| A | B | C | D | E | I | J | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | AB | AC | AD | AE | AF | AG | AH | AI | AJ | AK | AL | AM | AN | AO | AP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2016 Projections | 2016 Competition Ratings* | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Projected National Democratic % | Projected National Incumbency Bump | Republican | 203 | Safe Republican: | 193 | Safe Democratic: | 148 | If All Seats Open: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 50% | 2.77% | Democratic | 158 | Likely Republican: | 16 | Likely Democratic: | 14 | Republican | 237 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | No Projection | 74 | Lean Republican: | 21 | Lean Democratic: | 26 | Democratic | 198 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Last Updated | 3/24/2016 | Toss Up (Slight R): | 13 | Toss Up (Slight D): | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | Total R: | 243 | Total D: | 192 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | *Our projection model overrides "safe" and "likely" designations under certain circumstance. See the methodology tab for a complete explanation. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | State | CD | Incumbent | Party | Year First Elected | Projected D % | 2016 Projections (FairVote) | 2016 Projections (If Open Seat) | 2016 Projections (Competition Ratings) | D Partisanship 2012 | D Partisanship 2012 + Tilt | 2014 Two Party MOV | 2014 2-Party Winning Percentage | Raw Performance over Partisanship D | Raw Performance over Partisanship | Adjusted 2014 MOV | 2012 Two Party MOV | 2012 & 2014 District Partisanship (FL & VA) | Part. Margin Change (FL & VA) | 2012 2-Party Winning Percentage | Adjusted 2012 MOV | 2010 Two Party MOV | 2010 District Partisanship | Part. Margin Change Redistricting | Adjusted 2010 MOV | 2014 Adjusted Two Party D% | 2012 Adjusted Two Party D % | 2010 Adjusted Two Party D % | Candidate Influence D 2014 | Candidate Influence 2014 | Performance Over Average Candidate 2014 | Candidate Influence D 2012 | Candidate Influence 2012 | Performance Over Average Candidate 2012 | Candidate Influence D 2010 | Candidate Influence 2010 | Performance Over Average Candidate 2010 | Average POAC | |
10 | Alabama | 1 | Bradley Byrne | (R) | 2013 | 32.9% | R | R | Safe R | 35.8% | 35.8% | 36% | 68.2% | -4.1% | 4.1% | 32.5% | 41.3% | 70.7% | 50.3% | 33.8% | 24.8% | -2.1% | 2.1% | -0.7% | -11.0% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% | |||||||||||
11 | Alabama | 2 | Martha Roby | (R) | 2010 | 36.5% | R | R | Safe R | 34.8% | 34.8% | 35% | 67.4% | -2.2% | 2.2% | 30.7% | 27.3% | 63.7% | 31.3% | 2.2% | 32.9% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 34.6% | 34.3% | 45.6% | -0.1% | 0.1% | -2.6% | -0.4% | 0.4% | -4.1% | 10.8% | -10.8% | -15.3% | -7.3% | |||
12 | Alabama | 3 | Mike Rogers | (R) | 2002 | 36.1% | R | R | Safe R | 35.3% | 35.3% | 32% | 66.2% | -1.5% | 1.5% | 28.3% | 28.2% | 64.1% | 32.2% | 19.0% | 39.9% | -9.2% | 20.6% | 35.8% | 33.9% | 39.7% | 0.5% | -0.5% | -3.3% | -1.4% | 1.4% | -3.1% | 4.4% | -4.4% | -8.9% | -5.1% | |||
13 | Alabama | 4 | Robert Aderholt | (R) | 1996 | 20.7% | R | R | Safe R | 22.6% | 22.6% | 100% | 100.0% | -22.6% | 22.6% | 95.9% | 48.1% | 74.1% | 52.1% | 100.0% | 19.9% | 5.5% | 86.9% | 2.1% | 23.9% | 0.0% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 1.3% | -1.3% | -5.8% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -1.9% | |||
14 | Alabama | 5 | Mo Brooks | (R) | 2010 | 33.1% | R | R | Safe R | 33.5% | 33.5% | 100% | 100.0% | -33.5% | 33.5% | 95.9% | 30.0% | 65.0% | 34.0% | 15.9% | 34.9% | -2.7% | 20.0% | 2.1% | 33.0% | 40.0% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | -0.6% | 0.6% | -3.9% | 6.5% | -6.5% | -11.0% | -5.0% | |||
15 | Alabama | 6 | Gary Palmer | (R) | 2014 | 23.2% | R | R | Safe R | 23.2% | 23.2% | 53% | 76.3% | 0.5% | -0.5% | 53.5% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.8% | -2.8% | ||||||||||||||||
