Conference Tournament Predictions 2015
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1
Advancement OddsError by Reach Exact RoundRelative Error
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Predict the MadnessKen PomeroyTeam RankingsPTMKPTRPTMKPTR
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confteam_name
seed
result
Rd1Rd2Rd3Rd4Rd5Rd1Rd2Rd3Rd4Rd5Rd1Rd2Rd3Rd4Rd5-307.04-305.76-302.38
4
A-10Davidson13100%100%73%32%17%100%100%81%49%32%100%100%75%42%27%-0.89-1.16-1.10-0.28-0.22
5
A-10Dayton24100%100%71%39%18%100%100%76%46%22%100%100%72%40%18%-1.58-1.43-1.53-0.150-0.1
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A-10Rhode Island33100%100%64%35%16%100%100%60%30%12%100%100%53%27%11%-1.23-1.19-1.33-0.040-0.14
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A-10Richmond42100%100%36%18%9%100%100%50%22%12%100%100%40%17%8%-0.45-0.7-0.510-0.25-0.06
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A-10Virginia Commonwealth55100%90%62%43%29%100%85%47%23%13%100%90%58%33%21%-1.24-2.02-1.570-0.77-0.33
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A-10George Washington62100%86%34%15%6%100%81%37%16%6%100%84%44%23%10%-0.66-0.82-0.90-0.16-0.24
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A-10St. Bonaventure72100%67%23%9%3%100%59%16%6%2%100%63%20%7%2%-0.82-0.84-0.840-0.02-0.03
11
A-10Massachusetts81100%53%15%3%1%100%44%8%2%1%100%48%11%3%1%-0.74-0.59-0.65-0.160-0.06
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A-10La Salle92100%47%12%3%1%100%56%12%4%1%100%52%13%4%2%-1.04-0.82-0.94-0.220-0.12
13
A-10Saint Joseph's101100%33%7%2%0%100%41%8%2%0%100%37%8%2%0%-0.4-0.52-0.460-0.12-0.06
14
A-10Duquesne11159%9%1%0%0%71%16%3%1%0%58%10%2%0%0%-0.7-0.6-0.73-0.10-0.14
15
A-10Fordham12139%3%0%0%0%57%10%2%0%0%42%4%1%0%0%-1.03-0.74-0.95-0.280-0.21
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A-10George Mason13061%7%2%0%0%43%6%1%0%0%58%7%2%0%0%-0.95-0.56-0.86-0.390-0.3
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A-10Saint Louis14041%5%0%0%0%29%3%0%0%0%42%5%1%0%0%-0.52-0.34-0.54-0.190-0.2
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AACSouthern Methodist14100%94%63%36%100%93%62%37%100%92%61%35%-1.02-1-1.06-0.020-0.06
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AACTulsa22100%82%30%12%100%81%28%10%100%76%25%9%-0.65-0.63-0.67-0.020-0.04
20
AACCincinnati31100%51%34%18%100%48%33%17%100%44%30%15%-0.72-0.66-0.58-0.13-0.070
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AACTemple42100%61%24%11%100%63%26%12%100%49%19%8%-1.01-0.98-1.18-0.030-0.2
22
AACMemphis51100%39%12%4%100%37%11%4%100%51%19%8%-0.5-0.46-0.71-0.040-0.25
23
AACConnecticut6392%48%33%18%94%51%37%20%94%55%42%24%-1.9-1.78-1.75-0.15-0.030
24
AACTulane7056%11%1%0%48%9%1%0%52%13%2%0%-0.83-0.65-0.74-0.180-0.09
25
AACEast Carolina8158%4%0%0%62%5%1%0%60%6%1%0%-0.61-0.57-0.61-0.040-0.04
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AACCentral Florida9042%2%0%0%38%2%0%0%40%2%0%0%-0.54-0.47-0.51-0.060-0.03
27
AACHouston10144%7%1%0%52%10%1%0%48%11%1%0%-1-0.86-1-0.130-0.14
28
AACSouth Florida1108%1%0%0%6%0%0%0%6%1%0%0%-0.08-0.06-0.06-0.0200
29
ACCVirginia13100%100%89%58%31%100%100%93%67%42%100%100%90%53%28%-1.16-1.34-0.98-0.18-0.360
30
ACCDuke23100%100%84%64%40%100%100%81%61%33%100%100%86%66%40%-1.62-1.65-1.640-0.03-0.03
31
ACCNotre Dame35100%100%74%25%10%100%100%75%25%8%100%100%72%23%8%-2.3-2.5-2.480-0.2-0.18
