Table 1: Population and Employment Forecast, 2010-2040
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQ
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Detailed Employment, Commute, and Population Forecast
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Thurston County
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1980-2045
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ActualProjected
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NAICSIndustry19801985199019952000200520102015202020252030203520402045
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111-115, 21
Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and mining2,6372,5683,1233,7362,9712,9433,0223,3213,4003,4003,5003,6003,6003,700
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22Utilities237224254225181226184188200200200200200200
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23Construction2,0982,5604,6524,7106,1067,0835,4666,3347,2007,3007,6008,0008,2008,600
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31-33Manufacturing3,3773,2233,8853,9483,6893,6713,6254,1524,3004,6004,8004,9005,1005,100
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42Wholesale trade8229441,7611,6641,9802,8163,2273,8574,2004,6004,8005,0005,2005,300
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44-45Retail trade5,8456,5969,77812,49513,37714,21514,35815,55517,10018,20019,30020,20021,20022,100
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48-49Transportation and warehousing6727651,4531,1751,6122,4142,2432,8653,1003,2003,3003,5003,6003,800
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51Information9729991,3561,5411,6381,4841,3221,3441,4001,5001,5001,6001,6001,600
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52Finance and insurance1,3431,6322,4913,0573,2793,8774,1764,5355,3005,9006,3006,7007,1007,500
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53Real estate and rental and leasing2,1542,0692,7833,3883,6244,7845,2615,4936,0006,5006,9007,2007,5007,800
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54-56Professional and business services2,1422,9295,1266,4578,83712,18412,94615,95118,30020,30021,70022,90024,40025,400
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61-62Education, health, and social services4,1165,7189,04111,26713,64814,88216,95019,37522,40024,70026,50028,10029,80031,100
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71Arts, entertainment, and recreation4707469481,4171,6442,3312,7762,8063,3003,7003,9004,2004,5004,700
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72Accommodation and food services3,3914,2035,4125,7246,1447,2928,1889,17610,00010,80011,40011,90012,50012,900
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81Other services2,1132,7734,4165,7477,2057,4417,3898,1839,4009,90010,50011,00011,60012,100
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Federal government1,4161,5721,8371,8801,8911,7831,8261,6391,8001,8001,8001,8001,9001,900
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State government13,72215,19719,38521,04422,73223,89624,36724,17425,00026,10027,30028,40029,40030,400
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State government, except education13,01714,30918,38219,88921,28722,39222,82722,79323,50024,50025,70026,70027,70028,700
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State education7058889751,1201,4151,5041,5401,3811,5001,6001,6001,7001,7001,800
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Local and Tribal government4,6545,2447,3039,05410,93310,98111,43211,82713,50014,20014,80015,50016,10016,700
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Local & Tribal government, except tribal ent.4,6545,2447,3038,77110,2839,89510,17010,50011,90012,40012,90013,40013,90014,400
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Tribal enterprises0002846501,0861,2621,3271,6001,8001,9002,1002,2002,400
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Total Local Employment52,18159,96285,00498,529111,491124,303128,758140,775155,700167,000176,300184,500193,500200,900
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Out-bound commuters9,73911,41216,27721,13726,90729,32434,20835,27639,60042,90046,20049,10051,80054,100
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In-bound commuters5,4716,7839,65912,18214,87118,07719,04920,94324,20026,70028,70030,70032,50034,300
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Net out-bound commuters (1)4,2684,6296,6188,95512,03611,24715,15914,33315,50016,30017,40018,40019,20019,900
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Population161,238139,738161,238186,419207,355229,286252,264267,410294,300316,500336,000354,400370,700383,500
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SOURCEEmployment and Commute Forecast: Thurston Regional Planning Council (TRPC), Forecast Work Program, 2018.
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Copyright 1992, 1995, 1996, 1999, 2004, 2009, 2012, 2018 Thurston Regional Planning Council
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http://www.trpc.org/236/Population-Employment-Forecasting
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Population Forecast: 2010-2040: Washington Office of Financial Management (OFM) medium series forecast for Thurston County, 2017. 2045 - TRPC's extrapolation of OFM's forecast.
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https://www.ofm.wa.gov/washington-data-research/population-demographics/population-forecasts-and-projections/growth-management-act-county-projections
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NOTE
Medium Growth Scenario. Employment figures represent annual averages. Population figures are for April 1 of each year. Numbers may not add to total due to rounding.
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1) "Net Outbound Civilian Commuters" is calculated by subtracting persons commuting into Thurston County from persons commuting out of Thurston County.
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DATEAdopted by TRPC March 2, 208
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