16 | Alabama | 7 | Terri Sewell | (D) | 2010 | 74.7% | D | D | Safe D | 70.7% | 70.7% | 100% | 100.0% | 29.3% | 29.3% | 104.0% | 51.8% | 75.9% | 47.8% | 44.8% | 68.9% | 3.6% | 65.0% | 102.0% | 73.9% | 82.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 2.0% | |||
17 | Alaska | AL | Don Young | (R) | 1973 | 41.6% | R | R | Safe R | 41.0% | 41.0% | 11% | 55.4% | 3.6% | -3.6% | 6.8% | 38.2% | 69.1% | 42.2% | 38.6% | 35.9% | 10.2% | 20.9% | 46.6% | 28.9% | 39.6% | 5.6% | -5.6% | -8.4% | -12.1% | 12.1% | 7.6% | -1.4% | 1.4% | -3.1% | -1.3% | |||
18 | Arizona | 1 | OPEN SEAT (Ann Kirkpatrick) | (D) | 2012 | 46.8% | No projection | No projection | Lean R | 46.8% | 46.8% | 5% | 52.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 51.9% | 8.9% | -6.4% | 41.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 54.6% | 54.4% | 56.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | |||
19 | Arizona | 2 | Martha McSally | (R) | 2014 | 47.2% | No projection | No projection | Toss Up | 47.3% | 47.3% | 0% | 50.0% | 2.7% | -2.7% | 6.1% | 43.4% | 7.8% | 47.0% | -0.3% | 0.3% | -2.4% | -2.4% | ||||||||||||||||
20 | Arizona | 3 | Raul Grijalva | (D) | 2002 | 59.3% | D | D | Safe D | 60.3% | 60.3% | 12% | 55.8% | -4.5% | -4.5% | 15.5% | 22.2% | 61.1% | 18.2% | 6.4% | 53.9% | 12.8% | 26.7% | 57.8% | 59.1% | 63.4% | -2.5% | -2.5% | -5.3% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -5.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.4% | -4.1% | |||
21 | Arizona | 4 | Paul Gosar | (R) | 2010 | 29.1% | R | R | Safe R | 29.9% | 29.9% | 46% | 73.1% | -3.0% | 3.0% | 42.0% | 40.4% | 70.2% | 44.4% | 6.4% | 41.4% | -22.9% | 39.7% | 29.0% | 27.8% | 30.1% | -1.0% | 1.0% | -1.8% | -2.1% | 2.1% | -2.4% | 0.2% | -0.2% | -4.7% | -3.0% | |||
22 | Arizona | 5 | OPEN SEAT (Matt Salmon) | (R) | 2012 | 33.4% | R | R | Safe R | 33.4% | 33.4% | 39% | 69.6% | -3.0% | 3.0% | 35.1% | 34.4% | 67.2% | 47.4% | 32.5% | 26.3% | -1.0% | 1.0% | -1.8% | -7.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | |||||||||||
23 | Arizona | 6 | David Schweikert | (R) | 2010 | 36.0% | R | R | Safe R | 37.7% | 37.7% | 30% | 64.9% | -2.5% | 2.5% | 25.6% | 29.6% | 64.8% | 33.6% | 9.2% | 43.9% | -12.4% | 32.0% | 37.2% | 33.2% | 34.0% | -0.5% | 0.5% | -2.3% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -3.7% | 3.7% | -0.8% | -1.0% | |||
24 | Arizona | 7 | Ruben Gallego | (D) | 2014 | 71.1% | D | D | Safe D | 70.6% | 70.6% | 100% | 100.0% | 29.4% | 29.4% | 109.0% | 62.9% | 15.5% | 104.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||
25 | Arizona | 8 | Trent Franks | (R) | 2002 | 34.1% | R | R | Safe R | 35.6% | 35.6% | 100% | 100.0% | -35.6% | 35.6% | 95.9% | 28.7% | 64.4% | 32.7% | 35.3% | 34.9% | 1.5% | 26.2% | 2.1% | 33.6% | 36.9% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | -2.0% | 2.0% | -2.5% | 1.3% | -1.3% | -5.8% | -2.8% | |||
26 | Arizona | 9 | Kyrsten Sinema | (D) | 2012 | 55.3% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 50.3% | 50.3% | 13% | 56.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 17.3% | 4.4% | 52.2% | 9.4% | 58.6% | 54.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | -0.1% | 2.7% | |||||||||||
27 | Arkansas | 1 | Rick Crawford | (R) | 2010 | 37.9% | R | R | Safe R | 35.7% | 35.7% | 32% | 66.1% | -1.8% | 1.8% | 28.2% | 17.9% | 59.0% | 21.9% | 8.7% | 35.9% | -0.4% | 10.6% | 35.9% | 39.0% | 44.7% | 0.2% | -0.2% | -3.0% | 3.4% | -3.4% | -7.9% | 9.0% | -9.0% | -13.5% | -8.1% | |||
28 | Arkansas | 2 | J. French Hill | (R) | 2014 | 42.6% | R | R | Likely R | 42.1% | 42.1% | 9% | 54.3% | 3.5% | -3.5% | 9.6% | 41.4% | 1.5% | 45.2% | 3.0% | -3.0% | -5.8% | -5.8% | ||||||||||||||||
29 | Arkansas | 3 | Steve Womack | (R) | 2010 | 28.1% | R | R | Safe R | 31.1% | 31.1% | 100% | 100.0% | -31.1% | 31.1% | 95.9% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 104.0% | 44.9% | 31.4% | -0.6% | 46.9% | 2.1% | -2.0% | 26.5% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||
