Counseling Impact Model
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Summary: My estimations are that counseling required between 5 and 40 times more to purchase a QALY compared to a GiveWell top charity¹, but that it might be comparably effective for direct work with a moderately impactful, 80k-recommended job.²
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Potential QALYs According to the Model
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Potential Impact (Conservative)Potential Impact (Optimistic)
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Effective Charity 2,23811,950
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Software engineering5,70313,620
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Counseling2,92415,255
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QALYs * Personal Fit * Career Capital of Next Step
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Potential Impact (Conservative)Potential Impact (Optimistic)
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Effective Charity 19,586104,558
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Software engineering79,836190,676
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Counseling26,319137,291
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My best guess ->
QALYs Arbitrarily Adjusted (QALYs from direct impact reduced by half for Counseling and Programming)
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Potential Impact (Conservative)Potential Impact (Optimistic)
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Effective Charity 2,23811,950
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Software engineering4,9209,707
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Counseling2,3349,347
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¹Based on estimations of roughly $500 per DALY for AMF, with effectiveness of other charities ranging from 2x to 1/4x the impact of AMF. See the sheet "QALYs of Therapy" for estimations of cost of QALY from counseling, approximately $10,000.
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²Note: I expect my estimations of counseling to be overly optimistic, but I don't have a reliable sense for how overly optimistic.
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