326 Politics #GE2019 Seat Forecasts

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF
1	Constituency	Region	Expected party shares									Changes with 2017 election									Win chance (if election held today)									2017	Nowcast	Hold chance
2	Constituency	Region	CON	LAB	LDM	UKP	GRN	BRX	SNP	PCY	OTH	CON	LAB	LDM	UKP	GRN	BRX	SNP	PCY	OTH	CON	LAB	LDM	UKP	GRN	BRX	SNP	PCY	OTH	2017	Nowcast	Hold chance

3	Berwick-upon-Tweed	North East England	55.0%	19.2%	21.8%	0.0%	4.1%	0.0%			0.0%	2.5%	-5.4%	0.7%	0.0%	2.2%	0.0%			0.0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
4	Bishop Auckland	North East England	44.9%	41.8%	6.8%	0.0%	0.0%	6.1%			0.4%	-2.0%	-6.2%	4.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.1%			-1.9%	60%	40%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean CON	40%
5	Blaydon	North East England	26.2%	48.8%	9.6%	0.0%	2.7%	11.8%			0.8%	-1.9%	-7.3%	0.6%	-5.1%	1.5%	11.8%			0.4%	1%	99%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	99%
6	Blyth Valley	North East England	36.4%	45.0%	8.9%	0.0%	3.4%	6.2%			0.0%	-0.9%	-10.9%	4.4%	0.0%	1.2%	6.2%			0.0%	23%	77%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	77%
7	City of Durham	North East England	29.6%	46.5%	12.3%	0.0%	3.2%	8.0%			0.4%	-0.2%	-8.9%	2.4%	-2.3%	1.6%	8.0%			-0.5%	5%	95%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	95%
8	Darlington	North East England	42.4%	40.6%	5.6%	0.0%	2.5%	9.0%			0.0%	-0.9%	-10.0%	3.3%	-2.6%	1.3%	9.0%			0.0%	56%	44%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Tossup	44%
9	Easington	North East England	23.0%	49.6%	5.6%	0.0%	0.0%	14.9%			6.9%	0.3%	-14.1%	4.3%	-4.7%	-1.1%	14.9%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
10	Gateshead	North East England	30.3%	55.7%	9.9%	0.0%	4.2%	0.0%			0.0%	6.3%	-9.4%	5.8%	-5.4%	2.7%	0.0%			0.0%	1%	99%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	99%
11	Hartlepool	North East England	34.5%	43.8%	4.7%	0.0%	0.0%	17.0%			0.0%	0.3%	-8.7%	2.9%	-11.5%	0.0%	17.0%			0.0%	20%	80%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	80%
12	Hexham	North East England	55.7%	28.2%	11.7%	0.0%	4.4%	0.0%			0.0%	1.7%	-5.9%	4.6%	-2.0%	1.7%	0.0%			0.0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
13	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East England	29.9%	44.7%	5.9%	2.1%	3.3%	13.7%			0.4%	0.2%	-14.8%	3.7%	-3.6%	1.6%	13.7%			-0.8%	7%	93%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	93%
14	Jarrow	North East England	23.6%	53.1%	6.5%	0.0%	3.1%	13.7%			0.0%	-1.4%	-12.0%	3.8%	-5.4%	1.4%	13.7%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
15	Middlesbrough	North East England	25.7%	51.8%	4.8%	0.0%	2.5%	13.0%			2.2%	-1.1%	-13.9%	3.8%	-4.1%	1.8%	13.0%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
16	Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	North East England	51.6%	40.2%	6.6%	0.0%	1.6%	0.0%			0.0%	2.0%	-7.3%	3.7%	0.0%	1.6%	0.0%			0.0%	82%	18%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	82%
17	Newcastle upon Tyne Central	North East England	23.7%	52.7%	9.1%	0.0%	3.4%	11.1%			0.0%	-0.9%	-12.2%	4.2%	-4.0%	1.8%	11.1%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
18	Newcastle upon Tyne East	North East England	22.9%	63.5%	10.0%	0.0%	3.6%	0.0%			0.0%	1.7%	-4.1%	3.8%	-3.2%	1.7%	0.0%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
19	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East England	34.0%	44.4%	8.0%	0.0%	2.6%	10.7%			0.4%	0.1%	-11.0%	2.7%	-3.7%	1.5%	10.7%			-0.3%	17%	83%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	83%
20	North Durham	North East England	29.3%	48.2%	7.7%	0.0%	1.8%	13.0%			0.0%	-0.7%	-11.7%	3.1%	-5.6%	1.8%	13.0%			0.0%	3%	97%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	97%
