				41,635	388	42,023	70,067	59.98%	27,728	66.60%	Lab	0.511	0.489	0.844	7,014	34,621	0.166908598	0.823858363	2003	16458	2089	0	0	21474	0	TRUE	TRUE	5016	Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill
50	Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross	3,744	7,081	11,907			5,516		520		28,768	353	29,121	47,263	61.61%	11,907	41.39%	LD	0.471	0.529	0.87	5,516	22,732	0.189416572	0.780605062	2537	4799	8069	0	0	13716	0	TRUE	TRUE	5647	Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross
51	Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk	16,555	5,003	22,230	595		4,497			134	49,014	289	49,303	56,578	87.14%	22,230	45.35%	LD	0.334	0.666	0.874	4,497	44,383	0.091211488	0.900208912	12248	3701	16446	440	0	16467	0	TRUE	FALSE	21	Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk
52	Banff & Buchan	11,841	5,382	4,365		1,010	15,868				38,466	387	38,853	64,300	60.42%	15,868	41.25%	SNP	0.396	0.604	0.872	15,868	22,598	0.408411191	0.581628188	12296	5589	4533	0	1049	15386	0	TRUE	FALSE	3090	Banff & Buchan
53	Ayrshire North & Arran	7,212	21,860	4,630			11,965			449	46,116	430	46,546	74,223	62.71%	21,860	47.40%	Lab	0.489	0.511	0.844	11,965	33,702	0.257057534	0.724057921	5090	15428	3268	0	0	22761	0	TRUE	TRUE	7333	Ayrshire North & Arran
54	Ayrshire Central	8,943	20,950	5,236			8,364			422	43,915	353	44,268	68,352	64.76%	20,950	47.71%	Lab	0.421	0.579	0.861	8,364	35,129	0.188940092	0.793552905	6525	15286	3820	0	0	18637	0	TRUE	FALSE	3351	Ayrshire Central
55	Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock	11,721	21,632	4,264			8,276				45,893	424	46,317	73,320	63.17%	21,632	47.14%	Lab	0.421	0.579	0.861	8,276	37,617	0.178681694	0.812164	8356	15422	3040	0	0	19499	0	TRUE	TRUE	4077	Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock
56	Argyll & Bute	10,861	10,274	14,292			8,563	789	272	156	45,207	324	45,531	67,165	67.79%	14,292	31.61%	LD	0.415	0.585	0.882	9,352	35,427	0.20539852	0.778085261	8166	7724	10745	0	0	17301	1594	TRUE	TRUE	6556	Argyll & Bute
57	Angus	11,738	6,535	4,090	577		15,020				37,960	281	38,241	62,860	60.84%	15,020	39.57%	SNP	0.437	0.563	0.857	15,020	22,940	0.392772156	0.59987971	11016	6133	3839	542	0	16711	0	TRUE	TRUE	5695	Angus
58	Airdrie & Shotts	3,133	20,849	2,898			8,441		528		35,849	266	36,115	62,364	57.91%	20,849	58.16%	Lab	0.511	0.489	0.844	8,441	26,880	0.233725599	0.744289077	2058	13698	1904	0	0	18455	0	TRUE	TRUE	4757	Airdrie & Shotts
59	Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine	13,678	6,159	17,362	397	513	7,086				45,195	255	45,450	66,110	68.75%	17,362	38.42%	LD	0.396	0.604	0.872	7,086	38,109	0.155907591	0.838481848	9853	4437	12507	286	370	17998	0	TRUE	TRUE	5491	Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine
60	Aberdeen South	8,914	15,722	12,216		529	5,102	413		138	43,034	394	43,428	64,031	67.82%	15,722	36.53%	Lab	0.414	0.586	0.817	5,515	37,381	0.126991803	0.860758036	6069	10703	8317	0	360	16633	1346	TRUE	TRUE	5930	Aberdeen South
61	Aberdeen North	4,666	16,746	7,001		635	8,385			268	37,701	509	38,210	64,808	58.96%	16,746	44.42%	Lab	0.414	0.586	0.817	8,385	29,048	0.219445171	0.760219838	3597	12908	5397	0	489	15819	0	TRUE	FALSE	2911	Aberdeen North
62		412905	1035528	465471	17223	8910	491386	16827					2,485,677													308522	721050	332217	12565	6265	1063776	41282	2485677
63																										12.41%	29.01%	13.37%	0.51%	0.25%	42.80%	1.66%	57	32
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