32
ACCLouisville42100%100%55%22%9%100%100%43%12%4%100%100%48%21%9%-0.8-0.57-0.65-0.230-0.08
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ACCNorth Carolina54100%83%42%17%7%100%87%54%20%9%100%90%51%25%12%-2.28-2.24-2.05-0.23-0.20
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ACCMiami (FL)62100%72%21%4%1%100%68%20%4%1%100%77%25%5%1%-0.68-0.73-0.66-0.02-0.070
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ACCNorth Carolina State72100%67%13%6%2%100%73%17%8%2%100%65%11%5%1%-0.61-0.58-0.61-0.040-0.04
36
ACCClemson81100%60%7%2%0%100%55%4%1%0%100%54%6%1%0%-0.92-0.8-0.77-0.15-0.030
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ACCFlorida State92100%40%3%0%0%100%45%3%1%0%100%46%4%1%0%-1.01-0.87-0.86-0.1400
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ACCPittsburgh101100%33%3%1%0%100%27%3%1%0%100%35%3%1%0%-0.4-0.32-0.43-0.080-0.11
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ACCWake Forest11077%25%4%0%0%73%27%5%1%0%61%16%2%0%0%-1.47-1.3-0.94-0.53-0.360
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ACCBoston College12145%7%1%0%0%45%5%1%0%0%48%5%1%0%0%-0.97-0.93-0.85-0.12-0.080
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ACCGeorgia Tech13055%10%2%0%0%55%8%2%0%0%52%6%1%0%0%-0.8-0.8-0.74-0.05-0.060
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ACCVirginia Tech14123%3%0%0%0%27%5%0%0%0%39%7%1%0%0%-1.6-1.5-1.14-0.46-0.360
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A-EASTAlbany (NY)1396%77%48%97%76%48%97%75%45%-0.73-0.73-0.80-0.01-0.08
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A-EASTVermont2196%64%30%97%70%34%97%68%35%-1.12-1.3-1.250-0.18-0.14
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A-EASTStony Brook3293%35%17%94%30%13%95%32%15%-1.7-1.78-1.740-0.08-0.04
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A-EASTNew Hampshire4182%20%4%85%22%5%77%20%5%-0.48-0.47-0.57-0.010-0.09
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A-EASTHartford5018%2%0%15%2%0%23%4%1%-0.2-0.17-0.26-0.030-0.09
48
A-EASTBinghamton607%1%0%6%0%0%5%0%0%-0.08-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.010
49
A-EAST
Maryland-Baltimore County
704%0%0%3%0%0%3%0%0%-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.0100
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A-EASTMaine804%0%0%3%0%0%3%0%0%-0.04-0.03-0.03000
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A-SUNNorth Florida1395%76%56%95%80%61%96%78%54%-0.59-0.49-0.61-0.090-0.12
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A-SUNFlorida Gulf Coast2193%67%27%90%62%22%94%56%21%-1.33-1.29-0.97-0.36-0.320
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A-SUNSouth Carolina Upstate3293%32%12%92%35%12%96%43%19%-1.59-1.44-1.42-0.17-0.020
54
A-SUNNorthern Kentucky4080%20%6%78%17%5%78%19%5%-1.62-1.53-1.5-0.12-0.030
55
A-SUNLipscomb5120%3%0%22%3%1%22%3%1%-1.78-1.68-1.66-0.12-0.010
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A-SUNKennesaw State607%1%0%8%1%0%4%0%0%-0.07-0.08-0.04-0.03-0.040
57
A-SUNJacksonville707%1%0%10%1%0%6%0%0%-0.07-0.11-0.06-0.01-0.050
58
A-SUNStetson805%1%0%5%1%0%4%0%0%-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.010
59
BIG10Wisconsin15100%100%92%81%69%100%100%89%73%59%100%100%85%69%51%-0.37-0.54-0.680-0.17-0.31
60
BIG10Maryland23100%100%59%18%2%100%100%64%27%7%100%100%60%20%6%-0.88-1.01-0.940-0.13-0.06
61
