Background calculations vision zero amendement
 Share
The version of the browser you are using is no longer supported. Please upgrade to a supported browser.Dismiss

 
View only
 
 
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOASATAUAVAWAXAYAZ
1
NETHERLANDS CASE, WHY? Data availability; safe country so underestimation of benefits, replacement of fleet: average EU country (between high rollover countries and low rollover)
feedback -> dominique.demunck@gmail.com
2
ResultsParameters future proof V0 equipment
Traffic model parameters
Economic parameters
3
Cumulated NPV 2018 Costs -> 2040€ 6,323,839,123Year of 99% replacement2040Investment cost V0 per car 2022€ 2,000.00Avg distance/car/year evol1.02Year for NPV2018
4
Cumulated NPV 2018 Benefits -> 2040€ 64,497,016,682Year of 90% km replacement2038Price evolution tech V0 per yr94%Max evol distance/car/year2(1 + Inflation)1.02
5
Diff€ 58,173,177,559Reached reduction of car related fatalitiesMax Effectiveness acc prev of blame without C-V2X70%Total km evolution1.01(1+ Discount rate)1.04
6
BCR (Benefits Costs Ratio)10.2
Reached reduction of car related collisions in 2040
89.8%Remaining C-2VX opportunity20%Nb of new car reg/year evol0.9898Nb of regulated cars:
7
(some accidents will still occur, but impact will be hugely mitigated)
->Part of "unavoidable accidents"10%Perc. car related acc costs0.7Index
8
Year of introductionIndexMaturity effectivity correction factorCost V0 equipmentNb of new carsNb of regulated models soldDiscount factor to applyTotal investm cost NPVTotal (no equipment) costs of accidents NPVCar releated acc costs NPVPenetration rate LTE-V2X ped/cyclPenetration rate C-V2X (km)Succes rate vision zero equipment to avoid accident of own blameTotal nb of mil car kmsCorrection increased mileageTotal nb of equiped milj kmsPerc kmsInvestment CostsBenefitsDiff
9
202210.7€ 2,000.00452909905820.854804191€ 154,859,435.63€ 13,416,379,429.66€ 9,391,465,600.7600.0082889013950.49110518691185001.02982.23481530.008288901395€ 154,859,435.63€ 38,230,050.03-€ 116,629,385.59
10
202320.75€ 1,917.604482892241450.8219271068€ 353,280,622.03€ 13,158,372,132.94€ 9,210,860,493.060.080.038317332020.53544231091196851.04044586.0098830.03831733202€ 353,280,622.03€ 188,976,653.11-€ 164,303,968.92
11
202430.8€ 1,838.594437174437170.7903145257€ 644,750,885.97€ 12,905,326,515.00€ 9,033,728,560.500.20.10188920970.5869185613120881.851.06120812316.556160.1018892097€ 644,750,885.97€ 540,223,005.72-€ 104,527,880.25
12
202540.9€ 1,762.844391914391910.7599178132€ 588,347,731.29€ 12,657,147,158.94€ 8,860,003,011.260.30.18565069470.674753426122090.66851.0824321622666.217420.1856506947€ 588,347,731.29€ 1,109,878,775.76€ 521,531,044.47
13
202650.92€ 1,690.224347114347110.730690205€ 536,878,754.96€ 12,413,740,482.81€ 8,689,618,337.960.420.2624972910.7069996388123311.57521.10408080332368.954430.262497291€ 536,878,754.96€ 1,612,667,076.31€ 1,075,788,321.35
14
202760.95€ 1,620.584302774302770.7025867356€ 489,912,312.38€ 12,175,014,704.29€ 8,522,510,293.000.550.331834530.7459112707124544.69091.12616241941328.228990.33183453€ 489,912,312.38€ 2,109,484,213.41€ 1,619,571,901.02
15
202870.97€ 1,553.814258884258880.6755641688€ 447,054,519.50€ 11,940,879,806.13€ 8,358,615,864.290.60.39372789390.7714970525125790.13781.14868566849527.086050.3937278939€ 447,054,519.50€ 2,539,012,399.80€ 2,091,957,880.30
16
202980.99€ 1,489.794215444215440.6495809316€ 407,945,949.41€ 11,711,247,502.17€ 8,197,873,251.520.70.45169252480.7998923366127048.03921.17165938157386.649610.4516925248€ 407,945,949.41€ 2,961,935,784.90€ 2,553,989,835.49
17
203090.995€ 1,428.414172454172450.6245970496€ 372,258,618.09€ 11,486,031,204.05€ 8,040,221,842.830.80.50732876540.8174771687128318.51961.19509256965099.676140.5073287654€ 372,258,618.09€ 3,334,518,654.33€ 2,962,260,036.24
18
2031101€ 1,369.564129894129890.6005740861€ 339,693,233.74€ 11,265,145,988.59€ 7,885,602,192.010.90.5625821990.8350109599129601.70481.2189944272911.612090.562582199€ 339,693,233.74€ 3,704,358,638.20€ 3,364,665,404.47
19
