ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBCBDBEBFBGBHBIBJBKBLBMBNBOBPBQBRBSBTBUBVBWBXBYBZCACBCCCDCECFCGCHCICJCKCLCMCNCOCPCQCRCSCTCUCV
1
2
3
4
5
2026 California Voter Index Baseline Survey - Primary Crosstabs
6
Notes:
7
(1) Survey Conducted: March 12-17, 2026
8
(2) Weighted Cross-tabulated Results
9
(3) Blue shading indicates statistically significant differences across categories. Confidence Level = 95%. Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
10
Pink shading indicates a category or questions where statistically significant differences exist across subgroups and question categories
11
*Socio-economic status is a composite of education level, income, homeownership, and household size. Party Registration (Aggregated)Q5. Party Identification (Disaggregated)Q11. Gender (Aggregated)Self-Reported Age (5 Categories)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity (Mutually Exclusive)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: Asian American, Pacific Islander, Or South AsianQ21. Asian Ethnicity: ChineseQ20. Race Or Ethnicity: Black Or African AmericanQ20. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or LatinoQ20. Race Or Ethnicity: WhiteParty Registration (Aggregated) / Q11. Gender (Aggregated)Party Registration (Aggregated) / Age (Under 55)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity (Mutually Exclusive) / Q11. Gender (Aggregated)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: AAPI / Age (Under 55)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: Black Or African American / Age (Under 55)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or Latino / Age (Under 55)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: White / Age (Under 55)Region (Aggregated On File)Q4. Political Ideology (Aggregated)Voted In 2024 Primary and/or General ElectionQ15. Union Household (Aggregated)Q20. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or Latino / Language of Response
12
DemocratRepublicanNo Party Preference/ Minor PartyDemocratRepublicanNo Party Preference/ Minor PartyAsian American (Alone)Black, Non-Hispanic (Alone Or In Combination)Latino (Of Any Race)White Alone, Non-HispanicYesYesYesYesYes
13
TotalDemocratRepublicanNo Party Preference/ Minor PartyStrong DemocratNot A Strong DemocratIndependent, Lean DemocratPurely IndependentIndependent, Lean RepublicanNot A Strong RepublicanStrong RepublicanWomenMen18-2930-3940-4950-6465+Asian American (Alone)Black, Non-Hispanic (Alone Or In Combination)Latino (Of Any Race)White Alone, Non-HispanicYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoWomenMenWomenMenWomenMenUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderWomenMenWomenMenWomenMenWomenMenUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderLos AngelesInland EmpireOther Southern CaliforniaSan Francisco Bay AreaCentral ValleyCentral CoastGreater Sacramento Region/Far NorthTotal Progressive/ LiberalModerateConservativeYesNoTotal SelfFamily MemberNoEnglishSpanish
14
Unweighted Sample Size2,0009986213816071702552431711043149959402122543054957343272964916833621,6381152473111,6894911,5097741,2265484252663351811804915072513701921891341851771102422383533111741881411703061853024724752053894371871141937376004871,842272381411,544351140
15
Q1. In June of this year, there will be a primary election for Governor, Congress, state and local offices, and ballot measures. What are the chances that you will vote in that election?
