Tesla Model S and X reservations data points/rate
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAAB
1
Model X Global Tally Details
2
EFGHJABKCDI
3
Total
as of
US
Sig
Canada
Sig
US
Prod.
Canada
Prod.
European
Sig
European
Prod.
ChinaHKJapanAUSCumulative TotalEstimated
Cancelations
Estimated
Total
Avg Per MonthMonthly IncreasePeriod Per Day
Avg Per DayDaysUSA TotalCanada TotalSig
NA
Total
Prod
NA
Total
Global
Prod.
NA
Total
Europe
Total
Asia Pac
Total
Notes
4
2/10/2012
5
2/29/20128734781543362010951162062032.631.0205651890493526583370
6
3/31/2012873478151250645113532385250.812.6515651890493543583620
7
4/30/20128739141512501,08118989240643614.513.3811,00118909299791,019620
8
5/31/20128739145012501,116196920303351.110.01121,00153909641,0141,054620
9
6/30/201214039145012501,169205964250531.88.21421,054531439641,0141,107620
10
7/30/201214031,2615027871,5682751,29327739913.39.11721,401531431,3111,3981,4541140
11
8/31/201217131,4175027871,7553081,4472621875.88.62041,588531741,4671,5541,6411140
12
9/30/201218431,5655027871,9163361,5802491615.48.22341,749531871,6151,7021,8021140
13
10/31/201219231,68850351162,0843651,7192391685.47.92651,880531951,7381,8541,9331510
14
11/30/201223731,89174351312,3714151,9562442879.68.02952,128772401,9652,0962,2051660
15
12/31/201223732,27274351312,7524822,27025738112.38.43262,509772402,3462,4772,5861660
16
1/31/201331332,63274501883,2605712,68927850816.49.13572,945773162,7062,8943,0222380
17
2/28/201331332,93374501883,5616242,93728130110.89.23853,246773163,0073,1953,3232380
18
3/31/2013371133,040120622773,8836803,20328432210.49.34163,4111333843,1603,4373,5443390
19
4/30/2013371133,405135622774,2637473,51629138012.79.64463,7761483843,5403,8173,9243390
20
5/31/2013448133,801154622774,7558333,92230349215.910.04774,2491674613,9554,2324,4163390
21
6/30/2013493134,076171622775,0928924,20030533711.210.05074,5691845064,2474,5244,7533390
22
7/31/2013529134,787171622775,8391,0234,81633074724.110.95385,3161845424,9585,2355,5003390
23
8/31/2013631135,499171625356,9111,2115,7003691,07234.612.15696,1301846445,6706,2056,3145970
24
9/30/2013762136,034171627117,7531,3596,39439484228.112.95996,7961847756,2056,9166,9807730
25
10/31/2013873346,5312001479118,6961,5247,17242094330.413.86307,4042349076,7317,6427,6381,0580
26
11/30/2013969346,9582001711,1229,4541,6577,79743675825.314.36607,9272341,0037,1588,2808,1611,2930
27
12/31/20131,016347,2542912021,1229,9191,7388,18143746515.014.46918,2703251,0507,5458,6678,5951,3240
28
1/31/20141,118347,6622912021,42110,7281,8808,84845280926.114.97228,7803251,1527,9539,3749,1051,6230
29
2/28/20141,242498,1653612021,65911,6782,0469,63247495033.915.67509,4074101,2918,52610,1859,8171,8610
30
3/31/20141,356498,8383842021,71476413,3072,33210,9755181,62952.517.078110,1944331,4059,22211,70010,6271,916764
31
4/30/20141,356499,4964243111,9081,06114,6052,55912,0465481,29843.318.081110,8524731,4059,92012,88911,3252,2191,061
32
5/31/20141,3564910,3224243412,0221,349941515,9722,79913,1735771,36744.119.084211,6784731,40510,74614,22612,1512,3631,458
33
6/30/20141,3564911,2734243712,2011,606941517,3893,04714,3426071,41747.219.987212,6294731,40511,69715,61313,1022,5721,715
34
7/31/20141,3564911,9156484172,3081,798941518,6003,25915,3416271,21139.120.690313,2716971,40512,56316,77813,9682,7251,907
35
8/31/20141,3564912,6927254742,5581,990941519,9533,49616,4576501,35343.621.493414,0487741,40513,41718,07414,8223,0322,099
36
9/30/20141,3564913,6177885472,8152,063941521,3443,74017,6046731,39146.422.196414,9738371,40514,40519,39215,8103,3622,172
37
10/31/20141,3564914,3408675782,9512,256941522,5063,94418,5626881,16237.522.699515,6969161,40515,20720,52316,6123,5292,365
