Numbers of HoTS 2.0

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	K	L	M	N	O	P
1
2		Base chance per item	70.83%	19.96%	7.24%	1.97%	Chance Source:				One shard worth this much gold	One gold worth this much shards	Value of 10k gold in shards	Master skin tint costs 100 shards	Chance to get a specific master skin tint after approptiate number of attempts
3		1 reroll	46.21%	35.94%	13.96%	3.90%	Small Sample size (114 chests, no rerolls)
4		2 reroll	43.04%	38.62%	14.41%	3.94%	Small Sample size (114 chests, no rerolls)
5		3 reroll	42.95%	38.70%	14.41%	3.94%				1st reroll	3.56	0.28	2,810.46		6.12%
6		Shard chance	19.60%							2nd reroll	6.67	0.15	1,499.72		3.11%
7		Stimpack chance	6.50%							3rd reroll	9.99	0.10	1,000.93		2.23%
8									"The bestest value"
9		Gem Pack	$5	$10	$20	$35	$50	$100	$100*8	Hearthstone, per item		70.56%	21.28%	4.26%	1.06%
10		# of gems	500	1 040	2 100	3 710	5 500	11 500	92 000	Hearthstone, per pack, converted to hots, per item		67.53%	25.85%	5.30%	1.32%
11		# of lootboxes	5	12.4	25	43.1	69	145	1196	Hearthstone, per pack, converted to hots, per item		67.53%	25.85%	5.30%	1.32%
12		Loot box pack	1	5	12	24	52			Overwatch, per item		58.66%	31.69%	7.22%	2.43%
13		Pack price	100	500	1000	2000	4000			Small Sample size (177 chests, including 63 rerolls)		71.00%	20.10%	7.20%	1.70%
14	1$ is worth X shards	Base	99.08	122.85	123.85	122.01	136.73	143.66	148.12	Small Sample size (177 chests, including 63 rerolls)		71.00%	20.10%	7.20%	1.70%
15		1st reroll	169.34	209.98	211.67	208.53	233.69	245.54	253.16	Small Sample size (114 chests, no rerolls)		70.83%	19.96%	7.24%	1.97%
16		2nd reroll	174.06	215.84	217.58	214.35	240.21	252.39	260.22	Small Sample size (114 chests, no rerolls)		70.83%	19.96%	7.24%	1.97%
17		3rd reroll	174.15	215.94	217.68	214.45	240.32	252.51	260.35
18
19		shard prices for reference:	Common	Rare	Epic	Legendary
20		shard prices for reference:	40	100	400	1600
21											Average Shard Value of chests with a guranteed drop of
22		Disclaimer: Please don't read this as "Legendary costs $8". This is $8 per RANDOM legendary item, of which there are 126 in heroes of the storm 2.0 (more like heroes of the store)									None	1 Rare+	1 Epic+	1 Leg (Veteran)	Theory: A Guranteed rarity can roll up, i.e. Epic chest at best is 4 Legendaries
23										Base	99.08	108.77	176.86	496.13
24										1st reroll	169.34	172.66	234.27	564.03
25										2nd reroll	174.06	176.48	237.72	568.36
26										3rd reroll	174.15	176.54	237.78	568.43
27										all calculations are based on loot box with no guranteed drops (left one), the one you can buy
28				# of items base on PTR	Common Items	Rare Items	Epic Items	Legendary Items
29				Mounts		20	40	30
30				Skin		368	193	75
31				Heroes¹		8	32	25
32				Banners	34	34
33				Sprays	59	19
34				Announcers			20	3
35				Voicelines	260
36				Emojis	143					0.4949457414
37				Portraits	54
38					550	449	285	133			total price	393700
39		Chance to get a specific item of this rarity (rarity chance is not accounted for)			0.001818181818	0.002227171492	0.00350877193	0.007518796992
40										min number of chests		max number of chests		Gold value of rerolls
41				1. 2k heroes= rare, 4k & 7k heroes = Epic, 10k= Legendarys						354.25	4923.565337	26238.66667
42											2967.771073			741942.7683
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49					Lucky rolling						1 Common	1 Rare	1 Epic
50	A=A	70.83%	19.96%	7.24%	1.97%						79.96	96.67	172.09	Theory: A chest of appropiate rarity gurantees to have an item of that rarity, i.e. epic chest at best will be 3 legendaries and 1 epic
51	AA=1-A	29.17%	80.04%	92.76%	98.03%						132.66	147.60	223.02
52	B=AA*A	20.66%	15.98%	6.72%	1.93%	35.94%	13.96%	3.90%			136.20	150.85	226.27
53	BB=1-(AA*A)	79.34%	84.02%	93.28%	98.07%						136.26	150.90	226.32
54	C=BBAAA	11.61%	2.68%	0.45%	0.04%	38.62%	14.41%	3.94%
55	CC=1-(BBAAA)	88.39%	97.32%	99.55%	99.96%
56	D=CCBBAA*A	1.50%	0.08%	0.00%	0.00%	38.70%	14.41%	3.94%
57	DD=1-(CC*A)	98.50%	99.92%	100.00%	100.00%
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60				wars	Ssins	s+	spec	M+
61		10k	24	4	11	3	5	1
62		7	16	4	6	3	3
63		4	16	6	5	3	2
64		2	8	2	2	2	2
65			! cho and gall are 2 heroes but you pay for both of them (so there are 64 heroes)
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