21	North Tyneside	North East England	26.6%	51.2%	7.0%	0.0%	2.9%	12.3%			0.0%	-0.7%	-13.3%	4.2%	-4.0%	1.7%	12.3%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
22	North West Durham	North East England	32.2%	46.7%	8.3%	0.0%	2.4%	10.5%			0.0%	-2.3%	-6.1%	1.2%	-4.5%	1.3%	10.5%			0.0%	9%	91%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	91%
23	Redcar	North East England	32.3%	44.3%	8.6%	0.0%	1.8%	13.1%			0.0%	-1.0%	-11.2%	1.9%	-4.6%	1.8%	13.1%			0.0%	13%	87%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	87%
24	Sedgefield	North East England	37.3%	43.9%	5.2%	0.0%	2.7%	11.0%			0.0%	-1.6%	-9.5%	3.2%	-4.2%	1.0%	11.0%			0.0%	28%	72%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	72%
25	South Shields	North East England	26.7%	48.0%	5.3%	0.0%	4.8%	15.2%			0.0%	0.8%	-13.5%	3.6%	-7.4%	1.3%	15.2%			0.0%	1%	99%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	99%
26	Stockton North	North East England	36.8%	44.3%	5.1%	0.0%	0.0%	13.8%			0.0%	0.3%	-12.5%	3.6%	-4.3%	-0.8%	13.8%			0.0%	25%	75%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	75%
27	Stockton South	North East England	43.6%	42.8%	5.0%	0.0%	0.0%	8.6%			0.0%	-3.3%	-5.7%	3.3%	-2.2%	-0.7%	8.6%			0.0%	52%	48%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Tossup	48%
28	Sunderland Central	North East England	33.9%	42.6%	7.5%	0.0%	3.1%	11.9%			1.1%	0.5%	-13.0%	3.6%	-4.9%	1.5%	11.9%			0.4%	22%	78%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	78%
29	Tynemouth	North East England	34.8%	47.1%	7.0%	0.0%	2.6%	8.1%			0.4%	-1.6%	-9.9%	3.9%	-2.2%	1.5%	8.1%			0.2%	13%	87%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	87%
30	Wansbeck	North East England	32.8%	45.1%	8.2%	0.0%	3.1%	10.8%			0.0%	0.1%	-12.3%	3.4%	-3.5%	1.4%	10.8%			0.0%	13%	87%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	87%
31	Washington and Sunderland West	North East England	27.8%	47.1%	6.1%	2.2%	2.9%	13.9%			0.0%	-1.0%	-13.6%	3.7%	-4.6%	1.6%	13.9%			0.0%	2%	98%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	98%
32	Altrincham and Sale West	North West England	51.2%	31.9%	12.4%	0.0%	3.5%	0.0%			1.0%	0.1%	-7.0%	4.8%	0.0%	1.6%	0.0%			0.4%	96%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	96%
33	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West England	31.6%	47.8%	5.2%	0.0%	2.8%	12.6%			0.0%	-0.4%	-12.5%	3.5%	-4.7%	1.5%	12.6%			0.0%	6%	94%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	94%
34	Barrow and Furness	North West England	45.7%	37.9%	6.0%	0.0%	2.1%	8.3%			0.0%	-1.3%	-9.6%	3.3%	-2.0%	1.3%	8.3%			0.0%	74%	26%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean CON	26%
35	Birkenhead	North West England	19.1%	58.8%	8.9%	0.0%	4.4%	5.8%			3.0%	0.7%	-18.1%	6.3%	0.0%	2.3%	5.8%			3.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
36	Blackburn	North West England	25.4%	58.2%	6.0%	0.0%	2.2%	6.0%			2.2%	-1.5%	-11.6%	4.5%	0.0%	2.2%	6.0%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
37	Blackley and Broughton	North West England	21.9%	55.9%	6.1%	0.0%	3.4%	12.4%			0.4%	0.3%	-14.6%	4.2%	-4.5%	2.2%	12.4%			-0.1%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
38	Blackpool North and Cleveleys	North West England	51.6%	40.0%	5.7%	0.0%	2.7%	0.0%			0.0%	2.2%	-4.5%	3.9%	-3.4%	1.7%	0.0%			0.0%	83%	17%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	83%
39	Blackpool South	North West England	40.6%	40.9%	4.4%	0.0%	2.2%	11.9%			0.0%	-2.5%	-9.4%	2.6%	-3.8%	1.2%	11.9%			0.0%	49%	51%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Tossup	51%
40	Bolton North East	North West England	40.0%	42.3%	5.8%	0.0%	2.1%	9.8%			0.0%	-2.2%	-8.4%	2.9%	-3.5%	1.3%	9.8%			0.0%	42%	58%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	58%