16
Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Aggregated)
17
Definitely Vote (10)
18
Column %86%86%88%83%90%71%88%84%89%88%88%87%86%74%81%86%88%91%78%76%84%90%79%88%78%79%76%87%84%87%90%82%87%85%89%89%86%82%81%92%83%91%78%87%77%79%80%69%84%85%91%90%77%81%68%85%82%88%84%94%85%87%86%84%89%92%89%86%86%88%86%76%88%87%86%84%84%
19
Probably Vote (1-9)
20
Column %13%14%11%15%10%29%12%15%11%10%12%12%13%26%19%13%11%9%20%24%15%10%20%12%19%20%23%12%15%13%10%17%13%15%11%10%12%16%19%8%16%8%18%13%22%19%18%30%15%14%8%10%21%18%30%15%16%12%16%6%15%12%14%15%11%8%11%14%13%12%13%21%12%13%13%15%13%
21
Don't Know/Prefer Not To Answer
22
Column %1%0%1%2%0%0%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%2%2%0%0%1%1%4%0%1%2%1%0%1%1%0%0%2%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%1%2%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%3%
23
Don't Know/Prefer Not To Answer
24
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
25
Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Aggregated 2)
26
8-10
27
Column %94%95%94%91%96%89%96%91%95%96%95%95%93%89%91%95%94%96%87%92%94%96%88%95%85%90%92%94%94%94%97%91%96%94%95%93%92%92%93%97%91%96%88%93%86%88%93%88%96%93%96%96%86%91%90%95%93%96%95%98%93%96%93%92%96%96%98%96%92%95%94%97%93%94%94%95%91%
28
5-7
29
Column %4%3%4%5%3%5%2%7%3%1%3%3%5%9%5%2%3%3%9%6%3%2%9%3%9%8%5%4%3%4%2%5%3%5%3%4%5%5%4%2%6%2%5%5%12%8%2%11%2%4%2%3%10%7%5%5%3%3%3%1%4%3%4%5%2%3%1%3%5%3%4%0%5%5%3%3%6%
30
1-4
31
Column %2%2%1%2%1%6%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%4%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%3%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%2%1%3%1%2%1%3%1%2%3%3%0%2%2%1%1%3%1%4%0%2%1%2%1%3%0%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%1%1%2%2%1%
32
Don't Know/Prefer Not To Answer
33
Column %1%0%1%2%0%0%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%2%2%0%0%1%1%4%0%1%2%1%0%1%1%0%0%2%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%1%2%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%3%
34
Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Disaggregated)
35
Definitely Will Not Vote (0)
36
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
37
1
38
Column %0%0%0%0%0%2%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
39
2
40
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
41
3
42
Column %0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%
43
4
44
Column %1%1%1%1%1%3%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%0%2%0%1%1%2%1%3%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%2%1%1%0%2%2%0%0%0%2%1%0%2%1%1%0%2%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%
45
5
46
Column %2%2%2%3%1%1%1%3%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%4%4%1%1%3%2%6%2%4%2%1%2%1%3%1%2%1%2%2%3%2%1%1%2%3%3%5%3%1%11%0%2%1%1%3%3%4%4%2%1%0%1%2%2%2%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%2%0%1%2%2%2%1%
