Risk Events Tracker - June
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June Risk Events Tracker has now expired.
July Risk Events Tracker is available to all Humbletraders.com members going forward.
If you have any queries, please email me at info@humbletraders.com
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USDCore Retail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.2%0.8%0.2%%0.3%0.3%-0.3%July 14BearishBearishBearish
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AUD
Westpac Consumer Sentiment
Consumer0%2%0%-1%-1.10%-1.8%July 12BearishBearishBearish
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CADHousing StartsHousing Marketna207K214K254K214K195KJuly 06BullishBearishBearish
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AUDRetail Sales MoMConsumer0.2%-0.1%0.4%-0.2%-0.2%1.00%July 05BearishBearishBullish
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AUDNAB Business ConfidenceConsumer61076137July 11BearishBullishBearish
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USDRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%0.4%-0.3%July 14BearishBearishBearish
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AUDAIG Services IndexEconomy57.754.54951.75351.5July 04NeutralNeutralNeutral
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USDTrade Balance - USDEconomy-45.2B-44.3B-48.5B-43.7B-45.3B-47.6BJuly 06BullishBearishBearish
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USD
ISM - Manufacturing Prices
Economy65.5696870.5-60.5July 03BullishBullishBearish
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USDCB Consumer ConfidenceConsumer111.80114.80125.60119.40117.9118.9July 25BearishBearishBullish
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AUD
CNY - Industruial Production m/m
Economy6%na6%8%6.5%6.5%July 17BullishBearishNeutral
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USDHousing StartsHousing Market1.23M1.25M1.29M1.22M1.17M1.09MJuly 19BearishBearishBearish
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AUDCNY - Retail Sales y/yEconomy11%10%11%10.7%10.7%July 17BullishBearishBearish
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CADBuilding Permits (MoM)Housing Market-0.10%-6.60%5.40%-2.80%-4.90%-0.2%July 06BearishBearishBearish
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JPYFlash Manufacturing PMIEconomy52.853.552.652.853.152.0July 24BearishBearishBearish
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CADTrade Balance - CADEconomy0.5B0.9B0.8B-1.0B-0.9B-0.4BJuly 06BearishBearishBearish
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CADIvey PMIEconomy60.857.25561.162.453.8July 06BullishNeutralBearish
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EUR
German Unemployment Change
Labour Market-17K-26K-14K-30K-15K-9KJuly 31BullishBullishBearish
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CAD
Manufacturing Sales (MoM)
Economy1.5%2.3%0.6%-0.6%0.8%1.1%July 14NeutralBearishBullish
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EURRetail Sales -EuroConsumer-0.40%-0.30%-0.10%0.70%0.20%0.1%Aug 03BullishBullishBearish
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USDBuilding PermitsHousing Market1.21M1.29M1.21M1.26M1.23M1.17MJuly 19BullishBearishBearish
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GBPPrelim GDP QoQEconomy0.60%--0.30%--July 26BearishNANA
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GBPGDP Second Estimate q/qEconomy-0.70%--0.20%-Aug 24NeutralBearishNA
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GBPRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer-1.90%-0.30%1.40%-1.40%2.50%-1.2%July 20BearishBullishBearish
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GBP
Manufacturing Production m/m
Economy1.3%%2.10%-0.90%-0.10%-0.60%0.2%July 07BearishBearishBearish
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GBP
Average Earnings Index (3MoY)
Labour Market2.8%2.6%2.2%2.3%%2.3%2.1%July 12BullishNeutralBearish
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AUDGDP q/qEconomy--1.1%--0.3%Sep 06BullishBullishBullish
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GBPCore CPI (YoY)Inflation1.60%1.60%2.00%1.80%2.40%2.6%July 18BullishBullishBearish
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CADEmployment ChangeLabour Market48.3K15.3K19.4K3.2K54.5KJuly 07BullishBearishBullish
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AUD
CNY - Caixin Manufacturing PMI
Economy51.95151.751.250.349.6July 02BearishBearishBearish
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AUDCaixin Services PMIEconomy53.453.152.652.251.552.8July 05BearishBearishBullish