2032111€ 1,313.144087764087760.5774750828€ 309,976,686.74€ 11,048,508,565.73€ 7,733,955,996.010.950.61804269140.8457390255130897.72191.24337430880900.380320.6180426914€ 309,976,686.74€ 4,042,560,636.60€ 3,732,583,949.86
20
2033121€ 1,259.044046074046070.5552645027€ 282,859,759.27€ 10,836,037,247.16€ 7,585,226,073.010.970.67344304930.8544590732132206.69911.26824179589033.682570.6734430493€ 282,859,759.27€ 4,364,763,026.98€ 4,081,903,267.71
21
2034131€ 1,207.164004804004800.5339081757€ 258,115,035.22€ 10,627,651,915.48€ 7,439,356,340.840.970.72883327220.8618444363133528.76611.2936066397320.207510.7288332722€ 258,115,035.22€ 4,672,963,992.09€ 4,414,848,956.87
22
2035141€ 1,157.433963953963950.5133732459€ 235,534,992.95€ 10,423,273,994.03€ 7,296,291,795.820.970.78264304420.8690190726134864.05371.319478763105550.41360.7826430442€ 235,534,992.95€ 4,962,439,579.03€ 4,726,904,586.07
23
2036151€ 1,109.743923523923520.493628121€ 214,930,264.94€ 10,222,826,417.22€ 7,155,978,492.060.970.83466534580.8759553794136212.69431.345868338113692.01560.8346653458€ 214,930,264.94€ 5,231,947,689.98€ 5,017,017,425.04
24
2037161€ 1,064.023883503883500.474642424€ 196,128,049.63€ 10,026,233,601.51€ 7,018,363,521.050.970.88510318290.8826804244137574.82121.372785705121767.91210.8851031829€ 196,128,049.63€ 5,483,189,515.69€ 5,287,061,466.05
25
2038171€ 1,020.183843883843880.4563869462€ 178,970,662.25€ 9,833,421,416.86€ 6,883,394,991.800.970.93415197780.8892202637138950.56941.400241419129800.94920.9341519778€ 178,970,662.25€ 5,717,808,159.11€ 5,538,837,496.86
26
2039181€ 978.153804683804680.4388336021€ 163,314,212.34€ 9,644,317,158.85€ 6,751,022,011.190.970.98183298480.8955777313140340.07511.428246248137790.51480.9818329848€ 163,314,212.34€ 5,936,226,022.13€ 5,772,911,809.79
27
2040191€ 937.853765873765870.4219553867€ 149,027,397.11€ 9,458,849,521.18€ 6,621,194,664.820.9710.898141743.47591.456811173141743.47591€ 149,027,397.11€ 5,945,832,809.01€ 5,796,805,411.90
28
2041201€ 899.213727463727460.4057263333€ 135,990,400.16€ 9,276,948,568.84€ 6,493,863,998.190.9710.898143160.91061.485947396143160.91061€ 135,990,400.16€ 5,831,489,870.38€ 5,695,499,470.21
29
2042211€ 862.173689443689440.3901214743€ 124,093,886.73€ 9,098,545,711.75€ 6,368,981,998.230.9710.898144592.51971.515666344144592.51971€ 124,093,886.73€ 5,719,345,834.41€ 5,595,251,947.67
30
2043221€ 826.643651803651800.3751168023€ 113,238,086.70€ 8,923,573,678.83€ 6,246,501,575.180.9710.898146038.44491.545979671146038.44491€ 113,238,086.70€ 5,609,358,414.51€ 5,496,120,327.81
31
2044231€ 792.593614563614560.3606892329€ 103,331,957.90€ 8,751,966,492.70€ 6,126,376,544.890.9710.898147498.82941.576899264147498.82941€ 103,331,957.90€ 5,501,486,137.31€ 5,398,154,179.41
32
2045241€ 759.933577693577690.3468165701€ 94,292,422.58€ 8,583,659,444.77€ 6,008,561,611.340.9710.898148973.81771.608437249148973.81771€ 94,292,422.58€ 5,395,688,326.98€ 5,301,395,904.39
33
2046251€ 728.623541193541190.3334774713€ 86,043,670.68€ 8,418,589,070.83€ 5,893,012,349.580.9710.898150463.55591.640605994150463.55591€ 86,043,670.68€ 5,291,925,089.92€ 5,205,881,419.24
34
2047261€ 698.603505073505070.3206514147€ 78,516,524.04€ 8,256,693,127.16€ 5,779,685,189.010.9710.898151968.19141.673418114151968.19141€ 78,516,524.04€ 5,190,157,299.73€ 5,111,640,775.69
35
2048271€ 669.823469323469320.308318668€ 71,647,856.24€ 8,097,910,567.02€ 5,668,537,396.910.9710.898153487.87331.706886477153487.87331€ 71,647,856.24€ 5,090,346,582.43€ 5,018,698,726.19
36
2049281€ 642.223433943433940.2964602577€ 65,380,063.20€ 7,942,181,517.65€ 5,559,527,062.360.9710.898155022.75211.741024206155022.75211€ 65,380,063.20€ 4,992,455,302.00€ 4,927,075,238.80
37
2050291€ 615.763398913398910.2850579401€ 59,660,580.06€ 7,789,447,257.70€ 5,452,613,080.390.9710.898156572.97961.77584469156572.97961€ 59,660,580.06€ 4,896,446,546.19€ 4,836,785,966.13
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
Loading...
 
 
 
CostBenefit
Cost V0 - quick estimate
Netherlands - part of Cars in casualties
Care
Netherlands - age and kms
Netherlands - Vans age and km
 
 
Main menu