30 | Arkansas | 4 | Bruce Westerman | (R) | 2014 | 36.4% | R | R | Safe R | 35.1% | 35.1% | 12% | 55.8% | 9.1% | -9.1% | 12.6% | 43.7% | 8.6% | -8.6% | -11.4% | -11.4% | ||||||||||||||||||
31 | California | 1 | Doug La Malfa | (R) | 2012 | 39.8% | R | R | Safe R | 39.9% | 39.9% | 22% | 61.0% | -0.9% | 0.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 57.4% | 27.8% | 41.0% | 36.1% | 1.1% | -1.1% | -3.9% | -3.8% | 3.8% | -0.7% | -2.3% | |||||||||||
32 | California | 2 | Jared Huffman | (D) | 2012 | 73.9% | D | D | Safe D | 69.0% | 69.0% | 50% | 75.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 54.0% | 42.5% | 71.2% | 47.5% | 77.0% | 73.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% | 2.7% | |||||||||||
33 | California | 3 | John Garamendi | (D) | 2009 | 54.3% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 53.6% | 53.6% | 5% | 52.7% | -0.9% | -0.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 54.2% | 4.5% | 21.7% | 62.4% | -17.5% | 11.8% | 54.7% | 52.2% | 55.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | -1.7% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -5.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | -2.2% | -3.3% | |||
34 | California | 4 | Tom McClintock | (R) | 2008 | 36.5% | R | R | Safe R | 38.8% | 38.8% | 100% | 100.0% | -38.8% | 38.8% | 95.9% | 22.2% | 61.1% | 26.2% | 32.2% | 41.4% | -5.1% | 29.7% | 2.1% | 36.9% | 35.1% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | -1.9% | 1.9% | -2.6% | -3.7% | 3.7% | -0.8% | -1.1% | |||
35 | California | 5 | Mike Thompson | (D) | 1998 | 72.4% | D | D | Safe D | 69.1% | 69.1% | 100% | 100.0% | 30.9% | 30.9% | 104.0% | 48.9% | 74.5% | 44.9% | 33.8% | 63.4% | 11.5% | 52.9% | 102.0% | 72.5% | 76.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | -1.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | |||
36 | California | 6 | Doris Matsui | (D) | 2005 | 74.2% | D | D | Safe D | 68.4% | 68.4% | 45% | 72.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 49.4% | 50.1% | 75.1% | 46.1% | 48.1% | 67.4% | 2.1% | 57.7% | 74.7% | 73.1% | 78.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | |||
37 | California | 7 | Ami Bera | (D) | 2012 | 52.7% | No projection | No projection | Toss Up | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1% | 50.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 51.7% | 17.4% | 52.4% | 58.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | -0.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |||||||||||
38 | California | 8 | Paul Cook | (R) | 2012 | 36.9% | R | R | Safe R | 41.1% | 41.1% | 35% | 67.6% | -8.7% | 8.7% | 31.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 113.0% | 34.4% | -6.5% | -6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 2.0% | |||||||||||
39 | California | 9 | Jerry McNerney | (D) | 2006 | 55.5% | No projection | D | Lean D | 56.9% | 56.9% | 5% | 52.4% | -4.5% | -4.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 55.6% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 51.4% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 54.4% | 53.6% | 59.9% | -2.5% | -2.5% | -5.3% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -7.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | -1.5% | -4.9% | |||
40 | California | 10 | Jeff Denham | (R) | 2010 | 45.6% | No projection | No projection | Lean R | 49.8% | 49.8% | 12% | 56.1% | -6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 52.7% | 9.4% | 29.5% | 43.4% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 45.9% | 45.3% | 41.0% | -3.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -8.8% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | |||
41 | California | 11 | Mark DeSaulnier | (D) | 2014 | 67.6% | D | D | Safe D | 66.8% | 66.8% | 35% | 67.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 43.5% | 68.9% | -4.1% | 71.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | ||||||||||||||||