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GBPCPI (YoY)Inflation1.60%1.80%2.30%2.30%2.70%2.9%July 18BullishBullishBullish
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GBP
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Market0-0-90-0-91-0-81-0-73-0-5Aug 03BullishNeutralBullish
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GBPUn-employment RateLabour Market4.84.84.74.74.64.6July 12NeutralBullishNeutral
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USDExisting Home SalesHousing Market5.49M5.69M5.48M5.71M5.57M5.62MJuly 24BullishBearishBullish
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EUR
German ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy16.610.412.819.520.618.6July 18BullishBearishBearish
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GBPPMI - Services UKEconomy56.254.553.35555.853.8July 05BullishBullishBearish
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AUDTrade Balance -AUDEconomy1.24B3.51B1.3B3.57B3.11B0.56BJuly 06BullishBearishBearish
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JPYConsumer ConfidenceConsumer43.143.243.143.943.243.6July 03BullishBearishNeutral
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AUDCNY - GDP q/yEconomy6.8%nana6.9%--Jul 17BullishNANA
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USDNew Home SalesHousing Market536K555K592K642K593K610KJuly 26BullishNeutralBullish
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EUR
Euro Unemployment Rate
Labour Market9.89.69.69.59.59.3NeutralBearishBullish
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EUR
Euro ZEW Economic Sentiment
Economy23.217.125.626.335.137.7July 18BullishBullishBullish
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USDCPI Core MoMInflation0.2%0.3%0.2%-0.1%0.1%0.1%July 14BearishBearishBearish
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JPY
Revised Industrial Production MoM
Economy1.5%0.7%-4.0%3.2%-1.9%4.0%July 14BullishBullishBearish
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GBPConstruction PMIEconomy54.252.252.552.253.156July 04BullishBullishBullish
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EUREur Final Services PMIEconomy53.753.755.556.056.456.3July 05BearishBullishNeutral
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EURECB Press ConferenceEconomyDowishDowishNeutralJuly 20BullishBullishNeutral
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USDCPI MoMInflation0.3%0.6%0.1%-0.3%0.2%-0.1%July 14BearishBearishBearish
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EUR
German Flash Services PMI
Economy53.254.455.655.455.253.7July 21BearishBullishBearish
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USDISM - Manufacturing PMIEconomy54.75657.757.254.854.9July 03BullishBearishBullish
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GBPManufacturing PMIEconomy56.155.954.654.257.356.7July 03BearishBullishBullish
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USDFinal GDP QoQEconomy3.50%-2.10%--1.4%Sep 28BullishNABullish
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USDCPI (YoY)Inflation2.1%2.5%2.7%2.4%2.2%1.9%July 14BearishBearishBearish
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AUDCNY - Trade BalanceEconomy275355-60164262282July 13BullishBullishBearish
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AUDUnemployment RateLabour Market5.8%5.7%5.9%5.9%5.7%5.5%July 20NeutralBullishBullish
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JPY
Current Account Adjusted
Economy1.80T1.67T1.26T2.27T1.73T1.81TAug 07BullishNeutralBullish
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EUR
Eur Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy55.155.556.256.75757.3July 21BullishBullishBullish
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EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
Economy56.557.058.358.259.459.3July 21BullishBullishBullish
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AUDCNY - CPI YoYEconomy2.1%2.5%0.8%0.9%1.21.5July 10BearishBullishBullish
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USD
Core PCE Price Index m/m
Inflation0.10.30.2-0.10.1%0.1%Aug 01NeutralBullishNeutral
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CADCore Retail Sales ( MoM)Consumer0.1%-0.3%1.7%-0.1%-0.1%1.5%July 21BullishBearishBullish
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USDNFP -PayrollLabour Market156K227K235K79K174K138KJuly 07BearishBearishBearish
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JPYFinal GDPEconomy--0.30%--0.3%Sep 07BearishNeutralBearish
