Euroleague Playoff Projections

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK	AL	AM	AN
1	Round 30	UPDATED LIVE DURING GAMES												Baskonia	Milano	Panathinaikos	Zalgiris	Maccabi	Olympiacos		Baskonia	Milano	Panathinaikos	Zalgiris	Maccabi	Olympiacos
2	Home Team Win Chance %			Projected Playoff Odds										L	L	W	W	L	W		7		6	8
3				Team	In	Out		Team	Odds with a win		Odds with a loss			L	L	W	W	L	L		7		6	8
4	CSKA Moscow vs. Baskonia			Baskonia	100.0%	0.0%		Baskonia	0.00%		100.00%			L	L	W	W	W	W		7		6	8
5	100.0%			Panathinaikos	100.0%	0.0%		Maccabi Tel Aviv	0.00%		0.00%			L	L	W	W	W	L		7		6	8
6				Zalgiris	100.0%	0.0%		Olimpia Milano	0.00%		0.00%			L	L	W	L	L	W		8		6			7
7	Anadolu Efes vs. Olimpia Milano			Olympiacos	0.0%	100.0%		Olympiacos	0.00%		0.00%			L	L	W	L	L	L		7		6		8
8	100.0%			Maccabi Tel Aviv	0.0%	100.0%		Panathinaikos	100.00%		0.00%			L	L	W	L	W	W		8		6			7
9				Olimpia Milano	0.0%	100.0%		Zalgiris	100.00%		0.00%			L	L	W	L	W	L		7		6	8
10	Panathinaikos vs. Buducnost													L	L	L	W	L	W		7			6		8
11	100.0%			Projected Standings				Projected Seed						L	L	L	W	L	L		6		8	7
12				Team	Wins	Losses		Team	#6 seed	#7 seed	#8 seed			L	L	L	W	W	W		8			6		7
13	Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris		1	Fenerbahce	25.00	5.00		Baskonia	0.00%	100.00%	0.00%			L	L	L	W	W	L		6		8	7
14	0.0%		2	CSKA	24.00	6.00		Maccabi Tel Aviv	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%			L	L	L	L	L	W		7		8			6
15			3	Real Madrid	22.00	8.00		Olimpia Milano	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%			L	L	L	L	L	L		6		7		8
16	Fenerbahce vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv		4	Anadolu Efes	20.00	10.00		Olympiacos	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%			L	L	L	L	W	W		8		7			6
17	100.0%		5	Barcelona	18.00	12.00		Panathinaikos	100.00%	0.00%	0.00%			L	L	L	L	W	L		6		7	8
18			6	Panathinaikos	16.00	14.00		Zalgiris	0.00%	0.00%	100.00%			L	W	W	W	L	W		7	8	6
19	Bayern vs. Gran Canaria		7	Baskonia	15.00	15.00								L	W	W	W	L	L		7	8	6
20	100.0%		8	Zalgiris	15.00	15.00								L	W	W	W	W	W		8	7	6
21			X	Olympiacos	15.00	15.00								L	W	W	W	W	L		7	8	6
22	Olympiacos vs. Darussafaka		X	Maccabi Tel Aviv	14.00	16.00		https://blog.newstats.eu/2019/04/04/every-teams-situation-entering-the-final-round-of-euroleague/						L	W	W	L	L	W			7	6			8
23	100.0%		X	Olimpia Milano	14.00	16.00		Please reach out to andrew@mastin.us by email or @andrewmastin or @NewStatsEU on twitter with any questions, additions, or errors. If you download the spreadsheet and find your results please share them and link to the blog on NewStats and/or this spreadsheet!						L	W	W	L	L	L		7	8	6
24			X	Bayern	14.00	16.00								L	W	W	L	W	W			7	6			8
25	Barcelona vs. Khimki Moscow		X	Khimki	9.00	21.00								L	W	W	L	W	L		7	8	6
26	100.0%		X	Gran Canaria	8.00	22.00								L	W	L	W	L	W		7	8		6
27			X	Buducnost	6.00	24.00								L	W	L	W	L	L		6	8		7
28			X	Darussafaka	5.00	25.00								L	W	L	W	W	W		8	6		7
29														L	W	L	W	W	L		6	7		8