42 | California | 12 | Nancy Pelosi | (D) | 1987 | 85.3% | D | D | Safe D | 83.8% | 83.8% | 67% | 83.3% | -0.6% | -0.6% | 70.5% | 70.2% | 85.1% | 66.2% | 68.2% | 82.9% | 1.9% | 77.7% | 85.3% | 83.1% | 88.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | -1.4% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 0.5% | -2.0% | |||
43 | California | 13 | Barbara Lee | (D) | 1998 | 90.9% | D | D | Safe D | 87.3% | 87.3% | 77% | 88.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 81.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 96.0% | 77.3% | 85.4% | 3.8% | 88.7% | 90.5% | 98.0% | 94.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |||
44 | California | 14 | Jackie Speier | (D) | 2007.5 | 78.3% | D | D | Safe D | 73.3% | 73.3% | 53% | 76.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 57.4% | 57.8% | 78.9% | 53.8% | 54.7% | 71.4% | 3.9% | 66.2% | 78.7% | 76.9% | 83.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | |||
45 | California | 15 | Eric Swalwell | (D) | 2012 | 70.3% | D | D | Safe D | 67.1% | 67.1% | 40% | 69.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 43.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 114.0% | 71.8% | 107.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.00% | 1.0% | |||||||||||
46 | California | 16 | Jim Costa | (D) | 2004 | 54.5% | No projection | D | Lean D | 57.6% | 57.6% | 1% | 50.7% | -6.9% | -6.9% | 5.5% | 14.8% | 57.4% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 56.9% | 1.5% | 12.5% | 52.7% | 55.4% | 56.2% | -4.9% | -4.9% | -7.7% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -6.7% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -5.9% | -6.8% | |||
47 | California | 17 | Mike Honda | (D) | 2000 | 73.7% | D | D | Safe D | 71.2% | 71.2% | 100% | 100.0% | 28.8% | 28.8% | 104.0% | 47.1% | 73.5% | 43.1% | 35.2% | 65.4% | 11.7% | 54.5% | 102.0% | 71.5% | 77.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | -0.9% | |||
48 | California | 18 | Anna Eshoo | (D) | 1992 | 69.7% | D | D | Safe D | 67.7% | 67.7% | 36% | 67.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 39.5% | 41.0% | 70.5% | 37.0% | 42.6% | 70.4% | -5.4% | 44.7% | 69.8% | 68.5% | 72.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | -0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | -3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% | -1.4% | |||
49 | California | 19 | Zoe Lofgren | (D) | 1994 | 73.7% | D | D | Safe D | 70.4% | 70.4% | 100% | 100.0% | 29.6% | 29.6% | 104.0% | 46.5% | 73.2% | 42.5% | 47.3% | 66.9% | 7.0% | 61.8% | 102.0% | 71.2% | 80.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | -3.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.8% | |||
50 | California | 20 | OPEN SEAT (Sam Farr) | (D) | 1993 | 70.4% | D | D | Safe D | 70.4% | 70.4% | 100% | 100.0% | 29.6% | 29.6% | 104.0% | 48.1% | 74.1% | 44.1% | 38.1% | 69.4% | 2.0% | 47.7% | 102.0% | 72.1% | 73.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | -2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.0% | -1.3% | |||
51 | California | 21 | David Valadao | (R) | 2012 | 45.8% | No projection | No projection | Lean R | 53.6% | 53.6% | 16% | 57.8% | -11.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 57.8% | 28.5% | 44.2% | 35.7% | -9.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | -17.8% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 10.0% | |||||||||||
52 | California | 22 | Devin Nunes | (R) | 2002 | 33.7% | R | R | Safe R | 40.5% | 40.5% | 44% | 72.0% | -12.6% | 12.6% | 40.0% | 23.8% | 61.9% | 27.8% | 100.0% | 39.4% | 2.3% | 90.1% | 30.0% | 36.1% | 0.0% | -10.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | -4.4% | 4.4% | -0.1% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 2.6% | |||
53 | California | 23 | Kevin McCarthy | (R) | 2006 | 29.7% | R | R | Safe R | 35.3% | 35.3% | 50% | 74.8% | -10.2% | 10.2% | 45.6% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 104.0% | 100.0% | 35.4% | -0.1% | 92.5% | 27.2% | -2.0% | 3.7% | -8.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 1.8% | |||
