CA_Drop-Off_PresToSen_WholeState_byCounty_2024Gen_Prelim_ElectionAtlas.xlsx

	B	D	E	F	G	I	J	K	L	N	O	P	Q	S	T	U	W
1	CALIFORNIA DROP-OFF ANALYSIS BY COUNTY 2024 PRESIDENT VS SENATE PREL DATA
2		2024 US PRESIDENTIAL RACE BY COUNTY & PARTY				2024 US SENATE RACE BY COUNTY & PARTY				2024 US DROP-OFF FROM PRES TO SEN BY COUNTY & PARTY				PERCENTAGE OF DROP-OFF BY COUNTY & PARTY
3														Dem % Drop-off	Rep % Drop-off	Total % Drop-off
4	County	Dem	Rep	Other	Presidential Total	Dem	Rep	Other	Senate Total	Dem Drop-off	Rep Drop-off	Other Drop-off	Total Drop-off	(% of Pres Dem Total)	(% of Pres Rep Total)	(% of Total Pres Vote)	Analysis by the SMART Elections Data Team #SEDATA. All rights reserved. © 2024 SMART Elections
5	Drop-off as a percentage of Presidential Party Vote													2.59%	-3.95%	3.19%	More information about this research is available on our Substack. Please subscribe. Our website has links to spreadsheets of each state's drop-off data by county that include each county's election results.

6	Alameda	499,041	140,555	29,406	669,002	488,536	147,515		636,051	10,505	-6,960	29,406	32,951	2.11%	-4.95%	4.93%	SMARTelections.us
7	Alpine	478	243	16	737	462	262		724	16	-19	16	13	3.35%	-7.82%	1.76%
8	Amador	7,780	14,012	601	22,393	7,451	14,528		21,979	329	-516	601	414	4.23%	-3.68%	1.85%
9	Butte	42,360	45,030	2,993	90,383	40,597	47,219		87,816	1,763	-2,189	2,993	2,567	4.16%	-4.86%	2.84%
10	Calaveras	9,178	16,617	673	26,468	8,953	17,102		26,055	225	-485	673	413	2.45%	-2.92%	1.56%
11	Colusa	2,417	4,400	174	6,991	2,421	4,457		6,878	-4	-57	174	113	-0.17%	-1.30%	1.62%
12	Contra Costa	353,097	153,575	17,424	524,096	340,461	163,696		504,157	12,636	-10,121	17,424	19,939	3.58%	-6.59%	3.80%
13	Del Norte	4,266	5,999	299	10,564	4,217	6,084		10,301	49	-85	299	263	1.15%	-1.42%	2.49%
14	El Dorado	47,599	60,984	3,068	111,651	45,635	64,530		110,165	1,964	-3,546	3,068	1,486	4.13%	-5.81%	1.33%
15	Fresno	146,866	160,746	8,181	315,793	143,702	161,935		305,637	3,164	-1,189	8,181	10,156	2.15%	-0.74%	3.22%
16	Glenn	3,256	6,895	278	10,429	3,117	7,106		10,223	139	-211	278	206	4.27%	-3.06%	1.98%
17	Humboldt	33,442	18,151	2,356	53,949	33,821	19,251		53,072	-379	-1,100	2,356	877	-1.13%	-6.06%	1.63%
18	Imperial	23,229	22,433	1,237	46,899	23,454	22,710		46,164	-225	-277	1,237	735	-0.97%	-1.23%	1.57%
19	Inyo	4,197	4,464	282	8,943	4,130	4,670		8,800	67	-206	282	143	1.60%	-4.61%	1.60%
20	Kern	107,167	165,956	7,082	280,205	106,413	166,716		273,129	754	-760	7,082	7,076	0.70%	-0.46%	2.53%
21	Kings	15,493	25,040	906	41,439	15,199	25,322		40,521	294	-282	906	918	1.90%	-1.13%	2.22%
22	Lake	8,314	7,588	414	16,316	8,287	7,811		16,098	27	-223	414	218	0.32%	-2.94%	1.34%
23	Lassen	2,412	8,346	267	11,025	2,373	8,434		10,807	39	-88	267	218	1.62%	-1.05%	1.98%
24	Los Angeles	2,414,417	1,188,213	121,299	3,723,929	2,332,704	1,219,211		3,551,915	81,713	-30,998	121,299	172,014	3.38%	-2.61%	4.62%
25	Madera	20,940	32,308	1,295	54,543	20,500	32,412		52,912	440	-104	1,295	1,631	2.10%	-0.32%	2.99%
26	Marin	116,051	24,014	3,902	143,967	112,746	28,446		141,192	3,305	-4,432	3,902	2,775	2.85%	-18.46%	1.93%
27	Mariposa	3,618	5,619	262	9,499	3,577	5,742		9,319	41	-123	262	180	1.13%	-2.19%	1.89%
28	Mendocino	23,020	12,464	1,533	37,017	23,069	13,184		36,253	-49	-720	1,533	764	-0.21%	-5.78%	2.06%
29	Merced	38,587	42,409	2,178	83,174	38,831	41,922		80,753	-244	487	2,178	2,421	-0.63%	1.15%	2.91%
30	Modoc	1,002	2,875	124	4,001	977	2,942		3,919	25	-67	124	82	2.50%	-2.33%	2.05%
31	Mono	3,512	2,285	248	6,045	3,374	2,495		5,869	138	-210	248	176	3.93%	-9.19%	2.91%