30														L	W	L	L	L	W			6	8			7
31														L	W	L	L	L	L		6	8	7
32														L	W	L	L	W	W			6	8			7
33														L	W	L	L	W	L		6	8	7
34	Bayern	Gran Canaria	Minutes Remaining		Pregame probability									W	L	W	W	L	W		6		7	8
35	80	68	3		77.80%									W	L	W	W	L	L		6		7	8
36														W	L	W	W	W	W		6		7	8
37	Olympiacos	Darussafaka	Minutes Remaining		Pregame Probability									W	L	W	W	W	L		6		7	8
38	63	54	15		90.30%									W	L	W	L	L	W		6		7			8
39														W	L	W	L	L	L		6		7		8
40	Barcelona	Khimki	Minutes Remaining		Pregame Probability									W	L	W	L	W	W		6		7			8
41	44	43	20		80.30%									W	L	W	L	W	L		6		7	8
42														W	L	L	W	L	W		6			7		8
43														W	L	L	W	L	L		6			7	8
44														W	L	L	W	W	W		6			7		8
45														W	L	L	W	W	L		6		8	7
46														W	L	L	L	L	W		6				8	7
47														W	L	L	L	L	L		6		8		7
48														W	L	L	L	W	W		6		8			7
49														W	L	L	L	W	L		6		7	8
50														W	W	W	W	L	W		6		7	8
51														W	W	W	W	L	L		6		7	8
52														W	W	W	W	W	W		6	8	7
53														W	W	W	W	W	L		6	8	7
54														W	W	W	L	L	W		6	8	7
55														W	W	W	L	L	L		6	8	7
56														W	W	W	L	W	W		6	8	7
57														W	W	W	L	W	L		6	8	7
58														W	W	L	W	L	W		6	8		7
59														W	W	L	W	L	L		6	8		7
60														W	W	L	W	W	W		6	8		7
61														W	W	L	W	W	L		6	8		7
62														W	W	L	L	L	W		6	7			8
63														W	W	L	L	L	L		6		7		8
64														W	W	L	L	W	W		6	7	8
65														W	W	L	L	W	L		6	8	7
66
67
68
69	Margin	39	38	37	36	35	34	33	32	31	30	29	28	27	26	25	24	23	22	21	20	19	18	17	16	15	14	13	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1
70	25	0.627	0.639	0.704	0.759	0.78	0.792	0.821	0.851	0.875	0.884	0.89	0.895	0.902	0.917	0.932	0.936	0.942	0.948	0.959	0.966	0.972	0.975	0.978	0.979	0.98	0.984	0.986	0.987	0.988	0.99	0.994	0.996	0.998	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
71	24	0.622	0.633	0.696	0.749	0.776	0.786	0.811	0.836	0.856	0.875	0.882	0.891	0.901	0.912	0.925	0.931	0.937	0.945	0.954	0.963	0.968	0.97	0.972	0.975	0.977	0.981	0.984	0.985	0.987	0.988	0.99	0.993	0.996	0.997	0.998	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
72	23	0.616	0.628	0.688	0.738	0.771	0.778	0.802	0.817	0.84	0.865	0.876	0.886	0.897	0.907	0.917	0.925	0.931	0.938	0.948	0.957	0.961	0.964	0.968	0.97	0.973	0.977	0.98	0.982	0.985	0.986	0.988	0.99	0.993	0.996	0.998	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
73	22	0.611	0.622	0.679	0.728	0.766	0.773	0.792	0.81	0.834	0.855	0.867	0.878	0.89	0.901	0.911	0.919	0.926	0.934	0.941	0.952	0.957	0.959	0.962	0.965	0.969	0.972	0.975	0.979	0.981	0.983	0.986	0.988	0.991	0.995	0.997	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
74	21	0.606	0.616	0.671	0.717	0.76	0.765	0.783	0.798	0.816	0.845	0.854	0.868	0.878	0.889	0.901	0.908	0.917	0.926	0.935	0.945	0.947	0.951	0.952	0.957	0.963	0.967	0.971	0.975	0.977	0.98	0.985	0.988	0.99	0.993	0.996	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