54 | California | 24 | OPEN SEAT (Lois Capps) | (D) | 1998 | 53.5% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 53.5% | 53.5% | 4% | 51.9% | -1.6% | -1.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 55.1% | 6.2% | 21.1% | 63.4% | -19.7% | 9.0% | 53.9% | 53.1% | 54.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | -2.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -4.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | -3.5% | -3.6% | |||
55 | California | 25 | Steve Knight | (R) | 2014 | 46.7% | No projection | No projection | Lean R | 47.1% | 47.1% | 100% | 100.0% | -47.1% | 47.1% | 101.0% | 46.9% | 0.4% | -0.5% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||
56 | California | 26 | Julia Brownley | (D) | 2012 | 53.6% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 53.2% | 53.2% | 3% | 51.3% | -1.9% | -1.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 52.7% | 10.4% | 53.3% | 55.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | -2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | -2.5% | -2.6% | |||||||||||
57 | California | 27 | Judy Chu | (D) | 2009 | 63.2% | D | D | Safe D | 61.8% | 61.8% | 19% | 59.4% | -2.5% | -2.5% | 22.7% | 28.0% | 64.0% | 24.0% | 42.1% | 65.4% | -7.1% | 42.6% | 61.4% | 62.0% | 71.3% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -3.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | -4.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | -0.9% | |||
58 | California | 28 | Adam Schiff | (D) | 2000 | 73.0% | D | D | Safe D | 69.9% | 69.9% | 100% | 100.0% | 30.1% | 30.1% | 104.0% | 53.0% | 76.5% | 49.0% | 33.9% | 65.4% | 9.1% | 50.6% | 102.0% | 74.5% | 75.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |||
59 | California | 29 | Tony Cardenas | (D) | 2012 | 77.2% | D | D | Safe D | 76.3% | 76.3% | 49% | 74.6% | -1.7% | -1.7% | 53.2% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 105.0% | 76.6% | 102.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -2.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -1.2% | |||||||||||
60 | California | 30 | Brad Sherman | (D) | 1982 | 68.0% | D | D | Safe D | 64.6% | 64.6% | 31% | 65.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 35.3% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 96.0% | 51.2% | 73.4% | -17.5% | 41.3% | 67.6% | 98.0% | 70.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |||
61 | California | 31 | Pete Aguilar | (D) | 2014 | 56.3% | No projection | D | Likely D | 56.3% | 56.3% | 3% | 51.7% | -4.6% | -4.6% | 12.5% | 42.4% | 27.9% | 56.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -2.9% | ||||||||||||||||
62 | California | 32 | Grace Napolitano | (D) | 1998 | 64.4% | D | D | Safe D | 64.4% | 64.4% | 19% | 59.7% | -4.7% | -4.7% | 23.3% | 31.4% | 65.7% | 27.4% | 46.9% | 68.4% | -8.0% | 46.5% | 61.7% | 63.7% | 73.2% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -5.5% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -5.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | -2.1% | |||
63 | California | 33 | Ted Lieu | (D) | 2014 | 60.5% | D | D | Safe D | 59.9% | 59.9% | 18% | 59.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% | 27.4% | 67.4% | -14.9% | 63.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | ||||||||||||||||
64 | California | 34 | Xavier Becerra | (D) | 1992 | 85.8% | D | D | Safe D | 82.5% | 82.5% | 100% | 100.0% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 104.0% | 71.2% | 85.6% | 67.2% | 67.6% | 77.4% | 10.2% | 85.4% | 102.0% | 83.6% | 92.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | -3.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% | |||
65 | California | 35 | Norma Torres | (D) | 2014 | 66.9% | D | D | Safe D | 66.4% | 66.4% | 100% | 100.0% | 33.6% | 33.6% | 109.0% | 104.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||