41	Bolton South East	North West England	30.5%	46.1%	5.7%	0.0%	3.1%	14.6%			0.0%	0.9%	-14.6%	3.9%	-6.6%	1.8%	14.6%			0.0%	7%	93%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	93%
42	Bolton West	North West England	49.8%	42.4%	6.3%	0.0%	1.5%	0.0%			0.0%	1.9%	-3.7%	3.4%	-3.1%	1.5%	0.0%			0.0%	73%	27%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Lean CON	73%
43	Bootle	North West England	12.5%	68.4%	8.0%	0.0%	4.3%	6.5%			0.4%	0.5%	-15.7%	6.3%	0.0%	2.9%	6.5%			-0.5%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
44	Burnley	North West England	31.0%	38.1%	13.6%	0.0%	2.7%	14.5%			0.0%	0.0%	-8.6%	-1.4%	-6.1%	1.5%	14.5%			0.0%	25%	75%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	75%
45	Bury North	North West England	40.7%	46.9%	5.5%	0.0%	1.7%	5.3%			0.0%	-3.8%	-6.7%	3.6%	0.0%	1.7%	5.3%			0.0%	30%	70%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	70%
46	Bury South	North West England	40.9%	42.1%	5.5%	0.0%	1.7%	9.0%			0.9%	-0.7%	-11.2%	3.4%	-2.6%	1.7%	9.0%			0.4%	46%	54%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Tossup	54%
47	Carlisle	North West England	50.8%	40.7%	6.8%	1.6%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	1.0%	-3.1%	3.9%	-1.8%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	79%	21%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Lean CON	79%
48	Cheadle	North West England	46.3%	18.3%	35.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	1.8%	-0.8%	-1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	82%	0%	18%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	82%
49	Chorley	North West England																											100%	LAB	Safe SPK	0%
50	City of Chester	North West England	38.0%	47.9%	7.6%	0.0%	1.8%	4.8%			0.0%	-2.5%	-8.9%	4.8%	0.0%	1.8%	4.8%			0.0%	19%	81%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	81%
51	Congleton	North West England	58.4%	28.5%	9.6%	0.0%	3.5%	0.0%			0.0%	1.8%	-5.6%	4.4%	-2.3%	1.7%	0.0%			0.0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
52	Copeland	North West England	50.3%	41.3%	6.8%	0.0%	1.6%	0.0%			0.0%	1.2%	-3.9%	3.6%	-2.5%	1.6%	0.0%			0.0%	77%	23%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Lean CON	77%
53	Crewe and Nantwich	North West England	43.0%	40.5%	5.1%	0.0%	1.3%	10.0%			0.0%	-4.0%	-6.6%	2.7%	-3.4%	1.3%	10.0%			0.0%	58%	42%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean CON	42%
54	Denton and Reddish	North West England	26.6%	51.6%	5.4%	0.0%	2.7%	12.8%			0.9%	-1.4%	-12.0%	3.2%	-4.5%	1.5%	12.8%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
55	Eddisbury	North West England	54.1%	27.9%	12.7%	1.7%	3.3%	0.0%			0.4%	-2.8%	-5.7%	7.2%	-0.5%	1.7%	0.0%			0.1%	99%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	99%
56	Ellesmere Port and Neston	North West England	35.5%	47.6%	5.8%	0.0%	2.4%	8.6%			0.0%	-1.3%	-11.5%	4.1%	-1.6%	1.8%	8.6%			0.0%	14%	86%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	86%
57	Fylde	North West England	58.8%	26.9%	10.0%	0.0%	4.3%	0.0%			0.0%	0.0%	-6.5%	4.9%	0.0%	1.6%	0.0%			0.0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
58	Garston and Halewood	North West England	17.6%	64.3%	9.2%	0.0%	3.7%	5.2%			0.0%	0.0%	-13.4%	6.0%	0.0%	2.3%	5.2%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
59	Halton	North West England	20.9%	59.8%	5.8%	0.0%	2.1%	11.1%			0.4%	-0.7%	-13.2%	4.0%	-3.0%	2.1%	11.1%			-0.2%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
60	Hazel Grove	North West England	50.0%	19.9%	30.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	4.6%	-0.6%	-2.8%	0.0%	-1.2%	0.0%			0.0%	96%	0%	4%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	96%
