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Estimate the probability of a Hypothesis being True given the Evidence--P(H|E)
InputsOutputs
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P(E|H)0.01
Probability of getting the Evidence if the Hypothesis is true; roughly equivalent to power
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P(E|nH)0.99
Probability of getting the Evidence if the Hypothesis is NOT true; roughly equivalent to alpha
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P(H)0.9999
Probability of the Hypothesis being true; our prior beliefs summarized
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P(H|E) 99%
Probability of a Hypothesis being True given the Evidence
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Cite:
Wagenmakers, E. J., Wetzels, R., Borsboom, D., & Van Der Maas, H. L. (2011). Why psychologists must change the way they analyze their data: The case of psi: Comment on Bem. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 100(3), 426-432.
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