66 | California | 36 | Raul Ruiz | (D) | 2012 | 54.7% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 49.6% | 49.6% | 8% | 54.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 52.9% | 19.9% | 56.2% | 59.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | |||||||||||
67 | California | 37 | Karen Bass | (D) | 2010 | 87.1% | D | D | Safe D | 84.1% | 84.1% | 69% | 84.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 72.6% | 72.8% | 86.4% | 68.8% | 72.2% | 83.9% | 0.5% | 89.2% | 86.3% | 84.4% | 94.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | -0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.4% | |||
68 | California | 38 | Linda Sanchez | (D) | 2002 | 63.9% | D | D | Safe D | 64.0% | 64.0% | 18% | 59.1% | -4.9% | -4.9% | 22.2% | 35.1% | 67.5% | 31.1% | 32.0% | 62.9% | 2.2% | 41.8% | 61.1% | 65.5% | 70.9% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -5.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% | -2.1% | |||
69 | California | 39 | Ed Royce | (R) | 1992 | 37.4% | R | No projection | Safe R | 46.2% | 46.2% | 37% | 68.5% | -14.7% | 14.7% | 33.0% | 15.6% | 57.8% | 19.6% | 33.6% | 44.4% | 3.6% | 22.4% | 33.5% | 40.2% | 38.8% | -12.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | -6.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | -7.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | |||
70 | California | 40 | Lucille Roybal-Allard | (D) | 1992 | 84.2% | D | D | Safe D | 80.5% | 80.5% | 100% | 100.0% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 104.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 96.0% | 54.5% | 72.4% | 16.3% | 78.3% | 102.0% | 98.0% | 89.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | |||
71 | California | 41 | Mark Takano | (D) | 2012 | 59.8% | D | D | Safe D | 60.6% | 60.6% | 13% | 56.6% | -4.0% | -4.0% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 59.0% | 22.9% | 58.6% | 61.5% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -4.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | -3.7% | -4.2% | |||||||||||
72 | California | 42 | Ken Calvert | (R) | 1992 | 38.1% | R | R | Safe R | 40.5% | 40.5% | 31% | 65.7% | -6.2% | 6.2% | 27.4% | 21.2% | 60.6% | 25.2% | 11.2% | 46.9% | -12.8% | 16.5% | 36.3% | 37.4% | 41.8% | -4.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | -3.1% | 3.1% | -1.4% | 1.3% | -1.3% | -5.8% | -1.9% | |||
73 | California | 43 | Maxine Waters | (D) | 1990 | 76.0% | D | D | Safe D | 77.0% | 77.0% | 42% | 71.0% | -6.1% | -6.1% | 45.9% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 96.0% | 58.7% | 81.4% | -8.7% | 57.5% | 73.0% | 98.0% | 78.8% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | -2.8% | -3.2% | |||
74 | California | 44 | OPEN SEAT (Janice Hahn) | (D) | 2011 | 83.6% | D | D | Safe D | 83.6% | 83.6% | 100% | 100.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 104.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 96.0% | 61.4% | 44.4% | 53.4% | 102.0% | 98.0% | 76.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -6.9% | -6.9% | -11.4% | -3.8% | ||||
75 | California | 45 | Mimi Walters | (R) | 2014 | 41.0% | R | R | Safe R | 42.1% | 42.1% | 30% | 65.1% | -7.3% | 7.3% | 31.2% | 46.4% | -8.5% | 34.4% | -7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | ||||||||||||||||
76 | California | 46 | OPEN SEAT (Loretta Sanchez) | (D) | 1996 | 60.6% | D | D | Safe D | 60.6% | 60.6% | 19% | 59.7% | -0.9% | -0.9% | 23.4% | 27.7% | 63.9% | 23.7% | 14.9% | 57.4% | 6.5% | 28.9% | 61.7% | 61.9% | 64.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | -1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | -3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | -0.7% | -1.9% | |||
77 | California | 47 | Alan Lowenthal | (D) | 2012 | 58.6% | D | D | Safe D | 59.3% | 59.3% | 12% | 56.0% | -3.3% | -3.3% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 56.6% | 18.1% | 58.0% | 59.1% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -4.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.7% | -4.4% | |||||||||||