75	20	0.601	0.611	0.663	0.707	0.753	0.759	0.774	0.786	0.814	0.834	0.844	0.857	0.868	0.879	0.891	0.899	0.907	0.916	0.927	0.938	0.942	0.946	0.95	0.953	0.957	0.961	0.965	0.969	0.973	0.976	0.979	0.983	0.987	0.991	0.996	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
76	19	0.595	0.605	0.654	0.696	0.746	0.752	0.764	0.793	0.807	0.824	0.834	0.844	0.855	0.867	0.879	0.889	0.897	0.908	0.919	0.93	0.934	0.937	0.942	0.946	0.951	0.955	0.96	0.962	0.967	0.972	0.976	0.981	0.985	0.99	0.995	0.998	0.999	0.999	0.999
77	18	0.59	0.599	0.646	0.685	0.73	0.737	0.758	0.783	0.792	0.812	0.823	0.834	0.846	0.857	0.869	0.879	0.89	0.9	0.91	0.92	0.925	0.93	0.934	0.938	0.942	0.943	0.947	0.953	0.959	0.967	0.971	0.976	0.982	0.987	0.994	0.997	0.999	0.999	0.999
78	17	0.585	0.593	0.637	0.675	0.715	0.735	0.756	0.777	0.791	0.798	0.81	0.822	0.834	0.842	0.856	0.866	0.876	0.887	0.898	0.909	0.914	0.919	0.925	0.929	0.934	0.938	0.945	0.951	0.954	0.96	0.964	0.973	0.979	0.985	0.992	0.995	0.999	0.999	0.999
79	16	0.58	0.588	0.629	0.664	0.704	0.728	0.743	0.77	0.779	0.785	0.794	0.804	0.814	0.827	0.843	0.853	0.864	0.875	0.886	0.897	0.901	0.906	0.911	0.917	0.924	0.927	0.932	0.938	0.944	0.952	0.959	0.967	0.974	0.983	0.989	0.994	0.998	0.999	0.999
80	15	0.574	0.582	0.621	0.654	0.694	0.714	0.728	0.753	0.769	0.77	0.78	0.79	0.801	0.814	0.829	0.841	0.852	0.864	0.875	0.885	0.891	0.897	0.903	0.908	0.913	0.917	0.922	0.929	0.936	0.943	0.953	0.961	0.97	0.981	0.984	0.991	0.998	0.999	0.999
81	14	0.569	0.576	0.612	0.643	0.683	0.699	0.712	0.736	0.749	0.755	0.767	0.778	0.79	0.8	0.812	0.823	0.835	0.848	0.859	0.871	0.876	0.881	0.887	0.893	0.899	0.904	0.91	0.917	0.924	0.931	0.939	0.95	0.962	0.976	0.979	0.988	0.995	0.998	0.999
82	13	0.564	0.571	0.604	0.633	0.674	0.685	0.697	0.719	0.734	0.74	0.75	0.762	0.772	0.783	0.796	0.804	0.813	0.828	0.841	0.855	0.862	0.868	0.874	0.879	0.884	0.89	0.894	0.9	0.909	0.918	0.928	0.941	0.955	0.971	0.974	0.984	0.992	0.997	0.999
83	12	0.559	0.565	0.596	0.622	0.662	0.67	0.682	0.702	0.716	0.725	0.733	0.743	0.754	0.766	0.779	0.79	0.801	0.813	0.824	0.836	0.841	0.847	0.853	0.86	0.867	0.877	0.887	0.894	0.899	0.903	0.914	0.93	0.946	0.964	0.969	0.98	0.989	0.997	0.999
84	11	0.553	0.559	0.587	0.612	0.65	0.656	0.666	0.685	0.697	0.708	0.717	0.727	0.739	0.749	0.76	0.771	0.783	0.795	0.806	0.818	0.825	0.832	0.838	0.843	0.848	0.852	0.861	0.869	0.878	0.886	0.895	0.914	0.93	0.953	0.958	0.967	0.984	0.993	0.998
85	10	0.548	0.554	0.579	0.601	0.636	0.641	0.651	0.668	0.679	0.693	0.701	0.71	0.719	0.73	0.74	0.751	0.763	0.775	0.785	0.796	0.802	0.808	0.814	0.821	0.828	0.838	0.847	0.851	0.862	0.866	0.873	0.891	0.914	0.935	0.94	0.952	0.971	0.983	0.997
86	9	0.543	0.548	0.571	0.591	0.622	0.627	0.635	0.651	0.661	0.672	0.679	0.687	0.695	0.705	0.719	0.729	0.74	0.751	0.762	0.773	0.778	0.783	0.789	0.796	0.805	0.816	0.824	0.825	0.834	0.841	0.857	0.869	0.887	0.918	0.923	0.932	0.947	0.968	0.995
87	8	0.538	0.542	0.562	0.58	0.608	0.612	0.62	0.633	0.643	0.654	0.661	0.668	0.676	0.686	0.696	0.715	0.724	0.73	0.739	0.747	0.753	0.759	0.766	0.772	0.778	0.789	0.796	0.804	0.811	0.816	0.829	0.846	0.866	0.888	0.901	0.921	0.934	0.96	0.984