38
11/30/20141,3564914,8328675882,9992,345941523,1454,05619,08968763921.322.61,02516,1889161,40515,69921,15217,1043,5872,454
39
12/31/20141,3564915,1889245883,0842,345941523,6434,14319,50068149816.122.41,05616,5449731,40516,11221,65017,5173,6722,454
40
1/30/20151,3564915,6389245883,0842,345941524,0934,16319,93067545015.022.21,08616,9949731,40516,56222,10017,9673,6722,454
41
2/28/20151,3564915,9819675883,3412,3453201524,9624,18320,77968186930.022.41,11517,3371,0161,40516,94822,96918,3533,9292,680
42
3/31/20151,3564916,5609675883,4922,3453475725,7614,20321,55868479925.822.51,14617,9161,0161,40517,52723,76818,9324,0802,749
43
4/30/20151,3564917,1389675883,5942,3453665726,4604,22322,23768469923.322.51,17618,4941,0161,40518,10524,46719,5104,1822,768
44
5/31/20151,3567117,8151,0685923,7132,3453666727,3934,24323,15069093330.122.71,20719,1711,1391,42718,88325,37420,3104,3052,778
45
6/30/20151,3567118,4951,1665923,7832,3453666728,2414,26323,97869484828.322.81,23719,8511,2371,42719,66126,22221,0884,3752,778
46
7/31/20151,3567119,4361,1665924,0352,3453669829,4654,28325,1827071,22439.523.21,26820,7921,2371,42720,60227,44622,0294,6272,809
47
8/31/20151,3567120,2181,2755924,2152,6327389831,1954,30326,8927301,73055.824.01,29921,5741,3461,42721,49329,17622,9204,8073,468
48
9/30/20151,4137121,2121,4005924,2872,6327959832,5004,32328,1777441,30543.524.51,32922,6251,4711,48422,61230,42424,0964,8793,525
49
10/31/20151,4137122,5001,4625924,4422,88082611434,3004,40029,9007671,80058.025.21,36023,9131,5331,48423,96232,22425,4465,0343,820Guestimates
50
11/30/20151,4137124,0001,5245924,5973,12885712936,3114,47831,8337952,01267.126.11,39025,4131,5951,48425,52434,23527,0085,1894,114Guestimates
51
12/31/20151,4137125,1001,5865924,7523,37688814537,9234,55833,3658121,61252.026.71,42126,5131,6571,48426,68635,84728,1705,3444,409Guestimates
52
1/31/20161,4137126,2001,6175924,8763,59391916039,4414,63934,8028261,51949.027.21,45227,6131,6881,48427,81737,36529,3015,4684,672Guestimates
53
2/29/20161,4137127,3001,6485925,0003,81095017640,9604,72236,2388411,51952.427.71,48128,7131,7191,48428,94838,88430,4325,5924,936Guestimates
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
201411,319
63
75% growth on 2014 res201519,80813,865
64
up to 20138181
65
end of 201539,309
66
67
vs 75% growth on 2014 balance<--- seems more plausable34125
68
My model33,365
69
variance760
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
6.225806452DateModel X DepositsTotal DepositsNon Model X DepositsModels S Reservations in UnitsAT Comment
84
3/31/2013$34,743,728$130,700,000$95,956,27219,191Hardcore buyers pre release
85
$56,520,000$2,840,000$106,060,000$7,000,000$23,680,000$17,081,877$21,225,806$5,129,03204704006/30/2013$45,058,728$133,700,000$88,641,27223,638Good reviews came out around here
86
$240,007,115$24,274,284$4,8559/30/2013$67,338,033$140,300,000$72,961,96729,185
87
12/31/2013$92,275,694$163,153,000$70,877,30628,351
88
3/31/2014$123,380,853$198,000,000$74,619,14729,848
89
$192,158,1746/30/2014$151,925,116$228,017,000$76,091,88430,437
90
9/30/2014$178,637,129$227,056,000$48,418,87119,368Ru-roh
91
$54,240,000$1,960,000$75,940,000$4,620,000$23,520,000$12,288,432$18,911,290$606,45207200012/31/2014$192,158,174$257,000,000$64,841,82625,937All wheel drive launch
92
Reservation Cost$40,000$40,000$5,000$5,000$40,000$3,985$8,065$6,45248003/31/2015$202,692,739$249,000,000$46,307,26118,523Ru-roh
93
6/30/2015$215,732,831$272,000,000.00$56,267,16922,50722,506.9
94
$46,783,261.18
95
18,713
96
97
98
99
100
80000
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