78 | California | 48 | Dana Rohrabacher | (R) | 1988 | 38.5% | R | R | Safe R | 42.2% | 42.2% | 28% | 64.1% | -6.3% | 6.3% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 61.0% | 26.0% | 24.4% | 45.4% | -6.4% | 23.2% | 37.9% | 37.0% | 38.4% | -4.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | -5.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | -3.8% | 3.8% | -0.7% | 0.5% | |||
79 | California | 49 | Darrell Issa | (R) | 2000 | 41.5% | R | No projection | Safe R | 44.7% | 44.7% | 20% | 60.2% | -4.9% | 4.9% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 58.2% | 20.3% | 33.2% | 42.4% | 4.6% | 21.0% | 41.9% | 39.8% | 39.5% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | -4.8% | 4.8% | 0.3% | -5.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |||
80 | California | 50 | Duncan D. Hunter | (R) | 2008 | 31.8% | R | R | Safe R | 36.6% | 36.6% | 42% | 71.2% | -7.8% | 7.8% | 38.3% | 35.4% | 67.7% | 39.4% | 32.6% | 42.4% | -11.5% | 36.5% | 30.8% | 30.3% | 31.7% | -5.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | -6.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% | -4.9% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | |||
81 | California | 51 | Juan Vargas | (D) | 2012 | 70.5% | D | D | Safe D | 68.3% | 68.3% | 38% | 68.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 41.6% | 43.0% | 71.5% | 48.0% | 70.8% | 74.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | -0.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |||||||||||
82 | California | 52 | Scott Peters | (D) | 2012 | 53.6% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 51.2% | 51.2% | 3% | 51.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 51.2% | 16.4% | 53.6% | 58.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | -0.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |||||||||||
83 | California | 53 | Susan Davis | (D) | 2000 | 61.0% | D | D | Safe D | 60.5% | 60.5% | 18% | 58.8% | -1.7% | -1.7% | 21.7% | 22.9% | 61.4% | 18.9% | 29.4% | 65.4% | -9.7% | 27.2% | 60.8% | 59.4% | 63.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | -2.5% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -5.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.4% | -3.2% | |||
84 | Colorado | 1 | Diana DeGette | (D) | 1996 | 70.5% | D | D | Safe D | 68.1% | 68.1% | 39% | 69.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 42.9% | 43.6% | 71.8% | 39.6% | 40.2% | 71.4% | -6.5% | 41.3% | 71.4% | 69.8% | 70.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | -2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | -2.0% | -1.4% | |||
85 | Colorado | 2 | Jared Polis | (D) | 2008 | 58.4% | D | D | Safe D | 57.2% | 57.2% | 13% | 56.7% | -0.5% | -0.5% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 59.1% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 61.4% | -8.3% | 19.7% | 58.7% | 57.1% | 59.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | -1.3% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.9% | -2.6% | |||
86 | Colorado | 3 | Scott Tipton | (R) | 2010 | 41.5% | R | No projection | Safe R | 45.0% | 45.0% | 24% | 61.9% | -6.9% | 6.9% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 56.5% | 17.0% | 4.5% | 44.9% | 0.3% | 14.7% | 40.2% | 41.5% | 42.7% | -4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | -3.5% | 3.5% | -1.0% | -2.4% | 2.4% | -2.1% | -0.3% | |||
87 | Colorado | 4 | Ken Buck | (R) | 2014 | 37.2% | R | R | Safe R | 38.4% | 38.4% | 38% | 68.9% | -7.3% | 7.3% | 38.8% | 45.9% | -15.0% | 30.6% | -7.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | ||||||||||||||||
88 | Colorado | 5 | Doug Lamborn | (R) | 2006 | 38.8% | R | R | Safe R | 37.6% | 37.6% | 20% | 59.8% | 2.6% | -2.6% | 15.5% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 104.0% | 38.4% | 36.9% | 1.5% | 29.3% | 42.3% | -2.0% | 35.3% | 4.6% | -4.6% | -7.4% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -2.3% | 2.3% | -2.2% | -3.2% | |||