61	Heywood and Middleton	North West England	37.9%	41.3%	5.4%	0.0%	1.7%	13.7%			0.0%	-0.2%	-12.0%	3.3%	-6.5%	1.7%	13.7%			0.0%	38%	62%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	62%
62	Hyndburn	North West England	39.7%	41.0%	4.8%	0.0%	1.6%	12.9%			0.0%	-0.8%	-12.4%	3.0%	-4.3%	1.6%	12.9%			0.0%	46%	54%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Tossup	54%
63	Knowsley	North West England	9.5%	69.4%	7.6%	0.0%	3.7%	9.9%			0.0%	0.2%	-16.0%	5.5%	-2.3%	2.7%	9.9%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
64	Lancaster and Fleetwood	North West England	38.5%	46.5%	6.9%	0.0%	3.1%	5.0%			0.0%	-2.1%	-8.6%	4.3%	0.0%	1.3%	5.0%			0.0%	25%	75%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	75%
65	Leigh	North West England	33.4%	46.7%	5.2%	1.8%	0.0%	13.0%			0.0%	-2.5%	-9.5%	3.2%	-4.2%	0.0%	13.0%			0.0%	11%	89%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	89%
66	Liverpool, Riverside	North West England	10.4%	69.6%	9.1%	0.0%	5.7%	5.2%			0.0%	0.7%	-14.9%	6.6%	0.0%	2.4%	5.2%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
67	Liverpool, Walton	North West England	9.4%	74.2%	8.5%	0.0%	4.6%	0.0%			3.2%	0.8%	-11.5%	7.0%	0.0%	3.4%	0.0%			0.2%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
68	Liverpool, Wavertree	North West England	12.2%	65.5%	12.6%	0.0%	4.0%	4.9%			0.9%	0.2%	-14.1%	6.0%	0.0%	2.6%	4.9%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
69	Liverpool, West Derby	North West England	10.8%	63.9%	8.6%	0.0%	4.3%	6.3%			6.1%	1.0%	-18.8%	7.4%	0.0%	3.5%	6.3%			0.6%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
70	Macclesfield	North West England	53.4%	30.9%	11.5%	0.0%	3.9%	0.0%			0.4%	0.7%	-5.9%	5.3%	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%			-1.7%	98%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	98%
71	Makerfield	North West England	32.2%	48.4%	8.5%	0.0%	2.3%	8.2%			0.4%	0.9%	-11.8%	5.6%	0.0%	2.3%	8.2%			-5.3%	6%	94%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	94%
72	Manchester Central	North West England	15.3%	63.3%	8.4%	0.0%	3.6%	8.6%			0.8%	1.1%	-14.1%	5.0%	-3.0%	1.9%	8.6%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
73	Manchester, Gorton	North West England	8.0%	71.3%	9.4%	0.0%	3.8%	7.1%			0.4%	0.7%	-5.0%	3.7%	-2.1%	1.6%	7.1%			-6.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
74	Manchester, Withington	North West England	8.6%	68.5%	15.7%	0.0%	2.7%	4.0%			0.4%	-1.7%	-3.1%	-0.2%	0.0%	1.1%	4.0%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
75	Morecambe and Lunesdale	North West England	49.2%	40.2%	7.8%	0.0%	2.8%	0.0%			0.0%	1.5%	-4.5%	4.1%	-2.9%	1.7%	0.0%			0.0%	77%	23%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Lean CON	77%
76	Oldham East and Saddleworth	North West England	37.7%	41.4%	7.2%	0.0%	1.8%	12.0%			0.0%	0.6%	-13.1%	3.6%	-4.8%	1.8%	12.0%			0.0%	37%	63%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	63%
77	Oldham West and Royton	North West England	26.6%	50.1%	6.2%	2.0%	3.0%	12.2%			0.0%	-1.1%	-15.1%	4.1%	-2.2%	2.1%	12.2%			0.0%	1%	99%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	99%
78	Pendle	North West England	47.9%	40.2%	7.0%	0.0%	2.8%	0.0%			2.1%	-1.2%	-5.9%	4.9%	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%			0.5%	73%	27%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Lean CON	73%
79	Penrith and The Border	North West England	62.6%	20.6%	11.3%	0.0%	4.2%	0.0%			1.4%	2.2%	-5.6%	3.5%	-2.5%	1.9%	0.0%			0.5%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
80	Preston	North West England	22.2%	56.6%	7.0%	0.0%	2.8%	11.4%			0.0%	-1.6%	-11.4%	3.6%	-3.8%	1.9%	11.4%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
