Risk Events Tracker - June
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TickRisk EventSectorJanFebMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAprilMayJune
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USDCore Retail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.2%0.8%0.2%%0.3%0.3%-0.3%July 14BearishBearishBearish
3
AUD
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Consumer0%2%0%-1%-1.10%-1.8%July 12BearishBearishBearish
4
CADHousing StartsHousing Marketna207K214K254K214K195KJuly 06BullishBearishBearish
5
AUDRetail Sales MoMConsumer0.2%-0.1%0.4%-0.2%-0.2%1.00%July 05BearishBearishBullish
6
AUDNAB Business ConfidenceConsumer61076137July 11BearishBullishBearish
7
USDRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%0.4%-0.3%July 14BearishBearishBearish
8
AUDAIG Services IndexEconomy57.754.54951.75351.5July 04NeutralNeutralNeutral
9
USDTrade Balance - USDEconomy-45.2B-44.3B-48.5B-43.7B-45.3B-47.6BJuly 06BullishBearishBearish
10
USDHousing StartsHousing Market1.23M1.25M1.29M1.22M1.17M1.09MJuly 19BearishBearishBearish
11
USDBuilding PermitsHousing Market1.21M1.29M1.21M1.26M1.23M1.17MJuly 19BullishBearishBearish
12
AUD
CNY - Industruial Production m/m
Economy6%na6%8%6.5%6.5%July 17BullishBearishNeutral
13
USDCPI Core MoMInflation0.2%0.3%0.2%-0.1%0.1%0.1%July 14BearishBearishBearish
14
AUDCNY - Retail Sales y/yEconomy11%10%11%10.7%10.7%July 17BullishBearishBearish
15
CADBuilding Permits (MoM)Housing Market-0.10%-6.60%5.40%-2.80%-4.90%-0.2%July 06BearishBearishBearish
16
JPYFlash Manufacturing PMIEconomy52.853.552.652.852June 23BearishBearish
17
CADTrade Balance - CADEconomy0.5B0.9B0.8B-1.0B-0.9B-0.4BJuly 06BearishBearishBearish
18
CADIvey PMIEconomy60.857.25561.162.453.8July 06BullishNeutralBearish
19
EUR
German Unemployment Change
Labour Market-17K-26K-14K-30K-15K-9KJuly 31BullishBullishBearish
20
CAD
Manufacturing Sales (MoM)
Economy1.5%2.3%0.6%-0.6%0.8%1.1%July 14NeutralBearishBullish
21
EURRetail Sales -EuroConsumer-0.40%-0.30%-0.10%0.70%0.20%0.1%Aug 03BullishBullishBearish
22
USDCPI MoMInflation0.3%0.6%0.1%-0.3%0.2%-0.1%July 14BearishBearishBearish
23
GBPPrelim GDP QoQEconomy0.60%--0.30%--July 26Bearish
24
GBPGDP Second Estimate q/qEconomy-0.70%--0.20%-Aug 24NeutralBearish
25
GBPRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer-1.90%-0.30%1.40%-1.40%2.50%-1.2%July 20BearishBullishBearish
26
GBP
Manufacturing Production m/m
Economy1.3%%2.10%-0.90%-0.10%-0.60%0.2%July 07BearishBearishBearish
27
GBP
Average Earnings Index (3MoY)
Labour Market2.8%2.6%2.2%2.3%%2.3%2.1%July 12BullishNeutralBearish
28
AUDGDP q/qEconomy--1.1%--0.3%Sep 06BullishBullishBullish
29
GBPCore CPI (YoY)Inflation1.60%1.60%2.00%1.80%2.40%2.6%July 18BullishBullishBearish
30
CADEmployment ChangeLabour Market48.3K15.3K19.4K3.2K54.5KJuly 07BullishBearishBullish
31
AUD
CNY - Caixin Manufacturing PMI
Economy51.95151.751.250.349.6July 02BearishBearishBearish
32
AUDCaixin Services PMIEconomy53.453.152.652.251.552.8July 05BearishBearishBullish
