Bayes on Christianity
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length (in bits) of christian hypothesis:2400
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dB best casedB medium casedB worst casew/ no comp. penaltywitness/transmission bit error rate:0.01
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Complexity penalty for hypothesis-7,225-7,225-7,225-7,225
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Bonus for specific testimony7,1527,1527,1527,225
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Remaining complexity penalty-72-72-720
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World religion bonus, relative to atheism70707070
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Historical evidence on top of world religion status40301040
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Background rate of observed resurrections-90-90-90-90
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Information needed to locate Jesus in particular0-20-400
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Sum20-10-5020
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Fine Tuning argument40000
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Evolution is true0-5-5-5
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Evil/divine silence-40-40-40-40
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Nonexistence of souls0-2-5-2
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Doctrine: Incarnation-1-1-1-1
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Doctrine: Atonement-5-5-5-5
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Doctrine: Trinity-1-2-2-2
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Prayer does not seem to work-2-5-10-5
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Christians are not noticably more moral than others-2-5-10-5
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Sum of philosopical evidence-11-65-78-65
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Overall sum-63-147-200-45
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