COVID-19 U.S. Mortality Ratio
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Daily U.S. COVID-19 Mortality RATIO
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Compiled by
http://www.grassfire.com
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Updated:3/25/2020
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Observations
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1. Mortality RATIO is from raw data (deaths/confirmed cases). Mortality RATE is based on estimated number of cases.
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2. The Mortality RATIO is around 1.5% nationally. (Raw data below graph)
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3. Mortality RATIO is always higher than actual Mortality RATE due to unreported cases, esp. at outset of outbreak
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DateMortality RatioCasesDeathsTotal teststotal % positiveday's % positive14 day % increase tests14 day % increase in casesny posny totaldeaths%posmort. rationon ny % pos
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3/31/20202.15%188,5304,053105920917.80%18.75%4995%6282%75795205186155036.94%2.04%13.20%
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3/30/20201.92%163,7883,14195648117.12%17.66%5639%7189%66491186468121835.66%1.83%12.64%
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3/29/20201.80%143,4912,58385157816.85%17.41%5010%6286%5951317236096534.53%1.62%12.36%
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3/28/20201.80%123,5782,22076201516.22%16.71%4473%5400%
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3/27/20201.63%104,1261,69664566916.13%16.71%3774%4534%
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3/26/20201.52%85,4351,29554025215.81%16.45%5321%4940%
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3/25/20201.51%68,2111,02743265515.77%16.61%5580%5167%
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3/24/20201.42%54,85678035312015.53%16.54%6887%5419%
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3/23/20201.27%43,78155527500015.92%17.89%6349%6119%
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3/22/20201.23%33,59241422821614.72%15.86%7264%6109%
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3/21/20201.24%24,19230118258913.25%10.95%
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3/20/20201.32%19,36725613852113.98%16.10%
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3/19/20201.50%13,78920710386713.28%17.49%
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3/18/20201.67%9,0031507649511.77%13.03%
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3/17/20201.76%6,1961095495711.27%12.78%
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3/16/20201.91%4,503864171410.79%5.99%
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3/15/20201.85%3,680682796313.16%10.12%
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3/14/20201.93%2,954572078914.21%17.14%
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3/13/20202.18%2,247491666513.48%8.24%
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3/12/20202.48%1,69542996617.01%17.03%
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3/11/20202.93%1,29538761717.00%11.74%
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3/10/20203.02%99430505419.67%36.71%
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3/9/20203.69%70426426416.51%13.99%
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3/8/20204.07%54122309917.46%17.46%
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source:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
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daily tests
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/2/d/e/2PACX-1vRwAqp96T9sYYq2-i7Tj0pvTf6XVHjDSMIKBdZHXiCGGdNC0ypEU9NbngS8mxea55JuCFuua1MUeOj5/pubhtml#
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Mortality RATE based on early non-reported cases in China
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U.S. Mort. Rate before testing jump
1.91%
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% Unreported Cases at China outset:
86.00%
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Est. total cases on 3/16
32,164
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Est. Mortality RATE
0.27%
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Note: Daily new cases jumps significantly starting 3/17 due to expanded U.S. testing so this uses 3/16 as comparison for early results in China.
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