33
GBPCPI (YoY)Inflation1.60%1.80%2.30%2.30%2.70%2.9%July 18BullishBullishBullish
34
GBP
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Market0-0-90-0-91-0-81-0-73-0-5Aug 03BullishNeutralBullish
35
GBPUn-employment RateLabour Market4.84.84.74.74.64.6July 12NeutralBullishNeutral
36
USDCPI (YoY)Inflation2.1%2.5%2.7%2.4%2.2%1.9%July 14BearishBearishBearish
37
EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy16.610.412.819.520.618.6July 18BullishBearishBearish
38
GBPPMI - Services UKEconomy56.254.553.35555.853.8July 05BullishBullishBearish
39
AUDTrade Balance -AUDEconomy1.24B3.51B1.3B3.57B3.11B0.56BJuly 06BullishBearishBearish
40
JPYConsumer ConfidenceConsumer43.143.243.143.943.243.6July 03BullishBearishNeutral
41
AUDCNY - GDP q/yEconomy6.8%nana6.9%--Jul 17BullishNA
42
USDNFP -PayrollLabour Market156K227K235K79K174K138KJuly 07BearishBearishBearish
43
EUR
Euro Unemployment Rate
Labour Market9.89.69.69.59.59.3NeutralBearishBullish
44
EUR
Euro ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy23.217.125.626.335.137.7July 18BullishBullishBullish
45
USD
ISM - Manufacturing Prices
Economy65.5696870.5-60.5July 03BullishBullishBearish
46
JPY
Revised Industrial Production MoM
Economy1.5%0.7%-4.0%3.2%-1.9%4.0%July 14BullishBullishBearish
47
GBPConstruction PMIEconomy54.252.252.552.253.156July 04BullishBullishBullish
48
EUREur Final Services PMIEconomy53.753.755.556.056.456.3July 05BearishBullishNeutral
49
EURECB Press ConferenceEconomyDowishDowishNeutralJuly 20BullishBullishNeutral
50
JPYNational Core CPI y/yInflation-0.20%0.10%0.20%0.20%0.30%June 29NeutralBearish
51
EUR
German Flash Services PMI
Economy53.254.455.655.455.2June 23BearishBullish
52
USDISM - Manufacturing PMIEconomy54.75657.757.254.854.9July 03BullishBearishBullish
53
GBPManufacturing PMIEconomy56.155.954.654.257.356.7July 03BearishBullishBullish
54
USDFOMC Meeting MinutesMarketDowish
Hawkish
Hawkish
Hawkish
DowishHawkishJuly 05NeutralBearishBullish
55
USD
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
Labour Market0.4%0.1%0.2%0.1%0.2%0.20%July 07NeutralBearishNeutral
56
AUDCNY - Trade BalanceEconomy275355-60164262282July 13BullishBullishBearish
57
AUDUnemployment RateLabour Market5.8%5.7%5.9%5.9%5.7%5.5%July 20NeutralBullishBullish
58
JPY
Current Account Adjusted
Economy1.80T1.67T1.26T2.27T1.73TBullishNeutral
59
EUR
Eur Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy55.155.556.256.757June 23BullishBullish
60
EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy56.557.058.358.259.4June 23BullishBullish
61
AUDCNY - CPI YoYEconomy2.1%2.5%0.8%0.9%1.21.5July 10BearishBullishBullish
62
USD
ISM - Non - Manufacturing PMI
Economy57.256.557.655.257.556.9July 05BearishBullishNeutral
63
CADCore Retail Sales ( MoM)Consumer0.1%-0.3%1.7%-0.1%-0.1%1.5%July 21BullishBearishBullish
64
USD
Industrial Production MoM
Economy0.8%-0.3%0.0%0.5%1.1%0.0%July 14NeutralNeutralNeutral
65
JPYFinal GDPEconomy--0.30%--0.3%Sep 07BearishNeutralBearish