47
6
48
Column %0%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%2%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%2%1%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%
49
7
50
Column %1%1%2%2%1%3%1%3%1%0%1%1%2%4%2%0%1%1%5%1%1%1%4%1%3%5%1%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%2%2%3%2%1%1%5%1%2%3%6%4%1%0%1%1%1%2%4%4%1%1%0%2%2%0%2%0%2%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%0%2%3%1%0%4%
51
8
52
Column %3%4%2%5%3%9%3%4%3%6%2%4%3%8%5%4%3%2%5%8%4%2%5%3%3%6%8%3%4%3%2%5%5%3%2%2%2%7%6%2%3%1%7%3%5%5%10%4%5%3%1%3%5%4%11%4%4%4%5%1%4%5%3%3%3%2%4%4%4%3%3%7%1%3%4%5%2%
53
9
54
Column %4%5%4%3%4%8%5%4%3%2%5%4%4%7%5%6%2%4%4%8%6%4%4%4%4%5%8%4%6%4%4%5%4%6%4%3%4%3%6%3%5%3%3%3%4%3%3%15%6%5%4%3%4%5%10%6%7%4%6%3%4%3%4%5%5%2%4%5%3%5%4%13%4%4%4%6%4%
55
Will Definitely Vote (10)
56
Column %86%86%88%83%90%71%88%84%89%88%88%87%86%74%81%86%88%91%78%76%84%90%79%88%78%79%76%87%84%87%90%82%87%85%89%89%86%82%81%92%83%91%78%87%77%79%80%69%84%85%91%90%77%81%68%85%82%88%84%94%85%87%86%84%89%92%89%86%86%88%86%76%88%87%86%84%84%
57
Don't Know/Unsure
58
Column %0%0%0%2%0%0%0%1%1%2%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%3%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%2%2%0%0%1%0%4%0%1%2%1%0%1%1%0%0%2%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%1%1%3%
59
Prefer Not To Answer
60
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
61
Q2. In general, do you think things in California are headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
62
Q2. Direction (Disaggregated)
63
Right Direction
64
Column %33%52%5%30%61%38%51%17%5%7%3%38%29%42%36%30%34%31%30%31%35%35%33%33%32%33%30%34%35%33%35%32%53%52%5%4%35%26%49%56%6%4%23%35%30%30%30%35%41%30%40%30%34%31%34%26%38%29%34%35%33%23%33%37%26%49%35%56%30%5%33%37%41%45%31%35%34%
65
Wrong Track
66
Column %52%30%90%51%23%37%30%62%92%83%94%47%57%34%44%58%55%56%51%46%50%55%48%53%43%50%47%53%50%53%54%50%27%32%90%90%49%53%32%27%87%92%55%48%43%57%43%50%47%52%50%62%50%45%44%50%46%56%49%57%50%71%53%44%64%41%52%26%53%91%52%47%45%44%55%52%38%
67
Mixed
68
Column %5%6%2%7%5%11%2%10%1%4%1%4%6%11%7%4%4%3%2%8%7%3%3%5%2%3%8%5%7%4%3%7%5%7%2%2%6%8%8%4%3%2%6%7%3%1%11%4%5%10%2%4%3%2%7%8%7%8%3%3%8%3%7%4%2%3%2%6%6%2%5%0%5%5%5%6%13%
69
Don’t Know
70
Column %8%10%2%10%8%12%12%10%1%5%1%9%6%12%12%6%6%7%14%14%6%6%14%7%19%12%14%7%6%8%7%8%11%7%2%3%9%11%10%10%3%2%15%7%20%10%15%10%5%7%7%4%11%16%15%13%6%6%13%3%9%2%6%11%6%7%8%11%9%1%8%11%9%4%7%5%10%
71
Prefer Not To Answer
72
Column %2%2%1%3%2%1%4%1%1%1%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%3%4%1%2%1%3%2%4%3%1%2%2%2%1%3%3%2%0%1%2%2%2%3%1%1%1%4%4%3%2%1%2%1%2%1%1%5%0%3%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%3%3%1%4%1%3%1%2%5%1%2%2%1%5%
73
Q3. If the June Primary election for California Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…?
74