BIG10Michigan State34100%100%42%29%6%100%100%55%35%11%100%100%43%28%10%-1.49-1.45-1.73-0.040-0.28
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BIG10Purdue43100%100%46%6%3%100%100%42%8%3%100%100%46%9%3%-0.93-1.08-1.020-0.15-0.09
63
BIG10Iowa51100%80%49%9%5%100%81%52%15%8%100%77%47%13%6%-1.61-1.65-1.48-0.12-0.170
64
BIG10Ohio State62100%78%50%40%12%100%73%37%23%8%100%79%49%37%17%-1.27-1.02-1.22-0.250-0.2
65
BIG10Indiana72100%66%30%8%1%100%68%28%10%2%100%71%33%10%3%-1.03-0.92-0.96-0.110-0.04
66
BIG10Illinois81100%66%6%3%1%100%63%8%3%1%100%69%13%7%3%-1.07-1.01-1.16-0.060-0.15
67
BIG10Michigan92100%34%2%1%0%100%37%3%1%0%100%31%3%1%0%-1.12-1.09-1.25-0.030-0.16
68
BIG10Northwestern101100%34%10%2%0%100%32%8%2%0%100%29%7%1%0%-0.42-0.39-0.34-0.08-0.050
69
BIG10Minnesota11186%21%8%4%1%83%26%8%4%1%86%21%7%4%1%-0.43-0.56-0.430-0.140
70
BIG10Nebraska12052%11%3%0%0%42%7%2%0%0%48%11%3%0%0%-0.74-0.54-0.66-0.20-0.12
71
BIG10Penn State13248%9%3%0%0%58%13%4%1%0%52%12%4%0%0%-2.7-2.48-2.52-0.220-0.05
72
BIG10Rutgers14014%1%0%0%0%17%2%0%0%0%14%1%0%0%0%-0.15-0.19-0.150-0.040
73
BIG12Kansas13100%74%40%20%100%84%53%33%100%79%47%26%-1.59-1.63-1.55-0.05-0.090
74
BIG12Iowa State24100%64%38%23%100%61%32%15%100%59%32%17%-1.48-1.92-1.760-0.44-0.27
75
BIG12Oklahoma32100%67%33%18%100%68%38%19%100%68%37%20%-1.09-1.22-1.150-0.13-0.06
76
BIG12Baylor42100%42%20%8%100%61%28%15%100%55%27%13%-1.51-1.12-1.27-0.380-0.15
77
BIG12West Virginia51100%58%32%15%100%39%14%6%100%45%20%9%-0.87-0.49-0.6-0.370-0.11
78
BIG12Oklahoma State61100%33%11%4%100%32%12%4%100%32%11%4%-0.4-0.39-0.38-0.0200
79
BIG12Texas7186%35%17%9%86%37%17%7%88%40%20%10%-0.67-0.72-0.720-0.05-0.05
80
BIG12Kansas State8037%7%2%0%41%6%1%0%49%10%3%1%-0.46-0.52-0.670-0.06-0.2
81
BIG12Texas Christian9163%19%6%2%59%11%3%1%51%11%3%1%-0.81-0.73-0.9-0.090-0.18
82
BIG12Texas Tech10014%1%0%0%14%2%0%0%12%1%0%0%-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.020
83
BIGEASTVillanova14100%90%65%47%100%92%68%52%100%90%74%55%-0.76-0.66-0.59-0.16-0.070
84
BIGEASTGeorgetown22100%83%45%18%100%80%42%14%100%78%40%14%-0.96-0.96-0.95-0.02-0.010
85
BIGEASTButler31100%53%28%10%100%54%30%10%100%55%31%12%-0.76-0.77-0.790-0.01-0.03
86
BIGEASTProvidence42100%45%14%6%100%34%8%3%100%54%13%5%-1.15-1.34-0.88-0.27-0.460
87
BIGEASTSt. John's (NY)51100%55%19%10%100%66%23%14%100%46%10%4%-0.79-1.08-0.61-0.18-0.470
88
BIGEASTXavier63100%47%23%8%100%46%24%7%100%45%24%8%-1.87-1.78-1.83-0.090-0.05
89
BIGEASTDePaul7031%3%0%0%35%5%1%0%33%5%1%0%-0.38-0.43-0.40-0.05-0.03
90
BIGEASTSeton Hall8048%5%1%0%60%6%1%0%55%6%2%1%-0.66-0.92-0.80-0.26-0.14
91
BIGEASTMarquette9152%5%1%0%40%3%0%0%45%4%1%0%-0.77-0.99-0.890-0.21-0.12
92
BIGEASTCreighton10169%14%3%0%65%15%4%1%67%17%5%1%-0.6-0.69-0.70-0.08-0.09
93
BIGSKYMontana1281%61%43%85%68%46%67%42%18%-1.68-1.53-1.4-0.28-0.130
94
BIGSKYEastern Washington2374%57%29%68%44%22%80%64%48%-1.23-1.52-0.74-0.5-0.780
95
BIGSKYSacramento State3150%15%4%61%27%11%59%21%8%-1.04-1.1-0.97-0.07-0.120
96
BIGSKYNorthern Arizona4159%20%9%63%26%11%58%26%10%-0.93-0.99-1.140-0.06-0.22
97
BIGSKYNorthern Colorado5041%11%4%37%11%3%42%16%5%-0.52-0.46-0.54-0.060-0.08
98
BIGSKYPortland State6050%15%4%39%11%3%41%15%4%-0.69-0.5-0.53-0.190-0.03
99
BIGSKYIdaho7026%14%4%32%8%3%20%8%4%-0.3-0.38-0.22-0.08-0.160
100
BIGSKYWeber State8019%8%3%15%4%1%33%8%3%-0.21-0.16-0.4-0.060-0.25
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Sheet1