81	Ribble Valley	North West England	59.6%	26.8%	9.9%	0.0%	3.7%	0.0%			0.0%	1.8%	-7.1%	4.0%	0.0%	1.3%	0.0%			0.0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
82	Rochdale	North West England	26.7%	50.9%	9.5%	0.0%	1.8%	10.7%			0.4%	-1.7%	-7.1%	1.4%	-3.3%	1.8%	10.7%			-1.9%	1%	99%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	99%
83	Rossendale and Darwen	North West England	50.1%	39.0%	7.6%	0.0%	3.3%	0.0%			0.0%	-0.8%	-5.4%	4.5%	0.0%	1.7%	0.0%			0.0%	82%	18%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	82%
84	Salford and Eccles	North West England	24.2%	53.0%	7.1%	0.0%	3.4%	12.4%			0.0%	-1.1%	-12.5%	4.4%	-4.9%	1.7%	12.4%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
85	Sefton Central	North West England	32.4%	51.9%	7.8%	0.0%	2.9%	4.9%			0.0%	-0.7%	-11.1%	5.2%	0.0%	1.7%	4.9%			0.0%	3%	97%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	97%
86	South Ribble	North West England	53.5%	36.6%	7.4%	0.0%	2.2%	0.0%			0.4%	0.6%	-2.8%	3.6%	-2.5%	1.3%	0.0%			-0.2%	92%	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	92%
87	Southport	North West England	47.1%	26.2%	26.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	8.5%	-6.3%	0.2%	-2.4%	0.0%	0.0%			0.0%	95%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Likely CON	95%
88	St Helens North	North West England	26.1%	50.5%	7.0%	0.0%	3.9%	12.5%			0.0%	-0.9%	-13.3%	4.4%	-4.2%	1.5%	12.5%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
89	St Helens South and Whiston	North West England	21.4%	55.0%	8.0%	0.0%	4.1%	11.5%			0.0%	-0.4%	-12.9%	4.1%	-3.7%	1.4%	11.5%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
90	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West England	37.8%	45.6%	6.8%	0.0%	3.5%	6.3%			0.0%	-0.3%	-11.5%	4.4%	0.0%	1.2%	6.3%			0.0%	25%	75%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	75%
91	Stockport	North West England	28.2%	51.2%	8.7%	0.0%	3.1%	8.9%			0.0%	-0.3%	-12.1%	4.4%	-2.6%	1.7%	8.9%			0.0%	1%	99%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	99%
92	Stretford and Urmston	North West England	26.9%	54.1%	6.5%	0.0%	3.0%	8.9%			0.6%	-0.6%	-12.7%	4.5%	-2.2%	1.7%	8.9%			0.4%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
93	Tatton	North West England	63.6%	19.6%	12.7%	0.0%	3.7%	0.0%			0.4%	5.0%	-8.8%	3.7%	0.0%	1.6%	0.0%			-1.5%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	CON	Safe CON	100%
94	Wallasey	North West England	22.2%	58.7%	6.3%	0.0%	3.3%	9.5%			0.0%	-1.0%	-12.8%	4.7%	-2.4%	2.0%	9.5%			0.0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Safe LAB	100%
95	Warrington North	North West England	36.0%	44.4%	6.2%	0.0%	2.7%	10.8%			0.0%	-0.7%	-12.0%	3.7%	-3.2%	1.4%	10.8%			0.0%	23%	77%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	77%
96	Warrington South	North West England	40.5%	44.2%	8.3%	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%			2.3%	-3.8%	-4.2%	2.9%	0.0%	0.0%	4.7%			0.3%	38%	62%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	62%
97	Weaver Vale	North West England	39.9%	45.8%	6.9%	0.0%	2.6%	4.8%			0.0%	-3.8%	-5.7%	3.7%	0.0%	1.1%	4.8%			0.0%	31%	69%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Lean LAB	69%
98	West Lancashire	North West England	36.4%	48.5%	6.4%	0.0%	2.9%	5.5%			0.4%	-1.0%	-10.4%	4.5%	0.0%	1.6%	5.5%			-0.1%	14%	86%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	86%
99	Westmorland and Lonsdale	North West England	43.2%	7.4%	44.5%	0.0%	0.0%	4.4%			0.4%	-1.1%	-1.8%	-1.3%	0.0%	0.0%	4.4%			-0.2%	46%	0%	54%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LDM	Tossup	54%
100	Wigan	North West England	29.1%	46.4%	6.2%	0.0%	3.2%	15.0%			0.0%	0.6%	-15.8%	4.3%	-5.8%	1.7%	15.0%			0.0%	4%	96%	0%	0%	0%	0%			0%	LAB	Likely LAB	96%