Q3. Vote Choice (Aggregated)
75
Total Thurmond
76
Column %1%2%0%2%1%2%2%1%0%0%0%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%1%5%1%1%1%1%1%1%5%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%0%0%2%2%1%2%0%0%3%0%0%2%5%6%1%2%1%1%2%0%1%8%2%1%1%1%1%0%1%2%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%1%2%0%1%1%0%
77
Total Porter
78
Column %10%17%0%8%18%11%14%7%1%0%0%10%10%10%13%13%8%9%9%9%10%11%9%10%8%9%9%10%10%10%11%8%16%18%0%0%6%10%17%16%0%0%7%8%7%9%7%12%12%8%11%12%14%4%13%5%11%8%14%10%11%3%11%9%5%17%12%19%7%1%10%5%12%14%9%10%9%
79
Total Mahan
80
Column %3%4%1%3%3%3%6%3%5%0%1%3%3%5%4%2%2%3%4%2%2%4%3%3%4%3%2%3%2%3%3%2%5%3%0%2%4%3%4%4%2%1%2%4%5%3%2%2%1%3%5%2%5%2%0%4%2%2%4%3%3%2%2%5%1%3%4%2%5%1%3%8%2%4%3%1%4%
81
Total Yee
82
Column %2%2%0%2%1%4%4%1%0%1%0%2%1%2%3%3%1%1%3%2%0%2%4%1%6%3%2%2%0%2%2%1%2%1%0%0%2%2%3%1%1%0%2%3%3%3%1%3%0%0%2%1%5%4%2%1%0%1%4%1%2%0%1%3%1%0%2%3%2%0%2%0%3%2%1%0%1%
83
Total Hilton
84
Column %16%1%41%14%1%0%1%15%44%36%48%15%17%3%4%10%16%25%18%10%8%20%16%16%17%16%9%16%8%18%20%12%0%1%45%38%15%14%1%1%25%50%8%19%14%20%5%13%4%13%22%20%11%22%6%12%5%14%8%26%10%15%17%11%26%22%23%1%15%42%16%9%10%16%17%10%1%
85
Total Becerra
86
Column %3%5%0%3%6%3%6%2%0%2%1%4%3%3%5%6%2%3%2%2%7%2%2%4%3%2%2%4%7%2%2%5%6%5%1%0%4%2%7%4%1%0%2%4%2%2%3%1%8%6%4%1%3%2%4%0%7%7%2%2%4%4%3%4%3%3%4%5%4%1%3%3%8%3%3%5%16%
87
Total Bianco
88
Column %14%2%34%13%1%2%2%16%28%35%40%11%17%7%12%20%16%12%10%6%16%15%9%14%5%11%6%14%16%13%14%13%1%3%32%36%10%16%1%2%44%29%20%7%11%9%4%10%13%20%11%20%5%13%8%3%15%18%17%13%10%28%19%8%16%8%12%1%12%36%14%4%12%11%14%18%8%
89
Total Steyer
90
Column %10%13%3%11%16%17%11%9%1%3%1%10%10%9%9%7%9%11%8%11%14%8%9%10%10%9%12%10%14%9%9%10%13%15%3%3%11%12%11%17%4%2%8%14%6%9%13%8%13%14%9%8%7%12%11%12%12%16%8%10%12%5%8%12%8%14%7%14%11%3%10%14%12%7%10%15%8%
91
Total Swalwell
92
Column %10%16%1%8%20%11%15%5%1%2%0%11%9%8%8%7%10%12%12%11%5%11%13%9%14%12%11%10%5%11%12%8%15%18%2%1%9%7%11%21%1%1%6%9%11%12%11%11%7%4%12%10%12%14%12%9%6%4%9%13%9%7%8%12%11%14%11%15%12%0%10%10%11%10%10%6%2%
93
Total Villaraigosa
94
Column %3%5%1%3%5%7%6%2%0%2%0%4%3%4%9%2%3%1%1%5%9%1%1%4%1%1%4%3%9%1%1%5%6%4%1%0%3%2%6%4%1%0%4%2%1%1%6%1%10%8%1%1%1%0%3%5%10%7%3%1%4%6%3%2%4%2%1%5%3%1%3%6%4%4%3%8%16%
95
Other
96
Column %2%1%2%3%1%1%1%4%3%2%0%2%1%5%2%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%4%1%2%0%3%1%1%1%1%1%3%1%3%0%2%0%2%2%1%3%2%2%3%0%1%2%0%2%2%0%2%2%2%1%1%
97
Undecided Not Leaning Toward Anyone
98
Column %24%28%14%27%25%35%29%28%15%14%7%26%21%38%26%23%26%18%27%29%24%21%26%23%24%26%30%23%24%24%21%26%31%25%12%15%30%24%32%24%17%12%31%24%32%25%31%29%28%19%21%20%29%23%30%31%27%18%26%18%28%23%22%27%21%15%19%30%24%9%23%35%21%23%24%24%24%
99
Will Skip/Prefer Not To Answer
100
Column %3%4%2%4%3%3%2%5%2%2%0%3%4%4%3%3%4%3%5%7%3%2%4%3%6%4%6%3%3%3%2%5%3%5%0%3%4%4%3%4%2%2%4%3%5%5%9%4%2%3%1%3%4%5%5%8%2%4%2%2%5%4%4%3%1%1%2%2%3%2%3%3%1%5%3%1%8%