66
AUDCNY - Manufacturing PMIEconomy51.451.351.651.251.2June 30BearishNeutral
67
AUDEmployment ChangeLabour Market13.5K13.5K-6.4K60.9K46.1K42.0KJuly 20BullishBullishBullish
68
EUREur Flash Services PMIEconomy53.655.656.556.456.2June 23BullishNeutral
69
EUR
German IFO Business Climate
Economy109.8111112.3113114.6June 26BullishBullish
70
JPYRetail Sales YoYConsumer0.60%1.00%0.10%2.10%3.20%June 28BullishBearish
71
CADRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.2%-0.5%2.2%-0.6%0.5%0.8%July 21BearishBullishBullish
72
EUR
GFK German Consume Climate
Consumer10101010.210.4June 29BullishBullish
73
CADUnEmployment RateLabour Market6.8%6.6%6.7%6.5%6.6%July 07BullishBullishNeutral
74
AUDAIG Manufacturing IndexEconomy55.451.259.357.5Neutral
75
CADTSX Composite IndexEconomy15.38515.39915.54715.58615.322June 31NeutralBearish
76
AUDRBA Rate StatementEconomyDowishDowishNeutralJuly 04BearishBearishNeutral
77
AUDBuilding ApprovalsHousing7.0%-1.2%1.8%8.3%-13.40%4.40%July 02BullishBearishBullish
78
USDCB Consumer ConfidenceConsumer111.80114.80125.60119.40117.9June 27BearishBearish
79
USDExisting Home SalesHousing Market5.49M5.69M5.48M5.71M5.57M5.62MJuly 24BullishBearishBullish
80
GBPClaimant Count ChangeLabour Market-10.1K-42.4K-11.3K33.5K22.0K7.3KJuly 12BearishBearishBullish
81
USD10yrs Bond YieldMarket2.40%2.48%2.38%2.30%2.28June 30BearishBearish
82
USDPrelim GDP q/qEconomy-1.90%--1.20%-Aug 30BearishBullish
83
GBPBOE Gov Carney SpeaksMarket
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish Aug 03BearishBearishBearish
84
JPYCommitments of TradersMarket-66K-50K-66K-30K-51KJune 31BullishBearish
85
GBPBBA Morgage ApprovalsHousing Market43.2Kna42.6K41.1K40.8KJune 27BearishNeutral
86
JPY
Overall Household spendingYoY
Consumer-0.30%-1.20%-3.80%-1.30%-1.4June 29BearishBearish
87
USD
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Inflation0.10.30.2-0.10.20%June 30NeutralBullish
88
JPYNational Core CPI YoYInflation-0.20%0.10%0.20%0.30%0.30%June 29BullishBearish
89
GBP
GFK Consumer Confidence
Consumer-5-6-6-7-5June 29BearishBullish
90
USDSP 500Market2280.32365.42362.32383.92410.9June 30BullishBullish
91
USDAdvanced GDP QoQEconomy1.90%--0.7%--Jul 28BearishNA
92
USDFinal GDP QoQEconomy3.50%-2.10%--June 29BullishNA
93
EURFinal CPI y/yInflation1.10%1.80%2.00%1.50%1.90%1.4%July 18BearishNeutralNeutral
94
USDNew Home SalesHousing Market536K555K592K642K569KJune 23BullishNeutral
95
EUR
Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
Inflation0.90%0.90%0.70%1.20%0.90%June 30BullishBearish
96
EURCPI Flash Estimate y/yInflation1.80%2.00%1.50%1.90%1.40%June 30BullishBearish
97
EURGerman Retail Sales mmConsumer-0.90%-0.80%1.80%0.20%-0.20%June 30NeutralBearish
98
EUR
German 10 Yrs Bond Yield
Market0.460.210.320.3180.3030June 31BearishBearish
99
AUDHome Loan ( MoM )Housing0.9%0.4%0.5%-0.8%-0.90%-1.9%July 11BearishBearishBearish
100
AUDCPI q/qInflation0.5%--0.5%--July 26BearishNA
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