89 | Colorado | 6 | Mike Coffman | (R) | 2008 | 47.2% | No projection | No projection | Toss Up | 50.6% | 50.6% | 9% | 54.7% | -5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 51.1% | 6.2% | 35.2% | 42.9% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 47.4% | 46.9% | 43.9% | -3.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | -3.7% | 3.7% | -0.8% | -6.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | |||
90 | Colorado | 7 | Ed Perlmutter | (D) | 2006 | 56.8% | D | No projection | Likely D | 55.4% | 55.4% | 10% | 55.1% | -0.4% | -0.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 56.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 55.9% | -0.9% | 18.9% | 57.1% | 54.7% | 59.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | -0.5% | -2.3% | |||
91 | Connecticut | 1 | John Larson | (D) | 1998 | 65.4% | D | D | Safe D | 61.5% | 61.5% | 27% | 63.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 30.7% | 43.1% | 71.5% | 39.1% | 24.4% | 62.9% | -2.7% | 29.3% | 65.3% | 69.5% | 64.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.4% | 1.1% | |||
92 | Connecticut | 2 | Joe Courtney | (D) | 2006 | 64.0% | D | No projection | Safe D | 54.5% | 54.5% | 27% | 63.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 31.4% | 39.8% | 69.9% | 35.8% | 21.4% | 55.9% | -2.7% | 26.3% | 65.7% | 67.9% | 63.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | |||
93 | Connecticut | 3 | Rosa DeLauro | (D) | 1990 | 69.0% | D | D | Safe D | 61.5% | 61.5% | 34% | 67.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 38.2% | 49.4% | 74.7% | 45.4% | 31.9% | 59.9% | 3.3% | 42.8% | 69.1% | 72.7% | 71.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | |||
94 | Connecticut | 4 | Jim Himes | (D) | 2008 | 55.5% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 53.5% | 53.5% | 7% | 53.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 60.0% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 56.4% | -5.7% | 8.0% | 55.7% | 58.0% | 54.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | -0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | -4.0% | -1.6% | |||
95 | Connecticut | 5 | Elizabeth Esty | (D) | 2012 | 54.4% | No projection | No projection | Lean D | 52.5% | 52.5% | 8% | 53.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 51.3% | 7.6% | 55.8% | 53.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | -3.2% | -1.4% | |||||||||||
96 | Delaware | AL | OPEN SEAT (John Carney) | (D) | 2010 | 57.3% | D | D | Likely D | 57.3% | 57.3% | 23% | 61.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 27.4% | 31.7% | 65.8% | 27.7% | 16.1% | 58.9% | -3.1% | 29.6% | 63.7% | 63.8% | 64.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | |||
97 | Florida | 1 | Jeff Miller | (R) | 2001 | 26.7% | R | R | Safe R | 28.8% | 28.8% | 50% | 75.0% | -3.8% | 3.8% | 45.9% | 43.9% | 28.8% | 0.0% | 71.9% | 47.9% | 100.0% | 28.9% | -0.2% | 92.6% | 27.0% | 26.1% | 3.7% | -1.8% | 1.8% | -1.0% | -2.8% | 2.8% | -1.7% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -0.9% | |
98 | Florida | 2 | Gwen Graham | (D) | 2014 | 32.7% | No projection | R | Safe R | 32.7% | 32.7% | 1% | 50.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | -9.7% | 45.2% | -24.9% | 41.9% | 6.6% | 45.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -2.8% | -2.8% | ||||||||||||||
99 | Florida | 3 | Ted Yoho | (R) | 2012 | 41.9% | R | R | Safe R | 40.7% | 40.7% | 34% | 66.8% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 20.2% | 33.2% | 36.0% | 9.3% | 66.6% | 36.9% | 39.9% | 31.6% | 3.9% | -3.9% | -6.7% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -3.3% | |||||||||
100 | Florida | 4 | Ander Crenshaw | (R) | 2000 | 28.4% | R | R | Safe R | 31.4% | 31.4% | 100% | 100.0% | -33.9% | 33.9% | 101.0% | 100.0% | 33.9% | -5.1% | 100.0% | 109.1% | 100.0% | 34.9% | -1.9% | 94.3% | -0.5% | -4.5% | 2.8% | -2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |