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EVs In The United States
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Year2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
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EVs Sold4,73617,42552,60797,507122,438116,099158,614199,818348,000450,000600,000875,0001,250,0001,800,0002,500,0003,500,000
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Total EVs in fleet4,73622,16174,768172,275294,713410,812569,426769,2441,117,2441,567,2442,167,2443,037,5084,270,0836,017,4768,419,96911,797,531
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11 year rolling total for EVs in fleet
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Actual4,73622,16174,768172,275294,713410,812569,426769,2441,117,2441,567,244
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Projected1,567,2442,167,2443,037,5084,270,0836,017,4768,419,96911,797,531
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Sources & Assumptions:
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EV sales 2011-2017
https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/us-electric-vehicle-sales-increase-by-81-in-2018#gs.d9g7ce
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EV Sales projections
https://evadoption.com/ev-sales/ev-sales-forecasts/
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Average lifespan of cars11.5
https://berla.co/average-us-vehicle-lifespan/
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Level 3 EV Chargers Required
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Year2010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
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Hypothetical Level 3 Chargers Required For Fleet472187361,6962,9024,0455,6067,57411,00015,43021,33829,90642,04159,24582,899116,152
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Actual Level 3 Chargers820746711901885355146885797976012,134
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Sources & Assumptions:
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EV Owner Data
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Assumed percent of EVs that can be charged at home80%
See blog post for rationale
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Percent of EVs that rely entirely on public network20%
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Charging need per car
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Average miles driven per year13,476
https://www.autogravity.com/autogravitas/money/whats-average-miles-driven-per-year-car-lease-guide
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Miles earned for 1 hour charging (Non-Tesla level 3)250
https://chargehub.com/en/electric-car-charging-guide.html
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Hours needed over course of year for 1 car - 100% public54
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Portion of time on public network for cars charged at home5%
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Hours needed over course of year for 1 car - Charge at home3
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Average hours needed per year for all EVs (Charge at home and public)13
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Charging capacity per charger
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Hours in a year8,760
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Utilization15%
https://d231jw5ce53gcq.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/eLab_EVgo_Fleet_and_Tariff_Analysis_2017.pdf
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Hours per year per charger1,314
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Cars per year per charger102
Divide fleet per year by this to get chargers per year
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