88	7	0.536	0.537	0.554	0.57	0.593	0.598	0.605	0.616	0.625	0.634	0.64	0.647	0.654	0.663	0.672	0.688	0.697	0.707	0.715	0.721	0.725	0.73	0.736	0.741	0.747	0.757	0.764	0.771	0.778	0.786	0.794	0.815	0.836	0.859	0.874	0.896	0.926	0.937	0.975
89	6	0.528	0.531	0.546	0.559	0.581	0.583	0.589	0.599	0.606	0.616	0.622	0.628	0.635	0.642	0.649	0.662	0.672	0.68	0.687	0.692	0.699	0.705	0.71	0.714	0.718	0.729	0.736	0.742	0.749	0.752	0.771	0.788	0.8	0.821	0.84	0.882	0.91	0.928	0.954
90	5	0.521	0.528	0.542	0.552	0.566	0.572	0.576	0.585	0.59	0.596	0.602	0.608	0.613	0.619	0.625	0.631	0.638	0.646	0.652	0.662	0.667	0.673	0.678	0.681	0.685	0.689	0.695	0.702	0.709	0.716	0.731	0.744	0.76	0.775	0.799	0.856	0.882	0.915	0.938
91	4	0.516	0.521	0.529	0.539	0.55	0.554	0.559	0.565	0.571	0.577	0.582	0.587	0.591	0.595	0.599	0.603	0.608	0.614	0.621	0.629	0.633	0.638	0.642	0.648	0.653	0.657	0.662	0.667	0.672	0.677	0.686	0.692	0.703	0.722	0.75	0.794	0.813	0.866	0.902
92	3	0.508	0.511	0.518	0.526	0.536	0.539	0.543	0.547	0.551	0.555	0.559	0.563	0.567	0.571	0.575	0.579	0.584	0.589	0.593	0.597	0.6	0.604	0.607	0.611	0.615	0.618	0.622	0.626	0.631	0.635	0.642	0.65	0.662	0.674	0.687	0.721	0.736	0.763	0.825
93	2	0.504	0.506	0.508	0.514	0.52	0.523	0.526	0.529	0.532	0.536	0.538	0.54	0.542	0.544	0.546	0.549	0.552	0.556	0.56	0.564	0.566	0.568	0.57	0.573	0.575	0.578	0.581	0.584	0.587	0.591	0.598	0.606	0.615	0.624	0.634	0.66	0.684	0.701	0.774
94	1	0.502	0.503	0.505	0.507	0.509	0.51	0.512	0.513	0.515	0.516	0.518	0.52	0.521	0.522	0.523	0.525	0.526	0.528	0.529	0.53	0.531	0.533	0.535	0.536	0.537	0.538	0.539	0.541	0.543	0.545	0.549	0.553	0.557	0.561	0.566	0.581	0.607	0.63	0.712
95	0	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5
96	-1	0.498	0.497	0.495	0.493	0.491	0.49	0.488	0.487	0.485	0.484	0.482	0.48	0.479	0.478	0.477	0.475	0.474	0.472	0.471	0.47	0.469	0.467	0.465	0.464	0.463	0.462	0.461	0.459	0.457	0.455	0.451	0.447	0.443	0.439	0.434	0.419	0.393	0.37	0.288
97	-2	0.496	0.494	0.492	0.486	0.48	0.477	0.474	0.471	0.468	0.464	0.462	0.46	0.458	0.456	0.454	0.451	0.448	0.444	0.44	0.436	0.434	0.432	0.43	0.427	0.425	0.422	0.419	0.416	0.413	0.409	0.402	0.394	0.385	0.376	0.366	0.34	0.316	0.299	0.226
98	-3	0.492	0.489	0.482	0.474	0.464	0.461	0.457	0.453	0.449	0.445	0.441	0.437	0.433	0.429	0.425	0.421	0.416	0.411	0.407	0.403	0.4	0.396	0.393	0.389	0.385	0.382	0.378	0.374	0.369	0.365	0.358	0.35	0.338	0.326	0.313	0.279	0.264	0.237	0.175
99	-4	0.484	0.479	0.471	0.461	0.45	0.446	0.441	0.435	0.429	0.423	0.418	0.413	0.409	0.405	0.401	0.397	0.392	0.386	0.379	0.371	0.367	0.362	0.358	0.352	0.347	0.343	0.338	0.333	0.328	0.323	0.314	0.308	0.297	0.278	0.25	0.206	0.187	0.134	0.098
100	-5	0.479	0.472	0.458	0.448	0.434	0.428	0.424	0.415	0.41	0.404	0.398	0.392	0.387	0.381	0.375	0.369	0.362	0.354	0.348	0.338	0.333	0.327	0.322	0.319	0.315	0.311	0.305	0.298	0.291	0.284	0.269	0.256	0.24	0.225	0.201	0.144	0.118	0.085	0.062