32	Monterey	92,996	49,182	4,427	146,605	92,239	51,871		144,110	757	-2,689	4,427	2,495	0.81%	-5.47%	1.70%
33	Napa	43,013	20,256	1,969	65,238	42,059	21,883		63,942	954	-1,627	1,969	1,296	2.22%	-8.03%	1.99%
34	Nevada	33,731	26,113	2,165	62,009	33,313	27,926		61,239	418	-1,813	2,165	770	1.24%	-6.94%	1.24%
35	Orange	688,393	651,473	44,119	1,383,985	671,566	685,754		1,357,320	16,827	-34,281	44,119	26,665	2.44%	-5.26%	1.93%
36	Placer	101,641	120,212	6,705	228,558	96,055	126,420		222,475	5,586	-6,208	6,705	6,083	5.50%	-5.16%	2.66%
37	Plumas	4,017	5,718	321	10,056	3,916	6,027		9,943	101	-309	321	113	2.51%	-5.40%	1.12%
38	Riverside	447,699	458,815	24,703	931,217	439,232	469,597		908,829	8,467	-10,782	24,703	22,388	1.89%	-2.35%	2.40%
39	Sacramento	373,136	244,676	22,399	640,211	367,049	257,368		624,417	6,087	-12,692	22,399	15,794	1.63%	-5.19%	2.47%
40	San Benito	15,111	11,636	761	27,508	14,918	11,966		26,884	193	-330	761	624	1.28%	-2.84%	2.27%
41	San Bernardino	354,543	368,596	20,733	743,872	347,977	374,891		722,868	6,566	-6,295	20,733	21,004	1.85%	-1.71%	2.82%
42	San Diego	834,912	588,259	42,801	1,465,972	811,507	620,501		1,432,008	23,405	-32,242	42,801	33,964	2.80%	-5.48%	2.32%
43	San Francisco	323,626	62,558	16,646	402,830	310,850	66,387		377,237	12,776	-3,829	16,646	25,593	3.95%	-6.12%	6.35%
44	San Joaquin	121,203	122,351	7,642	251,196	121,778	123,134		244,912	-575	-783	7,642	6,284	-0.47%	-0.64%	2.50%
45	San Luis Obispo	78,264	62,548	4,336	145,148	74,745	66,399		141,144	3,519	-3,851	4,336	4,004	4.50%	-6.16%	2.76%
46	San Mateo	242,423	76,411	10,901	329,735	236,660	84,271		320,931	5,763	-7,860	10,901	8,804	2.38%	-10.29%	2.67%
47	Santa Barbara	112,714	63,971	5,623	182,308	109,216	69,286		178,502	3,498	-5,315	5,623	3,806	3.10%	-8.31%	2.09%
48	Santa Clara	510,337	210,672	28,735	749,744	498,384	224,377		722,761	11,953	-13,705	28,735	26,983	2.34%	-6.51%	3.60%
49	Santa Cruz	97,931	27,212	4,955	130,098	95,749	30,047		125,796	2,182	-2,835	4,955	4,302	2.23%	-10.42%	3.31%
50	Shasta	23,755	51,450	1,910	77,115	22,811	53,210		76,021	944	-1,760	1,910	1,094	3.97%	-3.42%	1.42%
51	Sierra	641	1,065	46	1,752	616	1,110		1,726	25	-45	46	26	3.90%	-4.23%	1.48%
52	Siskiyou	8,329	12,456	699	21,484	8,086	12,954		21,040	243	-498	699	444	2.92%	-4.00%	2.07%
53	Solano	113,950	70,320	5,489	189,759	113,158	72,376		185,534	792	-2,056	5,489	4,225	0.70%	-2.92%	2.23%
54	Sonoma	176,193	61,339	8,166	245,698	173,209	66,810		240,019	2,984	-5,471	8,166	5,679	1.69%	-8.92%	2.31%
55	Stanislaus	83,711	104,684	5,028	193,423	84,378	104,410		188,788	-667	274	5,028	4,635	-0.80%	0.26%	2.40%
56	Sutter	12,745	24,739	932	38,416	12,703	24,578		37,281	42	161	932	1,135	0.33%	0.65%	2.95%
57	Tehama	7,192	17,711	596	25,499	6,891	17,909		24,800	301	-198	596	699	4.19%	-1.12%	2.74%
58	Trinity	2,447	2,976	217	5,640	2,411	3,145		5,556	36	-169	217	84	1.47%	-5.68%	1.49%
59	Tulare	53,128	81,706	3,192	138,026	51,888	83,295		135,183	1,240	-1,589	3,192	2,843	2.33%	-1.94%	2.06%
60	Tuolumne	10,903	17,197	691	28,791	10,474	17,359		27,833	429	-162	691	958	3.93%	-0.94%	3.33%
61	Ventura	216,297	157,977	11,196	385,470	210,298	168,767		379,065	5,999	-10,790	11,196	6,405	2.77%	-6.83%	1.66%
62	Yolo	57,445	26,671	3,148	87,264	57,266	28,666		85,932	179	-1,995	3,148	1,332	0.31%	-7.48%	1.53%
63	Yuba	10,077	17,187	801	28,065	9,868	17,481		27,349	209	-294	801	716	2.07%	-1.71%	2.55%
64	TOTAL VOTES	9,184,242	5,989,358	498,550	15,672,150	8,946,277	6,225,877	0	15,172,154	237,965	-236,519	498,550	499,996
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100