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JPYRetail Sales YoYConsumer0.60%1.00%0.10%2.10%3.20%2.0%July 27BullishBearishBearish
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AUDEmployment ChangeLabour Market13.5K13.5K-6.4K60.9K46.1K42.0KJuly 20BullishBullishBullish
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EUREur Flash Services PMIEconomy53.655.656.556.456.254.7July 21BullishNeutralBearish
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EUR
GFK German Consume Climate
Consumer10101010.210.410.6July 27BullishBullishBullish
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JPY
Overall Household spendingYoY
Consumer-0.3%-1.2%-3.8%-1.3%-1.4-0.1%July 27BearishBearishBullish
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CADRetail Sales (MoM)Consumer0.2%-0.5%2.2%-0.6%0.5%0.8%July 21BearishBullishBullish
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GBP
GFK Consumer Confidence
Consumer-5-6-6-7-5-10July 27BearishBullishBearish
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CADUnEmployment RateLabour Market6.8%6.6%6.7%6.5%6.6%July 07BullishBullishNeutral
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AUDAIG Manufacturing IndexEconomy55.451.259.357.5--July 02NeutralNANA
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EURGerman Retail Sales mmConsumer-0.9%-0.8%1.8%0.2%-0.2%0.5%July 31NeutralBearishBullish
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AUDRBA Rate StatementEconomyDowishDowishNeutralJuly 04BearishBearishNeutral
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AUDBuilding ApprovalsHousing7.0%-1.2%1.8%8.3%-13.40%4.40%July 02BullishBearishBullish
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EUR
German IFO Business Climate
Economy109.8111112.3113114.6115.1July 25BullishBullishBullish
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USD
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
Labour Market0.4%0.1%0.2%0.1%0.2%0.20%July 07NeutralBearishNeutral
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GBPClaimant Count ChangeLabour Market-10.1K-42.4K-11.3K33.5K22.0K7.3KJuly 12BearishBearishBullish
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USDFOMC Meeting MinutesMarketDowish
Hawkish
Hawkish
Hawkish
DowishHawkishJuly 05NeutralBearishBullish
84
USDPrelim GDP q/qEconomy-1.90%--1.20%-Aug 30BearishBullishNA
85
GBPBOE Gov Carney SpeaksMarket
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish
Dowish Aug 03BearishBearishBearish
86
AUDCNY - Manufacturing PMIEconomy51.451.351.651.251.251.7July 31BearishNeutralBullish
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GBPGDP(YoY)Economy2.221.92.122July 31BullishBearishNeutral
88
CADGDP (MoM)Economy0.4%0.3%0.6%0.0%0.5%0.2%July 28BearishBullishNeutral
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CADTSX Composite IndexEconomy15.38515.39915.54715.58615.32215.1821July 31NeutralBearishBearish
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JPYHousing Starts YoYHousing3.9%12.8%-2.6%0.2%1.9%-0.3%July 31BullishBullishBullish
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GBPBBA Morgage ApprovalsHousing Market43.2Kna42.6K41.1K40.8K40.3KJuly 25BearishNeutralNeutral
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EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks
HawkishJuly 25NeutralNeutralBullish
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GBP
Nationwide Housing Price ( YoY)
Housing Market4.5%4.3%4.5%2.6%2.6%3.1%July 31BearishNeutralBullish
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USDAdvanced GDP QoQEconomy1.90%--0.7%--Jul 28BearishNANA
95
JPYNational Core CPI y/yInflation-0.2%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.4%July 27NeutralBearishNeutral
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EURFinal CPI y/yInflation1.10%1.80%2.00%1.50%1.90%1.4%July 18BearishNeutralNeutral
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USD
ISM - Non - Manufacturing PMI
Economy57.256.557.655.257.556.9July 05BearishBullishNeutral
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JPYTokyo Core CPI y/yInflation-0.3%-0.3%-0.4%-0.1%0.1%0.0%July 27BullishBullishBearish
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USD
Industrial Production MoM
Economy0.8%-0.3%0.0%0.5%1.1%0.0%July 14NeutralNeutralNeutral
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EUR
Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
Inflation0.9%0.9%0.7%1.2%0.9%1.1%July 31BullishBearishBullish
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