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ASTROFUND - INVESTOR SUMMARY
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Management case + illustrative downside sensitivity | September 2026
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Base case is a management plan, not guidance. Downside is a stress test. Neither case credits spectator conversion revenue or live trading profits.
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CURRENT ACTUALS
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Current monthly revenue$1,000Projected current month; near-term goal is $2K/month
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Lifetime revenue> $11,000CEO-provided lifetime total
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Unique paying customers22Current customer count provided by CEO
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Customers who have repurchased (observed)
50.0%~50% of 22 customers have repurchased at least once; 90-day cohort analysis is not yet mature.
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Current billable sim traders10Current observed level
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Historical payouts~ $4,000Historical launch-period payouts; forward payout economics are modeled separately and are management assumptions.
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Current platform minimum$2,000Monthly vendor minimum
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Most popular first purchase$89Current account-price proxy
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UNIT ECONOMICS
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MetricManagement case
Illustrative downside
What changes
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90-day revenue / new customer$472$229Repeat behavior is the main revenue lever
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Paid acquisition CAC target$60$90Downside assumes the channel target misses by 50%
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Sim billable life (months)2.03.0Downside adds one month of vendor cost
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Stripe processing2.0%3.5%Downside stresses international processing mix
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Expected sim payout / customer$8$30Only the small proven tail receives sim payouts
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Platform/data / customer$80$120Repeat purchases do not add another trader fee
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Contribution after paid CAC$315($19)Before fixed product/team/legal spend
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Contribution margin after paid CAC66.8%-8.3%Downside intentionally crosses below unit-economic breakeven
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12-MONTH OUTPUTS
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MetricManagement case
Illustrative downside
Investor read
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New paid customers1,000667No spectator conversion credited
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Revenue$428,892$151,185Driven only by paid acquisition + repeat behavior
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Acquisition spend$60,000$60,000Same $60K growth budget in both cases
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Unrestricted ending cash$360,147$52,538Liquidity remaining after planned spend and live capitalization
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Live capital deployed$25,000$50,000Restricted company capital, not operating payout expense
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Assumed live capital loss-$12,500Base case gives no live profit credit and no live loss assumption
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Total cash + live capital$385,147$90,038Downside uses surviving live capital after assumed loss
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Live trading P&L creditedExcludedExcluded$0 in both cases
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$250K USE OF PROCEEDS
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UseAmount% of RaisePurpose
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Creator / affiliate / paid acquisition$60,00024.0%Repeatable CAC, conversion and payback
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Product / app build$50,00020.0%Mission Control, Flight School, social/mobile stack and analytics
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Social + support team$40,00016.0%Consistent content, community response and customer support
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Risk / operations / data$30,00012.0%Scale without breaking controls or economics
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Legal / compliance / regulated-partner planning
$20,0008.0%Credible path toward live markets through regulated partners
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Reserve / live capital / scale capital$50,00020.0%Held for live trader capitalization and proven growth channels
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TOTAL$250,000100.0%
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WHAT IS OBSERVED VS ASSUMED
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Observed / current
Management assumptions
Downside stress
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~$1K current monthly revenue$60 paid acquisition CAC target$90 paid acquisition CAC
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> $11K lifetime revenue50% repurchase within 90 days35% 90-day repurchase
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22 unique paying customers2-month sim billable life3-month sim billable life
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~50% have repurchased at least once10% reach funded3.5% Stripe
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10 current billable traders5% of funded receive sim payout15% reach funded / 10% of funded paid
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~$4K historical payouts5% live transition among funded10% live transition / 25% live-capital loss
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$89 most popular first purchase$5K live capital / transitioned trader$2K average sim payout; no live trading profit credited
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INVESTOR TAKEAWAY
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The management case does not require spectator conversion revenue or live trading profits to close.
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The downside case intentionally drives per-customer contribution negative by stressing CAC, repeat behavior, processing, billable duration, payout incidence and live-capital losses, yet retains positive M12 liquidity.
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The $250K round is sized for downside runway, product/compliance execution and live-capital capacity, not merely to match base-case burn.
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The management case gives zero credit to spectator conversion revenue or live trading profits; both remain upside to be proven.
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